News linked to both this project and an event.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated Bitcoin has recently attempted to breach the $82,000 level three times, but each time it has faced a pullback. During each rebound, the STH-SOPR indicator rose to around 1.0 before weakening again, indicating that short-term holders are taking advantage of the uptrend to continuously exit with profits, rather than continuing to hold positions. Currently, $82,000 is not only a key technical resistance level but also an important selling pressure zone from a market behavior perspective, having formed a strong supply zone.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin has recently attempted to break above the $82,000 level three times—but each time failed and retreated. Data shows that during each rally, the STH-SOPR indicator rose to around 1.0 before weakening again, indicating that short-term holders are consistently taking profits amid upward price movements rather than holding onto their positions. Axel Adler notes that $82,000 is not only a key technical resistance level but also a significant zone of selling pressure from a market-behavior perspective. Currently, this level coincides with Bitcoin’s 200-day simple moving average (200D SMA). Until the 7-day SMA of STH-SOPR sustains above 1.0 for several consecutive days—and until Bitcoin’s daily closing price decisively breaks above its 200-day SMA—the ongoing rally may still be viewed as a selling opportunity. On the macro front, escalating tensions in the Middle East continue to dampen market risk appetite. Fueled by the Iran conflict, rising oil prices, and expectations of “higher-for-longer” interest rates, U.S. equities closed lower across the board on Friday. WTI crude oil futures surged over 4%, while the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbed to approximately 4.6%, hitting a year-to-date high.
Odaily Odaily News: Analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted on X platform, stating that Bitcoin has been rejected at $82,000 again, marking the third failure at this level. The short-term holder SOPR indicator has still failed to stay above 1.0, indicating that short-term holders continue to sell during each rally. Currently, crude oil is near $106, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped 537 points, and interest rates face the risk of remaining elevated for a prolonged period.
Intesa Sanpaolo, Italy's largest bank, increased its crypto asset-related holdings from approximately $100 million at the end of 2025 to about $235 million in the first quarter of 2026.Specifically, the bank increased its holdings in the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF and BlackRock's IBIT, and allocated to Ethereum assets for the first time through BlackRock's iShares Staked Ethereum Trust, while also adding approximately $26 million in Grayscale XRP Trust ETF holdings.Furthermore, Intesa also established its first long call option position in IBIT and added 165,600 shares of BitGo stock, while liquidating its Bitmine-related positions. Its Solana-related allocations were significantly reduced, with holdings in the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF dropping from 266,300 shares to 2,817 shares.Reports indicate that Intesa has previously confirmed that these crypto assets are primarily used for proprietary trading. Last month, Ripple also announced that it would provide digital asset custody services for the bank. (Cointelegraph)
According to on-chain analyst Yujin’s monitoring, a whale that accumulated 807 BTC (worth $54.59 million) at a bottom price of $67,646 in February chose to take profits one hour ago—transferring 500 BTC (worth $39.04 million) to Binance.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale opened a 25x leveraged short position on ETH, amounting to 23,151 ETH worth $50.55 million; and also opened a 20x leveraged long position on BTC, amounting to 323.72 BTC worth $25.27 million. The ETH liquidation price is $2,288.33, and the BTC liquidation price is $70,325.36.
Market analyst Ali posted on X, stating that Bitcoin is currently showing signs of “overheating.” Data shows that traders’ average realized profit margin has risen to 17%, indicating that a large number of investors are now sitting on substantial profits, thereby increasing the potential pressure to take profits. A similar situation last occurred in March 2022, when Bitcoin—while testing resistance at its 200-day moving average—also saw its average realized profit margin reach 17%; shortly thereafter, the market formed a short-term top and re-entered a downtrend. This historical signal has now re-emerged, warranting heightened market vigilance.
