News linked to both this project and an event.
According to Auntie Ai, trader Jason60704294 ("Set 10 Big Goals First") has partially stopped out their BTC and ETH short positions, incurring a loss of $10.158 million, with the latest stop-loss price at $80,500.
Odaily News: "First, set 10 big goals" posted on Platform X, stating: "The market moved quickly today, so I didn't have time to open a post. Here's an update on my current short position.1. After the previous short trade ended, I re-entered a short position around 76,000. The logic is actually quite simple. When I opened a long position around 63,000, my initial target was 74,000. I believed the bull market had returned, and that assessment hasn't changed. However, I've always thought this round would be a volatile uptrend rather than moving straight to 84,000 or even 90,000 without any pullback. At least from a macro and market structure perspective, I haven't seen enough signals to support such a move yet. So I re-opened a short position around 76,000. After entering, the price quickly spiked to a high of 79,500. My planned stop-loss wasn't executed as expected (I set it in advance, but the system didn't fill it).2. I've already reduced the majority of my short position — not because I've changed my view, but to control risk first. If the price continues to surge from here, 82,000 or 84,000 are both possible, so there's no need to bet my entire position on being right. I'll keep watching with the remaining position. If the daily close holds above 80,500, then I'll admit I was wrong on this trade, close everything out, and take a break. If the price ultimately fails to hold and weakens again, I'll consider adding back the shorts I trimmed. As for chasing longs at this level, I have no interest — the risk-reward ratio has deteriorated.3. Finally, let me share my broader outlook. Last month when the price was around 63,000, I clearly stated that this was a阶段性底部. That assessment remains unchanged. I'm still bullish on BTC in the medium-to-long term, but being bullish medium-to-long term doesn't conflict with taking short positions locally. This short is betting on a pullback within an uptrend, not calling for a new bear market. If I'm wrong, I'll admit it above 80,500. If I'm right, I'll continue executing as planned. I still believe we'll see BTC at $100,000 by March next year."
According to Odaily, Bitcoin recently broke through a key price level, sparking discussions about whether a new bull market has begun. Some analysts believe that rapid gains, concentrated short covering, and technical breakouts are typical signals of a market bottom reversal, but others warn that the macroeconomic environment and capital inflows remain key factors in determining the sustainability of the trend.Mati Greenspan, founder of Quantum Economics, stated that Bitcoin's recent rally is very similar to historical bottoming phases, which are typically accompanied by short squeezes, sharp single-day gains, and breakouts above key technical resistance levels, followed by investors who missed the move re-entering the market. He believes that the probability of a significant Bitcoin pullback is currently decreasing, and market FOMO sentiment may further intensify.However, Jason Fernandes, co-founder of AdLunam, remains cautious. He noted that without sustained spot ETF inflows and clear signals of interest rate cuts, it is still too early to confirm the bear market is over, and Bitcoin may lose upward momentum near resistance levels.Analysts point out that the current rally is driven by multiple factors, including the U.S. Treasury's expansion of its bond buyback program, declining long-term yields, and improved sentiment toward risk assets. Previously, Bitcoin had been consolidating in the $64,000 to $66,000 range, accumulating significant short positions in the market. The breakout triggered cascading liquidations in the derivatives market, accelerating the price surge.Tobias Bauer, co-founder of TBV, noted that Bitcoin futures trading volume on Binance reached $1.26 billion within a minute—361 times the normal level—while funding rates rose to exchange limits, indicating crowded leveraged longs in the market and rising costs for chasing the rally. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News比特币 rose to its highest level since May before the US market opened on Friday, briefly touching $79,400 during trading before hovering around $78,000, just one step away from the key resistance level of $80,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $606 million on Thursday, the highest level since May 1, boosting market risk appetite.James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, stated that this rally is primarily driven by macroeconomic factors rather than factors within the crypto market itself, noting that Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to changes in liquidity expectations and real yields. Previously, US inflation data came in below expectations, employment data weakened, and the US Treasury announced measures to push down long-term Treasury yields, all of which drove risk assets higher.Butterfill pointed out that $80,000 is an important demarcation line for Bitcoin at present. To form an effective breakout, the market needs further confirmation that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is shifting toward easing, with related signals potentially released at next week's Jackson Hole symposium.However, he also cautioned that if inflation remains persistently high or the dollar weakens, the Fed may be forced to adopt a more cautious policy. Additionally, the scale of accumulation by large holders remains relatively limited, and the market still lacks strong confidence to support a sustained breakout. Going forward, US spot Bitcoin ETF fund flows and macroeconomic data performance will serve as key indicators for judging the sustainability of the trend. (CoinDesk)
According to analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin's apparent demand continues to rise, currently exceeding 25,000 BTC and marking a new high for 2026. He believes that the current upward market momentum is supported by genuine spot demand, indicating that buyer demand exceeds new network supply, which reflects a relatively healthy market condition. However, relevant indicators still require continuous monitoring to confirm whether this trend is sustainable.
QCP reported that Bitcoin's rise is linked to declining US long-term Treasury yields and a weakening US dollar, following the US Treasury's announcement to expand the scale of its long-term Treasury liquidity support repurchase agreements starting September 9. Markets will now focus on the US July PCE data on August 26, the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium from August 27 to 29, and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on September 15–16. QCP believes that the key factor for the current cryptocurrency market is whether spot demand can sustain itself following initial position adjustments, particularly amid the backdrop of rising leverage.
