News linked to both this project and an event.
: Polymarket’s official developer account posted on platform X, stating that the combo (combos) feature is about to be launched, and the relevant documentation for the feature has been published.
Byreal has officially launched its on-chain prediction market product, Byreal Predict. This product connects to Polymarket’s order book and liquidity, enabling users to trade predictions on real-world sports events. Byreal Predict initially covers major events including the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the NBA Finals, and Major League Baseball (MLB), supporting trades on outcomes such as individual match results, group-stage qualification, and tournament champions. Future updates will introduce AI-powered prediction market analytics, automated trading, and referral commission features.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Claude Mythos model release date being June 10" is currently at 74%, up 24% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability for "Release before June 12" stands at 83%; "Release before June 15" at 89%; "Release before June 22" at 95%; "Release before June 30" at 94%; and "Release before July 31" at 99%.Previously reported, tech journalist Alex Heath revealed that Anthropic will release a "public version of Mythos" tomorrow. The company plans to rename and slightly adjust Mythos, releasing it under the name "Fable 5."Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing occurs.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 30" has risen to 64%, a 24H increase of 52%; additionally, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 15" has risen to 59%, a 24H increase of 52%.Closing airspace refers to the closure of all of Israel's civilian airspace, or a closure covering most of Israel's civilian airspace, resulting in flight cancellations or a complete suspension of commercial aviation, including commercial flights transiting, arriving at, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply to flights nationwide in Israel, or to a qualifying major portion of Israel's airspace. Limited-scope flight cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops, or individual regional closures do not meet the conditions for a "Yes" settlement.If there are a few exceptions within the context of a large-scale closure, such as permitting some pre-approved flights to pass, this does not affect the closure being deemed valid. Warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions issued by airlines or countries other than Israel cannot serve as sufficient basis for a "Yes" settlement.After the US-Israel-Iran ceasefire on April 8, Iran today launched missiles at Israel again after a two-month interval. Trump stated that his advice to Iran is, since the missiles have been launched, they should now return to the negotiating table and reach an agreement. Trump also said he will call Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to tell him not to retaliate.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event titled "Was Zcash's Orchard privacy pool confirmed to have been exploited?"On June 4, Zcash's core development team revealed that they had deployed an emergency network upgrade to fix a critical cryptographic vulnerability in the Orchard privacy pool. This flaw could have potentially allowed a malicious attacker to arbitrarily forge unlimited amounts of ZEC. Due to the vulnerability's characteristic that "it is impossible to cryptographically prove whether it was exploited in the past," independent support organization Shielded Labs subsequently proposed on June 5 to deploy a new privacy pool during the NU7 upgrade at the end of July. They also suggested implementing strict "Turnstile-accounting" audits for tokens exiting Orchard to investigate whether any forged tokens exist. According to the settlement rules for this prediction event, if before December 31, 2026, official sources or mainstream credible media confirm that the vulnerability was effectively exploited on the mainnet before being patched, the event will settle as YES.Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
as prediction market trading volume grows, institutional capital is entering this sector. Quantitative trading firms such as DRW, Wintermute, and IMC are forming dedicated prediction market trading teams, recently posting relevant job openings to focus on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. These teams aim to capture pricing deviation profits through cross-platform arbitrage, market microstructure arbitrage, and news-driven trading strategies. Industry insiders believe that as the prediction market expands and on-chain trading platforms like Hyperliquid plan to launch prediction market products, a competition centered on latency, liquidity, and cross-platform efficiency has already begun. (CoinDesk)
