News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Analyst “AntiFragile” stated on Platform X that Bitcoin’s (BTC) order book currently shows strong buyer support, with a significant number of patient buy orders concentrated in the range 2%-20% below the current price.AntiFragile noted that these buy orders began appearing as early as early June, representing passive buying demand positioned in advance. If BTC’s price pulls back into these zones, these orders are expected to act as a buffer, reducing market volatility. The current order book structure indicates that some investors are waiting for lower entry prices rather than buying into the uptrend. These long-standing orders may serve as potential support in the event of short-term market corrections.
Odaily News On-chain analytics firm Glassnode stated that the yield on Bitcoin's three-month futures basis has remained below the yield on the U.S. two-year Treasury note since February this year, a trend that has now persisted for several months.Glassnode pointed out that there has only been one similar instance in history where the duration of this condition came close to the current one, namely the period from August 2022 to January 2023, which ultimately corresponded to the low point of the previous market cycle.The firm stated that the prolonged slump in the futures basis not only reflects weak market demand for leverage but also directly impacts the overall depth and trading volume of the market.Analysts believe that the futures basis is typically used to gauge market risk appetite and demand for arbitrage funds. When the basis yield falls below the risk-free rate, it implies that investors are earning insufficient additional returns for the risk taken by holding Bitcoin futures, which may lead to reduced capital inflows into the futures market, thereby affecting liquidity and trading activity.
Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas commented on the Coldcard wallet security incident, questioning whether a company with only about 5 employees is suitable to undertake such critical Bitcoin storage responsibilities. He stated that the number of employees behind Coldcard "seems unbelievably low," asking whether people would be willing to store their life savings in a bank with only 5 employees headquartered in Canada. In the crypto industry, this might be viewed as a feature, but from a traditional finance perspective, it becomes a clear risk signal. Balchunas further stated that, in comparison, institutions with larger teams such as Coinbase and Ledger may hold advantages in security investment and operational capabilities, even if users need to bear higher transaction costs. Bitcoin ETFs offer another option: investors can obtain the security guarantees provided by large, professional, regulated financial institutions while also enjoying lower management fees.
Odaily News: Bitcoin price has come under renewed pressure, slipping to a two-week low amid late-July volatility, with market attention focused on whether it may extend declines toward the $62,000 zone. Analysts noted that during periods of sharp fluctuations in South Korean equities, trading activity in the crypto market increased noticeably, signaling a growing correlation between cryptocurrency liquidity, regional stock positioning adjustments, and overall sentiment in the tech sector.Despite Bitcoin's relatively strong performance in July, traders are warning that August could see a repeat of the bear-market dynamics seen in 2022. Data shows BTC/USD finished July trading up approximately 8.5%—its strongest July performance since 2022. Some traders anticipate the rebound could extend into August, and drawing parallels with the 2022 bear-market cycle, they suggest the market may go through a phase of recovery before establishing a longer-term bottom.
as the suspected hacking incident involving Coldcard wallets continues to unfold, Bitcoin small-value transfers have surged significantly, reaching their highest level since the FTX exchange collapse, reigniting market discussions on Bitcoin self-custody security.Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, disclosed data on X platform showing that the number of on-chain Bitcoin transfers below 1 BTC has risen to its highest level since November 2022, with approximately 39,600 BTC transferred in a single day—only about 300 BTC below the record of 39,900 BTC set on November 16, 2022, just days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He believes that users proactively taking action to address risks is a positive signal. Additionally, Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, noted that Bitcoin ETFs, backed by a mature regulatory framework and convenience, may offer some users a safer investment approach.However, industry insiders point out that the Coldcard incident more likely reflects issues with a single wallet provider or specific security processes, rather than indicating a failure of the entire Bitcoin self-custody system. This event once again highlights the importance of security awareness, risk diversification, and wallet usage habits in personal asset management.
