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Odaily News JPMorgan has warned that despite global major stock indices remaining in an uptrend, markets could face a pullback risk from late summer into early autumn. The bank noted that the internal structure of the U.S. stock market has been deteriorating recently, with capital rotating into defensive assets and investor confidence in artificial intelligence (AI)-related stocks weakening. JPMorgan strategist Jason Hunter pointed out that the current AI trading frenzy bears similarities to the tech stock bubble of 1999–2000, and that overheated positioning in the tech sector could heighten the risk of a correction.In addition, persistently rising U.S. Treasury yields, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and a slowdown in consumer spending were also cited by JPMorgan as potential sources of market pressure.JPMorgan believes that the current AI investment cycle still holds long-term growth potential, but in the near term, market valuations, crowded positioning, and investor expectations could expose tech stocks to greater volatility risk.
According to Chaoxiang Research, a Morgan Chase report dated August 19 noted that the individualized neoantigen therapy (INT) co-developed by Moderna and Merck met its primary endpoint of recurrence-free survival in the Phase III adjuvant melanoma trial, with the key secondary endpoint of distant metastasis-free survival also being achieved. JPMorgan previously assigned an 85% probability of success to this trial, viewing the results as in line with expectations and already factored into the stock price prior to the announcement. Moderna’s shares rose in pre-market trading, yet JPMorgan maintained an Underweight rating and a $40 price target, representing a 36% downside from the current $63. JPMorgan noted that the adjuvant melanoma indication contributes only approximately 3% to valuation, and INT data in non-melanoma indications remains the key variable driving valuation. The current valuation model already incorporates roughly $15 per share for the potential value of other indications. The price target is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model using a 10.5% weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and a 0% terminal growth rate.
Odaily News, according to sources familiar with the matter, Anthropic expects its IPO scale to match or exceed the record level set by SpaceX. The company is conducting relevant calculations and preparing to publicly submit its IPO application documents as early as the end of August. SpaceX's initial IPO raised $75 billion, which reached $86.2 billion after including the overallotment option.In May of this year, Anthropic raised $65 billion at a valuation of $965 billion, and by the end of July, its revenue run rate reached $65 billion. In addition, the company is working with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan to advance the IPO, and is considering adopting super-voting shares to grant CEO Dario Amodei and other co-founders greater control over the company. (BloomBerg)
Odaily News: As Anthropic prepares for an IPO, its annualized revenue run rate had surpassed $65 billion (approximately 92 trillion KRW) as of the end of July, representing a more than sevenfold increase from the end of last year. The figure was disclosed in regular operating data reports shared with major investors.Anthropic's full-year 2025 revenue has already exceeded $9 billion, reaching $47 billion in May this year. Preliminary second-quarter revenue surpassed $11.5 billion, compared to $787 million in the same period last year—a roughly 15-fold increase. Adjusted operating profit is expected to turn profitable.Anthropic has hired Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as lead underwriters for its IPO, with JPMorgan also participating in the transaction. Following its latest funding round, the company is valued at $965 billion, one of the highest valuations among private companies. (ETNews SW)
According to Chaoxiang Research, JPMorgan's expert commentary on August 12 noted that SanDisk will hold an Investor Day on August 13. The market expects management to provide guidance for annual revenue growth of over 20%, flat gross margin, operating leverage driving EPS growth of over 20% to 30%, and significantly reduced cyclicality. Investor communications indicate the market expects the annual buyback ratio to be around 10%. To date, SanDisk has signed 8 customers and 10 LTAs, covering over 50% of FY2027 wafer capacity, with minimum revenue commitments reaching $93.9 billion. The HBM market is moving from standardization to customization; Micron stated that HBM4E will usher in the era of "customized SKUs," and the ratio of HBM encroachment on traditional DRAM capacity has worsened from 3:1 to approximately 4:1. eSSDs now account for 48% of global NAND shipments, up from just 26% a year ago, with industry revenue increasing fivefold year-over-year. JPM judges that the combination of LTAs, HBM customization, and changes in eSSD demand structure is pushing memory chips from a commodity cycle to a structural cycle, and valuation methodologies may need adjustment. Quantinuum's quantum computer commercialization is accelerating, with CY27 revenue guidance exceeding $60 million (+34%); JPM maintains a $97 price target and Overweight rating. Super Micro Computer F4Q26 gross margin of 17.6% exceeded guidance, orders exceeded 6
