News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Individual investors in the Japanese stock market are increasingly using leverage to bet on the AI rally. According to a report by Nikkei on the 13th, as of July, the total margin trading amount by individual investors in the Japanese stock market reached 123 trillion yen (approximately 1.09 trillion yuan), doubling from the beginning of the year and hitting the highest level since comparable data began in 2016.Data shows that in June, the margin trading volume of Japanese individual investors hit a record high, and remained elevated in July. Meanwhile, margin trading’s share of total individual investor trading volume rose to 83%, also setting a new record.AI-related stocks have been a key driver behind the surge in margin trading. As AI stock prices fluctuate significantly, investors are borrowing funds or shares for short-term trades to capture pricing opportunities. Among them, AI memory stock Kioxia Holdings saw its margin buying balance reach 13.23 million shares as of August 7, making it one of the hot targets.Tomohiro Kubota, an analyst at Matsui Securities, noted that popular AI stocks such as Kioxia have recently exhibited high volatility, with active trading centered around short-term profit opportunities.Benefiting from the recent rise in the Japanese stock market, leveraged investors have performed relatively well overall. The floating profit rate of margin trading investors briefly turned positive in June—a rare occurrence—and although it slipped back to a loss of 8.4% at the end of July, it remains better than the 10-year average loss of -10.2%.However, analysts warn that the heating up of AI-themed trading has also amplified market volatility risks. Should popular AI stocks experience a sharp pullback, highly leveraged retail investors could face margin call pressure.
Odaily News, Glassnode reports that Bitcoin is currently trading between a median realized price of approximately $63,000 and a short-term holder cost basis of approximately $68,700. Spot trading volumes have dropped to their lowest levels since 2019, with the market in an extremely quiet state of compression. Core inflation fell to 2.5% in July and stock markets hit new highs, yet Bitcoin has shown almost no reaction or has even weakened, indicating a clear absence of demand. Selling pressure is subsiding, with profitable supply approaching levels seen at previous bear market bottoms. The seller exhaustion indicator has hit cycle lows, and the adjusted SOPR has been rejected near the breakeven line nine times.Meanwhile, buyers continue to stay on the sidelines, with negligible net inflows into ETFs and Bitcoin still flowing into exchanges. Derivatives leverage has already been heavily skewed toward longs ahead of time, open interest remains relatively high compared to trading volume, and order book bid depth is thinning. Glassnode identifies key levels to watch at approximately $68,700 to the upside and $58,500 to the downside. Only a decisive break above the former, accompanied by a recovery in trading volumes and ETF inflows, would confirm market improvement. If the latter is lost, an accelerated decline is likely given thin buying support and crowded long positioning. Glassnode states that Bitcoin is currently in the late-stage bear market compression phase, and no genuine demand signal has yet emerged.
According to CoinDesk, data from Blockware Intelligence shows that listed Bitcoin miners held a total of 127,000 BTC at the beginning of the year, which has now decreased to 99,000. Cumulative sell-offs within the year amount to approximately 28,000 BTC, valued at about $1.78 billion at current prices. Analysis points out that although this sell-off volume is smaller than the net outflows of over $4.4 billion from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, against the backdrop of a market downturn and weak buying pressure, the impact of consistent, steady marginal selling pressure on prices is often underestimated. BTC has cumulatively declined 27% since the beginning of 2026, underperforming major assets including the S&P 500. Furthermore, impacted by narrowing mining profits (the current average production cost per BTC is approximately $74,300), an increasing number of miners are pivoting to AI computing power businesses. Meanwhile, network-wide mining difficulty has dropped by about 18% from its November peak, and mining revenue for remaining miners has correspondingly increased by about 18%, as the industry competitive landscape is being reshaped.
Odaily News, according to Michael Burry Stock Tracker, Michael Burry has disclosed his latest position adjustments, which include increasing short positions in Nvidia (NVDA), Palantir (PLTR), Oracle (ORCL), Caterpillar (CAT), and the semiconductor ETF (SOXX). The corresponding prices for PLTR, ORCL, CAT, and SOXX are approximately $175, $145, $844, and $533, respectively. Meanwhile, he increased his long position in Molina Healthcare (MOH) at a price of around $198. His short position in Tesla (TSLA) remains unchanged.
Odaily News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the Alameda Research/FTX bankruptcy wallet transferred 201,780 SOL (approximately $15.2 million) to multiple BitGo custody wallets 10 hours after unstaking 201,740 SOL. The related funds are being redirected for over-the-counter sales. Meanwhile, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried remains incarcerated, serving a 25-year prison sentence.
