News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Lorenzo Valente, Head of Digital Asset Research at investment firm ARK Invest, stated that Hyperliquid is in discussions with the CFTC and SEC to facilitate the offering of perpetual futures on its public chain by U.S.-regulated companies. He suggested that Hyperliquid acquire Gemini to position it as a U.S.-regulated HIP-3/4 deployer. He noted that Gemini's current market value is approximately $450 million, representing a decline of over 85% from its $3.3 billion valuation at the time of its 2025 IPO. Hyperliquid could obtain Gemini's entire U.S. regulatory infrastructure—including the NYDFS Trust Charter, DCM, DCO, FCM, MTLs, and Broker-dealer—for approximately $450 million.He further proposed that Hyperliquid could use approximately 7.9 million HYPE tokens from its community reserve, valued at around $550 million at $70 per token, to complete the acquisition at a premium of roughly 20% over Gemini's current market value. Following the transaction, Gemini would handle KYC, custody, fiat on/off ramps, brokerage, clearing, and compliance for the U.S. market, while Hyperliquid L1 would provide the underlying market infrastructure, liquidity, and on-chain settlement. He cited Polymarket's acquisition of QCEX as a similar precedent for re-entering the U.S. market, and stated that the core of this potential deal is not acquiring an exchange, but rather securing the regulatory bridge for HIP-3/4 to enter the U.S. market.
According to Bloomberg, Jeff Sprecher, CEO of Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, stated that the company will monitor the new funding round for prediction market platform Polymarket and consider participating if it helps facilitate the round. Previously, ICE had invested over $1.6 billion in Polymarket.
Odaily News: According to the official announcement from MSX, the platform has officially opened redemption applications for Phase 2 Pre-IPO projects, Anthropic and Polymarket.Official data shows that as of the latest valuation, the Polymarket subscription price has risen from $152/share to $202.67/share, representing an unrealized gain of 33.3%. Anthropic's latest valuation also exceeds its subscription price.With this redemption window now open, users can choose based on their own needs to either apply for redemption at the latest market price and settle in USDT, or continue holding until the underlying projects complete their IPOs.Previously, MSX had already completed the full trading cycle for Phase 1 Pre-IPO projects, $CBRS.M and $SPCX.M, from subscription to listing. Users can log in to the MSX platform to view specific redemption rules and asset status.
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket odds of "Anthropic becoming the largest IPO of 2026" stand at 45%, up 37% over the week, just slightly below SpaceX's 55%.As recently as last week, SpaceX held a commanding lead in the "largest IPO of 2026" race. But this week, Anthropic has rapidly narrowed the gap. According to market reports, Anthropic is actively advancing its listing plans, with an IPO potentially coming as early as October. Some Anthropic investors expect the company to go public at a valuation of $2 trillion or higher — a staggering figure that would surpass SpaceX.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "Anthropic valuation hits target this year," the probability of reaching $1.5 trillion this year has risen to 76%, up 13% in 24 hours. The probability of reaching $1.25 trillion has risen to 92%, up 8% in 24 hours.According to the settlement rules, this market primarily relies on the private market valuation of Anthropic as published by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic completes an IPO or direct listing during this period, the valuation corresponding to the official offering price and the public market capitalization after listing will also be included in the settlement basis. Currently, NPM data cited on the Polymarket page shows a valuation of approximately $1.13 trillion.Previously, according to The Wall Street Journal, Anthropic plans to go public in September or early October, though the specific offering price and timeline have not yet been announced. If successfully listed, it could become one of the largest IPOs in history.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead of the curve and seize opportunities first.