According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's US stock strategy report on August 9 raised the S&P 500 year-end target price from 7,800 points to 8,000 points, the 2026 EPS forecast from $358 to $365 (+35%), and the 2027 EPS forecast to $420 (+15%). Among the 87% of companies that have disclosed earnings, 78% beat earnings expectations, with Q2 earnings growth reaching 53%. The report noted that AI capital expenditure is expected to reach $900 billion in 2026 (+85%), surpassing $1.2 trillion in 2027, with hyperscale vendors accounting for approximately 87%. However, cloud revenue realization is accelerating: AWS up 37%, Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%; AWS backlog orders increased 36% quarter-over-quarter to $496 billion, and Google backlog orders increased by $55 billion to $514 billion. JPMorgan believes the order coverage ratio is improving, and monetization pace is catching up with spending pace. Excluding Google and Amazon's combined $152 billion in unrealized private equity gains (mainly from Anthropic's $65 billion financing), Q2 actual earnings growth was about 31%, and 2026 normalized EPS is about $347 (+28%). JPMorgan maintains the assumption of approximately 20x forward P/E ratio for the S&P 500 index unchanged, stating that the earnings upward revision is sufficient to
Odaily News: Brad Lightcap, Special Projects Lead and former Chief Operating Officer (COO) at OpenAI, is set to leave the company. Over the past year, Lightcap's responsibilities at OpenAI have been adjusted multiple times, with his most recent role being in charge of "special projects."Lightcap has long been a core member of OpenAI's management team. Earlier in 2026, during a company executive reshuffle, he transitioned from the COO position to lead special projects, overseeing cross-company matters including complex deals and strategic investments, reporting directly to CEO Sam Altman. His departure comes at a time when OpenAI is continuously expanding its commercialization efforts, advancing enterprise business, and pursuing strategic partnerships. Previously, the company had undergone multiple rounds of organizational restructuring, including transferring some COO responsibilities to other executives.Brad Lightcap joined OpenAI in 2018, having previously worked at Y Combinator and JPMorgan. He has been one of the key operations and business leaders during OpenAI's transformation from a research institution into a commercial AI company. (The Information)
Odaily News According to Gate Ventures' latest weekly report, global risk assets have shown a clear recovery over the past week, with major US stock indices collectively hitting new all-time highs. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.58%, 5.19%, and 2.96%, respectively. The crypto market also rebounded in tandem, with BTC up 2.1% on the week and ETH up 1.4%, bringing the total cryptocurrency market cap up 1.4%. On the capital flows front, BTC spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $853 million for the week, while ETH spot ETFs saw net inflows of $244.9 million, indicating further improvement in institutional demand.In terms of industry developments, the integration of traditional finance and blockchain continues to advance. BlackRock has appointed JPMorgan to push forward the tokenization of a European money market fund, exploring 24/7 transfer of blockchain-based fund shares. Grayscale has filed an S-1 registration statement for the first US Worldcoin ETF, further deepening the connection between digital assets and traditional financial markets. Stablecoin infrastructure also remained active, with Yellow Card completing a $40 million strategic funding round and planning to expand its stablecoin account and payment infrastructure into Latin America and the Asia-Pacific markets.On the investment and financing front, eight deals were completed last week, with total disclosed funding reaching $90.64 million, focused on the infrastructure track. Overall, market risk appetite has seen some recovery, with institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure, stablecoins, and asset tokenization remaining key areas of continued industry focus.
According to Bloomberg, U.S. AI data center startup Global AI announced the completion of a $441 million (approximately 626 billion Korean won) financing round, led by JPMorgan Chase. Founded in 2024, Global AI positions itself as "the world's first sovereign AI hyperscale provider," specializing in designing, building, and operating exclusive AI data centers physically isolated (Air-gapped) from external networks for national and corporate clients, focusing on high-security sensitive task processing scenarios.
