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Odaily News: Bitcoin is facing selling pressure, marking its third rejection near $87,000 since September 23. FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich noted that since early last week, BTC has formed a pattern of "rising local lows," but bulls have yet to gain sufficient upward momentum. The price is now approaching the apex of a triangle formed by horizontal resistance and an ascending support line. A breakout from this pattern could bring greater volatility to the market.The total crypto market capitalization has fallen back to approximately $2.93 trillion. Meanwhile, U.S. equities have shown relative strength, with the Nasdaq 100 hitting a record closing high and the S&P 500 less than 0.5% away from its all-time high. However, U.S. Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 10-year yield rising to 5.32%, near its highest level since 2002.Market observers believe that for BTC to break through $87,000, sufficient buying pressure is needed to absorb the persistent selling near that level. Once it holds above this threshold, it could open further upside toward its near 8-month high. (CoinDesk)
According to Cointelegraph, Trump is expected to appoint former SEC chairman Jay Clayton as AI czar. Meanwhile, veteran trader Peter Brandt predicts that if Bitcoin holds its key lows, the peak of this cycle could reach $600,000.
Odaily News: Analyst Ali posted on X platform that Bitcoin recently faced resistance in its attempt to reach $87,000, during which whales took profits and sold over 30,000 BTC. Meanwhile, $87,000 also marks the upper boundary of a price channel that has been suppressing BTC for over the past two weeks.Ali stated that in the short term, attention should be paid to the lower boundary of the channel at approximately $82,500. If BTC falls back to that level and whales begin accumulating again, it would serve as a confirmation signal for considering buying the dip, with the next rebound target set at $87,000.
QCP Capital stated that Bitcoin broke out of its recent $82,500 to $85,700 consolidation range, briefly reaching $86,913 to mark its highest level since September 23. Meanwhile, the annualized funding rate for perpetual contracts stood at approximately 5.4%, indicating that this rally is more heavily driven by spot capital than leverage. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $3.5 billion and $2.6 billion in August and September, respectively.
Odaily Report: Renowned trader Doctor Profit posted on X platform stating that due to the current excessive leverage in the altcoin market, altcoin spot trading volume has now reached 4 times that of Bitcoin, indicating an overheated market condition. As a result, he chose to take profits and exit his altcoin positions. His ONDO holdings were sold at a 73% profit, while he also exited HBAR and XRP with minor gains. At this stage, he has no intention of buying altcoins in the current environment and expects the market to be on the verge of a correction.Doctor Profit previously predicted a rise to $88,000 when Bitcoin's price dropped to $60,000. Now after the rally, he expects Bitcoin may pull back to $79,000. He revealed that he had already shorted BTC at the $86,200 level and set additional short orders in the $86,500 to $89,500 range. Meanwhile, his BTC positions as well as his ETH, CRCL, and COIN positions in the "Galactic Three" portfolio remain unchanged.
Crypto analyst AI stated in a post that Cardano (ADA) futures demand is cooling, with open interest declining by 9% over the past week from $1.99 billion to $1.81 billion, indicating traders are reducing leveraged exposure. Meanwhile, whales also appear to be taking profits, having reduced their holdings by approximately 90 million ADA valued at roughly $22.5 million since September 20, further adding to recent selling pressure. AI further noted that the ADA daily chart generated a sell signal on September 26, followed by a 10% drop, suggesting the pullback may not be over yet. A parallel channel on the daily chart shows that $0.24 is a key mid-level support level; if breached, ADA could slide further toward the channel's lower boundary at approximately $0.21. If $0.21 holds, it could present the next buying opportunity, with upside targets looking toward the channel's upper boundary at around $0.28.