Odaily News: Prediction market platform Polymarket is undergoing an organizational upgrade in preparation for the upcoming fall trading peak, bringing in several new executives, restructuring its marketing system, and strengthening its compliance team in preparation for U.S. market expansion. Polymarket recently hired Travis VanderZanden, founder of shared e-scooter company Bird and former Uber and Lyft executive, as Chief Growth Officer, responsible for the company's growth strategy and marketing system development. VanderZanden stated that the prediction market is at a critical stage of rapid development, and the company needs to further improve its management team to support long-term growth.This adjustment comes as Polymarket faces regulatory scrutiny. Previously, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) had launched an investigation into its business model, related to the platform's marketing activities and promotional partnership policies. Sources say Polymarket has restructured its marketing department, updated rules for promotional partners, and provided relevant training to employees, while also hiring consulting firm AlixPartners to oversee whether content published by partners complies with the new standards.Meanwhile, Polymarket continues to strengthen its compliance and risk management capabilities for its U.S. operations. The company's U.S. trading platform has added several new executives in regulatory and risk roles, including former Robinhood executive Megan McGrath as Chief Compliance Officer for the U.S. platform, former Coinbase executive Natalie Oblazny overseeing U.S. regulatory affairs, former FBI and Coinbase employee Shana Bautista as Head of Global Investigations and Intelligence, and former Nasdaq executive Paul Jordan as Chief Risk Officer for the U.S. platform.Polymarket's U.S. trading platform went live in May this year and operates independently from its international business. With the NFL new season kicking off in September and the U.S. midterm elections approaching in November, the market expects a new wave of growth in prediction market trading activity.Previously, Polymarket had already become one of the representative platforms in the prediction market space and continues to seek expanded fundraising. According to reports, the company is currently seeking a new funding round at a valuation exceeding $20 billion. As institutional investors and professional traders gradually enter the prediction market, Polymarket is attempting to transform from a retail-facing, betting-style prediction platform into a more mature financial market infrastructure. (CNBC)
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch" has dropped to 6%, down 25% in the past 24 hours.This event will be settled on day 1 after the GRVT governance token goes live, based on whether its fully diluted valuation (FDV) is higher than the specified value in the title.If the FDV on day 1 after the GRVT token listing is higher than the specified value, the event settles as "Yes"; otherwise, it settles as "No".For the token listing, it must meet the conditions of being publicly transferable and tradeable. FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price."Day 1 after listing" is defined as 16:00 (ET) on the next calendar day after the listing date. The settlement price will reference the most liquid price source.Previously reported, Binance Futures has listed the GRVTUSDT perpetual contract with up to 10x leverage.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.
Prediction market traders have priced the probability of OpenAI publicly releasing GPT-6 by September 30 at approximately 78%. The Polymarket related market trading volume is about $731,000, an increase of approximately $32,000 from the previous index snapshot; probability for the contract releasing before September 30 has risen to 77%, probability for release before August 31 is in the mid-30% range, and probability for release before August 21 has dropped to 15%. On Myriad, the probability for a September release has also risen to 77%, up from 64% last week. As of July 27, OpenAI has not yet publicly announced GPT-6, its technical design, or a release date. Its current flagship general-purpose model, GPT-5.6 Sol, was publicly released on July 9. OpenAI previously confirmed that GPT-5.6 Sol and a more capable pre-release model breached Hugging Face during a cybersecurity evaluation. The company also announced the addition of 250 new positions in Dublin, while SoftBank is providing financing for OpenAI's related initiatives through a $40 billion bridge loan.
: Prediction market platform Pascal has announced the completion of a $9 million Series A funding round. The platform aims to create a next-generation prediction market platform for professional traders and institutional users, challenging the current market landscape dominated by Kalshi and Polymarket.This funding round was led by Union Square Ventures (USV), with the specific valuation not disclosed. This financing expands on a $6 million seed round from August last year, with early investors including Wintermute Ventures and DBA.Headquartered in New York, Pascal positions itself as a prediction market platform similar to Kalshi, but aims to offer users lower fees, higher liquidity, and more specialized trading tools through a trading model closer to perpetual futures.Pascal co-founder Ivo Crnkovic-Rubsamen stated that the hope is to establish highly liquid prediction markets for real business risks in the future, allowing companies to utilize these markets for risk management and hedging. (Fortune)
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, for the prediction event "Anthropic's highest valuation this year," the probability of Anthropic reaching a $1.5 trillion valuation by the end of 2026 has risen to 78%, up 47% in 24 hours; the probability of reaching $2 trillion has risen to 37%, up 19% in 24 hours.On June 1, Anthropic confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the U.S. SEC, officially initiating its IPO process in the United States. Recently, research firm SemiAnalysis released a report stating that Anthropic is expected to achieve $1 billion in GAAP operating profit in the third quarter of 2026, with an operating profit margin of 6%.Join the PPP Signal Push Community, stay one step ahead, and seize the opportunity.https://polymarket.com/zh/event/will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31
Polymarket-backed AI data analysis platform Polysights announced the completion of a $1.5 million Pre-Seed funding round, with participation from YZi Labs, Maven11, Varys Capital, Contribution Capital, and Edge Ventures. The platform is currently in its Beta stage, and the new funds will support its use of AI technology to detect wallet clustering behavior, abnormal market fluctuations, and potential insider trading signs, providing data analysis support for traders, research institutions, and institutional investors (CNBC).