several sovereign wealth funds, universities, and traditional financial institutions have recently disclosed their 13F holdings for the first quarter of 2026.Among them, Mubadala, the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund, increased its holdings in the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) from 12.7023 million shares to 14.7219 million shares. The newly added holdings are valued at over $90 million, bringing the total value of its position to nearly $660 million. Meanwhile, its subsidiary, the Abu Dhabi Investment Council (ADIC), maintained its IBIT position unchanged at 8.2187 million shares, worth approximately $315.8 million.Regarding university funds, Harvard University's endowment fund held 3.0446 million shares of IBIT, valued at around $117 million, a reduction of about 43% compared to the end of 2025. Additionally, Harvard completely liquidated its position in the BlackRock Ethereum spot ETF, which was established last quarter and valued at approximately $86.8 million.Furthermore, Dartmouth College maintained its IBIT holdings unchanged and disclosed for the first time holding approximately 304,800 shares of the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF, valued at around $3.67 million, making it one of the first university endowment funds to publicly allocate to a Solana-related ETF.On the traditional financial institution side, institutions such as the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) and Barclays continued to increase or adjust their IBIT-related spot and options positions, while Hong Kong-based Laurore reduced its IBIT holdings from 8.7863 million shares to 6.8463 million shares. (The Block)
According to The Block, several sovereign wealth funds, university endowments, and traditional banks disclosed their 13F holdings for Q1 2026: • Mubadala, Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund, increased its position in the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) from 12.7 million shares to 14.72 million shares—adding over $90 million—bringing its total holding value to approximately $566 million (a 16% increase quarter-on-quarter). Its subsidiary, the Abu Dhabi Investment Council (ADIC), maintained its IBIT position unchanged at 8.21 million shares, valued at approximately $316 million. • University endowments’ crypto ETF holdings remained largely stable. • Traditional financial institutions actively rebalanced their positions: Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) increased its spot IBIT holdings while hedging with put/call options; Scotiabank sold off Trump-related Bitcoin stocks and added 214,000 IBIT shares; Barclays held approximately 4.46 million shares of spot IBIT and deployed a large options position; Hong Kong–based Laurore reduced its IBIT holdings from 8.78 million shares to 6.85 million shares.
According to CoinDesk, blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence reported that the wallet holdings of Bhutan’s sovereign wealth fund, Druk Holding and Investments (DHI), have sharply declined—from approximately 13,000 BTC in October 2024 to roughly 3,100 BTC as of now. Since mid-2025, over $1 billion worth of Bitcoin has flowed out of the wallet, with funds directed to multiple exchanges and trading firms—including wallets interacting with Galaxy Digital and OKX. In response, Ujjwal Deep Dahal, CEO of DHI, stated, “I don’t recall the last time we sold Bitcoin,” officially denying any Bitcoin sales. However, DHI did not clarify the specific wallet activity nor confirm its current Bitcoin holdings.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $290.45 million. Specifically, BlackRock’s IBIT saw a single-day outflow of $136.28 million; Grayscale’s GBTC, $43.64 million; Ark’s ARKB, $52.48 million; and Fidelity’s FBTC, $39.59 million. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley, Invesco, VanEck, and WisdomTree all reported zero net flows for the day.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Aunt (@ai_9684xtpa), a “die-hard bullish trader” has been long 80,000 ETH since April 30 from two addresses, with an average entry price of approximately $2,265 per ETH, resulting in a position value of $186 million—without any reduction in exposure throughout this period. As BTC dropped below $80,000, this position re-entered negative territory, currently showing a floating loss of about $2.9 million; at the market peak on May 11, however, the position had achieved a floating profit exceeding $8 million.