Odaily News Crypto analyst Killa posted on X, stating that as BTC enters a new monthly cycle, a relatively clear bearish narrative has formed in the market. Therefore, the likelihood of an upward reaction at the start of the month is relatively high. The analyst noted that BTC is currently still in a consolidation range and is near the bear market low. Two possible scenarios may follow: first, a further decline breaking below $57,000 to complete the final pullback; second, an upward breakout starting this month, continuing the range-bound trend. Personally, the analyst leans toward BTC seeing an upward reaction of about 2%–4% at the start of the month, but does not rule out the possibility of continued downside afterward.
Galaxy Research stated in a post on X that the attack targeting wallet addresses generated with weak randomness by Coldcard is still ongoing. The team urges users to immediately migrate funds from affected Coldcard single-signature wallets to secure addresses.They stated that approximately 600 suspected attacker addresses have been submitted to federal investigators, industry compliance bodies, and cross-industry cybersecurity investigators. These addresses are believed to hold funds stolen from Coldcard wallets with weak randomness.The team also noted that victims have proactively shared wallet addresses and transaction hashes, helping researchers establish on-chain attack patterns and further identify more affected wallets and attack addresses. Currently, multiple parties within the Bitcoin and crypto industry are assisting in user asset protection and attack tracing efforts.Galaxy Research previously stated in a post on X that a third wave of attacks suspected to target Coldcard-generated addresses has emerged, with 207.7294 BTC already transferred out. According to on-chain tracking data, the Coldcard wallet attack incident has so far involved approximately 1,367.05 BTC, valued at approximately $88.6 million, affecting 4,585 addresses.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, Trump Media transferred 2,628 BTC to the Crypto.com exchange 6 hours ago. The company currently faces a total loss of up to $555 million on its Bitcoin holdings. Between July and August last year, Trump Media raised funds by selling company stock and convertible bonds, then purchased 11,542 BTC at a total cost of $1.368 billion, with an average price of $118,529 per BTC. Since the beginning of this year, the company has gradually sold 7,281 BTC for $545 million, at an average price of approximately $74,860 per BTC, realizing a loss of $318 million. It currently still holds 4,261 BTC, valued at $268 million, with an unrealized loss of $237 million.
According to monitoring by on-chain analysis firm Galaxy Research (@glxyresearch), the ColdCard wallet hacking incident has developed into a third wave, with an additional 207.73 BTC stolen. Currently, the three waves of attacks have cumulatively stolen 1,367.05 BTC (approximately $88.6 million), involving 4,585 addresses. On-chain data shows that the three waves of attacks exhibit highly similar characteristics: identical fund consolidation topology, identical P2WPKH target addresses, and mixed derivation paths. Each wave occurred approximately 27 hours apart, suggesting they were carried out by the same attacker, but there is currently no direct evidence to confirm this. Currently, all terminal addresses controlled by the hackers hold a total of 1,366.39 BTC (approximately $88.6 million), all of which are in an unspent state on-chain. Galaxy Research noted that the above data is based solely on Bitcoin block data and UTXO set analysis, and has not yet computationally verified whether the victim addresses have vulnerabilities due to low-entropy generation.
Analyst Murphy stated that Bitcoin's current chip concentration is similar to that before the 2022 FTX collapse, and a highly concentrated chip structure could amplify price volatility. Jiang Zhuoer believes that if the CLARITY Act fails to pass before Congress adjourns, Bitcoin may witness the final drop of the bear market.
Trader Killa noted that Bitcoin pulled back again after the FOMC, with $61,000 to $61,500 as the key support zone. If this range is broken, Bitcoin may further test the $54,000 to $56,000 zone.