Odaily讯 According to Cyvers Alert monitoring, an Address Poisoning attack incident has been detected, resulting in the victim losing approximately $100,000 in USDT. The attacker carried out the "address poisoning" against the victim's wallet about 66 days ago by sending a transaction to create a malicious address record resembling an address the victim normally interacts with. Today, the victim failed to verify the full wallet address and mistakenly transferred funds to the attacker's address.Following the incident, in order to avoid potential freezing risks, the attacker has converted the stolen USDT into ETH, and the wallet currently holds approximately 52.8 ETH.Cyvers reminds users to always fully verify wallet addresses when making on-chain transfers, and to avoid relying solely on address records from transaction history. Meanwhile, security agencies recommend adopting AI-based on-chain security tools for real-time detection of abnormal transaction behavior, in order to reduce risks such as address poisoning and phishing attacks. Address poisoning attacks have become one of the common fraud methods in the crypto asset space in recent years. Attackers typically exploit users' habit of copying addresses from historical transactions by forging similar-looking addresses to trick users into transferring assets mistakenly.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the top-ranked KAITO position on Hyperliquid has been closed. An address (0x98c…3bc15) closed its long position of 2.24 million KAITO at 03:10 today, incurring a loss of $994,000, with an entry price of $1.05 and a stop-loss price of $0.67. Meanwhile, the second-ranked position, which was opened at a similar time, has not yet been closed and is currently facing an unrealized loss of $2.227 million. The suspected KAITO market-making address (0xF1f…60b14) withdrew 1.91 million KAITO from Coinbase 10 hours ago, valued at $1.32 million. Currently, four addresses have accumulated a total of 8.36 million KAITO from exchanges, with a total value of $8.51 million, at an average price of $1.01.
Odaily Planet Daily Report: "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated on the X platform that he remains bullish on memory stocks such as MU and Samsung. In addition, this week, the focus in the photonics sector has shifted back to AXT and Lumentum. The photonics industry has previously shown signs of supply tightness, with Coherent ($COHR) and Lumentum ($LITE) laser production capacity for the next two years already sold out. AAOI's recent earnings report also showed continued strong demand for optical modules.Meanwhile, a large number of retail investors have been panic-selling in the storage sector. There are indeed some changes in the market at present, such as Nvidia's Rubin Ultra optimizing for memory, and memory prices no longer rising as significantly as previously expected. However, at current prices, the operating profit of storage companies relative to their market capitalization remains extremely compelling, especially given the structural growth in storage demand. Moreover, the supply-demand imbalance next year could become even more severe.Serenity noted that the market tends to panic when an industry declines and follows new narratives. For example, helium during the Iran war, the LNG market, and SpaceX's earnings call, which once again emphasized storage supply tightness. Many times, industry bottlenecks and fundamentals haven't changed significantly, but market sentiment has already undergone a massive shift.
Odaily News: Nvidia (NVDA) shares have surged more than 10% this week, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) rose over 8% during the same period. The sector had previously been sold off on concerns over the scale of AI infrastructure investment and high valuations of chip companies, but market sentiment has since recovered.Nvidia's gains were partly boosted by positive developments at SpaceX. During SpaceX's first earnings call, Musk stated that the company will build data centers both on the ground and in space in the future, and will exclusively use Nvidia chips.Meanwhile, the market remains focused on HBM memory supply pressure. According to The Information, Nvidia is testing a version of its Rubin Ultra chip with reduced HBM configuration to address the global shortage of high-bandwidth memory. (Yahoo Finance)
Odaily News Crypto analyst Ai stated on the X platform that multiple technical indicators on Bitcoin's monthly chart are flashing bullish signals, suggesting that the market may have formed a macro bottom. Data shows that the TD Sequential indicator triggered a buy signal on Bitcoin's monthly chart last month. This indicator previously succeeded in identifying the 2022 bear market bottom, and a similar signal has now emerged again.Additionally, Bitcoin's current price is near the 50-month simple moving average (SMA). Historical data shows that since 2014, this long-term moving average has repeatedly served as a key support zone for Bitcoin and has corresponded with multiple market bottoms. Meanwhile, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen back to around -71. The last time this indicator reached a similar level was in June this year, when Bitcoin's price briefly dropped toward $57,000. Historically, extreme CMO lows often coincide with market bottom zones.Analysts believe that Bitcoin may continue to consolidate within the $60,000 to $67,000 range in the short term, but the TD Sequential buy signal, support from the 50-month moving average, and the oversold CMO condition collectively suggest that a long-term cyclical bottom may have already formed. The market will be watching whether the price can break out of the consolidation range to confirm a new round of upward trend.
