JPMorgan: Expects SanDisk Investor Day Revenue Guidance to Grow Over 20% YoY, LTAs/HBM/eSSD Triple Factors Reshape Storage Cycle

According to Chaoxiang Research, JPMorgan's expert commentary on August 12 noted that SanDisk will hold an Investor Day on August 13. The market expects management to provide guidance for annual revenue growth of over 20%, flat gross margin, operating leverage driving EPS growth of over 20% to 30%, and significantly reduced cyclicality. Investor communications indicate the market expects the annual buyback ratio to be around 10%. To date, SanDisk has signed 8 customers and 10 LTAs, covering over 50% of FY2027 wafer capacity, with minimum revenue commitments reaching $93.9 billion. The HBM market is moving from standardization to customization; Micron stated that HBM4E will usher in the era of "customized SKUs," and the ratio of HBM encroachment on traditional DRAM capacity has worsened from 3:1 to approximately 4:1. eSSDs now account for 48% of global NAND shipments, up from just 26% a year ago, with industry revenue increasing fivefold year-over-year. JPM judges that the combination of LTAs, HBM customization, and changes in eSSD demand structure is pushing memory chips from a commodity cycle to a structural cycle, and valuation methodologies may need adjustment. Quantinuum's quantum computer commercialization is accelerating, with CY27 revenue guidance exceeding $60 million (+34%); JPM maintains a $97 price target and Overweight rating. Super Micro Computer F4Q26 gross margin of 17.6% exceeded guidance, orders exceeded 6