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Zcash will hit $100 in 2026" on Polymarket has risen to 53%, a 24-hour increase of 36%.Market rules: If between 17:35 on November 24, 2025, and 23:59 on December 31, 2026 (Eastern Time), the lowest price (Low) of any 1-minute candlestick of the Binance ZEC/USDT trading pair reaches or falls below the price stated in the title, this market will immediately settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No." Settlement is based solely on the 1-minute candlestick data of the Binance ZEC/USDT trading pair; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered.In previous news, the privacy coin Zcash disclosed and fixed a critical security vulnerability that could have been exploited by malicious miners to transfer over 25,000 ZEC (approximately $6.5 million) from the deprecated Sprout privacy pool. Officials stated that the vulnerability had existed since July 2020 but was not actually exploited, and user funds remained safe at all times. The development team has released version v6.12.0 to complete the fix, and major mining pools have already upgraded their deployments.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily News: Prediction market platform Polymarket's Chief Marketing Officer, Matthew Modabber, was reportedly found to have paid content creators at least $350,000 through his personal PayPal account between January 2025 and February 2026, to promote Polymarket and its prediction market data.Reports indicate that Modabber transferred over $2.5 million to more than 800 individuals over 14 months. According to a Politico investigation, at least 20 influencers who received payments subsequently posted approximately 490 pieces of content related to Polymarket on social media platform X, with the majority failing to clearly disclose the paid partnership.Creators involved include conservative commentator Alex LoRusso, political commentator Brian Krassenstein, and Fox News contributor Riley Gaines. The related posts often described Polymarket's odds changes as "BREAKING" news or event bellwethers, aiming to reinforce the public perception of the platform's predictive accuracy.A Polymarket spokesperson responded that collaborating with content creators is a standard marketing strategy for the company, intended to provide global users with "the most accurate, transparent, and data-driven market insights." However, the company did not address questions regarding why personal accounts were used for payments or whether the related promotions complied with disclosure requirements.The report notes that following Trump's election victory, interest in prediction markets surged, and Polymarket's trading volume grew rapidly. As the platform seeks to re-enter the U.S. market, it is expanding its brand influence through social media and opinion leaders, while also facing scrutiny over information disclosure, market influence, and regulatory compliance. (Politico)
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 15” has dropped to 21%, a 24H decline of 45%. In addition, the probability of “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 30” has dropped to 80%, a 24H decline of 13%. It is reported that OpenAI plans to release the next-generation AI model GPT 5.6 in June 2026, which is currently in the internal testing phase.Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily News Prediction market platform Polymarket believes competitor Kalshi may have engaged in industrial espionage targeting its New York office and employees. Polymarket's marketing head confirmed the company is conducting an internal investigation, stating there are "too many coincidences" and suspecting Kalshi of malicious intent.According to reports, Polymarket has internally compiled a file named "The Imitators," documenting approximately a dozen suspicious incidents. These include Polymarket's original plan to launch a free grocery pop-up event on February 12, while Kalshi launched a similar event approximately nine days earlier. Additionally, Polymarket was scheduled to announce its perpetual contract product plans on April 21, but about an hour before the announcement, tech media outlet The Information reported that Kalshi was also preparing to launch a similar product.Polymarket employees are also concerned that the office of venture capital firm Paradigm, which supports Kalshi, is located directly opposite their workspace, potentially allowing for monitoring of employees' computer screens. It is reported that Polymarket installed window film on some office windows this spring.In response, a Kalshi spokesperson denied all allegations, calling Polymarket's suspicions "pathetic and bordering on delusional." (New York Post)
The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that Polymarket's "o1.exchange will TGE before June 30" event probability has risen to 90%, a 29% increase in 24 hours.This morning, o1.exchange founder Jerry Pan posted on X platform, stating that the o1.exchange whitepaper has been released. According to the whitepaper content, the TGE date is June 17.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
prediction market platform Polymarket has disclosed the completion of its first institutional on-chain block trade. The six-figure USD transaction was executed on the Polygon blockchain by digital asset broker FalconX and AI risk settlement infrastructure startup Anera Labs, targeting contracts related to the Ornn Compute Price Index, which tracks the rental price of NVIDIA H100 GPU chips. Polymarket stated that this is the first institutional on-chain block trade in the prediction market field. Going forward, FalconX will also serve as the exclusive market maker for block trades on the Polymarket platform to support institutional clients' liquidity needs and price discovery. (CNBC)
