News Heat Trend
Project Overview
Polymarket is a decentralized information markets platform that lets users trade on the world's most highly-debated topics (e.g. coronavirus, politics, current events, etc). On Polymarket, users can build a portfolio based on their forecasts and earn a return if they are correct. When users buy shares in a market, they are expressing their own knowledge, research, and view of the future. Market prices reflect what traders think are the odds of future events, turning trading activity into actionable insights to help people make better decisions. Thus, Polymarket is a leading source of unbiased and real-time data about future events.
Fun Raises $72 Million in Series A Funding, Led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire
According to Fortune, payments infrastructure startup Fun has announced a $72 million Series A funding round, co-led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire, with participation from Infinity Ventures, Pharsalus Capital, and Justin Mateen, co-founder of Tinder. Fun primarily provides cryptocurrency and fiat deposit/withdrawal infrastructure for platforms such as Polymarket, Lighter, and Aave, processing over $18 billion in annual payments. The company plans to use the new funds to expand its team of approximately 30 people.
Polymarket: Probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" drops to 63%, down over 30% in a day
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" has fallen to 63%, down over 30% in a day, with a trading volume of nearly $3.26 million.Printr is a cross-chain token issuance platform that supports users and AI agents in token issuance, trading, and staking across multiple blockchain environments. It is currently deployed on 8 blockchains including Solana, Base, BNB Chain, and Ethereum, offering features such as customizable fee structures, cross-chain trading, and staking incentive mechanisms.Data indicates that the project has currently raised over $2.46 million, with approximately 35 hours remaining until the fundraising concludes.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Robin Markets Secures $475,000 in Seed Funding, Led by Fabric VC
Robin Markets announced on Twitter that it has completed a $475,000 seed funding round led by Fabric VC, with co-leads including Animoca Brands, ATKA Incubator, John Lilic, and Stefan D. George. Additional participants include Hilbert Capital, Layer Zero, Gnosis, and other institutional and angel investors. Robin Markets has also launched its V1 staking product to the public. Robin Markets is a DeFi platform focused on yield generation from Polymarket positions, with its core product enabling users to earn yield on their Polymarket holdings.
Prediction market Polymarket is in talks for a $400 million funding round, with a $15 billion valuation.
According to The Information, citing sources familiar with the matter, prediction market platform Polymarket is in talks with investors to raise $400 million at a valuation of approximately $1.5 billion (including new capital). This round would be added to the $600 million funding round previously announced last month by Intercontinental Exchange—the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange—which did not disclose a valuation at the time.
Polymarket Launches "Anthropic, Developer of Claude, Next Funding Round Deadline"
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market: "Anthropic, developer of Claude, next funding round deadline." The current probability of completion before the end of June is temporarily quoted at 22%; the probability before the end of December is temporarily quoted at 81%.The contract rules for this event are: If the specified company publicly and formally announces the completion of its next funding round before the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will be settled as "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be settled as "No." Eligible announcements must clearly confirm the completion of the new funding round, which can be through official announcements from the specified company (e.g., press release) or its investors, regulatory filings, or consensus from credible media reports. Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks are not eligible. If the specified company is unable to complete a new funding round due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by another entity, the market will be settled as "No." The primary settlement sources for this market will be official announcements from the specified company and official company documents, such as SEC filings; however, credible consensus reporting may also be used.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Citadel Securities President States: Company May Enter Prediction Markets, Focusing on Geopolitical Hedging Rather Than Sports Events
According to The Block, Jim Esposito, President of Citadel Securities, stated on Thursday at the Semafor World Economic Forum in Washington, D.C., that the firm is “fully capable” of providing liquidity to prediction markets—but explicitly expressed no interest in sports-event contracts. Instead, he emphasized the value of prediction markets for hedging geopolitical risks, citing the U.S. midterm elections this November as “one of the greatest risks facing investors’ portfolios.” Esposito noted that as platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket continue to grow rapidly, the prediction market is poised for sustained expansion—naturally drawing Citadel Securities into the space. Notably, Zhao Peng, CEO of Citadel Securities, participated last year in Kalshi’s $185 million funding round.