prediction market platform Kalshi is in talks to raise a new round of funding at a valuation of approximately $40 billion, with a potential deal closing as early as the third quarter. Last month, Kalshi completed a $1 billion funding round from investors including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Coatue, and Morgan Stanley, at a valuation of $22 billion.Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated that the company is considering an IPO, but it will not go public in 2026, with a potential listing likely no earlier than late 2027 or 2028. Kalshi reported that as of April 2026, its annualized trading volume reached $178 billion, a 32-fold increase year-over-year.Kalshi is currently embroiled in a legal dispute between U.S. state and federal regulators over the oversight of prediction markets. The controversy includes whether sports event contracts constitute derivatives regulated by the CFTC or illegal gambling. CME has sued the CFTC over its approval of Kalshi's "perpetual" futures, Kentucky sued Kalshi and Polymarket this month, and the CFTC subsequently sued Kentucky to block its enforcement action. (Decrypt)
according to sources familiar with the matter, prediction market platform Kalshi is seeking to raise new funds at a valuation of approximately $40 billion, nearly double its previous fundraising target of $22 billion.The fundraising could be completed as early as the third quarter of this year. If the deal is successful, Kalshi will expand its valuation lead over competitor Polymarket, which was previously reported to be seeking funding at a valuation of $15 billion.Previously, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated in an interview with CNBC that the company is considering an eventual initial public offering, but it will not happen before 2027. (Coindesk)
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket "Arcium FDV Above $300M One Day After Launch" probability has risen to 93%, up 58% in 24 hours.According to the rules, if the fully diluted valuation of Arcium's officially issued token exceeds the target value at 4:00 PM Eastern Time on the day after its launch, the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No."FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. Only tokens officially issued by Arcium that are publicly tradable are valid. Stablecoins, Meme coins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic assets are excluded from the calculation. If Arcium has not issued a token by 23:59 Eastern Time on December 31, 2027, the event will be settled as "No."Previous news: Binance Futures will list the ARXUSDT perpetual contract.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, spotting changes before prices are set.
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that the probability of "o1 TGE market cap exceeding $400 million on day 2" on Polymarket has risen to 89%, up 81% in 24 hours.This event will be settled based on the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of the o1 governance token one day after its launch. If the FDV of the o1 governance token at 16:00 Eastern Time on the day following its launch is higher than the stated value in the title, it will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No."The token must be publicly available, transferable, and tradable to be considered fully launched. FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price, with the price source being the most liquid source at the time. If o1 fails to launch a token before 23:59 Eastern Time on December 31, 2027, the event will settle as "No."Previous news: o1.exchange completes $4.2 million financing, co-led by Coinbase Ventures and AllianceDAOThe Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket for "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30" has risen to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours.This event will be settled based on Anthropic's private market valuation data released by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic's NPM Price reaches or exceeds the specified amount between the market creation and June 30, 2026, the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No".Anthropic's latest funding round was completed on May 28, achieving a post-money valuation of $965 billion after its $65 billion Series H round, just one step away from common short-term thresholds like $1 trillion. With this prediction market set to settle on June 30, traders are monitoring secondary market liquidity and whether any new primary financing or tender offer activity could push its implied valuation higher within the remaining window. Recent estimates show Anthropic's annualized revenue run rate is approaching $47 billion, continuing to support investor demand. However, no new funding announcements have emerged since late May, and IPO preparations remain longer-term.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
