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Analysis: If SpaceX is Included in Major Indices, Passive Funds May Be Forced to Assume High Volatility Asset Risk

as SpaceX is poised to be included in several major index systems, passive investors may be forced to hold the stock, thereby taking on significantly increased portfolio volatility risk. Multiple index providers (including CRSP, Nasdaq, FTSE Russell, and MSCI) have already adjusted their rules to accommodate SpaceX's inclusion in large-cap indices.Analysis points out that with SpaceX's current implied volatility approaching 120%—approximately three times that of Bitcoin-related ETFs (such as IBIT)—it will become one of the most volatile components of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Industry insiders state that once large ETFs (such as the Vanguard Growth Index Fund) passively gain exposure to SpaceX, it will significantly elevate the overall volatility level of the indices, sparking debate over "passive investors being forced to assume high-risk assets."However, some believe that as it enters the index system, sustained passive fund inflows and market-making mechanisms could, in the medium to long term, reduce its extreme volatility and enhance liquidity stability. (CNBC)

K33: Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Ratio Hits New High, Bear Market May Be Nearing Its End

According to The Block, K33’s latest report states that Bitcoin rebounded approximately 6% last week after two consecutive weeks of sharp declines, currently hovering near $65,000. The report notes that as of June 6, only 218,400 bitcoins—dormant for over two years—were reactivated in 2026, significantly lower than同期 levels over the past two years, indicating weak on-chain selling pressure.

K33: Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders hits all-time high, suggesting bear market may be nearing its end

crypto research firm K33 stated the Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders has reached an all-time high, indicating the bear market may be approaching its end. K33 noted a clear downturn in the reactivation of old coins in 2026. As of June 6, only 218,421 Bitcoins had been reactivated, showing significantly reduced on-chain selling pressure. In contrast, 1.18 million Bitcoins had been reactivated during the same period in 2024. K33 believes the decline in old coin activity suggests long-term holders have a reduced willingness to sell, with patient participants continuing to absorb the supply. (The Block)

Andrew Tate Liquidated Again, New Liquidation Price Drops to $64,824.44

According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain, Andrew Tate (@Cobratate) has again suffered a partial liquidation of his BTC position. His latest liquidation price has now dropped to $64,824.44.

A major whale closed its BTC short position after breaking even and then immediately liquidated the position, exiting with a small profit on an $11 million position.

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, a major BTC short whale today closed its position at breakeven immediately after BTC fell below its cost basis. Its prior position size was 175.3 BTC—approximately $11.37 million—with an exit price of $64,931, securing a modest profit of roughly $110,000.

10.11 Insider Whale Opens 366,423 UNI with 2x Long Position, Still Holds BTC and ZEC Longs

: According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the "10.11 Insider Whale" Garret Jin appears to be bullish on UNI, having opened a 2x long position on 366,423 UNI with the position still increasing, and continues to hold a 5x long position on BTC and a 2x long position on ZEC.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $10.04 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs amounted to $10.04 million. Specifically, BlackRock’s $IBIT saw an inflow of $16.34 million, Fidelity’s $FBTC an inflow of $4.28 million, Morgan Stanley’s $MSBT an inflow of $1.88 million, and Grayscale’s mini-Bitcoin ETF $BTC an inflow of $4.35 million; meanwhile, Grayscale’s $GBTC experienced an outflow of $16.81 million.

“1011 Insider Whale” Liquidates 184,102 HYPE, Realizing $2.83M Profit

Odaily News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the "1011 insider whale," Garret Jin, has sold all 184,102 HYPE at a price of $73.58, exchanging them for 13.54 million USDC, realizing a profit of $2.83 million. He still holds a 5x long BTC position, with an unrealized loss of $13.2 million, and a 2x long ZEC position, with an unrealized gain of $3.29 million.

XPRIZE Founder: Over the past decade, I would invest idle funds into Bitcoin; now I will buy SPCX

: Peter H. Diamandis, founder of the globally renowned tech challenge organization XPRIZE and early investor in SpaceX, stated, "People always ask me if I will sell off when prices rise. Quite the contrary. Over the past ten years, whenever I freed up capital from other transactions, I poured those funds into Bitcoin. I still hold a considerable amount of Bitcoin and intend to hold it long-term.""But going forward, whenever I have idle funds, I will invest in SpaceX, a company of epoch-making significance. I anticipate that the stock price may decline when locked-up shareholders are allowed to sell their shares and some cash out. However, I am not investing in SpaceX for short-term quarterly price gains, but to advance the off-planet economy."

Analyst: $60,000 Could Become Bitcoin’s New Accumulation Zone; Cycle Bottom Watch at $48,000

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin may have entered a new accumulation zone, but the potential structural bottom for this cycle remains around $48,000. Currently, Bitcoin’s post-adjustment seller risk ratio indicator shows that unprofitable supply is beginning to surpass profitable supply, and unrealized pressure on holders is rising significantly. Meanwhile, the Cumulative Value Destroyed Days (CVDD) valuation model indicates that Bitcoin’s structural bottom for this cycle is approximately $48,000.

Galaxy Research: An address dormant for over 11 years has transferred out 100.50 BTC, valued at approximately $6.59 million.

According to Galaxy Research (@glxyresearch), a Bitcoin address that had remained dormant since October 15, 2014—over 11.7 years—transferred funds at 02:07 AM Beijing Time (UTC 18:07) on June 16, in block 953816. A total of 100.50 BTC—worth approximately $6.59 million—was moved.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $64.84 million.