Polymarket probability of “CLARITY Act takes effect in 2026” rises to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours
The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that the probability of Polymarket's "CLARITY Act takes effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours.The event contract rules state: If the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise, it is "No." The primary source of information is the Congress.gov website (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official U.S. government information, although other reliable reports may also be referenced.Coinbase has indicated that key disagreements regarding stablecoin holding yield provisions have been resolved with traditional banking institutions, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance the crypto market structure bill. Previously, banks had lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily due to concerns over capital outflows from the deposit banking system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that the final plan, while adding some restrictions, still preserves room for users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on actual usage scenarios. This development is expected to push the CLARITY Act toward a voting process in the Senate Banking Committee.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
U.S. Senate Bans Lawmakers from Participating in Prediction Market Trading
The U.S. Senate has unanimously passed a resolution (S. Res. 708) prohibiting senators from participating in prediction market trading, effective immediately. The proposal, introduced by Bernie Moreno, aims to curb speculative trading using non-public information.Several recent related incidents have drawn regulatory attention, including cases where individuals profited from prediction markets using confidential information. Meanwhile, platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are also strengthening internal controls to prevent insider trading.At the state level, New York and Illinois have also implemented similar measures, restricting public officials from using non-public information to participate in prediction markets.
Polymarket launches on-chain market integrity monitoring system to combat insider trading
Polymarket announced the launch of an on-chain market integrity monitoring system solution to monitor trading behavior and enforce platform market compliance rules. The system will be built in collaboration with blockchain data analytics firm Chainalysis, covering the entire Polymarket DeFi transaction process, including real-time on-chain analysis of trading, positions, and settlement data, and identifying potential misconduct through multi-layered monitoring mechanisms, with a focus on insider trading and market manipulation.Polymarket stated that all its transactions are completed on a public blockchain. This collaboration will further amplify the advantages of on-chain transparency, enabling regulators and law enforcement agencies to obtain verifiable on-chain evidence, thereby establishing new compliance standards in the prediction market sector. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan stated that the platform has emphasized transparency and traceability since its inception, and this collaboration will further solidify its positioning as a "trustworthy source of market information." (Businesswire)
Polymarket is in discussions with the CFTC to push for a full relaunch for U.S. users
Polymarket is in communication with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), seeking to reopen its main platform to users in the United States. If approved, this could mean the lifting of restrictions on U.S. users that have been in place since its 2022 settlement with the CFTC.According to the report, Polymarket had already made a limited return to the U.S. market through the regulated QCEX structure. A full return would further intensify the competitive landscape of the U.S. prediction market. (Cointelegraph)
MegaETH Announces Eight-Week Odyssey Ahead of TGE, Tomorrow's TGE Probability Reaches 97%
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Channel shows that the probability of "MegaETH TGE Tomorrow" on Polymarket is currently at 97%, up 6% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of nearly $2.5 million.Additionally, last night MegaETH announced the launch of its Odyssey event, running from April 28 to June 23. After the event concludes, eligible participants will receive rewards based on their activity level, subject to meeting qualification requirements, sanctions screening, and successful completion of KYC verification.This market will settle as "Yes" if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date indicated in the title; otherwise, it will settle as "No".The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; a mere announcement does not constitute fulfilling the condition.This market primarily relies on official information from MegaETH as the basis for settlement, while also referencing consensus formed by credible media reports.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.
