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analysts from CryptoQuant have pointed out that, based on a comprehensive review of multiple miner indicators, Bitcoin miners have not yet exhibited behavioral characteristics that "confirm a market bottom," and are currently in a phase of waiting and cautious adjustment. Meanwhile, the Miner Position Index (MPI) remains in negative territory, indicating that current selling intensity is below historical averages. Miners are not in a panic-selling phase but are engaging in "passive selling" primarily to maintain cash flow, suggesting that the probability of an extreme short-term decline is relatively limited. Additionally, the Puell Multiple remains below 1, further indicating that miner revenues are at historically weak levels, and overall profitability is under pressure. However, the strong accumulation behavior typically seen at cycle bottoms has not yet appeared.The analysis suggests that miners are currently in a "waiting phase," having neither triggered a capitulation-style sell-off nor entered an active accumulation cycle. This resembles a typical transitional state before a market bottom forms. Overall, while selling pressure from miners has eased, on-chain structures still show short-term supply pressure exists. Bitcoin is expected to continue its range-bound consolidation pattern, and market sentiment is likely to remain cautious in the near term.
Odaily reports, according to Lookonchain monitoring, "1011 Insider Whale" representative Garrett Jin has just deposited 30 million USDC into Hyperliquid.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, US Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of 942 BTC today, valued at $72.66 million, with a 7-day net outflow of 15,915 BTC, valued at $1.23 billion; Ethereum ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of 15,222 ETH, valued at $32.44 million, with a 7-day net outflow of 114,871 ETH, valued at $244.79 million; Solana ETFs recorded a single-day net inflow of 8,312 SOL, valued at $723,000, with a 7-day net inflow of 203,326 SOL, valued at $17.69 million.
According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Ai Yi, the 1011 whale, which experienced $230 million in liquidations, has deposited another 9 million USDC into Hyperliquid. Since yesterday, cumulative deposits have reached $19.01 million:1. Placed a buy order for HYPE: Plans to purchase $1.15 million worth of HYPE within the [$49.725 - $52.36] range (currently holds $2.48 million in spot).2. Long BTC: Currently holds 504.4 5x BTC long positions, valued at $38.95 million, with an unrealized loss of $85,000.
Odaily Bitcoin fell below $78,000 on Thursday, with growing concerns over the sustainability of any rebound. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net outflows for four consecutive trading days, while approximately $584 million in long liquidations earlier this week continues to suppress market risk appetite. Analysts suggest that until on-chain spot demand recovers, BTC will still struggle to firmly hold above $80,000 in the short term.The pressure on the Ethereum market is even more pronounced. The ETH spot ETF saw net outflows of $28.1 million on the day, marking eight consecutive trading days of withdrawals. Since May 7, ETH ETFs have seen cumulative outflows of approximately $504 million over nine trading days, the most severe sustained capital exodus since February this year.In the derivatives market, total crypto futures liquidation volume reached approximately $657 million this Monday, with long liquidations accounting for $584 million, the largest single-day long squeeze event since early February. The current Bitcoin open interest has fallen about 14% from its May 6 peak, but the overall leverage structure has not yet been fully reset.On-chain data also leans bearish. Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin's previous rebound to $82,000 briefly reclaimed the key level of $78,300, the "realized market average," but has since fallen back below it. Historical cycles suggest that BTC typically needs to consolidate in this range for weeks to months to confirm a structural shift between bull and bear markets.Additionally, Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin's spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has been negative for nine consecutive trading days, marking the longest net selling cycle since 2026. Meanwhile, BTC's hourly spot trading volume has declined about 40% compared to the same period in 2025. Analysis indicates that U.S. investors have been consistently distributing their holdings since Q4 2025, while Asian capital has shifted to accumulation.The options market is also signaling caution. The BTC short-term 25-delta skew has risen from 2.7% to 6.2%, indicating a significant increase in market demand for downside protection. A large gamma short position of approximately $2.5 billion is concentrated around the $75,000 strike price. Should BTC fall back to this area, hedging by market makers could further amplify volatility.In the altcoin market, the sector is largely following BTC, with Bitcoin's dominance remaining around 60%. However, Hyperliquid and Zcash have bucked the trend with double-digit gains, suggesting selective rotation by some capital. (The Block)
According to CoinDesk, approximately $6.25 billion worth of Bitcoin options contracts will expire on May 29, with the $75,000 strike price hosting the largest put position—valued at roughly $394 million—and the $80,000 strike price holding the largest call position—valued at approximately $532 million. The current maximum pain price stands at $75,000, about 3% below Bitcoin’s current price of $77,250. Data shows that a total of 80,535 contracts are set to expire, comprising 43,184 calls and 37,351 puts, yielding a Put/Call Ratio of 0.86—indicating the market remains moderately bullish overall. Notably, the Bitcoin call option expiring on May 29, 2026, with a $82,000 strike price emerged as Thursday’s most actively traded single options product, with around 1,600 contracts traded and a notional value of approximately $126 million—suggesting some traders are betting on an upside breakout for Bitcoin.
