News linked to both this project and an event.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the top-ranked KAITO position on Hyperliquid has been closed. An address (0x98c…3bc15) closed its long position of 2.24 million KAITO at 03:10 today, incurring a loss of $994,000, with an entry price of $1.05 and a stop-loss price of $0.67. Meanwhile, the second-ranked position, which was opened at a similar time, has not yet been closed and is currently facing an unrealized loss of $2.227 million. The suspected KAITO market-making address (0xF1f…60b14) withdrew 1.91 million KAITO from Coinbase 10 hours ago, valued at $1.32 million. Currently, four addresses have accumulated a total of 8.36 million KAITO from exchanges, with a total value of $8.51 million, at an average price of $1.01.
Odaily Planet Daily Report: "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated on the X platform that he remains bullish on memory stocks such as MU and Samsung. In addition, this week, the focus in the photonics sector has shifted back to AXT and Lumentum. The photonics industry has previously shown signs of supply tightness, with Coherent ($COHR) and Lumentum ($LITE) laser production capacity for the next two years already sold out. AAOI's recent earnings report also showed continued strong demand for optical modules.Meanwhile, a large number of retail investors have been panic-selling in the storage sector. There are indeed some changes in the market at present, such as Nvidia's Rubin Ultra optimizing for memory, and memory prices no longer rising as significantly as previously expected. However, at current prices, the operating profit of storage companies relative to their market capitalization remains extremely compelling, especially given the structural growth in storage demand. Moreover, the supply-demand imbalance next year could become even more severe.Serenity noted that the market tends to panic when an industry declines and follows new narratives. For example, helium during the Iran war, the LNG market, and SpaceX's earnings call, which once again emphasized storage supply tightness. Many times, industry bottlenecks and fundamentals haven't changed significantly, but market sentiment has already undergone a massive shift.
Odaily News: Nvidia (NVDA) shares have surged more than 10% this week, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) rose over 8% during the same period. The sector had previously been sold off on concerns over the scale of AI infrastructure investment and high valuations of chip companies, but market sentiment has since recovered.Nvidia's gains were partly boosted by positive developments at SpaceX. During SpaceX's first earnings call, Musk stated that the company will build data centers both on the ground and in space in the future, and will exclusively use Nvidia chips.Meanwhile, the market remains focused on HBM memory supply pressure. According to The Information, Nvidia is testing a version of its Rubin Ultra chip with reduced HBM configuration to address the global shortage of high-bandwidth memory. (Yahoo Finance)
Odaily News Crypto analyst Ai stated on the X platform that multiple technical indicators on Bitcoin's monthly chart are flashing bullish signals, suggesting that the market may have formed a macro bottom. Data shows that the TD Sequential indicator triggered a buy signal on Bitcoin's monthly chart last month. This indicator previously succeeded in identifying the 2022 bear market bottom, and a similar signal has now emerged again.Additionally, Bitcoin's current price is near the 50-month simple moving average (SMA). Historical data shows that since 2014, this long-term moving average has repeatedly served as a key support zone for Bitcoin and has corresponded with multiple market bottoms. Meanwhile, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen back to around -71. The last time this indicator reached a similar level was in June this year, when Bitcoin's price briefly dropped toward $57,000. Historically, extreme CMO lows often coincide with market bottom zones.Analysts believe that Bitcoin may continue to consolidate within the $60,000 to $67,000 range in the short term, but the TD Sequential buy signal, support from the 50-month moving average, and the oversold CMO condition collectively suggest that a long-term cyclical bottom may have already formed. The market will be watching whether the price can break out of the consolidation range to confirm a new round of upward trend.
