News linked to both this project and an event.
According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) currently holds 840,447 BTC ($53.452 billion), with an average cost of $75,385, showing an unrealized loss of $9.904 billion (-15.6%).Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 9,926 ETH ($18.77 million) last week at approximately $1,891 per token. They now hold a total of 5,815,164 ETH ($11.06 billion), with an average cost of $3,366, showing an unrealized loss of $8.513 billion (-43.5%).
Odaily News Bitfinex's latest report indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) has been fluctuating within a narrow range recently, with volatility, trading activity, and market liquidity all compressed to levels similar to those seen at the end of a bear market.Currently, Bitcoin's price remains above the "Median Realised Price" of around $63,200, while the key level for short-term holders (STH) to achieve overall profitability stands at $67,176. Meanwhile, market demand is weakening: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $385 million last week, corporate Bitcoin reserve-related activity has turned negative, spot trading volume has fallen to multi-year lows, and Bitcoin transfer speed has dropped to its lowest level in seven years.Bitfinex stated that in the current extremely thin liquidity environment, even slight changes in capital flows could trigger significant Bitcoin price fluctuations. At the same time, weak retail activity, declining real income, and deteriorating consumer confidence indicate that U.S. household demand is under pressure. Bitfinex noted that the current market shows a clear divergence: accommodative financial conditions are driving traditional risk assets higher, but the crypto market has not yet received corresponding capital inflows.Bitfinex believes that the core market question has shifted from "whether monetary policy will improve" to "whether improved liquidity can translate into capital inflows for crypto assets." If Bitcoin spot ETFs resume sustained net inflows in the future, coupled with stablecoin supply expansion, this would signal a restart of the crypto market's liquidity transmission mechanism and could become a key catalyst for BTC breaking out of its prolonged low-volatility state.Before capital returns, although the macro environment is gradually improving, the crypto market's upside still lacks capital support. However, given that market participation has dropped to extremely low levels and BTC continues to hold key realized price support levels, once liquidity re-enters the market, it could trigger violent fluctuations. The current structure leans toward an upward breakout once demand recovers.
据链上分析师 Ai 姨（@ai_9684xtpa）监测，一持仓约 1.25 亿美元的 BTC 空单巨鲸于 40 分钟前再度止损 300 枚 BTC，本次亏损 9,065 美元。自 8 月 5 日建仓以来，该地址已累计四次止损，已实现亏损达 98.8 万美元。目前该巨鲸仍持有 1,700 枚 BTC 空单（约 1.08 亿美元），当前浮盈 9.6 万美元，清算价位于 63,710.5 美元。
According to BeInCrypto, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen stated that Bitcoin is currently on day 1,363 of this cycle, while the past two cycles bottomed out on day 1,432 and day 1,436 respectively. Based on this, the bottom of this cycle is estimated to appear in October 2026, approximately 69-73 days from now. Cowen also pointed out that August and September have historically been seasonally weak periods for Bitcoin, with an average decline of about 10% in August during midterm election years. However, this prediction faces institutional-level skepticism. Fidelity pointed out that within months after Bitcoin hit an all-time high, one-year volatility touched a new low, a signal that never appeared in previous cycles; Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes that continuous inflows into spot ETFs and corporate balance sheet allocation demands have weakened traditional halving cycle patterns; Grayscale's 2026 outlook report also holds a similar view. Cowen, however, insists that although tops are becoming flatter, the bottom ranges of the four cycles have hardly shifted.
According to analysis by BIT Official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN), Bitcoin's 7-day implied volatility has fallen below the 30% threshold to 25%, similar to the low volatility period in the summer of 2023. Against the backdrop of relatively low option prices, analysts suggest investors consider the "spot substitution strategy"—selling a portion of Bitcoin spot holdings and replacing them with bull call spreads or directly buying call options, which not only retains upside exposure but also limits the maximum loss to the option premium if prices continue to fall, while the released funds can also generate interest elsewhere.