according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a smart money trader on Binance Futures is facing a floating loss of $1.975 million, ranking first on the 24-hour loss chart.Among them, the ZEC short position has a floating loss of $1.15 million, with an opening price of $410.66; the HYPE short position has a floating loss of $789,000, with an opening price of $42.49; the BTC short position has a floating loss of $158,000, with an opening price of $76,399; the ETH short position is showing a floating profit of $124,000, with an opening price of $2,232.28.
According to GlobeNewswire, cryptocurrency wallet provider Exodus Movement released its April operational data report. After selling over 1,000 BTC from its reserves in Q1 to fund the acquisition of a payment business, the company resumed accumulating BTC, ETH, and SOL in April. Its holdings of all three assets increased compared to the end of March, standing at 629 BTC, 1,872 ETH, and 19,234 SOL. Additionally, Exodus processed $347 million in transactions in April, while its monthly active users remained stable at 1.5 million—nearly unchanged from March.
according to monitoring by Specter Analyst, a high-net-worth investor holding significant assets on Kraken and Coinbase exchanges fell victim to an alleged personal intimidation attack, resulting in total losses of approximately $6.7 million across various assets.The attacker withdrew 1,554 ETH (approximately $3.3 million) and 10.5 BTC from the user's Kraken account. Simultaneously, the attacker also breached the user's Coinbase defenses, withdrawing 34.1 cbBTC. Subsequently, the attacker directly deposited over $5.3 million of the stolen funds into the privacy protocol Tornado Cash to obfuscate the transaction trail. (financefeeds)
Odaily reports, according to Lookonchain monitoring, the agent Garrett Jin (#BitcoinOG1011short) of the “1011 insider whale” has deposited 39.5 million USDC to Binance. Subsequently, through a new wallet 0x92ea, it withdrew 40 million USDC from Binance and deposited 10 million USDC into Hyperliquid.Subsequently, it opened a 504.4 BTC long position on Hyperliquid with 5x leverage, with a position value of approximately $59.11 million and a liquidation price of $62,626.49. Additionally, it purchased 42,524 HYPE, worth approximately $2.33 million.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, today US Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of 4,374 BTC, Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of 35,904 ETH, and Solana ETFs had a net inflow of 27,115 SOL.
According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin has declined approximately 40% from its all-time high in October 2025, yet long-term valuation models indicate substantial upside potential remains. Based on the “Bitcoin Decay Channel” measurement of long-term trends, Bitcoin’s conservative year-end price range has been revised upward to $90,000–$255,000, with the high-end scenario reaching as high as $255,000. This model fits a logarithmic decay trend to historical cycle highs and lows, showing that BTC prices at the peaks of the 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles all approached the upper channel boundary, while bear market bottoms fell near the lower boundary. Analyst Sminston stated that Bitcoin remains within a historic, long-term upward channel and noted that the price range for 2027 could further expand to $128,000–$308,000.
crypto research firm K33 stated that although Bitcoin has retested its 200-day moving average around $82,000 this month and subsequently fallen by about 6%, the low near $60,000 in February this year may still represent the maximum drawdown of this cycle. K33 Research Head Vetle Lunde pointed out that unlike the bear market rallies in 2014, 2018, and 2022, this market experienced a slow recovery lasting 189 days after breaking below the 200-day moving average. Furthermore, market leverage and risk appetite have not been quickly rebuilt. Therefore, the current trend resembles a moderate correction rather than a precursor to another sharp decline.K33 also noted that institutional fund flows still reflect a defensive sentiment. The latest 13F filings show that institutional investors reduced their holdings by a total of approximately 26,733 BTC in the first quarter, while retail investors increased their holdings by about 19,395 BTC. Neutral strategy institutions like Jane Street and Millennium accounted for most of this reduction. Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs recently recorded the ninth-largest five-day capital outflow since the launch of U.S. spot ETFs. K33 believes this typically occurs when BTC is near the cost basis of ETF holdings, reflecting investors' tendency to cut losses or reduce risk exposure after experiencing significant drawdowns. (The Block)
according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, Harvard Management Company first established a cryptocurrency position during the market rally in Q2 2025; in Q3, when BTC prices were near all-time highs, it significantly increased its holdings, boosting the number of shares by 257%, with IBIT once accounting for 20% of its portfolio, making it the largest public holding. In Q4, as the market declined, it reduced its BTC holdings while establishing an ETH position, only to clear all ETH after holding for just one quarter and exiting at a loss. Its BTC cost basis ranged from $107,000 to $114,000, while the ETH cost basis was $4,000. Over the year, it incurred losses exceeding $150 million in the crypto space.