Odaily reports: CryptoQuant on-chain analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently clearly dominated by futures trading, with the ratio of Binance spot-to-futures trading volume at approximately 0.12, meaning futures account for roughly 90% of trading volume. Meanwhile, Binance BTC open interest fell from $10.6 billion to $9.2 billion over the past week, but spot demand remains weak, preventing the ratio from improving.Darkfost noted that the current rally is primarily driven by the futures market, and spot buying remains the missing piece. If spot demand fails to follow through, this rally could become unstable.
according to an official announcement, the second phase of the limited-time Gate Simple Earn × Earn campaign is now live. From September 28, 07:00 to October 28, 07:00 (UTC+8), users who meet the specified net deposit requirements and activate Simple Earn can receive up to an additional 2% bonus APY on top of the base yield; those with cumulative net deposits reaching 50,000 USDT can enjoy a blended APY of 5% on up to 50,000 USDT of eligible holdings.Meanwhile, from September 28, 16:00 to October 28, 16:00 (UTC+8), VIP 3–VIP 14 users who make cumulative net deposits of 100,000 USDT and subscribe to the Earn USDT 7-day fixed-term product can receive an additional 7.3% bonus APY on top of the 3.7% base APY, enjoying a blended APY of 11% on up to 100,000 USDT of subscribed principal. This campaign enriches Gate's stablecoin wealth management offerings, providing users with different capital sizes and trading needs more flexible yield options.
CryptoQuant analyst nocoffeenobrain stated that crypto market sentiment has undergone a significant shift, with the Fear and Greed Index rapidly climbing from around 30 in August to the current 74. Meanwhile, BTC dominance has dropped to 53.8% and continues its downward trend. Historical data shows that when the sentiment index rises while Bitcoin's dominance remains flat or declines, market capital and momentum tend to flow into sectors outside of Bitcoin;
Crypto analyst Ali posted on X that Dogecoin has reached a key resistance zone around $0.098, with roughly 28 billion DOGE previously traded near this level. Meanwhile, whales continue to accumulate. Over the past 96 hours, large holders have cumulatively purchased over 1.14 billion DOGE, valued at approximately $112 million. Ali added that whales appear to be positioning for a DOGE breakout above the current resistance level.
Odaily News: On-chain analyst Darkfost posted on X stating that since June 2026, the total market capitalization of altcoins (Total2), including ETH, has attracted over $371 billion in cumulative capital inflows, representing an increase of approximately 45%. Meanwhile, about 87% of altcoins on Binance have now reclaimed their 200-day moving average, whereas in August of this year, approximately 80% of altcoins were still trading below this moving average.Darkfost believes this reflects a clear recent concentration of capital into altcoins, while market sentiment has shown signs of overheating to some degree, and it remains to be seen whether the momentum can be sustained going forward.
CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno posted that after the recent rally, Bitcoin's unrealized profit margin rose to 33%, the highest level since December 2024. Meanwhile, profit-taking reached 25,700 BTC, the highest level since 2026. In his view, these are typically signals that upward market momentum is weakening and facing pullback risk.
Odaily News: Bitcoin fell back to around $83,600 on Friday, down about 1% from the previous trading day, after briefly touching around $87,000, reaching that level for the first time in months. Market analysis suggests that the expiry of $1.56 billion in Bitcoin options on Deribit may have exacerbated short-term volatility, as market makers typically unwind their hedging positions after options expiry.Over the past 24 hours, BTC open interest and trading volume fell by 14.39% and 13.68% respectively, with long and short liquidations relatively balanced—long liquidations totaled $161.96 million and short liquidations $156.1 million—indicating that leveraged funds are readjusting. On the technical side, BTC's 50-day moving average remains above its 200-day moving average, forming a "golden cross," and the short-term trend is still viewed as relatively strong.Meanwhile, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net inflows of $299.09 million on Friday, though this was lower than the single-day inflow levels seen earlier in the week. By contrast, XRP rose 4.37% over the past 24 hours and 15.45% over the past 7 days, currently trading at around $1.58; Solana rose 3.36% over the past 24 hours and 9.33% over the past 7 days, currently trading at around $119.84. The next macro data points the market is watching are the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data due on September 30 and the September nonfarm payrolls report due on October 2. (Decrypt)
Odaily reports: Bitcoin has risen 44% this quarter to nearly $85,000, with some holders beginning to take profits. Bitfinex data shows that recent BTC holders have realized cumulative profits of approximately $2.4 billion, while during historical market tops, single-day realized profits typically reached $7–10 billion. Meanwhile, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen cumulative net inflows of $2.84 billion over the past 6 trading days, exceeding holder realized profits during the same period, with cumulative net inflows approaching $800 million year-to-date. Bitfinex also noted that approximately 410,000 ETH flowed out of exchanges over the past month, and U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs attracted a cumulative $680 million over 4 consecutive trading days, indicating that strong capital support remains in the recent market. (CoinDesk)
crypto analyst Ali posted on X platform that over the past five days, XRP whales have accumulated more than 470 million XRP, worth approximately $724 million. Meanwhile, a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern continues to form on the XRP daily chart, and a bullish breakout may be approaching.
