News linked to both this project and an event.
Polymarket has released Protocol V2, its next-generation prediction market smart contract system, which refactors the original architecture built on the 2019 Gnosis Conditional Tokens Framework. The new version standardizes on a single ERC1155 position token contract, a single collateral asset (pUSD), and a unified exchange with integrated routing, while natively supporting multiple market types including Binary, Atomic Neg-risk, Incremental Neg-risk, and Combinatorial.
Odaily News: In response to a tweet previously posted by Polymarket CMO Matthew Modabber regarding "Hyperliquid and Polymarket revenue scale and HYPE token market cap," Polygon co-founder Sandeep quoted the post and said that POLY will take over everything.Earlier news: The Polymarket CEO will share important views at Token2049, and the community speculates it may be related to the POLY token.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "GPT Astra 6.1+ release date" prediction market, the probability that GPT Astra 6.1+ will be released before October 31 has risen to 46%, up 21% in 24 hours.According to the resolution rules, if OpenAI makes available to the public a GPT model with a version number of 6.1 or higher and with "Astra" included in its name or model identifier before the specified date, the corresponding market will resolve to "Yes." The model must actually be made available for public use; closed beta testing or placeholder names appearing only on the official website will not count, and resolution will primarily be based on official information from OpenAI.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has submitted two proposed rules to the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB): one would formally classify event contracts traded on platforms such as Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and Robinhood under the regulatory definition of "swaps"; the other would explicitly exclude casino-style gambling products from the swaps category. This move aims to respond to recent federal court rulings—the Sixth and Eighth Circuits both ruled that Kalshi's sports-related contracts do not qualify as swaps and should be subject to state gambling regulations, while the Third Circuit upheld the CFTC's jurisdiction over prediction markets. With conflicting rulings across the circuits, the matter may ultimately need to be resolved by the U.S. Supreme Court. Currently, the CFTC comprises only one commissioner, Chair Mike Selig, with all related decisions made solely by him.
Odaily reports: Josh, Vice President of prediction market Polymarket, stated on X that the team is fully developing a Rust-based full central limit order book (CLOB), and the current CLOB is the root cause of most of the platform's issues.According to the plan, October will see the completion of the full order lifecycle process in the testing environment, including trading, settlement, on-chain interactions, indexer, and engine notifications; in November, all production traffic will be mirrored to the new trading cluster and results will be compared with the existing system. At the same time, testing access will be opened to market makers, and the migration and switchover plan will be finalized, with two full drills completed before the official switchover. Josh also stated that if progress goes smoothly, the new system will be officially launched afterward, and the migration is expected to require no changes or only minimal changes for market makers and developers.
According to monitoring by PPP prediction market tool, Polymarket odds for "Trump to officially rename AI by December 31" have risen to 66%, up 17% in a single week.According to the settlement rules, Trump must formally adopt a new official name for "AI" or require the federal government to adopt a new name via executive order, presidential proclamation, or presidential memorandum before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the specified date. Public statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts do not count.Previously, Trump reiterated his opposition to regulating Artificial Intelligence (AI) during a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in New York. He also stated that the term "Artificial Intelligence" underestimates the value of this technology and expressed hope that countries around the world would also adopt the new name "Super Intelligence."Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Polygon co-founder Sandeep posted on X that the POL community has recently accumulated and permanently burned 100 million POL tokens through on-chain revenue, accounting for approximately 1% of the total supply, with an additional ~25 million POL to be burned subsequently. Sandeep also stated that POL (formerly MATIC) remains the "most undervalued and overlooked project." He noted that Polymarket has already launched perpetual contracts on Polygon. Following recent upgrades, Polygon PoS is gradually evolving into a more advanced blockchain, expected to achieve 1-millisecond confirmation times via block streaming in the future. Additionally, OMS will soon increase Polygon's daily transaction processing capacity by approximately 1 million.