According to 10x Research analysis, Bitcoin trading volume has contracted significantly to levels far below historical peaks, and prices have entered the narrowest trading range in months; historically, such patterns often indicate an imminent directional breakout. Implied volatility in the options market has fallen to rare lows, ETF inflows remain sluggish, stablecoins continue to experience net outflows, and MicroStrategy has even shifted to net selling for four consecutive weeks. Considering both the macroeconomic background and technicals, the market is currently in a "calm before the breakout" phase, and the directional choice may become clear within this week.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that DWF Labs posted on X, stating that on a fund size basis, ETH spot ETFs have outperformed BTC spot ETFs in capital flows since June. In June, ETH ETF net outflows accounted for 4.65% of fund size, lower than BTC ETF's 8.09%; in July, ETH ETF net inflows accounted for 3.19% of fund size, compared to BTC ETF's 0.34%, with the former approximately 9.4 times that of the latter.DWF Labs noted in May that institutions generally lacked interest in ETH, with net capital flows gradually declining. Over the past few weeks, this trend has begun to shift.
CryptoQuant 分析师 Darkfost 表示，超过 10 年未发生移动的比特币已达 356 万枚，占当前流通供应量约 17.7%，创历史新高。过去 30 天又有超 1.4 万枚 BTC 进入这一长期休眠区间。
Well-known trader Killa noted that Bitcoin has currently moved back above the Mayer Multiple of 0.8. If BTC subsequently breaks through and holds above the 200-day moving average at approximately $69,500, it could be viewed as the market officially shifting into a bull market.
Crypto analyst Ali Charts stated that according to the Bitcoin four-year cycle, BTC may touch the bottom of this market cycle between October 6 and 16, and advised investors to build positions in batches within the $48,000 to $62,000 range.
Odaily News: Bitcoin News posted on X platform that a long-term Bitcoin holder had all assets withdrawn from their account within less than 12 hours of transferring BTC to a major Australian exchange. According to a friend of the holder, hackers had compromised their Google account for approximately 3 months, obtaining their email and Google Authenticator credentials backed up to the cloud, and then waited for them to deposit BTC into the exchange. The exchange identified the hacker as the account owner and approved the withdrawal, with the holder receiving a withdrawal approval notification at 3 AM. The post recommends disabling cloud backup for Google Authenticator and using hardware security keys such as YubiKey; setting up two keys can serve as a backup in case one is lost.
Odaily News: Analyst Killa stated on platform X that his spot positions are fully loaded, and he has been holding a Bitcoin swing long position with 2x leverage since $62,600, while also deploying a 10x leverage long strategy in batches across sub-accounts. Bitcoin has already retraced 54%, and based on mathematical calculations, he believes the maximum drawdown could range from 65% to 68%. The strategy sets up three 10x leverage long orders with entry prices of $62,600, $57,100, and $51,600, corresponding to liquidation prices of $57,100, $51,600, and $46,100 respectively, with $10,000 margin used for each group. If Bitcoin reaches $126,000, the three long orders are expected to yield profits of $101,300, $120,700, and $144,200 respectively. Killa stated that he actually split this strategy into 4 to 5 entries, and if the first two groups of long orders get liquidated, the profits from the final group of long orders can cover the related losses.
Bitcoin News announced on X platform that @BitcoinatBlock has updated its Bitcoin roadmap, having rolled out multiple features across its products over the past year. Recently launched features include: - Cash App supports Bitcoin purchases via ACH. - More readable Bitcoin addresses. - Dollar payments via the Lightning Network. - Square merchants support Bitcoin payments and Tap to Pay. - 5% Bitcoin cashback. - Increased withdrawal limits and reduced fees. - Open-source mining management through Proto. Features currently in development include: automatic withdrawals to Bitkey, Coin Control, multi-account support, and multi-beneficiary inheritance.
Odaily News, Galaxy Research Head Alex Thorn stated on the X platform that attacks exploiting the Coldcard hardware wallet vulnerability have noticeably declined, but cumulative losses continue to rise as more victims come forward. The impact of this incident on the Bitcoin community is significant, as the victims are primarily long-term BTC holders who adhered to self-custody cold storage principles, rather than those who lost assets due to high-risk trading or DeFi activities.At a scale of $112 million, this incident ranks among the top 20 largest hacks in crypto history and is one of the most severe security breaches in the hardware wallet self-custody sector to date. Bitcoin culture may be entering a new phase—the era of relying solely on ideological advocacy and extreme self-custody promotion is coming to an end. The community needs to place greater emphasis on technical security, lower the barrier to entry for users, and avoid simply shifting the burden of security responsibility onto ordinary users. This crisis may ultimately drive the Bitcoin ecosystem to establish a more mature security framework.Galaxy Research has directly contacted 190 victims and has confirmed with high confidence that the exploit has led to the theft of 1,778.84 BTC (approximately $112.7 million) from over 8,600 addresses. This tally does not yet include certain moderately credible suspicious attack records, such as the unconfirmed "Wave 4." If these potential attack scopes are incorporated, total losses could expand to 2,417.35 BTC (approximately $153 million).Meanwhile, the incident is reshaping market perceptions of self-custody security. Galaxy noted that multisig wallets have emerged as the "winners" of this event, with no stolen transactions traced to multisig wallets so far. Multisig service providers including Casa, Unchained, Nunchuk, and Anchorwatch have all observed a notable increase in user registrations and BTC inflows.
