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Polymarket: "Next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026" probability currently at 61%, up 51% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026" is currently at 61%, up 51% in 24 hours; additionally, the probability of "release before July 24" is at 9%; the probability of "release before July 25" is at 5%;This event will be settled based on the date (Eastern Time) when Anthropic's next Claude Opus model becomes available to the public. Only models explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic are valid, and they must be accessible to the public (including public beta testing or open waitlist). Other models such as Sonnet and Haiku are not counted. The final settlement will primarily rely on official Anthropic information.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.

Uniswap Launches DualPool Hook, Enabling Market Makers to Generate Lending Returns from Idle Liquidity Assets

Uniswap has announced the official launch of the DualPool Hook. DualPool is an open-source Uniswap v4 Hook, jointly designed and developed by Spark and Uniswap Labs, which allows market makers to deposit idle assets into lending protocols to earn yields while waiting for liquidity funds to be matched, and to recall funds to the liquidity pool when a trade occurs. From an external perspective, DualPool is indistinguishable from a regular Uniswap v4 liquidity pool; traders, aggregators, and solvers still execute transactions through the Pool Manager. Its internal mechanism involves storing liquidity funds in an ERC-4626 yield vault, automatically withdrawing funds to deploy into concentrated liquidity positions when a trade needs to be executed, thereby ensuring transaction execution while allowing idle funds to continuously generate lending returns.

UK Tokenized Government Bond Plan Advances, On-Chain Cash Settlement Becomes Key Bottleneck

According to CoinDesk, the UK government plans to complete the first tokenized sovereign bond issuance tests through HSBC and the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) in early 2027, but industry experts point out that on-chain cash settlement issues remain the core obstacle hindering the implementation of the plan. Varun Paul, Global Head of Central Banks and Market Infrastructure at Fireblocks, stated that the project has secured sufficient institutional support, and a change in government (UK Prime Minister changing from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham) is unlikely to reverse it, and tokenized government bonds are expected to boost market demand given the UK's current debt scale of nearly 3 trillion pounds (approximately 4 trillion USD). Jannah Patchay, Founder of Markets Evolution, pointed out that tokenized bond technology has been validated for nearly seven years since Santander Bank issued the first tokenized sterling corporate bond in 2019, but the absence of on-chain counterparty risk-free settlement assets has remained unresolved. She called on regulators to promote the use of compliant sterling stablecoins to provide an on-chain settlement mechanism. Currently, the global stablecoin market size reaches $300 billion, but TGBP, the largest pound stablecoin by market capitalization, is only worth about $34.2 million, accounting for a negligible proportion.

a16z Crypto: Tokenized Stocks Market Cap Surpasses $1.7 Billion, Up Over 5x in One Year

According to a post by a16z crypto researcher Robert Hackett and data advisor Ryan Holloway, the tokenized stock market is experiencing explosive growth. As of June 2026, the total market capitalization of tokenized stocks reached approximately $1.7 billion, representing a more than fivefold increase from $329 million a year earlier, making it one of the fastest-growing categories among tokenized assets. On-chain data shows that monthly transfer volume surged from $53 million last June to $9.22 billion this June, a year-over-year increase of more than 170 times. The market structure has also changed significantly: the proportion of crypto-related products dropped from 79% to 21%; the AI and chip category jumped from nearly zero to a market share of 15.5%; tech giants rose from 0.6% to 10.6%; and ETFs and indices increased from 4.5% to 17.3%. At the institutional level, DTCC has completed the first live trades of tokenized Treasury bonds and stocks on Digital Asset's Canton network, with full services planned to launch in October, which will open access for Wall Street to approximately $114 trillion in DTC custodied assets. Meanwhile, Robinhood has launched its own chain, NYSE's parent company announced a joint venture with OKX (pending regulatory approval), and Coinbase and Binance have also sequentially launched offerings for non-U.S. users.

Morgan Stanley: Semiconductor Pullback Not Yet Ended, Capital Flowing to Consumer and Transportation

According to TechFlow Research, Morgan Stanley released a weekly US stock strategy report on July 20. The report pointed out that the trend of market breadth expansion continues, and the momentum trading risks in the semiconductor sector have not yet been fully released. The silver stock price analogy model shows that semiconductors may have about 15% downside potential in the short term, and earnings revision breadth has retreated from historical extremes. Over the past two months, the consumer durables and transportation sectors outperformed the S&P 500 by approximately 12 percentage points respectively, and the equal-weight index continues to outperform the market-cap weighted index. In terms of allocation, Morgan Stanley continues to recommend overweighting cloud providers (Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon) and underweighting semiconductors within the technology sector. The equal-weighted P/E ratio of the four major giants has fallen back to 21 times. Consumer durables and transportation are the clearest directions for capital inflows, with the earnings revision breadth of the transportation sector reaching the strongest level since 2021. Market style is gradually shifting towards quality factors, with earnings revision breadth for high gross margin and high sales stability factors continuing to strengthen. The S&P 500 year-end target is 8,000 points, with 7,000 points being a key technical support level.

