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CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin dropped from $85,500 to $83,900 before making a slight recovery to $84,100. This decline was accompanied by dominance from active sell orders and the forced liquidation of long positions. Data shows that the Taker Order Pressure Oscillator fell to -4.9 before rebounding to -3.1, indicating easing active sell-side pressure while bearish dominance persisted. Meanwhile, the Liquidation Pressure Oscillator declined from -11 to -78, reflecting that long liquidations were in control. The analysis notes that if Bitcoin's price remains below $83,900 and both indicators stay significantly negative, the asset could face more persistent selling pressure risk.
Odaily News: Jan van Eck stated that approving more nuclear power projects could simultaneously boost AI and Bitcoin: on one hand by enhancing AI value, and on the other by easing Bitcoin selling pressure through providing cheaper energy to miners. Bipartisan support for nuclear energy in the U.S. is strong, with the goal of quadrupling nuclear power output within 25 years, as evidenced by the accelerated restart of the Three Mile Island nuclear reactor. Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, stated that miners hold long-term power contracts and infrastructure, possessing undervalued optionality value; if miners shift toward AI contract revenue, their pressure to sell Bitcoin will correspondingly decrease.
According to Santiment data, Bitcoin has just recorded its largest single-day net outflow from exchanges in nearly seven months. On Monday, a net 24,073 BTC flowed out of exchanges, marking the largest single-day outflow since March 1, with exchange-held BTC supply now down to approximately 6.50% of the total supply.
According to Arkham monitoring data, whale mtAAVEbank.ETH sold over 138,000 LINK worth $1.9 million six hours ago, while BTC had not yet dropped below $84,000. Analysis suggests the whale likely sold LINK to fund its 8x leveraged CRCL position on Hyperliquid, which recorded an unrealized loss of over $1.25 million at the time. The wallet currently retains over $21 million in digital assets, primarily stablecoins, with more than 10% of the funds borrowed from Aave.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ember Monitoring, 6 hours ago, a U.S. government address transferred out 833.6 BTC and 40,300 BNB, worth $103 million. Among them, 833.6 BTC has entered Coinbase Prime; 40,300 BNB, after multiple transfers, is currently located at address 0xBE7...81E. The U.S. government address currently still holds assets worth $28 billion, primarily consisting of 324,000 BTC, valued at $27.7 billion.
Odaily News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X that Winklevoss has filed for a Zcash ETF, exactly 13 years after abandoning its first spot Bitcoin ETF application.
Odaily News: According to Bitcoin News monitoring, the U.S. government transferred $21 million worth of Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime.
According to Lookonchain, U.S. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs both recorded net outflows for the day. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of 1,059 BTC, valued at approximately $91.72 million. Among them, BlackRock IBIT recorded a net inflow of 815 BTC, Fidelity FBTC saw a net outflow of 870 BTC, and ARK 21Shares ARKB recorded a net outflow of 994 BTC. Over the past 7 days, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a cumulative net inflow of 1,074 BTC, valued at approximately $93 million. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of 21,432 ETH, valued at approximately $58.29 million. Among them, BlackRock ETHA recorded a net outflow of 11,765 ETH, and Fidelity FETH saw a net outflow of 6,968 ETH. Over the past 7 days, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a cumulative net outflow of 79,193 ETH, valued at approximately $215 million.
According to CoinDesk, volatility in the U.S. Treasury market continues to rise, while Bitcoin and U.S. stock market volatility remain at year-to-date lows. Market analysts warn that turmoil in the bond market may gradually spill over into risk assets.
According to Cointelegraph, CryptoQuant data shows that during the week ending September 27, Binance's Bitcoin net outflow reached 23,137 BTC, marking the highest level since June 2023. Since September 20, Binance's Bitcoin reserves have cumulatively decreased by nearly 40,000 BTC.
