News linked to both this project and an event.
BIT Group posted on X platform, stating that with only days remaining until the SpaceX IPO, market expectations are heating up, with a general consensus that the stock is likely to perform well post-listing. Unlike many recent IPOs, there are currently few signs that SpaceX will raise its offering price, indicating that the target fundraising amount of $75 billion has already received fairly sufficient subscription coverage.Meanwhile, SpaceX-related pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts are trading at around $157 on Hyperliquid (calculated based on the old 11.9 billion share count) and quoting $169 on Binance, both significantly higher than the expected IPO price of $135. Although prices have fallen from around $200 a few days ago and undergone a repricing, the current implied valuations on both platforms still approach nearly $2 trillion, indicating that traders still anticipate a strong market debut for SpaceX. Prediction markets are also leaning towards optimism, with the current probability of SpaceX's valuation exceeding $2 trillion by the end of the year standing at 68%.
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin's price has retraced approximately 20% over the past month, with two key on-chain indicators showing sustained market sentiment pressure. Among them, Bitcoin's MVRV Z-score has dropped from 0.95 a month ago to 0.32, far below the historical average of 1.71, indicating that the previous valuation premium has largely been digested and the market has entered a range more conducive to long-term accumulation.Meanwhile, Bitcoin's 7-day simple moving average of Net Realized Profit/Loss has been in negative territory for 22 consecutive days, meaning the market has been completing transactions at a loss since May 18. The indicator hit a low of approximately -$1.2 billion on June 6 and has since slightly recovered to around -$1.1 billion. Although market pressure is evident, it remains below the extreme levels of approximately -$2.2 billion seen during the 2022 bear market capitulation phase.Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that currently, a large number of holders are selling Bitcoin below their cost basis, reflecting significant market fear and capitulation sentiment. However, the MVRV Z-score remains above 0, suggesting that the market has not yet entered a deeply undervalued zone, nor has it presented a historically significant value trough.He believes that combining these two indicators, while market sentiment is relatively weak, valuations have clearly cooled down. Going forward, key focus points will be whether the Net Realized Profit/Loss can return above the zero line and whether the MVRV Z-score can maintain a positive value. If the MVRV Z-score falls below 0, or realized losses move closer to the extreme levels of 2022 once again, it could signal the onset of a deeper phase of market capitulation.
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
BIT's weekly market review indicates the crypto market continued its weakness last week. BTC fell from approximately $73,400 on June 1st to around $63,100 on Monday morning this week, dipping to about $61,400 during trading on June 4th. ETH faced similar pressure, dropping to around $1,680.BIT stated that the core factor behind this adjustment remains financial pressure. The BTC spot ETF experienced net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $4.4 billion. Meanwhile, whale sell-offs and expectations surrounding the transfer of Mt.Gox-related wallets further exacerbated market selling pressure.The report points out that as BTC approached the key support level of $60,000, the market has seen a preliminary rebound in the past 24 hours. Going forward, key areas to monitor include whether ETF capital continues to flow back, whether the $60,000 support level can hold, and the impact of this week's U.S. CPI data on market risk appetite.
Crypto analyst Ali posted on X, stating that Coinbase will face a critical technical test next week. If it holds above $141, it could trigger a rebound and potentially rally toward $185; however, if it breaks below this key support level, further downside risk looms, with a potential target near $74. Meanwhile, analyst Hussein Kashmar noted that the weekly support level at $145 is also highly significant—this zone has historically attracted strong buying interest. Market participants are now watching closely to see whether bulls can successfully defend this current support area. Should buying pressure fail to materialize effectively, Coinbase may retreat further into the prior breakout range of $100–$115.
