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Analysis: Bitcoin's "Quantum Threat" Is Manageable, Potential $145 Billion Sell-Off May Not Be a Systemic Risk

discussions regarding the potential threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin's security have been reignited. Analyst James Check points out that while quantum computing could theoretically crack elliptic curve signatures, its market impact may be overestimated.Data shows that approximately 1.7 million BTC (about $145 billion) are stored in early "Satoshi-era" addresses. If private keys were compromised, this could create potential selling pressure. However, from a market liquidity perspective, this scale is not insurmountable: in a bull market, long-term holders typically sell between 10,000 and 30,000 BTC daily. This means the aforementioned volume is equivalent to 2 to 3 months of routine profit-taking.Additionally, the average monthly exchange inflow is about 850,000 BTC, and the notional trading volume in the derivatives market can cover this amount within just a few days. Historical data shows that during the most recent bear market, over 2.3 million BTC changed hands in a single quarter, far exceeding the scale of the potential "quantum risk," yet it did not trigger a systemic collapse.Analysis suggests that even with a concentrated release, it is more likely to cause periodic volatility rather than a structural shock. Furthermore, entities capable of acquiring such assets are more inclined to adopt strategies like phased selling and hedging to mitigate market impact.Overall, the core issue of the "quantum threat" may not be the selling pressure itself, but rather the governance-level response—such as whether to restrict the movement of assets from affected addresses through a protocol upgrade. (CoinDesk)

Grayscale transferred 3,817 ETH and approximately 210 BTC to a Coinbase Prime address.

According to Arkham’s monitoring data, approximately 40 minutes ago, Grayscale transferred a total of 3,817 ETH and 210.006 BTC to a Coinbase Prime address, valued at approximately $25.02 million.

A whale has opened 20x leveraged long positions on ETH and BTC, with a current position value of approximately $40 million

according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale has opened 20x leveraged long positions on ETH and BTC. The position currently holds 17,257 ETH and 516.42 BTC, with a position value of approximately $40 million.

Bloomberg Analyst: Bitcoin ETF Flows Turn Positive Across the Board, IBIT Ranks in Top 1% of ETF Flows

: Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg, posted on X that Bitcoin ETF flows have turned positive across the board, stating “all rolling periods we track are now positive,” a first in several months. Among them, BlackRock’s IBIT has seen cumulative inflows of approximately $3 billion, placing it in the top 1% of all ETF flow performance.However, Eric Balchunas noted that returning to the all-time high cumulative net flows of $62.8 billion would still require tens of billions of dollars in additional inflows. Nonetheless, this at least indicates a clear rebound in sentiment towards Bitcoin ETFs and a recovery in market demand.

Pantera Capital Urges Satsuma to Liquidate Bitcoin Holdings and Return Capital to Shareholders

According to Bloomberg, sources familiar with the matter said that cryptocurrency venture capital firm Pantera Capital Management is urging London-listed Satsuma Technology Plc to sell its remaining approximately $50 million worth of Bitcoin and return the proceeds to shareholders. Satsuma has confirmed that certain shareholders have requested the return of funds and that the company is evaluating related proposals. According to other sources familiar with the matter, these shareholders have also demanded a change in management; currently, Satsuma’s CEO Henry Elder and CFO Andrew Smith have resigned. Earlier this month, the company announced plans to cut costs and disclosed its purchase of Bitcoin valued at £1.4 million.

A whale opened a 20x leveraged long position of 7,000 ETH, valued at approximately $16.34 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), the whale address 0xa87 has opened a 20x leveraged long position of 7,000 ETH, with a position value of approximately $16.34 million. Previously, this whale went long on BTC and realized a profit of $1.9 million.

BlackRock Buys $900 Million Worth of Bitcoin in One Week; ETF Clients’ Average Purchase Price Around $87,000

According to on-chain analytics platform Arkham (@arkham), BlackRock purchased approximately $900 million worth of Bitcoin within a single week. The estimated average cost basis for its ETF clients is currently around $87,000.