According to The Block, Strategy disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold 32 BTC between May 26 and May 31, generating approximately $2.5 million in proceeds to pay dividends on its preferred stock. This marks the company’s first Bitcoin sale since December 2022. The disclosure sparked controversy in a Polymarket prediction market—valued at over $20 million in trading volume—that had asked whether Strategy would sell Bitcoin before May 31. The dispute centers on whether the sale qualifies: “Yes” proponents argue the sale occurred before the deadline; “No” proponents contend the information was not publicly disclosed before the market closed and therefore should not count. The market has now entered its final review phase. Polymarket added that “results confirmed outside the deadline will not be recognized,” leaning toward the “No” side. If the dispute escalates further, UMA token holders will vote to resolve it—but prior reports indicate UMA voting power is highly concentrated, with over 60% of active voters linked to Polymarket accounts, raising concerns about impartiality.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring indicates a new prediction event on Polymarket: "Will the U.S. House and Senate pass the same resolution by June 30, 2026, aimed at limiting U.S. military action against Iran in recent conflicts?"Since the escalation of U.S. military operations against Iran at the end of February this year, the power struggle between the two parties in Congress over the 1973 War Powers Resolution has experienced multiple failures. Although the Senate advanced a related procedural vote in mid-May, and the House also briefly formed a cross-party majority, the House Republican leadership, on the eve of the recess on May 21, cited "absentee members and insufficient votes" to urgently withdraw and postpone the full floor vote. With lawmakers returning to Washington after the Memorial Day recess in early June, the time window for the two chambers to unify the amendment text and complete final passage is extremely compressed. Coupled with the White House's tough stance, potentially using a veto, the market leans toward the view that the two chambers will not reach a substantial binding resolution before the June 30 deadline.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
According to monitoring by Odaily Seer’s Oracle Channel, the Polymarket probability of "Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by June 30" has dropped to 25%, a 25% decrease in a single week. The total trading volume for this event has now approached $12 million.The contract rules for this event are as follows: If the IMF Portwatch reports that the 7-day average number of vessel arrivals at the Strait of Hormuz on any date between the market creation and June 30, 2026, is equal to or greater than 60, the market will be resolved as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be resolved as "No." Daily vessel arrivals include container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and oil tankers. Vessels not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.Previously, US and Iranian forces clashed again near the Strait of Hormuz. However, Trump stated earlier today that negotiations with Iran regarding a temporary peace agreement would "yield good results," and he faces a balancing act between potential criticism if Washington agrees to unfreeze billions of dollars in Iranian funds at Tehran's request. Trump had indicated last Friday that he would make a "final decision," but he postponed it as both sides continue to negotiate details, including Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium and how to reopen the Strait of Hormuz waterway (which may require demining first).The Odaily Seer’s Oracle Channel continues to monitor the prediction market. See changes before they are priced in.
prediction market Polymarket has released its platform update for this week, which includes: launching the World Cup page with feature testing; introducing perpetual contract functionality (featuring 5 traditional financial trading pairs and BTC perpetual contracts); optimizing CLOB performance with plans to release a version next week to address queue congestion issues; open-sourcing the SDK; launching a unified API; and implementing Gamma fixes and improvements (including stricter key set pagination and high-traffic read path indexing, as well as production correctness fixes for users, profiles, comments, and sports summaries).
Polymarket has stated the CLOB API is currently under maintenance, affecting trading functionality. The project team has identified the CLOB issue impacting trades and will restart the CLOB at 21:10 today to deploy the fix. During this period, there may be a brief window where order matching is temporarily unavailable or only limit orders are possible. Other services, including the website, Markets API, Polygon RPC, user authentication, and Sports API, will continue to operate normally.
the Polymarket development team stated, "The trading function is currently experiencing an anomaly. The team has identified the root cause and is deploying a fix. Real-time status updates can be viewed on the official status page."
the prediction market platform Polymarket has revealed the Beta version of its perpetual contracts product is now open for testing to a select group of users, with access to be gradually expanded over the next four weeks.Analysts suggest that this launch indicates Polymarket is moving beyond prediction markets into the crypto derivatives trading space, continuously expanding its platform's use cases and user base. The official announcement has not yet disclosed the specific trading pairs or functional details supported by the perpetual contracts product.
according to community user @Caneleo55, the Polymarket deployer wallet has deployed multiple contracts, and may launch a streak prediction (where all matches must be predicted correctly) before the World Cup.