Odaily News: Bitcoin's volatility has recently neared zero, but market risks have not been resolved. Data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs have not seen any outflows in the first week of August, with cumulative net inflows of approximately $754 million. However, Bitcoin's price remains around $64,700, while the options market is heavily focused on downside protection near $62,000 and $63,000.Market signals are showing divergence: on one hand, demand for spot ETFs has picked up again; on the other hand, derivatives traders are positioning in advance for a potential pullback, especially ahead of the latest U.S. employment data release.However, looking at the overall positioning structure, the market still leans bullish. Bitcoin call options account for approximately 60.7% of total open interest, indicating that investors' long-term expectations remain positive, with recent trading more concentrated on short-term risk hedging. Meanwhile, the cost of volatility protection remains low. Deribit's DVOL index, which reflects Bitcoin's expected volatility over the next 30 days, is currently around 35—a significant drop from the high of 90 earlier this year—suggesting that the market sees limited potential for major swings in the short term.That said, U.S. macroeconomic data could break this balance. The market expects U.S. non-farm payrolls for July to increase by approximately 97,500, up from 57,000 in June, with the unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.2%. If the employment data comes in stronger than expected, it could push U.S. Treasury yields higher and reinforce expectations of Fed rate hikes; if the data is weak, it could push yields down, but also heighten concerns about slowing economic growth.Currently, the Bitcoin market presents a pattern of "ETF inflows underpinning spot prices while the options market hedges against downside." Potential risks remain a concern in a low-volatility environment. With low market participation and insufficient liquidity, even small changes in supply or demand could trigger sharp swings in asset prices. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News Crypto KOL Phyrex posted on X stating that the trading direction of U.S. retail investors has recently shown a significant shift. Data shows that last week, retail investors recorded net selling of stocks for four consecutive trading days, marking the longest continuous selling streak this year, with tech stocks experiencing the largest selling pressure, totaling approximately $7 billion in net outflows for the week. Two of the three historically largest single-day retail sell-offs of tech stocks occurred last week. The selling was mainly concentrated in the semiconductor and memory chip sectors, which had previously been the focus of retail capital inflows during May and June.Meanwhile, the asset size of U.S. tech-focused leveraged ETFs has decreased by approximately $50 billion from the June high, while leveraged ETFs in South Korea and Taiwan have fallen by more than half from their peaks. The SOXL, a 3x leveraged long semiconductor ETF, has dropped about 67% from its high, and trading volume for South Korea's Hynix 2x ETF has declined by over 90% from its peak.
Market data shows that hedge funds recorded net purchases of approximately $4.8 billion in US stocks last week, marking the second-largest weekly buying scale since 2008. Measured as a share of the S&P 500's total market capitalization, this buying scale ranks as the 24th highest in history, indicating that hedge funds are re-intensifying their allocation to US equities.Meanwhile, institutional investors recorded net sales of approximately $3.8 billion in US stocks last week, ending a four-week consecutive buying streak. As a result, the average net buying scale of institutional investors over the past four weeks has fallen to $3.9 billion. Retail investors slightly reduced their US stock holdings by approximately $200 million during the same period, bringing their average net buying scale over the past four weeks down to $600 million.Market observers point out that after the recent market volatility, hedge funds are flowing back into US stock markets, with a strengthening trend in capital allocation toward risk assets. The large-scale buying by hedge funds may reflect renewed confidence in corporate earnings, AI-driven growth, and the medium-to-long-term trajectory of US equities. (The Kobeissi Letter)
According to CryptoQuant on-chain data, total institutional BTC holdings, including trusts, ETFs, and closed-end funds, have decreased from 1.33 million BTC three months ago to 1.2 million BTC, a decline of approximately 10%. Meanwhile, the corporate Bitcoin treasury model is also facing pressure. Novaque Research analysts pointed out that the market cap of multiple Bitcoin treasury companies has currently fallen below the net asset value (NAV) of their BTC holdings, and the previous positive cycle mechanism of "stock price premium → financing to buy BTC → strengthening premium" has significantly weakened. The listed company with the largest holdings, Strategy, even sold 1,638 BTC last week.
According to monitoring data from on-chain analytics platform Santiment, PEPE's single-day exchange net outflow reached 4.54 trillion tokens, marking the largest single-day outflow record since November 14, 2024. A large volume of tokens is being transferred from trading platforms to private wallets, significantly contracting the circulating supply available for immediate selling. Meanwhile, Nansen data shows that PEPE's top 100 holding addresses cumulatively increased their holdings by 6.07% over the past 30 days, with total holdings rising to approximately 85.97 trillion tokens; Smart Money addresses holdings surged by 307% during the same period, making the trend of supply concentrating towards long-term holders increasingly evident.