due to profit-taking in AI concept assets and a decline in market risk appetite, Bitcoin has fallen to around $62,000, down nearly 16% from its high of over $74,000 last week. Market analysts believe that if Bitcoin loses the $60,000 mark, its next key technical support level could be around $55,000. Additionally, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 15 consecutive trading days, totaling over $4.7 billion. Meanwhile, Strategy disclosed this week that it has sold Bitcoin for the first time since 2022, which has also dampened market expectations for institutional buying.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $2.69 million yesterday, ending a 13-day streak of net outflows (totaling approximately $4.37 billion). BlackRock’s $IBIT saw a single-day inflow of $47.3 million, and Morgan Stanley’s $MSBT recorded an inflow of $9.87 million—making them the primary contributors. Meanwhile, ARK’s $ARKB experienced an outflow of $20.72 million, Bitwise’s $BITB an outflow of $15.57 million, and Invesco’s $BTCO an outflow of $12.65 million; all other products saw zero net fund flows.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), the wallet “0x466”—linked to the “7 Siblings”—borrowed $60 million and purchased 32,919 ETH at an average price of $1,762, spending approximately $58 million; $2 million worth of orders remain unfilled. Meanwhile, the dormant “old whale” wallet “0x293” sold 10,000 ETH at an average price of $1,772, cashing out roughly $17.72 million in USDC.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), as the market declined, the 3x BTC short position held by the whale “pension-usdt.eth” has generated a floating profit exceeding $3.2 million, and the whale has begun closing this position. Meanwhile, the whale has opened a new 3x ETH short position, and its size continues to increase.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of $90.14 million: BlackRock’s $ETHA saw an outflow of $44.27 million, Grayscale’s $ETH (mini) an outflow of $25.41 million, and Fidelity’s $FETH an outflow of $15.63 million; all other products experienced no fund flows. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF $IBIT recorded a net outflow of 6,164 BTC (approximately $440 million) on the same day—its 11th consecutive day of net outflows—with a single-day trading volume reaching $2.2 billion.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, institutions and whales continue to increase their holdings of HYPE.Among them, Galaxy Digital withdrew 179,000 HYPE from Coinbase in the past 7 hours, worth approximately $12.62 million. Meanwhile, a new address starting with 0x6436 withdrew another 135,800 HYPE, worth approximately $9.73 million, 8 hours ago, bringing its total withdrawals over the past two days to 399,700 HYPE, worth about $28.92 million.The two addresses mentioned above have cumulatively bought or withdrawn 539,500 HYPE, with a total value of approximately $41.54 million.
According to the Central Bank of Russia’s “Financial Stability Review,” Russian private investors currently hold approximately 3.8 billion rubles in cryptocurrency-linked financial instruments—a figure nearly unchanged from 3.7 billion rubles six months earlier—indicating stagnation in market interest growth. Of this amount, 1.7 billion rubles flowed into crypto-linked corporate bonds; 5,600 investors collectively held cryptocurrency futures positions worth 1.7 billion rubles; and roughly 3,800 investors allocated 354 million rubles to digital financial assets pegged to Bitcoin and Ethereum. Major issuers include large banks such as Sber and VTB. Meanwhile, the Moscow Exchange has progressively launched Bitcoin and Ethereum futures, along with related ETFs, and will introduce Solana, Ripple, and TRON futures in May 2026.
According to on-chain analyst Yujin (@EmberCN), BTC spot ETFs have recorded net outflows for 11 consecutive trading days, totaling $3.452 billion; during this period, the BTC price fell from $81,710 to $70,111—a decline of 14.2%. Meanwhile, ETH spot ETFs have seen net outflows for 15 consecutive trading days, totaling $757 million; during this period, the ETH price dropped from $2,412 to $1,956—a decline of 18.9%.
According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, Bitcoin is down 16% year-to-date and is entering its historically seasonally weak June window—over the past decade, June’s average return has been just +0.7%. However, this year’s May rally significantly underperformed the historical average, raising the probability of a seasonal reversal. Meanwhile, several catalysts are set to materialize soon, including U.S.-regulated crypto perpetual futures products and Nasdaq CME Crypto Index Futures (scheduled for launch on June 8). If these bring new buying support, Bitcoin could stage a short-term rebound.