Odaily News: Blockworks analyst Shaunda Devens posted on X that Polymarket's current FDV valuation of approximately $1.5 billion for Variational is somewhat overly optimistic. This pricing directly applies Hyperliquid and Lighter-level valuation-to-revenue multiples to a platform that still relies on points subsidies. By comparison, the median first-day "FDV / annualized revenue" ratio for recently launched Perp DEX tokens is only 6.3x (Variational is currently around 57x), and within the first month after TGE, trading volume typically drops sharply by a median of 54%.Shaunda added that if conservative assumptions based on historical precedents are adopted (using the median first-day "FDV/annualized revenue" ratio of 6.3x), Variational's fair valuation would be only $167 million, corresponding to a points price of $4.8–$5.4. Even using the highest recent ratio precedent (Lighter's approximately 21.1x), its valuation would still only be about $558 million, corresponding to a points price of $16–$18.However, Shaunda also explained: "To be clear, given that current market risk appetite is clearly in a Risk-on state, we do not believe Variational's valuation at TGE will fall to the extremely conservative range mentioned above. These historical multiples are listed to illustrate that current pre-market OTC pricing may be overly optimistic."
According to official announcements, Bitget has listed Polymarket IPO pre-market perpetual contracts. These USDT-settled contracts support up to 20x leverage and feature 24/7 trading.
Bybit has added Pre-IPO pre-market perpetual contracts for Polymarket (POLYMARKETUSDT) today, supporting up to 10x leverage.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket odds for "the next Claude Opus model will be released on September 22" rose to 77%, up 50% in 24 hours.Only a new model explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic counts, such as Claude Opus 5.1, Opus 5.5, Opus 6, etc. Other names such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, and Mythos do not count, unless Anthropic officially names it Opus.The release date is based on the calendar date in U.S. Eastern Time.It must actually be made available to the public to trigger settlement. Public betas and open rolling waitlists both count; closed betas, invite-only access, or private access do not count.If the model name, a placeholder, or a mislabel merely appears on Anthropic's official website but the model is not actually usable by the public, it does not count as a release.Settlement will primarily be based on Anthropic's official information, verified in combination with credible media reports.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily reports: AI model developer Typesafe AI has announced the opening of its System One model Jev, removing the waitlist and giving each new user $5 in credits. The project has been developed in stealth for two years and has raised $40 million in cumulative funding.Jev does not support chat; it only accepts facts and closed-ended questions, returning probabilistic results within 70 to 500 milliseconds. Input pricing is $0.042 per million tokens, and output is free. It can answer questions such as buy or sell, yes or no.In a Bitcoin price prediction test, Jev estimated a 55% probability that Binance's one-minute K-line would reach $85,000 before 2027, with probabilities of 48% and 34% for reaching $90,000 and $100,000, respectively; the corresponding Polymarket market probability for $85,000 was 81%.On September 16, Monad Chief AI Engineer Jarrod Watts connected Jev to price data and built a trading bot that submits limit orders to the Kuru on-chain order book approximately every 300 milliseconds. The bot can decide whether to buy or sell based on Jev's judgments and has been open-sourced on GitHub as jarrodwatts/jev-trader. (Bitcoin.com News)
According to Odaily, predict.fun posted on X that it has launched a prediction market for Polymarket's IPO closing market cap.