Odaily News: According to monitoring by analyst Ali, Bitcoin has established a major support zone between $83,300 and $84,600. URPD data shows that 1.59 million BTC was traded within this range, providing buyers with a defensible level. Since October 1, Bitcoin whale cohorts have accumulated 14,335 BTC, worth approximately $1.22 billion. alicharts believes that if Bitcoin holds the support level and breaks above $86,700, there will be no major selling pressure until around $105,000.
Odaily report: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted on X with a chart, stating that compared to the end of August, the Bitcoin market trend has shown a clear shift, which can be observed from changes in the Capital Cost Basis. This metric calculates a weighted realized price based on transaction volume (USD), giving higher weight to BTC purchased at higher prices, thereby more accurately reflecting the actual cost of market capital.Data shows that at the end of August, BTC was still struggling near this key level, but Bitcoin has now closed above the capital cost basis of approximately $80,400 for several consecutive weeks. This means that most of the capital invested in the market is now in slight profit. As investor positions gradually turn profitable, market stability is strengthening by the day, which is a positive signal for the current BTC consolidation phase.
Odaily News - Crypto analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs) have reduced their holdings for the 7th consecutive week, but this has not yet hindered BTC price appreciation, as the market is still absorbing the supply released by long-term holders.Data shows that the long-term holder position change indicator remained positive from February to early August this year, with long-term holders accumulating approximately 1.2 million BTC in May. The indicator turned negative on August 17 and has been in a state of reduction for 7 consecutive weeks. As of September 28, the long-term holder position change showed a decrease of 73,400 BTC, expanding from a decrease of 1,100 BTC a week earlier.Axel Adler noted that compared to the approximately 1.07 million BTC reduced by long-term holders in November 2025, the current scale of reduction remains relatively limited. If long-term holders' reductions reach hundreds of thousands of BTC again in the future while BTC price stops rising, it may signal that the market's capacity to absorb supply is declining.Additionally, the long-term holder SOPR indicator has now been above 1 for the second consecutive week, indicating that long-term holders are taking profits. On September 21, the indicator rose to 1.24, the highest level since January this year; as of September 28, LTH SOPR stood at 1.18, meaning that BTC being moved has realized approximately 18% in realized profit relative to its cost basis. Current data shows that long-term holders are gradually exiting with profits as BTC price rises, while new demand is still able to absorb the supply released by the market.
Odaily News: Polymarket has filed a lawsuit in a Dutch court seeking to overturn a ban imposed by the Dutch gambling regulator on its prediction market. The company argues that its event contracts are derivatives and should be regulated by the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM), rather than the Dutch Gaming Authority (KSA).On January 20, the KSA ordered Polymarket to cease providing services to Dutch users within four weeks or face weekly fines of €420,000, up to a maximum of €840,000. The KSA stated that inspectors had registered an account through a Dutch IP address, topped up €10 using a Dutch bank account, and purchased $1 worth of "Yes" shares in the "Next Dutch Prime Minister" market.Polymarket said it implemented IP blocking on February 18, but the KSA determined that the measure came one day after the deadline and decided to impose a €420,000 fine. On June 23, the KSA dismissed Polymarket's objection, noting that Dutch law prohibits betting on non-sporting events and that licensed operators are also not permitted to accept cryptocurrency payments. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News: Bitcoin is facing selling pressure, marking its third rejection near $87,000 since September 23. FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich noted that since early last week, BTC has formed a pattern of "rising local lows," but bulls have yet to gain sufficient upward momentum. The price is now approaching the apex of a triangle formed by horizontal resistance and an ascending support line. A breakout from this pattern could bring greater volatility to the market.The total crypto market capitalization has fallen back to approximately $2.93 trillion. Meanwhile, U.S. equities have shown relative strength, with the Nasdaq 100 hitting a record closing high and the S&P 500 less than 0.5% away from its all-time high. However, U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 10-year yield rising to 5.32%, near its highest level since 2002.Market observers believe that for BTC to break through $87,000, sufficient buying pressure is needed to absorb the persistent selling near that level. Once it holds above this threshold, it could open further upside toward its near 8-month high. (CoinDesk)
Odaily Report: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted on X platform that the Bitcoin Bull Score Index remains in a clearly bullish zone, currently at 80/100, with multiple indicators continuing to support BTC's upward momentum.Darkfost noted that the only relatively lagging factor at present is spot demand. As previously observed, spot trading volume in the market remains low, so there is not yet any notable spot buying demand at this stage. He believes that spot demand is the key missing factor in the current BTC market trend, and this component is often the last piece to fall into place.