According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $64.84 million yesterday. Grayscale’s GBTC alone saw a single-day outflow of $124 million, dragging down overall performance; BlackRock’s IBIT posted the strongest inflow at $66.45 million, followed by Morgan Stanley’s MSBT ($9.35 million) and Grayscale’s Mini BTC ($10.6 million); Fidelity’s FBTC recorded an outflow of $8.69 million, VanEck’s HODL $6.13 million, Ark Invest’s ARKB $6.63 million, and Franklin Templeton’s EZBC $5.78 million.

"Set 10 Big Goals First" places short order of 160.372 BTC, position value $10.67 million

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a screenshot from "Set 10 Big Goals First" @Jason60704294 shows a short order of 160.372 BTC placed at an opening price of $66,550, worth approximately $10.67 million. The community speculates that a sell order of 605.73 BTC at the same price was also placed by the same entity; if confirmed, the total position size would be $40.31 million. The order has not yet been filled.

10x Research: 6 High-Momentum Altcoins with Clear Catalysts Poised to Outperform Bitcoin

10x Research released a report stating that the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization have continuously shifted over the past decade, indicating that holding altcoins long-term is not the optimal strategy—momentum trading is more critical. A bullish stance can be maintained if an altcoin trades above its 6-month or 12-month moving average; once it falls below, investors should decisively reduce positions. Using a dual-screening framework based on fundamental catalysts and risk management, the firm has currently identified six altcoins exhibiting strong bullish catalysts and meeting risk-management criteria. Historical data shows such a carefully selected portfolio is likely to significantly outperform Bitcoin.

Bitcoin mining company MARA Holdings has purchased 1,000 BTC from FalconX for approximately $66.7 million.

According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), Bitcoin mining company MARA Holdings has purchased 1,000 BTC from crypto liquidity platform FalconX, for a total value of approximately $66.7 million.

Trezor Exec: Putting All Bitcoin into ETFs Might Be the Worst Outcome for the Industry, Undermining the Core Principle of Self-Custody

: Danny Sanders, Chief Business Officer of hardware wallet manufacturer Trezor, stated that "putting everything into ETFs" might be the worst development path for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Since the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024, cumulative inflows have exceeded $53 billion, making them a significant driver of BTC prices, but also potentially altering the structure of how users hold their assets.Sanders believes that over-reliance on ETFs will weaken Bitcoin's core principle of "self-custody," gradually shifting asset control to third-party institutions instead of users holding their private keys. Although self-custody carries risks such as lost seed phrases or unrecoverable private key leaks, he considers these more of a psychological barrier than a technical challenge, adding that "it's not difficult once you actually start doing it."Data shows that out of approximately 600 million crypto users globally, only about 10% practice self-custody, and only around 12 to 13 million users employ hardware wallets.As an early hardware wallet provider in the industry, Trezor helped popularize the BIP-39 seed phrase standard and continues to advocate for lowering the barriers to self-custody through improved user experience and educational tools, rather than relying on intermediary custody.Sanders concluded that the industry's long-term goal should be to gradually approach a Web2-level user experience, rather than simply replacing self-custody with ETFs. "That would probably be the worst possible outcome for the entire industry." (The Block)

Today US Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of 1,000 BTC, while Ethereum ETFs recorded a net outflow of 5,316 ETH

According to Lookonchain monitoring, US Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of 1,000 BTC today, while Ethereum ETFs recorded a net outflow of 5,316 ETH.

Bitfinex Report: Bitcoin Exhibits a Market Structure of “Selling Pressure Paused, but Buying Not Yet Confirmed”

The Bitfinex Alpha report notes that Bitcoin held its $59,200 low after multiple tests and rebounded 3.54% this week to close at $65,655. This rally stems more from exhaustion of selling pressure than from new demand: open interest in futures has declined significantly from its May highs; short-term holders have been selling at a loss; and exchange balances have dropped to a seven-year low—indicating the market has entered a phase of deleveraging and release of selling pressure. Short-term holders remain broadly underwater by approximately 17%–19%, suggesting substantial potential overhead supply remains.

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Whale Selling Has Ended, Triggering a $65,700 Rebound

CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu stated that BTC whale selling has ended: total whale holdings turned upward on June 14 after declining for 12 consecutive days, and the price rebounded to $65,704.89. Data shows that the Coin Days Destroyed inflow dropped from 2.16 million to just 33,000—nearly zero—indicating a significant reduction in selling pressure from long-term holders.

Analysis: Buyback inflow is returning significantly, Bitcoin shows cross-cohort accumulation and enters a “buy-the-dip” phase

: On-chain data analytics platform Glassnode posted on X that its “Accumulation Trend Score” indicator shows that after Bitcoin’s price dipped to the $60,000 range in early June, the overall behavior of on-chain addresses has notably shifted toward accumulation.This indicator measures the intensity of on-chain accumulation behavior by combining holding sizes with recent balance changes. A score close to 1 represents widespread accumulation, while a score near 0 indicates ongoing distribution.Glassnode notes that as the price enters lower ranges, the scores for holders of different sizes rise simultaneously, indicating a typical “buy-the-dip” market structure. That is, the price decline did not trigger sustained selling, but instead sparked stronger on-chain demand inflows.Analysts believe that this cross-cohort synchronized accumulation structure typically appears in the early stages of market sentiment recovery, reflecting that medium- to long-term capital is being repositioned.