According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's August 6 research report cites LightCounting's latest forecast that the data communication market CAGR from 2025 to 2030 will reach 28%, with the scale increasing from $20 billion to over $70 billion. 1.6T products are the largest growth driver, with a CAGR of about 120%, contributing about $40 billion by 2030. After the NPO/CPO market is included in the addressable market calculation, it will exceed $18 billion by 2030, accounting for more than 25% share of the data center communication market. The telecom and data center interconnect market CAGR is 18%, reaching $9 billion by 2030. In terms of short-term financial reports, JPMorgan believes COHR has the highest earnings certainty, with revenue and profit margins expected to continue improving; market concerns over LITE are excessive, with valuation corresponding to only 22x 2028 EPS, leaving room to exceed expectations; FN needs September quarterly guidance to boost confidence. In terms of customer landscape, Google is expected to become the largest optical component purchaser by 2030, and Meta will lead NPO/CPO deployment. For Nvidia, short-term share rebounds to 25% due to 1.6T, but long-term share is expected to drop from 18% to 12%.
According to Bloomberg, SoftBank Group (SoftBank) has successfully secured a $10 billion margin loan by pledging its OpenAI shares as collateral. The loan has a two-year term, and lenders include Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Mizuho Securities, Apollo Global Funding, and SMBC. SoftBank plans to complete the drawdown this month.
According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's research report on July 29 noted that the South Korea KOSPI Index has fallen nearly 40% from its high on June 22, leveraged ETF size shrank from $50 billion to $17 billion, the hedge fund long/short ratio dropped from 5.7x to 3.2x, and deleveraging progress has exceeded 90%. The KOSPI forward P/E ratio fell to 5x, at a crisis level. Foreign investors have cumulatively net sold over $110 billion, but 90% was concentrated in two memory chip giants. As their weights in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index decreased from 9.5% and 8.3% to 6.5% and 4.5%, passive selling pressure has significantly eased. JPMorgan believes that position clearing combined with cheap valuations means the South Korean stock market has entered a valuation repair window, and it is bullish on wealth effect-related sectors, biopharmaceuticals, preferred stocks, and bank stocks.
According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's US stock strategy report on July 20 estimates that global AI-related capital expenditure will approach $870 billion in 2026, up 77% year-on-year, with hyperscalers contributing about $750 billion. In 2027, growth rates remain high: Google +54% (approx. $300 billion), Amazon +42% (approx. $300 billion), Meta +42% (approx. $200 billion). Bond financing by the five major tech giants rose from $40 to 50 billion in 2022 to about $190 billion in 2026, and Google completed $85 billion in equity financing in June.
South Korea's KOSPI index rose as much as 6.2% during trading on Wednesday, bringing its cumulative gain over the past two trading days to nearly 10%. SK Hynix rose over 9% at one point, while Samsung Electronics gained more than 6%, with chip stocks leading the market rally.A recent report from JPMorgan indicated that approximately 75% of the de-leveraging process for leveraged ETF positions in South Korea has been completed. According to data from the Korea Financial Investment Association, as of July 16, the balance of margin loans in South Korea fell to 33.4 trillion won (approximately $22.6 billion), down 13% from its peak at the end of June.Additionally, as of Wednesday morning, foreign investors had net purchased over $1 billion worth of South Korean stocks, marking the first significant capital inflow in about a month. (Bloomberg)
According to Reuters, the PayPal board believes the $53 billion acquisition offer ($60.50 per share) jointly proposed by Stripe and private equity firm Advent International undervalues the company, and has concerns regarding regulatory approval risks and financing certainty; it has not yet formally responded to the proposal. The PayPal board believes that if management successfully executes the existing transformation strategy, the company's future potential value will far exceed the current offer. Meanwhile, the acquirers have obtained approximately $50 billion in financing support from JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley, with Stripe and Advent contributing a combined $17 billion in equity. Reportedly, if the parties encounter antitrust hurdles, they may consider divesting assets such as PayPal's Braintree to Advent. Despite differences, Stripe and Advent are still regarded as the most serious potential buyers at present, and negotiations are expected to continue for some time. PayPal will release its quarterly earnings report on July 28, and the market will closely monitor the growth of its core checkout business.