According to Odaily, glassnode posted on X that the trend of BTC whales making net deposits of Bitcoin to exchanges has stopped. This trend lasted for more than three months since the summer, twice as long as other similar trends since 2023, and ended in late August, after which fund flows have continued to be negative.
On-chain analyst Ember (@EmberCN) reported that two major crypto treasury companies completed another round of acquisitions last week: Bitcoin treasury company Strategy purchased 334 BTC at an average price of $85,839 (approximately $28.67 million), bringing its cumulative holdings to 848,000 BTC (approximately $73.03 billion). With an average purchase price of $75,441, its current unrealized gains stand at approximately $9.059 billion (+14.16%). Ethereum treasury company Bitmine acquired 15,112 ETH at an average price of approximately $2,687 (around $40.6 million), raising its total holdings to 6,016,414 ETH (approximately $16.34 billion). At an average purchase price of $3,336, its current unrealized losses amount to approximately $3.73 billion (-18.58%).
Odaily News: On-chain detective ZachXBT posted on X that he once posed as a client to infiltrate a criminal group suspected of laundering money for the North Korea-backed hacker organization Lazarus Group, and assisted in freezing funds related to the 2025 Bybit attack.ZachXBT stated that after Bybit suffered a $1.5 billion attack in February 2025, he discovered that more than 15 accounts in public Telegram and Discord groups were seeking help processing transactions related to the stolen funds. He subsequently contacted one of the Telegram users using the alias "Jimmy Green" and built trust through multiple transactions. According to his disclosure, on March 6, 2025, he transferred $3.497 million in USDC to an Ethereum address for a USDC-to-TRON-chain USDT exchange transaction with the counterparty. The source of gas funds for that address can be traced back to the Bybit attack funds and was publicly flagged as a Bybit attack blacklisted address.ZachXBT said that in subsequent communications, the counterparty revealed that their team had been involved in processing the stolen Bybit funds and disclosed in advance that the funds would be moved across chains including Solana. By matching transaction timing, amounts, and on-chain data, he identified a wallet cluster involving more than $12 million in Bybit attack funds, with fund paths spanning multiple networks including BTC→ETH→SOL→TRON. Approximately 442,000 USDT was frozen by Tether, and the group also attempted to launder money through Uniswap liquidity pools and low-liquidity tokens. Additionally, the counterparty disclosed having helped other clients process approximately $3 million in fraudulent proceeds, and ZachXBT traced the related funds to wallets associated with the sanctioned Huione Guarantee.ZachXBT revealed that in this investigation, he initially invested $3.497 million and bore a loss risk of approximately 5% per transaction. The intelligence ultimately obtained was provided to relevant investigative agencies and law enforcement authorities at the earliest opportunity. Since 2022, he has assisted in freezing over $75 million in funds related to North Korea-linked incidents.
Renowned trader Ansem posted a question to the community: "Aside from USD and BTC, how many tokens can you name that have still hit all-time highs after surviving a full bull-bear cycle?" Crypto KOL @0xaporia compiled findings showing that, excluding BTC, only 8 tokens meet the criteria of "ranked in the top 100 by market cap in 2021 and hit new all-time highs in 2025." Excluding wrapped assets, these include only BNB, XRP, TRX, LEO, and OKB.