Odaily Odaily News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, HYPE has hit a new all-time high and broken above $72. Loracle (@loraclexyz) has closed over 50% of their HYPE short position, still holding 843,232 HYPE short positions, worth $60.7 million, with floating losses exceeding $22 million. Meanwhile, a whale holds a 5x leveraged long position on HYPE, with floating profits currently exceeding $46 million.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net capital outflows for nine consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $2.84 billion. This marks the longest consecutive losing streak since the product's launch in 2024, surpassing the previous record set on February 8, 2025. BlackRock's IBIT was the primary source of these outflows.Analysts indicate that this round of capital outflows reflects a notable cooling in institutional demand for Bitcoin ETF exposure. Meanwhile, the market is showing signs of divergence: Hyperliquid-related ETFs and certain XRP spot ETFs continue to record capital inflows. In contrast, spot Ethereum ETFs have also faced capital outflows for 13 consecutive days, with cumulative outflows reaching approximately $694 million. This suggests that capital within crypto asset ETFs is undergoing a reallocation. (Cointelegraph)
Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, stated that the accumulation of Bitcoin holdings by whales and dolphins has stalled, reflecting persistently weak new demand and indicating that the current market structure resembles the bearish phase of 2022. According to the report, the year-on-year contraction rate of balances held by whales (those holding 1,000–10,000 BTC) is the fastest this year; while balances held by dolphins (those holding 100–1,000 BTC) remain year-on-year positive, they have fallen significantly below trend. Meanwhile, long-term holder supply has risen to 15.8 million BTC, whereas short-term holder supply has declined from 6.4 million BTC in December 2025 to approximately 4.2 million BTC.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), the whale Evaded (@ICanPlug) has opened a new 25x-leveraged short position on 12,600 ETH and continues holding a 30x-leveraged short position on BTC; its current unrealized profit exceeds $1.6 million. Meanwhile, Machi’s (@machibigbrother) 25x-leveraged long position on ETH has again suffered partial liquidation; it remains open but is now down over $33.39 million, nearing its next liquidation threshold.
Wintermute stated that, as of May 25, BTC was trading at approximately $76,600 (down 1.5% weekly), while ETH traded at around $2,140 (down 1.7% weekly). Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market’s S&P 500 Index hit a new all-time high during the same period—highlighting a pronounced divergence between crypto and equities. BTC spot ETFs saw outflows of roughly $1.26 billion for the week, bringing cumulative outflows over two weeks to over $2 billion. Institutional buying—previously instrumental in driving BTC from $70,000 to $80,000—has clearly receded. The ETH/BTC ratio hit a fresh 10-month low, down 35% cumulatively from its August peak. On the macro front, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index plunged to a historic low of 44.8, while the one-year inflation expectation rose to 4.8%. NVIDIA reported Q1 revenue growth of 85% year-on-year and issued a Q2 revenue guidance of $91 billion—but saw virtually no after-hours reaction, suggesting AI-related trades are already fully priced in. Wintermute noted that BTC’s key support currently lies between $75,000 and $76,000; holding this range could enable a retest of $80,000, whereas a break below would rapidly open the $70,000–$72,000 zone. The near-term direction hinges on whether institutional capital returns to the market.
According to Mobile Payment Network, Alipay announced that its AI-powered payment solution has completed a cumulative total of 300 million intelligent-agent-based payments and supports 95% of mainstream intelligent-agent frameworks, claiming it has established an AI-native payment infrastructure ready for large-scale commercial deployment. Meanwhile, Alipay launched the AI Wallet and Token Pay: the AI Wallet targets individual users, offering intelligent-agent authorization, payment management, and bill inquiry; Token Pay targets large-model companies, providing solutions such as token top-ups and subscription-based payments. Alipay also stated that these services have already been deployed across scenarios including smart devices, intelligent vehicle cockpits, and AI tool platforms.