Polymarket's "Powell says 'Good Afternoon' at April Press Conference" probability hits 98%, trading volume exceeds $57,000
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. As the transaction price is close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at $57,749.In related context, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. As his term is set to expire in mid-next month, this press conference is viewed as a final act of his career. Based on historical precedent, Powell habitually greets the media with "good afternoon" at the start of each press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high-interest-rate environment, bettors have shown extremely high consensus in predicting this customary phrasing.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Polymarket probability of “CLARITY Act takes effect in 2026” rises to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours
The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that the probability of Polymarket's "CLARITY Act takes effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours.The event contract rules state: If the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise, it is "No." The primary source of information is the Congress.gov website (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official U.S. government information, although other reliable reports may also be referenced.Coinbase has indicated that key disagreements regarding stablecoin holding yield provisions have been resolved with traditional banking institutions, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance the crypto market structure bill. Previously, banks had lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily due to concerns over capital outflows from the deposit banking system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that the final plan, while adding some restrictions, still preserves room for users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on actual usage scenarios. This development is expected to push the CLARITY Act toward a voting process in the Senate Banking Committee.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Polymarket launches on-chain market integrity monitoring system to combat insider trading
Polymarket announced the launch of an on-chain market integrity monitoring system solution to monitor trading behavior and enforce platform market compliance rules. The system will be built in collaboration with blockchain data analytics firm Chainalysis, covering the entire Polymarket DeFi transaction process, including real-time on-chain analysis of trading, positions, and settlement data, and identifying potential misconduct through multi-layered monitoring mechanisms, with a focus on insider trading and market manipulation.Polymarket stated that all its transactions are completed on a public blockchain. This collaboration will further amplify the advantages of on-chain transparency, enabling regulators and law enforcement agencies to obtain verifiable on-chain evidence, thereby establishing new compliance standards in the prediction market sector. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan stated that the platform has emphasized transparency and traceability since its inception, and this collaboration will further solidify its positioning as a "trustworthy source of market information." (Businesswire)
Polymarket's "Powell says 'Good Afternoon' at April Press Conference" probability hits 98%, trading volume exceeds $57,000
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. As the transaction price is close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at $57,749.In related context, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. As his term is set to expire in mid-next month, this press conference is viewed as a final act of his career. Based on historical precedent, Powell habitually greets the media with "good afternoon" at the start of each press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high-interest-rate environment, bettors have shown extremely high consensus in predicting this customary phrasing.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Polymarket probability of "Trump announcing the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade before May 31" rises to 63%, up 7% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Trump announcing the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade before May 31" has risen to 63%, up 7% in 24 hours.U.S. President Trump posted on social media: Iran has just informed us that they are in a "state of collapse." They want us to "open the Strait of Hormuz" as soon as possible so they can resolve their leadership issues (and I believe they can!).Meanwhile, the Deputy Commander of the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps Navy stated that Iran has achieved absolute control over the Strait of Hormuz and requires passing vessels to pay transit fees. He emphasized that the territorial sovereignty of the Strait of Hormuz is inviolable, and foreign vessels passing through this waterway must comply with rules set by Iran, including using the Persian language for communication. He said, "Without the Supreme Leader's order and the will of the people, Iran will never allow even a single liter of oil to flow out of the Strait." He also stated that the Iranian military is currently on high alert, with "fingers on the trigger." He claimed that U.S. hegemony in the Persian Gulf has ended and reaffirmed Iran's ability to respond to any form of naval blockade.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before the price is set.
An address deposited 978,000 ZRO tokens to Binance, valued at approximately $1.57 million.
According to on-chain analyst Yujin (@EmberCN), ZRO—the native token of LayerZero, the cross-chain bridge exploited by hackers in today’s rsETH vulnerability incident—fell 18% on the day, dropping from $1.90 to $1.50. Twenty minutes ago, a Polymarket user with the address “greenrooibos” deposited 978,000 ZRO tokens to Binance, valued at approximately $1.57 million. These ZRO tokens were withdrawn from Binance two weeks ago, when they were worth roughly $2.04 million; this deposit thus corresponds to a loss of approximately $470,000.