Odaily News: According to Bitcoin News monitoring, Galaxy Research stated that the largest known COLDCARD theft incident involves 1,159 BTC, distributed across seven attacker addresses, which remain untouched to date, with 0 BTC cashed out or transferred through mixers. The relevant BTC was stolen within 41 minutes, but approximately 600 attacker addresses have been flagged by law enforcement agencies, exchanges, and blockchain analysis firms. Meanwhile, a smaller-scale attacker appears to have begun cleaning funds. On-chain analysts have tracked 64 BTC entering mixers, of which only about 10 BTC initially completed mixing, 54 BTC returned as change, and were subsequently split into outputs of approximately 7 BTC each for further mixing. Analysts noted that these unusually large outputs remain easy to trace, making this cleaning attempt relatively transparent.
Odaily News Multi-strategy hedge funds Balyasny Asset Management and Verition Fund Management both posted losses last month, as the selloff in AI-related stocks rattled markets and weighed on numerous hedge funds. According to sources familiar with the matter, Balyasny fell 1.5% in July, trimming its cumulative return for the first seven months of the year to 1.2%. Another source said Verition declined 1.1%, bringing its year-to-date return to 4.5%. The sources requested anonymity as the performance data is confidential. Meanwhile, some hedge funds managed to profit from the market turmoil. Citadel's flagship fund Wellington rose 5.9% in July, benefiting from taking over positions in Situational Awareness. ExodusPoint Capital Management fell 0.9%, bringing its year-to-date gain to 3.5%. (Bloomberg
Odaily News According to official sources, Gate's GUSD product has been fully upgraded. Users holding GUSD can enjoy an annualized yield of 3.8%,with support for flexible deposits and withdrawals, 1:1 lossless redemption in the original subscription currency, and zero redemption fees. Meanwhile, Gate Launchpool is simultaneously opening SPCX and SLX staking pools. Among these, the total value of flexible staking in the SPCX GUSD pool has approached 66.38 million GUSD, with a staking APR of 3.50%. Combined with the 3.8% base annualized yield from GUSD flexible savings, the total annualized yield reaches as high as 7.30%.In addition, Gate is running multiple wealth management and reward campaigns in parallel. Dual rewards for deposits and trading: From 14:00 on August 3 to 14:00 on August 10, 2026 (UTC+8), deposit 100 USDT to receive 100 USDT, and trade to earn an additional 0.1 ETH. Exclusive VIP boost for Gate's余币宝 (Flexible Savings): USDT fixed-term wealth management yields have been fully upgraded, with 7-day and 30-day annualized yields increased to 3.8% and 4.0%, respectively. Quotas are limited and available on a first-come, first-served basis. High-yield campaign for USD1 holders: Starting from 00:00 on July 29 (UTC+8), users holding USD1 in their asset accounts can earn up to 8% annualized yield. Campaign rewards will be distributed daily in the form of WLFI to eligible user accounts.As the product ecosystem and reward framework continue to evolve, Gate will keep enriching users' asset yield scenarios, delivering a digital asset management experience with higher returns and lower barriers.
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Moreno stated that USDT liquidity is experiencing one of the most severe contraction phases in its history. The 60-day change in USDT market cap has fallen to approximately -$4 billion, nearing historical extreme negative levels. Meanwhile, liquidity contraction is still accelerating, with USDT supply decreasing by approximately $870 million over the past 11 days, indicating this is not merely a lagged effect of earlier redemptions.Stablecoins are the most direct source of available liquidity in the crypto market. Sustained USDT expansion is typically accompanied by stronger BTC price performance, while prolonged contraction phases often correspond to weak demand, market pullbacks, and declining risk appetite. However, the correlation between USDT flows and BTC price does not prove direct causation—both may be simultaneously influenced by risk-aversion sentiment, with redemption pressure and spot selling occurring in tandem. The current BTC decline is not an isolated event but is occurring against the backdrop of one of the market's primary liquidity sources steadily shrinking, which also explains why recent bounces have been difficult to sustain. To improve market conditions, we need to see the 60-day change in USDT stabilize, daily supply contraction slow, and a return to an expansion phase.
According to AMBCrypto, the total amount of Ethereum staked has risen to a historic high of 41.4 million ETH, accounting for 34% of the total supply, with over 1.4 million ETH newly staked in just the past week. Tom Lee's BitMine staked an additional 150,100 ETH (approximately $278 million), bringing its total staked amount to 5.07 million ETH (approximately $9.38 billion), accounting for 87.4% of its ETH holdings; additionally, whale addresses have cumulatively withdrawn and staked 112,000 ETH (over $208 million) in the past three weeks. Meanwhile, the stablecoin market cap declined by 1.6% this quarter, marking the worst quarterly performance in history, with over $6 billion in liquidity flowing out of the crypto market, and the daily average spot trading volume across the market fell by nearly 70% from the January peak to approximately $15 billion.