Odaily News: Bitcoin's volatility has recently neared zero, but market risks have not been resolved. Data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs have not seen any outflows in the first week of August, with cumulative net inflows of approximately $754 million. However, Bitcoin's price remains around $64,700, while the options market is heavily focused on downside protection near $62,000 and $63,000.Market signals are showing divergence: on one hand, demand for spot ETFs has picked up again; on the other hand, derivatives traders are positioning in advance for a potential pullback, especially ahead of the latest U.S. employment data release.However, looking at the overall positioning structure, the market still leans bullish. Bitcoin call options account for approximately 60.7% of total open interest, indicating that investors' long-term expectations remain positive, with recent trading more concentrated on short-term risk hedging. Meanwhile, the cost of volatility protection remains low. Deribit's DVOL index, which reflects Bitcoin's expected volatility over the next 30 days, is currently around 35—a significant drop from the high of 90 earlier this year—suggesting that the market sees limited potential for major swings in the short term.That said, U.S. macroeconomic data could break this balance. The market expects U.S. non-farm payrolls for July to increase by approximately 97,500, up from 57,000 in June, with the unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.2%. If the employment data comes in stronger than expected, it could push U.S. Treasury yields higher and reinforce expectations of Fed rate hikes; if the data is weak, it could push yields down, but also heighten concerns about slowing economic growth.Currently, the Bitcoin market presents a pattern of "ETF inflows underpinning spot prices while the options market hedges against downside." Potential risks remain a concern in a low-volatility environment. With low market participation and insufficient liquidity, even small changes in supply or demand could trigger sharp swings in asset prices. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News Crypto KOL Phyrex posted on X stating that the trading direction of U.S. retail investors has recently shown a significant shift. Data shows that last week, retail investors recorded net selling of stocks for four consecutive trading days, marking the longest continuous selling streak this year, with tech stocks experiencing the largest selling pressure, totaling approximately $7 billion in net outflows for the week. Two of the three historically largest single-day retail sell-offs of tech stocks occurred last week. The selling was mainly concentrated in the semiconductor and memory chip sectors, which had previously been the focus of retail capital inflows during May and June.Meanwhile, the asset size of U.S. tech-focused leveraged ETFs has decreased by approximately $50 billion from the June high, while leveraged ETFs in South Korea and Taiwan have fallen by more than half from their peaks. The SOXL, a 3x leveraged long semiconductor ETF, has dropped about 67% from its high, and trading volume for South Korea's Hynix 2x ETF has declined by over 90% from its peak.
Market data shows that hedge funds recorded net purchases of approximately $4.8 billion in US stocks last week, marking the second-largest weekly buying scale since 2008. Measured as a share of the S&P 500's total market capitalization, this buying scale ranks as the 24th highest in history, indicating that hedge funds are re-intensifying their allocation to US equities.Meanwhile, institutional investors recorded net sales of approximately $3.8 billion in US stocks last week, ending a four-week consecutive buying streak. As a result, the average net buying scale of institutional investors over the past four weeks has fallen to $3.9 billion. Retail investors slightly reduced their US stock holdings by approximately $200 million during the same period, bringing their average net buying scale over the past four weeks down to $600 million.Market observers point out that after the recent market volatility, hedge funds are flowing back into US stock markets, with a strengthening trend in capital allocation toward risk assets. The large-scale buying by hedge funds may reflect renewed confidence in corporate earnings, AI-driven growth, and the medium-to-long-term trajectory of US equities. (The Kobeissi Letter)
According to CryptoQuant on-chain data, total institutional BTC holdings, including trusts, ETFs, and closed-end funds, have decreased from 1.33 million BTC three months ago to 1.2 million BTC, a decline of approximately 10%. Meanwhile, the corporate Bitcoin treasury model is also facing pressure. Novaque Research analysts pointed out that the market cap of multiple Bitcoin treasury companies has currently fallen below the net asset value (NAV) of their BTC holdings, and the previous positive cycle mechanism of "stock price premium → financing to buy BTC → strengthening premium" has significantly weakened. The listed company with the largest holdings, Strategy, even sold 1,638 BTC last week.