Analyst: BTC short funding costs are high, and open interest (OI) has rebounded to a high level—this is not an ideal time to initiate short positions.

According to on-chain analyst Murphy (@Murphychen888), BTC’s price has risen to around $79,000. The open interest (OI) in the futures market has rebounded to its recent high of 472,000 BTC, indicating continued leverage accumulation. During yesterday’s peak period, short positions paid funding fees to longs at an average rate of $604,000 per hour—lower than the April 17 peak ($790,000) but still significantly above the 7-day average ($197,000). Murphy notes that elevated OI combined with deepening negative basis creates conditions where a price rebound could trigger forced liquidations or margin calls among shorts, generating strong buying pressure and sparking a short squeeze. Historically, similar conditions preceded rebounds on March 9 and April 13; currently, opening new short positions offers unattractive risk-reward odds.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $331.9 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs totaled $331.9 million. Among them, BlackRock’s IBIT recorded a net inflow of $246.9 million—accounting for approximately 74% of the day’s total inflow; Fidelity’s FBTC saw a net inflow of $56.69 million; Bitwise’s BITB, $15.43 million; Ark’s ARKB, $11.91 million; Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, $11.31 million; and WisdomTree’s BTCW, $6.26 million. Grayscale’s GBTC experienced a net outflow of $16.56 million on the same day, while all other funds reported zero net inflows.

KelpDAO hacker converted nearly all 75,700 ETH into BTC within 36 hours

According to on-chain analyst Yujin (@EmberCN), the KelpDAO hacker, over a period of approximately one and a half days, has converted nearly all 75,700 ETH (valued at roughly $175 million) on Ethereum into BTC—primarily via the cross-chain protocol THORChain. This money-laundering activity generated approximately $800 million in trading volume and $910,000 in platform fees for THORChain.

QCP: BTC rebounded to around $78,000, but this remains an emotional recovery rather than a trend reversal.

QCP released a market analysis stating that BTC rebounded from its overnight low near $75,000 to approximately $78,000; however, this rally appears more like a relief-driven correction following easing risk sentiment, rather than signaling the start of a new market phase. The report notes that Trump’s unilateral extension of the ceasefire with Iran has lowered near-term expectations of conflict escalation, yet the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed and Iran’s stance remains unclear. Meanwhile, oil prices have held near $100 per barrel, resulting in concurrent inflationary pressures and slowing growth. QCP also points out that BTC open interest has risen noticeably while funding rates remain negative—indicating that short sellers are adding positions amid the rally. Overall, the options market continues to price in range-bound trading, not trend continuation.

Meme coin sector rebounds over the past 30 days, with total market cap rising by 15.58%

According to on-chain analyst Ai Aunt (@ai9684xtpa), the meme coin sector has recently shown signs of recovery. Over the past 30 days, the total market capitalization of meme coins has increased by 15.58%, reaching approximately $3.56 billion; trading volume has risen by 56.14%, totaling about $3.79 billion. For comparison, Bitcoin’s market cap growth over the same period was 14.06%. Notably, meme coin projects—from Binance Life to ASTEROID—have seen a resurgence in popularity.

Whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" Shares Portfolio Holding 717.491 BTC, Floating Profit $1.226 Million

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" shared a portfolio holding 717.491 BTC, with a floating profit of $1.226 million. The opening price was $75,731.7, and the current price is $77,439.7.

Analyst: Bitcoin Returns to Key Cost Line, Short-Term Buyers Mostly Break Even

Odaily News Grayscale analyst Zach Pandl disclosed data showing that Bitcoin has rebounded over 20% from its low of around $63,000 in early February. The current price is approximately $76,000, slightly above the average cost (realized price) of about $74,000 for buyers over the past 1 to 3 months. This means most short-term investors have returned to the break-even range.Analysis suggests that if the price rises further, more recent buyers will enter a profitable state, which is often considered one of the important signals in the early stages of a bull market. However, Bitcoin remains below its high from last October. Market views indicate that this round of recovery may have formed a relatively solid interim bottom in the range of $65,000 to $70,000.