Multiple whale addresses sold off on-chain, causing AAVE to drop 15% in a single day.
According to on-chain analyst Yujin (@EmberCN), after the hacker borrowed a large amount of ETH from Aave by pledging illegally minted rsETH, multiple whale addresses sold AAVE on-chain, causing AAVE’s price to drop 15% that day. Among them, the Polymarket user “smaugvision” sold 20,015 AAVE at an average price of $102.9, worth approximately $2.06 million; address 0xFC5 sold 20,000 AAVE at an average price of $102.8, worth approximately $2.05 million; and address 0xA2E sold 19,665 AAVE at an average price of $99.2, worth approximately $1.95 million.
Prediction market platform Polymarket疑似遭遇数据泄露，逾30万条记录及漏洞利用工具包外泄
According to Dark Web Informer, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket is suspected of having been hacked. The threat actor “xorcat” posted over 300,000 data records and a corresponding exploit toolkit on a well-known cybercrime forum. The data extraction occurred on April 27, 2026. Reportedly, the attacker extracted data via an undisclosed API endpoint, pagination bypasses, and misconfigured CORS settings in Polymarket Gamma and the CLOB API. The leaked data includes: - Full personal information for 10,000 users (including names, proxy wallets, and base addresses); - 4,111 comments; - 1,000 moderation reports (including 58 ETH addresses and administrator authentication address identifiers); - Metadata for 48,536 Gamma markets; - Constant-product market maker addresses for over 250,000 active CLOB markets; and - Social graph data for 9,000 followers. The toolkit contains proof-of-concept code for multiple vulnerabilities, including CVE-2025-62718 (Axios NO_PROXY bypass, CVSS 9.9, enabling server-side request forgery), CVE-2024-51479 (Next.js middleware authentication bypass, CVSS 7.5), and the aforementioned CORS misconfigurations. Additionally, the toolkit includes automated continuous data-extraction scripts and a comprehensive red-team report (including M
Polymarket Launches "When Will the Next Cryptocurrency Hack Exceeding $100 Million in Losses Occur"
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market: "When will the next cryptocurrency hack exceeding $100 million in losses occur". This market primarily references the Rekt News leaderboard as the adjudication source, and can also use publicly recognized reliable reports as a basis. Currently, this prediction market has set four time nodes: April 30, June 30, September 30, and December 31.The event contract rules are: This is a market regarding whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an attack or hack valued at a minimum of $100 million equivalent between the market creation and 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will ultimately resolve to "No". Hacks on decentralized exchanges and lending protocols will be counted.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
An address deposited 978,000 ZRO tokens to Binance, valued at approximately $1.57 million.
According to on-chain analyst Yujin (@EmberCN), ZRO—the native token of LayerZero, the cross-chain bridge exploited by hackers in today’s rsETH vulnerability incident—fell 18% on the day, dropping from $1.90 to $1.50. Twenty minutes ago, a Polymarket user with the address “greenrooibos” deposited 978,000 ZRO tokens to Binance, valued at approximately $1.57 million. These ZRO tokens were withdrawn from Binance two weeks ago, when they were worth roughly $2.04 million; this deposit thus corresponds to a loss of approximately $470,000.
Multiple whale addresses sold off on-chain, causing AAVE to drop 15% in a single day.
According to on-chain analyst Yujin (@EmberCN), after the hacker borrowed a large amount of ETH from Aave by pledging illegally minted rsETH, multiple whale addresses sold AAVE on-chain, causing AAVE’s price to drop 15% that day. Among them, the Polymarket user “smaugvision” sold 20,015 AAVE at an average price of $102.9, worth approximately $2.06 million; address 0xFC5 sold 20,000 AAVE at an average price of $102.8, worth approximately $2.05 million; and address 0xA2E sold 19,665 AAVE at an average price of $99.2, worth approximately $1.95 million.
Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" drops to 9%, down 25% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" has plummeted, now at 9%, down 25% in 24 hours; the probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before December 31" has dropped to 66%, down 11% in 24 hours.The rules for this event contract are: If Federal Reserve Chair Powell is no longer a member of the Board of Governors at any point during the target date (by 11:59 PM Eastern Time), it will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No." If Powell steps down as Fed Chair but remains a member of the Board of Governors, this does not meet the "Yes" condition. The judgment is based on information released by the U.S. government, but a consensus of credible reports may also serve as the basis.At this morning's press conference, Powell stated that after stepping down as Chair, he would remain on the Fed Board of Governors for "some time" and pledged to "keep a low profile." U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent responded, saying, "If Powell remains on the Board of Governors as a Fed Governor, that would be extraordinary. For someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision goes against tradition."The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing the changes before they are priced in.
Polymarket: Probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" drops to 63%, down over 30% in a day
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" has fallen to 63%, down over 30% in a day, with a trading volume of nearly $3.26 million.Printr is a cross-chain token issuance platform that supports users and AI agents in token issuance, trading, and staking across multiple blockchain environments. It is currently deployed on 8 blockchains including Solana, Base, BNB Chain, and Ethereum, offering features such as customizable fee structures, cross-chain trading, and staking incentive mechanisms.Data indicates that the project has currently raised over $2.46 million, with approximately 35 hours remaining until the fundraising concludes.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Hyperliquid Eyes Prediction Market, Plans to Explore Zero Opening Fee Model to Challenge Polymarket
Hyperliquid is accelerating its entry into the prediction market arena, planning to compete with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi through a newly launched "outcome tokens" mechanism.According to the recently disclosed fee structure, Hyperliquid adopts a "zero fee for opening positions, fees for closing or settlement" model for event trading, covering scenarios such as minting, trading, burning, and settlement. The platform also offers lower transaction costs for "aligned quote tokens," including market-making rebate increases and fee discount mechanisms. This feature will be introduced through the HIP-4 upgrade, enabling users to trade binary contracts based on real-world events within a single account, integrated with the existing spot and perpetual contract system to form a unified trading environment.The prediction market has grown rapidly in recent years, with total trading volume exceeding $63.5 billion in 2025. Hyperliquid's previously launched HIP-3 has driven its permissionless perpetual contract market to account for over 35% of the platform's trading volume. Currently, event tokens are still in the testnet phase, and the mainnet launch date has not yet been announced. However, the industry widely expects this to become a crucial infrastructure for Hyperliquid to challenge the existing prediction market landscape. (CoinDesk)
XBIT Surpasses $36 Million in Trading Volume Within Just One Month of Launch, Ranking Top 4 Among Polymarket Builders
as of the end of April, crypto trading aggregation platform XBIT ranked 4th on the official Polymarket Builder leaderboard with a monthly trading volume of $36.12 million.The project was officially launched in early April, and XBIT has recently passed the official Polymarket Builder review.Currently, XBIT has launched two core categories: Prediction Market and Perpetual Contracts (Perp DEX). Its next step is to launch a leveraged prediction market, further enriching the aggregated trading experience.
MegaETH Announces Eight-Week Odyssey Ahead of TGE, Tomorrow's TGE Probability Reaches 97%
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Channel shows that the probability of "MegaETH TGE Tomorrow" on Polymarket is currently at 97%, up 6% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of nearly $2.5 million.Additionally, last night MegaETH announced the launch of its Odyssey event, running from April 28 to June 23. After the event concludes, eligible participants will receive rewards based on their activity level, subject to meeting qualification requirements, sanctions screening, and successful completion of KYC verification.This market will settle as "Yes" if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date indicated in the title; otherwise, it will settle as "No".The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; a mere announcement does not constitute fulfilling the condition.This market primarily relies on official information from MegaETH as the basis for settlement, while also referencing consensus formed by credible media reports.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.