According to monitoring data from on-chain analytics platform Santiment, PEPE's single-day exchange net outflow reached 4.54 trillion tokens, marking the largest single-day outflow record since November 14, 2024. A large volume of tokens is being transferred from trading platforms to private wallets, significantly contracting the circulating supply available for immediate selling. Meanwhile, Nansen data shows that PEPE's top 100 holding addresses cumulatively increased their holdings by 6.07% over the past 30 days, with total holdings rising to approximately 85.97 trillion tokens; Smart Money addresses holdings surged by 307% during the same period, making the trend of supply concentrating towards long-term holders increasingly evident.
Odaily News: According to Bitcoin News monitoring, Galaxy Research stated that the largest known COLDCARD theft incident involves 1,159 BTC, distributed across seven attacker addresses, which remain untouched to date, with 0 BTC cashed out or transferred through mixers. The relevant BTC was stolen within 41 minutes, but approximately 600 attacker addresses have been flagged by law enforcement agencies, exchanges, and blockchain analysis firms. Meanwhile, a smaller-scale attacker appears to have begun cleaning funds. On-chain analysts have tracked 64 BTC entering mixers, of which only about 10 BTC initially completed mixing, 54 BTC returned as change, and were subsequently split into outputs of approximately 7 BTC each for further mixing. Analysts noted that these unusually large outputs remain easy to trace, making this cleaning attempt relatively transparent.
Odaily News Multi-strategy hedge funds Balyasny Asset Management and Verition Fund Management both posted losses last month, as the selloff in AI-related stocks rattled markets and weighed on numerous hedge funds. According to sources familiar with the matter, Balyasny fell 1.5% in July, trimming its cumulative return for the first seven months of the year to 1.2%. Another source said Verition declined 1.1%, bringing its year-to-date return to 4.5%. The sources requested anonymity as the performance data is confidential. Meanwhile, some hedge funds managed to profit from the market turmoil. Citadel's flagship fund Wellington rose 5.9% in July, benefiting from taking over positions in Situational Awareness. ExodusPoint Capital Management fell 0.9%, bringing its year-to-date gain to 3.5%. (Bloomberg
Odaily News According to official sources, Gate's GUSD product has been fully upgraded. Users holding GUSD can enjoy an annualized yield of 3.8%,with support for flexible deposits and withdrawals, 1:1 lossless redemption in the original subscription currency, and zero redemption fees. Meanwhile, Gate Launchpool is simultaneously opening SPCX and SLX staking pools. Among these, the total value of flexible staking in the SPCX GUSD pool has approached 66.38 million GUSD, with a staking APR of 3.50%. Combined with the 3.8% base annualized yield from GUSD flexible savings, the total annualized yield reaches as high as 7.30%.In addition, Gate is running multiple wealth management and reward campaigns in parallel. Dual rewards for deposits and trading: From 14:00 on August 3 to 14:00 on August 10, 2026 (UTC+8), deposit 100 USDT to receive 100 USDT, and trade to earn an additional 0.1 ETH. Exclusive VIP boost for Gate's余币宝 (Flexible Savings): USDT fixed-term wealth management yields have been fully upgraded, with 7-day and 30-day annualized yields increased to 3.8% and 4.0%, respectively. Quotas are limited and available on a first-come, first-served basis. High-yield campaign for USD1 holders: Starting from 00:00 on July 29 (UTC+8), users holding USD1 in their asset accounts can earn up to 8% annualized yield. Campaign rewards will be distributed daily in the form of WLFI to eligible user accounts.As the product ecosystem and reward framework continue to evolve, Gate will keep enriching users' asset yield scenarios, delivering a digital asset management experience with higher returns and lower barriers.