According to Odaily, the crypto derivatives contract SPCX, linked to a potential SpaceX IPO, has seen a rebound on the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, reigniting market expectations for the space company founded by Elon Musk's first day of trading.Data shows that the SPCX contract traded back up to approximately $176 to $183 on Friday, recovering from a dip to around $153 earlier this week. This marks a significant bounce from the roughly $157 level observed when market attention peaked on Wednesday. The contract currently has an open interest of about $216 million, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $150 million.SPCX does not represent ownership of SpaceX stock, allocation rights, or equity in the company; it is a cash-settled derivative. However, with the SpaceX IPO price set at $135 per share, the market views this contract as a key benchmark for gauging investor expectations of the opening price on the first day of listing.At the current price of around $183, SPCX implies a first-day premium of about 36% for SpaceX. Earlier, in May, the contract surged to $216, corresponding to a roughly 60% premium over the IPO price. When the contract fell to $157 earlier this week, the implied market premium narrowed to about 16%.Meanwhile, other informal market signals also indicate a rebound in investor sentiment. Bloomberg reports that derivatives data from IG International implies a market valuation for SpaceX of approximately $2.4 trillion, which is over 35% higher than the roughly $1.77 trillion valuation implied by the IPO price. Additionally, Polymarket users are currently assigning a 70% probability to SpaceX's market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion at the close of its first trading day.SPCX had previously fallen by about 30% over several weeks, reflecting traders' cautious stance on SpaceX's listing performance. The recent rebound suggests the market is re-pricing the potential for a higher valuation premium from the SpaceX IPO. (CoinDesk)
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event for the opening price range of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq.SpaceX is scheduled to officially list on Nasdaq on June 12 (U.S. time). According to its compliance filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in early June, the official IPO price has been set at $135 per share, corresponding to a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion. Although the offering price has been determined, institutional oversubscription orders are reportedly exceeding $10 billion, fueling market expectations for a premium from the "first-day pop." However, given the high valuation multiple of 90 times price-to-sales and intense competition in the rocket launch market, the first-day opening premium may be relatively moderate. Under the event's settlement rules, the market will strictly settle based on the official opening price of SpaceX on its first trading day on the primary exchange. If the final opening price falls exactly at the boundary between two ranges, the higher range will be used for settlement.Odaily Seer remains focused on prediction markets. See the change before the price is set.
digital asset platform Gate has released its May 2026 transparency report. The report indicates that multi-asset trading and prediction markets are becoming key growth engines for the platform. As of the end of May, Gate had listed 605 CFD trading assets, covering multiple categories including stocks, indices, forex, metals, and commodities, ranking among the top globally among crypto trading platforms in terms of asset count. Additionally, Gate Stocks allows users to trade over 10,000 US stocks and ETFs from major U.S. markets using USDT, covering the main U.S. securities trading markets and liquidity networks. The platform's direct IPO first-phase project, SpaceX, saw意向 subscription amounts exceed $100 million.Meanwhile, the platform continues to deepen its presence in the prediction market sector. Gate has deeply integrated Polymarket, launching features such as smart money tracking, wallet monitoring, top holdings, profit/loss statistics, and AI analysis. As the first CEX platform to integrate Polymarket, Gate continues to strengthen its advantage as a prediction market gateway, maintaining a leading position in user participation scale, market activity, and ecosystem influence.Furthermore, Gate's flagship event, WCTC S8, successfully concluded in May, attracting over 80,000 participants and 9,500 registered teams. The cumulative total weighted trading volume for the event exceeded $50 billion, with the CFD segment alone accounting for a cumulative trading volume of over $140 billion, reflecting the strong growth momentum of traditional financial assets within crypto trading scenarios. As stablecoins, RWA, asset tokenization, and prediction markets emerge as new growth engines for the industry, Gate will continue to expand its business layout in stocks, forex, and IPOs, aiming to build a comprehensive one-stop global digital financial services platform.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "On the second trading day of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on the Nasdaq, will its opening price be greater than or equal to its first-day closing price (i.e., open higher on the second day)?"SpaceX officially submitted its S-1 prospectus on May 20 and is scheduled to list on the Nasdaq on June 12. This IPO breaks tradition by adopting a fixed price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion, with a valuation of $1.75 trillion. Market traders are divided: positions betting on a higher opening on the second day are mainly supported by Starlink's strong revenue performance and the potential of space-based orbital data centers and computing power from the merger with xAI (restructured as SpaceXAI) in February 2026. Meanwhile, cautious short positions are primarily concerned about its high trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 90x, the significant losses from its AI business, and the amplifying effect of Musk's dual-class share structure on stock price volatility in the early stages of listing.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the price is set.