Odaily News: Goldman Sachs has disclosed the acquisition of ETF management firm NEOS Investments in a deal valued at up to $2.25 billion, which is expected to close in the first quarter of 2027 pending regulatory approval. The market views this move as a way for Goldman Sachs to quickly enter the Bitcoin yield ETF space, potentially putting it ahead of BlackRock in the Wall Street crypto asset competition.NEOS currently manages approximately $30 billion in assets, with its most notable product being the Bitcoin yield ETF BTCI (NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF), which holds about $1.1 billion in assets. The fund generates monthly income for investors by holding Bitcoin-related ETFs and selling call options, currently offering a distribution yield of approximately 27%.Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that by acquiring NEOS, Goldman Sachs gains BTCI, effectively bypassing the need to build a similar product from scratch and "beating" BlackRock's previously launched Bitcoin yield ETF product, BITA.Goldman Sachs' deal is seen by the market as a new phase in Wall Street's crypto asset positioning. Industry insiders believe that Bitcoin spot ETFs represent the "first phase," while active management products based on Bitcoin, such as yield enhancement and options strategies, will become the focus of competition in the next phase.However, BTCI's high yield comes with risks. The product does not directly hold Bitcoin but instead generates returns by selling call options on Bitcoin-related ETFs, potentially sacrificing some upside when the market rallies. Analysts note that BTCI's net asset value has fallen approximately 43% over the past year, and part of its high distribution yield may come from return of capital.BlackRock has already launched a competing product, BITA, but its current scale is approximately $59 million, significantly lower than BTCI's roughly $1.1 billion in assets. The market is watching whether Goldman Sachs will maintain BTCI's existing structure after the acquisition is completed and further expand its competitive advantage in the Bitcoin yield product market. (Forbes)
此外，摩根士丹利还新增了 257 万股自家比特币信托（MSBT，价值约 4330 万美元），并首次建仓 Grayscale Solana Staking ETF（GSOL）及 Fidelity Solana Fund（FSOL）。与此同时，其 Circle（CRCL）持仓从约 146 万股大幅增至 832 万股，并增持多家比特币矿企股份。值得注意的是，摩根士丹利同期减持了约 55 万股 Coinbase（COIN），并完全清仓约 800 万股 Bitfarms（BITF）。
Odaily News: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, BlackRock transferred 249.16 BTC, worth approximately $15.65 million, and 301.76 ETH, worth approximately $566,000, from its IBIT and ETHA wallets to Coinbase Prime 3 hours ago.
Odaily News: Lookonchain posted on X platform, stating that on August 14, Bitcoin ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of 2,015 BTC, valued at $126 million; over 7 days, the net outflow reached 3,890 BTC, worth $243 million. Ethereum ETFs recorded a single-day net outflow of 277 ETH, valued at $517,100; over 7 days, the net inflow reached 22,900 ETH, worth $42.74 million.
Odaily News: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Grayscale has transferred 572.9 BTC and 44,320 LINK from its Bitcoin Trust and Chainlink Trust wallets to Coinbase Prime, valued at approximately $35.9 million and $391,000, respectively.
According to monitoring by on-chain analyst The Data Nerd (@OnchainDataNerd), the previously largest on-chain BTC short address, 0x66f8, has closed all 2136 BTC (approximately $136 million) short positions today, profiting $1.65 million. It subsequently quickly reversed positions, going long 200.82 BTC (approximately $12.74 million) with 40x leverage, completing a one-time shift from the most steadfast short to a leveraged long.