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Moreno stated that USDT liquidity is experiencing one of the most severe contraction phases in its history. The 60-day change in USDT market cap has fallen to approximately -$4 billion, nearing historical extreme negative levels. Meanwhile, liquidity contraction is still accelerating, with USDT supply decreasing by approximately $870 million over the past 11 days, indicating this is not merely a lagged effect of earlier redemptions.Stablecoins are the most direct source of available liquidity in the crypto market. Sustained USDT expansion is typically accompanied by stronger BTC price performance, while prolonged contraction phases often correspond to weak demand, market pullbacks, and declining risk appetite. However, the correlation between USDT flows and BTC price does not prove direct causation—both may be simultaneously influenced by risk-aversion sentiment, with redemption pressure and spot selling occurring in tandem. The current BTC decline is not an isolated event but is occurring against the backdrop of one of the market's primary liquidity sources steadily shrinking, which also explains why recent bounces have been difficult to sustain. To improve market conditions, we need to see the 60-day change in USDT stabilize, daily supply contraction slow, and a return to an expansion phase.
According to AMBCrypto, the total amount of Ethereum staked has risen to a historic high of 41.4 million ETH, accounting for 34% of the total supply, with over 1.4 million ETH newly staked in just the past week. Tom Lee's BitMine staked an additional 150,100 ETH (approximately $278 million), bringing its total staked amount to 5.07 million ETH (approximately $9.38 billion), accounting for 87.4% of its ETH holdings; additionally, whale addresses have cumulatively withdrawn and staked 112,000 ETH (over $208 million) in the past three weeks. Meanwhile, the stablecoin market cap declined by 1.6% this quarter, marking the worst quarterly performance in history, with over $6 billion in liquidity flowing out of the crypto market, and the daily average spot trading volume across the market fell by nearly 70% from the January peak to approximately $15 billion.
According to Glassnode data reported by Odaily, the $63,000 level is emerging as a key support and battleground zone for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has continued to trade within the $60,000 to $67,000 range, with over 3% of BTC's circulating supply—approximately 515,000 BTC—having a cost basis concentrated near $63,000. Additionally, more than 362,000 BTC is concentrated in the $61,000 area. Glassnode notes that only the $78,000 to $82,000 range currently has a higher supply density than this zone, corresponding to Bitcoin's May cyclical peak.Furthermore, Bitcoin's current price nearly coincides with the 200-week moving average. Glassnode data shows that the 200-week MA currently stands at approximately $63,657, while BTC's price is around $63,822, indicating significant historical accumulation and strong cost support in this area.Looking at the 30-day cumulative Accumulation Trend Score, all types of investors are currently in a net accumulation state, with retail buying momentum being the most pronounced. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC continue to increase their positions, suggesting that long-term capital is still positioning itself. The $63,000 level has become a critical price band in Bitcoin's short-term market structure, and investor accumulation behavior may provide important reference for future price movements. (CoinDesk)
Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn stated that based on new victim reports received following the incident, the number of attackers exploiting the Coldcard vulnerability has reached at least 15.Thorn noted that information provided by victims helped the research team uncover previously unidentified attack activity. Unlike thefts from centralized exchanges, correlations between the attackers in this vulnerability exploit require confirmation through on-chain analysis and victim feedback.He added that a single victim reporting less than 1 BTC stolen helped the team discover a previously unknown attack, which siphoned approximately 12 BTC from 126 addresses.According to Galaxy Research's earlier estimates, the Coldcard vulnerability has led to at least three rounds of attacks, with losses amounting to approximately $100 million in BTC. Additionally, Galaxy has identified a suspected fourth round of attacks, which could bring total losses to approximately $130 million.Meanwhile, the incident has also sparked discussions regarding the security of Bitcoin self-custody. Dragonfly Managing Partner Haseeb Qureshi stated that "AI security hardening costing around $2" could potentially have prevented this vulnerability, and noted that some AI models were able to rediscover related vulnerabilities within a relatively short timeframe. However, industry insiders pointed out that current claims about the speed of AI discovering vulnerabilities lack rigorous blind testing and verification.Researchers believe that as AI model capabilities improve, the costs of vulnerability discovery and attacks in the crypto industry may continue to decline, requiring wallet developers to further strengthen code audits and security protections. (Cointelegraph)