According to official news, Binance Wallet has announced the launch of the Polymarket/USD1 perpetual contract with up to 3x leverage. Perpetual contract trading is only available for backed-up Binance Wallet (keyless) accounts.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "Anthropic's next-generation Claude Opus will be released before September 27" probability rose to 90%, up 13% in 24 hours; the probability of release before September 30 rose to 94%, up 7% in 24 hours.According to the resolution rules, if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model becomes available to the public before the specified date (Eastern Time, ET), the prediction market will resolve as "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve as "No." Claude Opus refers to a model explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic. Models released under other names, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, do not qualify.In addition, qualifying models must have been officially launched and made accessible to the public, including open beta or public-facing rolling waitlist registration. Closed beta or any form of private access does not qualify for resolution.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that Polymarket's "Average number of ships transiting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by end of September less than 25" probability is currently at 9%, down 38% in 24 hours.This is based on the ship transit data for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait published by IMF Portwatch, specifically the 7-day moving average of "Arrivals of Ships" on September 30, 2026.The statistical scope includes container ships, dry bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and tankers. Ships not tracked by IMF Portwatch are not included.If rounded figures in the chart versus the original unrounded figures in the downloadable file affect the final settlement result, the unrounded figures shall prevail.Settlement can occur once the data is published. If the corresponding data for September 30 is still not published within 14 calendar days thereafter, the latest available data at that time shall be used for settlement.If the initially published data contains obvious entry or data integrity errors, the market may wait up to the end of the 3rd calendar day after the data is published for an official correction. However, "IMF data differing from other institutions' data" does not count as a data error.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Alpha Malik (@AlphaByMalik), Binance Wallet today launched the Pre-Access feature sponsored by PancakeSwap, allowing users to gain indirect exposure to trending projects prior to potential listings. On-chain data indicates that Binance Alpha may list the Paimon Polymarket SPV Token ($pPOLY) at 09:00 UTC on September 24, which could become the first project launched through Pre-Access. Contract address: 0x1d80392d12caaaf9e333bb0bb7f021eacf297fe6. This information is based solely on on-chain data and has not been officially confirmed; please follow official announcements from Binance Wallet and Binance Alpha.
According to monitoring by PPP prediction market tool, the probability on Polymarket of "the next Grok model (4.7 and above) being released before September 18" is now reported at 15%, down 38% in 24 hours.If, between the market's creation and September 18, SpaceXAI releases the next Grok model to the public and its version number reaches 4.7 or above, the market resolves as "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves as "No."Qualifying models must simultaneously meet the following conditions: the name or model identifier must include "Grok," and the version number must be 4.7 or higher—for example, Grok 4.7, Grok 4.7 Heavy, and Grok 5 all count; Grok 4.6 and its updated, snapshot, or promotional versions do not count. Standalone product lines such as Grok Code Fast and Grok Imagine also do not count, nor do the version numbers of the App or website itself.In addition, the model must genuinely be open to the public. Public testing or a rolling waitlist that anyone can apply to join may count, but closed beta, private invitations, or internal access do not count. It also does not count if text such as "Grok 4.7" merely appears on the website but the model is in fact not publicly usable.The main basis for judgment is official information from SpaceXAI, supplemented by credible media reports for verification.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
According to The Block, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan has revised his previous assessment regarding the impact of the Clarity Act's failure. The bill secured only 49 votes in a procedural Senate vote, falling short of the 60-vote threshold needed to advance. While Hougan had previously forecasted that a failed bill would trigger several weeks of crypto market weakness, he noted in his latest client report that Bitcoin has continued to rise after bottoming out around $57,950 on July 1, surpassing $80,000 on September 4. In the same period, Polymarket’s implied probability for the bill’s passage within the year dropped from 39% to 14%. Price action moving contrary to these expectations suggests that the bull market does not rely on legislative passage. Hougan also pointed out that initiatives such as Robinhood launching its own blockchain, Morgan Stanley listing a Solana ETF, and DTCC completing the settlement of the first batch of tokenized stocks demonstrate that Wall Street institutions are already positioning themselves ahead of regulatory clarity. He noted that proactive rulemaking by the SEC and CFTC can partially fill legislative gaps, but acknowledged that executive regulations carry the risk of being overturned by future administrations. Consequently, congressional legislation remains the sole path to providing lasting regulatory certainty.
According to reports from Asia Economic, the Cyber Investigation Unit of the Gangwon Regional Police Agency has filed cases against 26 users of the overseas prediction market platform Polymarket and transferred 18 of them to prosecutors. The cumulative betting amount among those involved is approximately 17.6 billion Korean won, with the highest individual amount reaching about 5.7 billion KRW. Police maintain that users betting on uncertain event outcomes using crypto assets are suspected of committing illegal gambling. The involved users counter that because Polymarket employs order book trading and supports closing positions before maturity, it should be treated as a crypto derivatives market. Relevant South Korean authorities had previously decided to block the platform, and subsequent judicial disputes will focus on whether its trading structure should be classified as gambling or derivatives investment.