According to Finance Feeds, Wintermute’s latest report states that the global market narrative has rapidly shifted from “when will rates be cut?” to “will rates need to be raised?”, driven by rising inflationary pressures and hotter-than-expected macroeconomic data—leading to a cooling of momentum in the crypto market. Bitcoin retreated after briefly breaking above $83,000, while major altcoins posted double-digit weekly declines. The report notes that this rally was primarily fueled by short squeezes in the perpetual futures market—not underlying spot buying. Concurrently, Bitcoin derivatives open interest rose by $10 billion over the past month to $58 billion, while spot trading volume fell to a two-year low. Although spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $623 million recently and exchange-held Bitcoin reserves dropped to a seven-year low, these factors remain insufficient to offset near-term macro risks.
According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, HYPE has become one of the strongest-performing tokens in the crypto market since the outbreak of the Iran conflict, surging over 100% from its 2026 lows—with particularly pronounced outperformance relative to Bitcoin. The core driver behind this strength lies in Hyperliquid’s ongoing expansion beyond crypto into other asset classes, having successively launched TradFi-linked products such as oil and SpaceX perpetual contracts, thereby attracting substantial capital inflows. Thielen notes that this trend reflects a broader acceleration by crypto exchanges into high-volatility, topical traditional financial derivatives—and signals that the intrinsic value of crypto infrastructure itself is gradually surpassing the crypto narrative. Although HYPE is already a highly crowded long position with strong conviction among market participants, its current momentum remains robust.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $331 million, with BlackRock’s IBIT remaining the primary contributor—accounting for $326 million in outflows. Fidelity’s FBTC and Valkyrie’s BRRR saw outflows of $1.67 million and $3.79 million, respectively, while all other products experienced no fund movement.
According to on-chain data platform Arkham (@arkham), Bitcoin purchased by Irish drug trafficker Clifton Collins for approximately $30,000 between 2011 and 2012 is now valued at roughly $400 million. Collins had lost his private key and was imprisoned, leading many to believe these bitcoins were permanently lost. Around one month ago, 500 BTC—dormant for over a decade—moved on-chain for the first time; recently, another 500 BTC (valued at approximately $38 million) moved again on-chain, with part of the funds flowing into Binance’s cold wallet. It is currently speculated that Irish authorities may have intervened to recover the assets, though the ultimate destination remains unconfirmed.
According to The Block, three Wall Street firms—Benchmark, TD Cowen, and Mizuho—maintained “Buy” ratings on four crypto-related companies—Bitdeer, DeFi Technologies, Strive, and Gemini—on Monday, noting that the market continues to value these platforms, which have pivoted toward AI infrastructure, capital markets tools, and structured financial products, using trading-business valuation multiples. Benchmark analysts reiterated their “Buy” rating on Bitdeer and $27 price target, highlighting its global power asset portfolio of approximately 3.0 GW and the growth of its AI cloud business’s annual recurring revenue—from roughly $10 million at the end of January to approximately $69 million by the end of April. TD Cowen raised its price target for Strive to $30, forecasting a 26.1% Bitcoin yield for the company in 2026. Mizuho maintained its “Outperform” rating on Gemini but lowered its price target from $12 to $10, noting that although Q1 trading volume declined by over 50%, trading revenue remained largely flat—reflecting higher fee rates and an optimized revenue mix.
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin held steady near $76,800 on Tuesday, while Ethereum edged down 0.1%. Major altcoins continued weakening following Monday’s sell-off. Traders are closely watching Bitcoin’s monthly close above $76,000—Tom Lee, Chairman of Bitmine, previously stated that a monthly close above this level would confirm a bull market. The WLFI token fell 3.3% after its treasury firm, AI Financial, warned it may not remain solvent through year-end; the token has declined roughly 77% since its September launch. CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” index retreated to 33/100 after briefly surpassing 50/100 last week. In the derivatives market, total futures notional trading volume rose from $159 billion to $201 billion, open interest remained around $126 billion, and liquidations dropped from over $600 million to $294 million—indicating an orderly market adjustment rather than forced deleveraging. Ethereum’s 30-day implied volatility hit a year-to-date low, while the Bitcoin Volatility Index held near its low of ~40%, suggesting the current sell-off is relatively orderly.