According to CoinDesk, bitcoin traded above $84,000 on Friday, essentially flat over the past 24 hours after briefly dipping below $84,000 on Wednesday. Most major tokens saw volatility of less than 2%, while ONDO rose 27% to around $0.54 and QNT gained 39% to near $100. Meanwhile, selling pressure in the US bond market has eased slightly, with the 10-year US Treasury yield retreating 2 basis points to 5.17% after climbing more than 20 basis points cumulatively over the previous two trading sessions. Brent crude oil fell about 1% to $105 per barrel as markets focused on reports that the US and Iran may reopen the Strait of Hormuz via a phased agreement. FxPro Chief Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich stated that Bitcoin's recent pullback is more of a temporary pause within an uptrend, noting that the current upward momentum has not yet ended. Even if BTC falls further to $70,000, it could exert significant pressure on short-term traders, but he believes it remains insufficient to disrupt the broader bullish trend. Additionally, Bitcoin is approaching Friday's Deribit options expiration. The current price sits below $85,000, which is one of the strike prices with a high concentration of call open interest in this expiry batch.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that despite Bitcoin’s price consistently climbing, demand recovery remains uneven. Spot demand is at negative 180,000 BTC, while futures demand remains at positive 54,000 BTC; average total demand has improved from negative 188,000 BTC to negative 126,000 BTC over several days. Institutional selling pressure has notably eased, and the Coinbase premium index briefly flashed positive signals. ETF demand has strengthened considerably compared to earlier this summer, with cumulative additions of approximately 70,000 BTC, and net demand since the start of 2026 has also rebounded to negative 17,000 BTC. Meanwhile, the 30-day average net flow on exchanges shows sustained capital outflows throughout September, indicating the broader market continues to lean toward accumulation.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated in a post that Bitcoin rose to approximately $85,700, about 6.4% above its 365-day moving average of $80,500, marking the first breach of the moving average since November 2025. Meanwhile, the Trend Pulse indicator concluded a nine-day neutral phase and resumed a bullish pattern.
In a write-up by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, BTC ETFs recorded a net outflow of $463 million for the week ending September 14, marking the first negative reading since June's lows. ARK and Grayscale alone accounted for combined outflows of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% for the week to close at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dipped 1.5% and altcoins collectively gained 1.0%. On the macro front, the US August CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month (core 0.3%), exceeding the expected 0.2%, while the PPI annual rate hit 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to upgrade its September rate outlook from "hold steady" to "increase." The market has now priced in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday. Meanwhile, ongoing escalation in Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude past $105/barrel, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached a 20-year high. Wintermute stated that following the shift to negative ETF flows, it favors a neutral over a bullish market stance. Two key catalysts this week: ① On Tuesday, the US Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Act), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. While the rate hike itself is already fully priced in, subsequent hawkish commentary (particularly any signals pointing to continued tightening into Q1 2027) could exert downward pressure on the crypto market.
CryptoQuant certified analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted in a post that over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin's price rose slightly by 0.4%, but selling pressure in the derivatives market has significantly intensified. The Bitcoin Derivatives Pressure Index dropped from -25.36 to -60.80, remaining below zero since September 6, indicating that sellers still dominate. Meanwhile, Coinbase continues to trade at a discount relative to Binance, with the latest Coinbase Premium Index at -0.0455% and its 48-hour average at -0.0323%, showing further weakening over the past 24 hours.