KelpDAO Hacker Has Cross-Chained Most ETH to BTC via THORChain

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, the KelpDAO hacker began laundering and transferring ETH yesterday afternoon, and by now should have laundered 34,500 ETH (worth $80 million).Most of this ETH was cross-chain swapped into BTC via THORChain, which consequently earned a significant amount in "toll fees":1. THORChain's trading volume surged to $360 million over the past 24 hours, compared to an average daily volume of only $20 million previously.2. THORChain's platform fee revenue reached $420,000 over the past 24 hours, whereas its daily fee income was only $5,000 before.

KelpDAO’s stolen funds have entered the laundering phase: part of the funds has been bridged across chains to the Bitcoin network via THORChain, and over 400 addresses have already been utilized.

According to on-chain analyst Specter (@SpecterAnalyst), the North Korean hacking group TraderTraitor began laundering stolen funds from KelpDAO at approximately 3 a.m. Beijing time today—just three hours after the Arbitrum Council froze 30.7 ETH (approximately $71 million). The attackers split the remaining funds across three wallets, holding roughly 25,000 ETH (~$57.6 million), 25,700 ETH (~$59.2 million), and 25,000 ETH (~$57.9 million), respectively. The third wallet immediately initiated laundering operations and now holds only about 3,800 ETH (~$8 million). The majority of the funds were bridged to the Bitcoin network via THORChain, with approximately 99% flowing through this protocol. As a result, THORChain’s daily trading volume surged to $211 million—more than ten times its 30-day average—and generated roughly $189,000 in fees. During this laundering process, the illicit proceeds were also commingled with funds stolen in the BTC Turk (2025) and Bybit (2025) hacks. To date, approximately 442 BTC (~$33 million) linked to these incidents have been traced on the Bitcoin network, and over 400 addresses have been utilized throughout the entire laundering operation.

BIT: BTC Demand Structure Repairing, ETF Single-Day Net Inflows Hit New High Since Mid-January

Odaily News Analyst Markus Thielen stated that the Bitcoin demand structure is gradually repairing. He pointed out that strategic holdings continue to increase, providing stable buying support, the Coinbase Premium has rebounded, and the single-day net inflow of spot Bitcoin ETFs once reached $664 million, the highest level since mid-January.He believes that corporate capital, ETF inflows, and U.S. spot demand are forming a combined force, coupled with the return of stablecoin capital, market liquidity is gradually improving. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin's price may enter a new consolidation range. If the related trends continue, the probability of an upward move has increased, but the price action may still be dominated by consolidation.

BIT: BTC Demand Structure Repairs; ETF Sees Single-Day Net Inflow Highest Since Mid-January

According to analyst Markus Thielen, Bitcoin’s demand structure is gradually recovering. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continues its accumulation, providing steady buying support; the Coinbase Premium is rising steadily; and spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a single-day net inflow of $664 million—the highest level since mid-January. Corporate treasury purchases, ETF inflows, and U.S. spot demand are converging, while stablecoin liquidity continues flowing back into the ecosystem—collectively strengthening liquidity support. Analysts note that the market may be forming a new consolidation range; if these trends persist, the probability of price advancing toward the upper bound of this range is increasing—though the move will not be linear.

Bitget to Launch BGBTC Spot Trading

Bitget will launch spot trading for Bitget BTC (BGBTC). Deposit channels are now open, and trading will commence on April 21 at 18:00 (UTC+8). BGBTC is a yield-bearing wrapped asset launched by Bitget, pegged 1:1 to native BTC. By simply holding BGBTC in your Bitget account, you automatically earn on-chain DeFi yields daily. For more product details, visit the official Bitget platform.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $238.37 million.

According to Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $238.37 million, with BlackRock’s $IBIT alone accounting for $256.05 million. Grayscale’s $GBTC saw an outflow of $24.94 million, and Fidelity’s $FBTC experienced an outflow of $6.65 million; most other ETFs registered zero net inflow for the day.