Citrini analyst jukan said on the X platform that Samsung Electronics' foundry division is expected to reach 100% capacity utilization in the second half of this year. Current capacity utilization is estimated at 70% to 80%. With order backlogs and progress in contract negotiations, both internal and external parties at Samsung believe the target is essentially assured. The division has been in a depressed state with capacity utilization below 50% since 2024, and after about a year, it is approaching full operation, with signs of a turning point in its long-term loss-making structure. Industry sources say that the rise in capacity utilization is driven by high-bandwidth memory (HBM) base chips and growing demand for advanced products centered on major US Big Tech clients. With 4nm applied to the sixth-generation HBM, namely HBM4, memory market momentum is directly boosting foundry capacity utilization. Meanwhile, 2nm orders from major cloud service providers and AI and high-performance computing clients are expanding, and project discussions with major customers such as Broadcom are ongoing. Customer diversification is also progressing. Samsung's foundry business has long been criticized for relying on specific customers, but recently, Big Tech companies such as Qualcomm, AMD, and Google have begun participating in negotiations. Tesla is also reportedly placing its next-generation chip orders with the 2nm process, driving the expansion of the mid-to-long-term order pipeline. However, the market generally believes that converting these orders into actual mass production contracts requires 2nm yield to stabilize in the 70% range; the current yield is estimated to be in the 60% range, and the pace of subsequent improvement is a key focus. The business structure is also being adjusted. Revenue from advanced processes is expected to exceed 50% this year, and the share of AI and high-performance computing revenue is expected to expand from nearly 20% last year to over 30% this year. In the second half of the year, mass production of second-generation 2nm process SF2P mobile products will begin. Texas Taylor Fab 1 is preparing to start operations this year as planned, and Taylor Fab 2 will break ground within the year, targeting mass production by 2030. As customer inquiries for the 1.4nm process increase, Samsung is also evaluating additional wafer fab plans. At its second-quarter earnings call on July 30, Samsung said capacity utilization across all nodes improved year-over-year, and advanced nodes at 8nm and below have achieved the highest levels by focusing on high-growth demand products. Samsung expects the number of 2nm project wins this year to more than double from last year. Regarding the timing of returning to profitability, Samsung said it is difficult to specify an exact timeframe but indicated it should be achievable in the near term. Analysts expect non-memory businesses, including foundry and System LSI, to turn profitable as early as the
Odaily News - Analyst qinbafrank disclosed that U.S. ETF manager Roundhill made significant adjustments to its DRAM-themed fund this week, reducing its stake in Samsung Electronics while simultaneously buying into ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), marking the first time a Chinese memory chip leader has entered a mainstream U.S. DRAM investment product. On Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, Roundhill cumulatively purchased 65 million shares of CXMT, rapidly lifting CXMT's weight in the DRAM ETF to 2.47%. Meanwhile, Roundhill reduced its Samsung Electronics holdings by approximately 1 million shares per day from Monday to Wednesday, selling a total of 3 million shares over the three-day period.
On-chain data shows that Avalanche (AVAX) currently has approximately $204.77 million worth of tokens staked, accounting for about 43% of the circulating supply, with a large amount of holdings locked. Meanwhile, according to CryptoQuant data, whale investors are adding positions simultaneously in the spot and futures markets, positioning in advance without waiting for breakout confirmation. Technically, AVAX is currently consolidating near the apex of the pennant pattern at $6.46, and the Stochastic RSI has not yet touched the oversold zone. According to the CoinGlass liquidation heatmap, over $1 million in liquidity is clustered near the $6.90 price level, becoming the next key target price for bulls.
Odaily News: The Kobeissi Letter posted on X platform that in the three days through July 28, hedge funds sold global information technology stocks at the highest pace since records began in 2016. Meanwhile, hedge funds recorded their largest three-day reduction in total stock exposure since November 2022, with selling pressure spreading across all sectors. This unwinding was primarily driven by short covering in macro products such as index futures and ETFs. Additionally, single stocks recorded their fifth-largest three-day selling volume in the past five years. By region, North America accounted for the majority of selling volume, followed by Europe. Hedge funds are significantly reducing their stock exposure.