: AI dining platform Wonder announced the completion of a $650 million financing round, with participation from Accel, Google Ventures (GV), and NEA. New investors include ARK Invest, AllianceBernstein, and Kayne Anderson, with Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, and JPMorgan serving as placement agents. The company is developing an AI platform called "MEL," which automatically plans and orders meals tailored to individual needs by analyzing users' biometric indicators and physical conditions. It is reported that Wonder's post-money valuation has reached $9 billion, and the company plans to launch its initial public offering (IPO) early next year. (Fortune)
OdailyOdaily Planet Daily reports that Anthropic, the developer of the AI model Claude, is advancing plans for a large-scale IPO. Underwriter investment banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase have arranged preliminary meetings between the company's management and investors to gauge institutional investor interest and investment scale. Anthropic's goal is to go public as early as October. If the listing proceeds as planned, the company could enter the securities market ahead of its competitor, OpenAI. Anthropic raised $65 billion in its Series H financing in May, with a post-money valuation of $965 billion; its valuation in the over-the-counter market has already reached approximately $1.2 trillion. Measures by the U.S. government remain a variable factor.The U.S. Department of War listed Anthropic as a national security "supply chain risk" enterprise in March, and Anthropic has sued the federal government over the measure; the U.S. Department of Commerce restricted foreign access to the top-tier AI models Fable 5 and Mythos 5 in June, lifting the export controls 18 days later.
According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out in their latest report that although Strategy's Bitcoin selling plan has triggered market attention, it is not the core risk facing Bitcoin. The real structural threat lies in the fact that blockchain applications such as tokenization, payments, and settlements are increasingly occurring on permissioned chains (Permissioned Blockchain), rather than on public chains such as Ethereum. If this trend continues, the public chain ecosystem will face issues such as declining liquidity and weakened capital inflows, ultimately dragging down Bitcoin valuations. The analysts also warned that the proliferation of bank-built blockchain infrastructure and tokenized deposits could undermine the position of stablecoins in institutional payments; regulated alternatives such as SWIFT's blockchain plan, the digital euro, and the digital yuan also constitute competitive pressure. However, the analysts also pointed out that if hybrid public-private chain models emerge, stablecoin regulation becomes clearer, or Bitcoin continues to be held as "digital gold", the aforementioned risks may be mitigated.
as the 25-day quiet period following SpaceX's (SPCX) June IPO comes to an end, Wall Street analysts have begun releasing formal research reports. Multiple major brokerages have issued favorable ratings, indicating institutional investors remain optimistic about the company's long-term growth potential.As IPO underwriters, both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have assigned buy-equivalent ratings to SpaceX. Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan set a price target of $205, while Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas gave a target of $300. Additionally, institutions such as Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, and UBS have also initiated coverage with buy or equivalent ratings. Among them, Raymond James Financial provided the most optimistic forecast; analyst Brian Gesuale initiated coverage of SpaceX with a "Strong Buy" rating and a price target as high as $800, believing SpaceX will become "one of the most representative industrial infrastructure companies of the 21st century."Analysis suggests that market optimism towards SpaceX is primarily based on its布局 (layout/foundation) in areas such as rocket launches, Starlink satellite internet, and government contracts. At the same time, the company's communications business can provide a sustainable source of revenue and support future expansion of launch scale.As of March 31, 2026, SpaceX holds 18,712 Bitcoins. Wall Street believes that the concentrated coverage following the end of the IPO quiet period provides a window for institutional investors to conduct their first systematic assessment of SpaceX's valuation. The fact that nearly all major institutions simultaneously issued positive ratings is relatively rare for large-scale IPOs. (CoinDesk)
According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan released a research report stating that the financing model reform of Michael Saylor's Strategy Inc. has changed Bitcoin market dynamics—the company selectively sells Bitcoin to pay preferred stock dividends and manage its balance sheet, transforming it from one of the largest buyers in the Bitcoin market to a potential seller, introducing "avoidable" two-way flow risk to the market. JPMorgan believes that Strategy needs to hold liquidity reserves sufficient to cover dividend payments for the next two to three years to eliminate market concerns about the forced liquidation of its Bitcoin holdings.