CryptoQuant analyst BorisD stated that the primary driver behind Bitcoin's recent rally is not spot buying pressure, but rather passive buying triggered by the concentrated liquidation of short positions on Binance Futures. Data indicates that Binance's short squeeze metric reached 6.94 this week, exceeding the 5.38 recorded in November 2024 and marking the highest level since then. Should sustained spot demand fail to follow, the futures-driven rebound remains vulnerable to corrections once its momentum wanes.
According to The Block, South Korea's largest cryptocurrency exchange Upbit saw a 273% surge in trading volume over the past 24 hours, reaching approximately $1.84 billion and marking its highest single-day level since mid-March. XRP was the most traded cryptocurrency on the platform, with approximately $419 million in volume, followed by Bitcoin, USDT, and Ethereum.
According to disclosures from Ai Yi, assuming no changes to open positions, the whale “First Set Ten Big Goals” currently faces an estimated combined unrealized loss of approximately $10.08 million across its BTC and ETH short positions. Specifically, the 5x leveraged BTC short has a size of 2,449.968 BTC, a position value of approximately $183 million, an entry price of $74,746.10, and an unrealized loss of about $8.73 million; the 7x leveraged ETH short has a size of 15,000 ETH, a position value of approximately $35.21 million, an entry price of $2,347.89, and an unrealized loss of roughly $1.35 million.
Odaily News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, a mysterious whale has deposited another 3,000 BTC, worth $226 million, into Binance over the past 2 hours. Since July 19, this whale has deposited a total of 12,513.5 BTC, worth $850 million, into Binance.
According to Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETF net inflows reached $606.3 million yesterday, with BlackRock's $IBIT leading the day at $503.0 million, followed by Fidelity's $FBTC at $64.74 million, Bitwise's $BITB at $26.39 million, ARK's $ARKB at $12.15 million, and Invesco's $BTCO at $3.61 million. VanEck's $HODL posted a slight net outflow of $3.59 million, while inflows for all other products remained zero for the day.
Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, "Set 10 Big Goals First" has added another 1,000 BTC to its position, bringing the total position to $218 million, with a current floating loss of $877,000. The entity holds a 5x short position of 2,449.968 BTC, valued at $183 million, with an entry price of $74,746.1; it also holds a 7x short position of 15,000 ETH, valued at $35.21 million, with an entry price of $2,347.89.
Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, "Set 10 Big Goals First" has grown its total position to $143 million, currently holding an unrealized loss of $309,000. Among them, the BTC 5x leveraged short position amounts to 1,449.968 BTC with an opening price of $74,570.99; the ETH 7x leveraged short position amounts to 15,000 ETH with an opening price of $2,347.89.
Odaily News Trader Murphy (@Murphychen888) posted on X, stating that despite multiple bearish factors such as the U.S. stock market pullback, Strategy selling BTC, and rebounding oil prices, BTC has still not shown a significant decline, which may be related to its chip structure. Data shows that over 2 million BTC changed hands in the $62,000-$64,000 range, bringing the cost basis of a large number of holders closer together and reducing their willingness to sell in the short term.Murphy noted that BTC subsequently experienced nearly two months of low-volatility consolidation before rapidly rising from $64,000 to $75,000 within 3 days, but the chips near $63,000 did not decrease significantly, while chips in the $68,000-$74,000 range remained relatively sparse, indicating that holders in the previous concentration zone did not take profits on a large scale. Murphy expects that as the price continues to rise, the chips may gradually loosen and form a new chip density zone; if a new effective support is not formed, BTC may again test the support strength of the $62,000-$63,000 chip density zone.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), prominent trader @Jason60704294 ("Set 10 major targets first") has once again opened a 5x leveraged short position on 83.866 BTC at $74,553.27, valued at approximately $6.25 million, after recently completing a round of long and short trading. Following their customary approach, this serves as the opening position, with the potential to scale up the position later.
According to on-chain analyst Auntie Ai (@ai_9684xtpa), a whale who initiated a rolling short of $85.58 million worth of BTC on August 19 continues to face pressure. The trader (Trader-DoshiAtoll) saw 240 BTC liquidated yesterday, incurring a loss of $1.112 million; today, they voluntarily reduced their position by another 350 BTC, realizing a loss of $2.581 million and bringing the margin utilization rate down to 101%. Approximately half of the original 40x short position remains open (610.01 BTC), valued at around $45.58 million, carrying an unrealized loss of $4.783 million.
Odaily News: On-chain analyst Ember stated on the X platform that Strategy has now broken even.Previously reported, Strategy's average cost for its Bitcoin position was $75,385.
Odaily News: On-chain analyst EmberCN posted on X, stating that if BTC rises another $800, Strategy will break even, as its cost price is $75,385. Strategy's current floating loss has dropped from $9.904 billion a few days ago to $685 million, a reduction of $9.219 billion. Bitmine's ETH floating loss has dropped from $8.513 billion a few days ago to $5.879 billion, a reduction of $2.634 billion.
Odaily News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, the Matrixport-linked whale (@BITofficial_EN) holds long positions in 120,000 ETH and 500 BTC, valued at $187 million and $29.33 million respectively. After holding for 4 months, this long position has turned from a floating loss of $92.5 million into a floating profit of $11.5 million.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), on-chain address 0x004E attempted to short BTC and ETH eight consecutive times over the past two days, with each attempt resulting in liquidation, accumulating losses of approximately $3.28 million. Previously, this address opened short positions worth roughly $81.6 million, including 20,000 ETH (approx. $45.69 million) and 500 BTC (approx. $35.93 million), with liquidation prices set at $2,327.03 for ETH and $72,755.85 for BTC. All of the aforementioned short positions have now been completely forcibly liquidated.