Odaily News, Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor said at the company's Q2 earnings call that while the company has previously allocated nearly "100% of its funds to Bitcoin," it may adopt a combined strategy of holding both cash and BTC going forward. He stated, "Perhaps the best way to buy the most Bitcoin is not to buy the most Bitcoin immediately."TD Cowen and Benchmark both maintained their Buy ratings on Strategy following the Q2 earnings call. The two firms believe that the core goal of the company's current management has shifted toward bringing its STRC preferred stock price back to near par value, thereby restoring its ability to function as a financing tool.TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza said the most important takeaway from the call was management's strong focus on STRC. Company executives repeatedly emphasized that restoring STRC to par value is the core objective, and noted that despite recent price deviations in the security, institutional adoption continues to rise.Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer holds a similar view. He pointed out that Saylor and his team spent most of the 90-minute call focused on the same goal: restoring STRC to the $99–$100 range, making it once again the primary engine for the company to raise capital and purchase Bitcoin.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale just deposited 1,060 BTC, worth $67.52 million, into Binance.
Odaily News: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a Hyperliquid trader has a total of 360 liquidation records, with partial liquidations on BTC and SOL positions, amounting to a combined exposure of approximately $1.47 million. The realized losses are about $35,100, with a lifetime PnL loss of roughly $12.5 million.
Odaily News: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a newly created wallet has withdrawn 468.3 BTC from BitMEX, valued at approximately $29.88 million. This marks the first single withdrawal exceeding $10 million since BitMEX announced its closure.
Odaily News: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale first transferred 500 BTC to a newly created wallet, then deposited the full amount into Binance approximately 23 minutes later.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated that data shows Bitcoin is shifting from short-term speculators to long-term holders. The share of Short-Term Holders (STH) has dropped to 23%, the lowest level since the bottoming phase from 2022 to 2023; meanwhile, the share of Long-Term Holders (LTH) is approaching historical highs.
Odaily News [email protected] posted on the X platform that the options settlement data for July 31 shows that 149,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.28, the max pain point at $64,000, and a notional value of $9.6 billion; 435,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.63, the max pain point at $1,850, and a notional value of $830 million. Bitcoin fluctuated around $64,000 this week. As mentioned last week, the price range above $65,000 is a high-volume area formed during the early-year rally, and there is some resistance there.The U.S. stock market was quite volatile this week, but when U.S. stocks fell, funds did not flow into the crypto market, and the rebound did not drive the crypto market up either. Currently, capital inflows into crypto are limited, with trading volumes of some crypto-related U.S. stock products even surpassing many crypto assets, so conditions for an upward move are not in place. Looking at the main options data, 30% of options expired this week. On the call side, Gex is relatively dispersed, while on the put side, Gex is relatively concentrated. This month, BTC's PCR is only 0.26, with extremely low put open interest, while Ethereum's put open interest has remained relatively high.Overall IV has remained at a relatively low level for a quarter now. In Q3, we can observe rebounds when capital inflows occur. Crypto has been in an 8-month bear market, and trading attention in U.S. stocks has taken the lead. In the short term, some options can be sold, with the main trading focus placed on U.S. stocks.
据 Cointelegraph 报道，加拿大比特币硬件钱包制造商 Coinkite 警告 Coldcard Mk3 用户立即迁移资金，受影响固件版本为 2021 年 3 月发布的 4.0.1 至最终版本 5.0.3，Mk4、Q 及 Mk5 不受影响。与此同时，比特币安全专家正在调查一起涉及 594.48 枚 BTC（约 3830 万美元）的异常清仓事件，涉及 1324 个 UTXO 在三个区块内通过 500 笔交易被转移，所有地址均为单签名地址。
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday's Bitcoin spot ETF net inflow was $233.15 million, a significant increase compared to the previous day (July 29 net inflow of $32.1 million). Among them, BlackRock IBIT led with an inflow of $183.41 million, Bitwise BITB had an inflow of $20.74 million, Fidelity FBTC had an inflow of $15.5 million, Morgan Stanley MSBT had an inflow of $7.42 million, VanEck HODL and Grayscale Mini BTC each had an inflow of $2.29 million, Ark ARKB had an inflow of $1.5 million, and the net inflow for other products was zero for the day.