Bitcoin slumped shortly after the US stock market opened, briefly breaking below the $79,000 mark, with a daily decline of approximately 3%, trading near its lowest level since May. Market consensus suggests this pullback is closely linked to the sell-off in risk assets triggered by a surge in US Treasury yields.Data shows that the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose above 4.55%, reaching its highest level in nearly a year, fueling concerns over tightening liquidity and a reassessment of risk assets. Analysts point out that this level previously triggered adjustments in US stocks and policy expectations last year, and is now once again serving as a key pressure signal.Trading firm The Kobeissi Letter stated that the "panic-driven rally" in the bond market is intensifying, with expectations for prolonged high interest rates growing. The market has begun pricing in the possibility of further rate hikes in the future, quickly cooling the previous "euphoria" in risk assets.From a technical perspective, analysts believe that after encountering multiple rejections from resistance above $82,000, Bitcoin's support structure is weakening. In the short term, it may retest the $75,000–$77,000 range, as the market enters a phase of range-bound trading and directional selection. (Cointelegraph)
According to Odaily, Bitcoin's price is hovering around $80,350, up a slight 0.8% in the short term, facing sustained pressure after multiple failed attempts to break through the $82,000 resistance level. This zone is considered a confluence of resistance from the ETF cost basis, the 200-day moving average, and the CME gap fill area.Although the US CLARITY Act has passed the Senate Banking Committee, bringing positive expectations for crypto regulation, institutional capital continues to withdraw. Data shows that the 7-day average net outflow from US spot Bitcoin ETFs has fallen to -$88 million per day, the largest outflow scale since mid-February. Analysts suggest this selling pressure is more driven by "profit-taking" than panic selling.On the macro front, rising US Treasury yields are a core source of pressure. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has climbed to approximately 4.52%, a 10-month high. Meanwhile, the April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, the highest level in three years, further pushing back market expectations for a Fed rate cut. Analysts point out that geopolitical conflicts are driving up energy prices, exacerbating inflationary pressures, thereby weakening the appeal of risk assets.From an institutional perspective, some analysts believe the current ETF outflows represent portfolio rebalancing rather than a structural retreat. The options market indicates significant resistance for Bitcoin in the $82,000-$84,000 range, while $77,000 stands as a key support level. If the price breaks below this zone without a cooling of leverage, the market could enter a deleveraging phase, increasing the risk of a correction. (Decrypt)
CoinShares tweeted that the cryptocurrency market saw a net outflow of $920 million this week. In the short term, macroeconomic headwinds continue to dominate: PPI data came in higher than expected, U.S.-Iran tensions pushed oil prices higher, and the Federal Reserve’s room for rate cuts is constrained—Bitcoin fell 1.4% this week. Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee passed the Clarity Act by a vote of 15–9, bringing long-term regulatory direction into sharper focus. CoinShares noted that the market is currently caught in a tug-of-war between short-term macro pressures and long-term regulatory tailwinds.
According to on-chain analyst PeckShield (@PeckShieldAlert), THORChain has been hacked, resulting in losses of approximately $10 million in crypto assets, including 36.75 BTC (around $3 million) and roughly $7 million in assets from BNB Chain, Ethereum, and Base.
According to analyst [email protected] (@BTC__options), the options expiry data for May 15 is as follows: For BTC, 25,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.59, a maximum pain point at $80,000, and a notional value of $2 billion. For ETH, 274,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.4, a maximum pain point at $2,300, and a notional value of $620 million. This week, Bitcoin traded sideways near $80,000, exhibiting clear technical support; market attention remained low, with only 6% of BTC options expiring, versus 11% for ETH. BTC’s key-term implied volatility (IV) stood at approximately 35%, while ETH’s was around 50%. Skew has fluctuated minimally over the past month, reflecting neutral directional sentiment, and options activity remains extremely low—approximately 20% of open interest is expected to remain by end-May and roughly 30% by end-June. Overall, Bitcoin performed relatively well in both price and market热度 during Q2 2024, supported by favorable legal, regulatory, and macroeconomic developments. However, market热度 still falls short of expectations. Against this long-term bullish backdrop, Bitcoin remains the primary trading instrument, and positioning in medium-to-long-dated options is widely viewed as a reasonable strategy.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), the whale address 0x66f—while holding a BTC position—has opened a 5x-leveraged long position in HYPE and placed an order to increase its position to 300,000 HYPE tokens, valued at approximately $14 million based on current data. Its BTC position remains open, with unrealized profits exceeding $500,000.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s total net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs amounted to $131.32 million. Specifically: BlackRock’s IBIT recorded a net inflow of $144.11 million; Fidelity’s FBTC, $3.55 million; Bitwise’s BITB, $17.7 million; Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, $6.77 million; Ark’s ARKB, a net outflow of $9.46 million; Invesco’s BTCO, a net outflow of $5.67 million; Franklin’s EZBC, a net outflow of $14.13 million; VanEck’s HODL, a net inflow of $7.49 million; Grayscale’s GBTC, a net outflow of $31.64 million; Grayscale’s Mini Bitcoin ETF, a net inflow of $12.6 million; Valkyrie’s BRRR and WisdomTree’s BTCW saw no inflows or outflows.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), Garrett Jin (a Bitcoin OG ranked #10/#11) purchased 71,066 BNB from Binance, worth approximately $48.22 million. Onchain Lens data shows that within the past two weeks, Garrett Jin has deposited 577,896 ETH into Binance, valued at approximately $1.35 billion.