Polymarket's "Powell says 'Good Afternoon' at April Press Conference" probability hits 98%, trading volume exceeds $57,000
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. As the transaction price is close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at $57,749.In related context, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. As his term is set to expire in mid-next month, this press conference is viewed as a final act of his career. Based on historical precedent, Powell habitually greets the media with "good afternoon" at the start of each press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high-interest-rate environment, bettors have shown extremely high consensus in predicting this customary phrasing.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Related news
Polymarket probability of “CLARITY Act takes effect in 2026” rises to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours
The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that the probability of Polymarket's "CLARITY Act takes effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours.The event contract rules state: If the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise, it is "No." The primary source of information is the Congress.gov website (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official U.S. government information, although other reliable reports may also be referenced.Coinbase has indicated that key disagreements regarding stablecoin holding yield provisions have been resolved with traditional banking institutions, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance the crypto market structure bill. Previously, banks had lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily due to concerns over capital outflows from the deposit banking system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that the final plan, while adding some restrictions, still preserves room for users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on actual usage scenarios. This development is expected to push the CLARITY Act toward a voting process in the Senate Banking Committee.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Polymarket and Kalshi cumulative trading volume surpasses $150 billion
the cumulative trading volume of prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi surpassed $150 billion in April, but this marked the end of seven consecutive months of record monthly growth.Data shows that Polymarket's number of active trading users decreased from 733,000 in March to approximately 643,000, driving a decline in overall market trading volume. However, its U.S. business continues to grow, and Kalshi's performance also remains on an upward trend.
Fun Raises $72 Million in Series A Funding, Led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire
According to Fortune, payments infrastructure startup Fun has announced a $72 million Series A funding round, co-led by Multicoin Capital and SignalFire, with participation from Infinity Ventures, Pharsalus Capital, and Justin Mateen, co-founder of Tinder. Fun primarily provides cryptocurrency and fiat deposit/withdrawal infrastructure for platforms such as Polymarket, Lighter, and Aave, processing over $18 billion in annual payments. The company plans to use the new funds to expand its team of approximately 30 people.
Polymarket Launches "When Will Epstein's Will Be Released"
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market on "When will Epstein's will be released." The market's settlement rule is: if any letter or written message written by Jeffrey Epstein and intended as a will is publicly disclosed before the deadline of 11:59 PM ET on the specified date, this prediction market will be resolved as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be resolved as "No."To meet the criteria, the will must be confirmed by credible reports to be written in Jeffrey Epstein's own handwriting and must be in the nature of a will, last testament, or a written statement of equivalent character.Odaily Seer stays focused on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
U.S. Senate Bans Lawmakers from Participating in Prediction Market Trading
The U.S. Senate has unanimously passed a resolution (S. Res. 708) prohibiting senators from participating in prediction market trading, effective immediately. The proposal, introduced by Bernie Moreno, aims to curb speculative trading using non-public information.Several recent related incidents have drawn regulatory attention, including cases where individuals profited from prediction markets using confidential information. Meanwhile, platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are also strengthening internal controls to prevent insider trading.At the state level, New York and Illinois have also implemented similar measures, restricting public officials from using non-public information to participate in prediction markets.
Polymarket probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 bps in 2026" rises to 58%, up 9% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 bps in 2026" has risen to 58%, up 9% in the past 24 hours. To date, the total trading volume for the "How many 25 bps rate cuts by the Fed in 2026" prediction event has approached $22 million.The contract rules for this event are: Settlement is based on the actual number of 25 basis point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 (including any cuts at the December meeting). If the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points following one meeting, it will be counted as two separate 25 bps cuts. Emergency rate cuts outside of the regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings will also be included in the total number of rate cuts for 2026. The market will remain open until 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026. If the specified number of rate cuts cannot be achieved, the market will resolve to "No" early.Following the release of U.S. economic data today, U.S. interest rate futures data indicated a slight increase in market expectations for the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2026.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing change before the price is set.