Polymarket's "CLARITY Bill Signed into Law in 2026" probability reaches 42%, up 10% in a week

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that the probability of "CLARITY Bill Signed into Law in 2026" on Polymarket has risen to 42%, up 5% in 24 hours and 10% in a week.The market rules are as follows: If the "Digital Asset Market Transparency Act of 2025" (HR3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "YES"; otherwise, it will resolve to "NO". The primary sources of information are official announcements from the U.S. Congress website and other official U.S. government information, although other reliable reports may also be referenced.White House Crypto Advisor Patrick Witt has officially stated today that he will remain in Washington to push for the passage of the CLARITY Act. Previously, there were reports that he would leave before the Senate vote, but that news has now been overturned.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.

CoinShares Launches UCITS Platform, Enters European $30 Trillion Institutional Market

According to The Block, crypto asset management company CoinShares has officially launched its UCITS platform, simultaneously listing its first fund—the CoinShares Bitcoin Mining UCITS ETF—which began trading on Tuesday on the Deutsche Börse Xetra. The platform aims to unlock Europe's €26.3 trillion (approximately $30 trillion) UCITS ecosystem, targeting major institutional investors such as pension funds, insurance companies, and private banks. CoinShares stated that previously, the core obstacle hindering institutional entry lay in product structure, as many institutions' investment mandates restrict them from holding debt securities; the introduction of the UCITS framework will effectively lift this restriction. The company's co-founder and CEO Jean-Marie Mognetti stated that this move marks CoinShares' official entry into the UCITS market, and more digital asset and thematic investment strategies will continue to be launched subsequently.

Global Chain Business Launches Global Ecosystem, Focusing on Industrial Capitalization and Securities Tokenization

Global Chain Business has completed its global ecosystem launch conference, attracting approximately 6,000 participants from over 20 countries and regions to join online.During the conference, the new Global Chain Business Financial Academy was also launched, along with the release of the 2026-2027 global ecosystem strategic plan.Its core infrastructure, Webbridge Securities and Omin Market, have been launched simultaneously. During the public beta phase, the cumulative registered users reached 200,000, and the transaction volume of a single STO ecosystem exceeded $300 million.

BIT: Ethereum Market Share Returns Above 10%, "Simplified Ethereum" Roadmap Targets 2029

According to BIT Official analysis, Ethereum's market dominance has climbed back above the 10% psychological key level, with historical data showing that this signal usually accompanies bullish market trends. In the long term, Ethereum's "Lean Ethereum" roadmap plans to complete seven consecutive upgrades before 2029, aiming to build a high-speed settlement layer featuring faster finality, post-quantum cryptography technology, and network-wide native privacy features.

Base Co-founder: Will Continue to Expand Developer Support, Focusing on Products That Naturally Achieve Market Traction

Odaily Odaily News: Base co-founder Jesse Pollak stated that Base is focused on reshaping the financial ecosystem, including areas such as trading, payments, agents, the long tail effect of developer-driven innovation, and Meme trading.Jesse Pollak said the team will continue to scale up support for developers, progressing from batch-based support to the BEF (Base Ecosystem Fund), and then to mass distribution, prioritizing support for products that can naturally gain market recognition.

Tether Gold recognized by Abu Dhabi Global Market as an Accepted Spot Commodity

Stablecoin issuer Tether announced that its gold token, Tether Gold (XAU₮), has been recognized as an "Accepted Spot Commodity" by the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), opening channels for regulatory-compliant enterprises within ADGM to offer services related to XAU₮.Tether stated that this recognition was obtained after continuous communication with ADGM and demonstrating its operational resilience, transparency, and compliance framework. It will help enterprises that have obtained relevant regulatory licenses support XAU₮ products and services in a regulated environment. Previously, the ADGM Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) had recognized Tether's USD stablecoin USD₮ as an "Accepted Fiat Referenced Token." This recognition of XAU₮ further expands the application scope of Tether's products within the regulated ecosystem of ADGM.

Hyperliquid Opens Permissionless Prediction Market Deployment, Requires Staking 500,000 HYPE

Hyperliquid will open permissionless prediction market deployment in the subsequent enhancement following the HIP-4 upgrade, allowing anyone to create prediction markets on the platform. This feature will first launch on the testnet, followed by the mainnet; currently, related markets are entirely controlled by validators. Hyperliquid stated that in the future, markets operated by validators should ideally be less than 10 per year, with the remaining markets open to external deployers. Deploying a market requires staking 500,000 HYPE, approximately $30 million; if validators determine that a market is poorly defined or incorrectly settled, the staked assets may be slashed. Deployers can receive up to 50% of the trading fees from that market.

U.Today: Gate Polymarket Fuels Prediction Market Growth, Cumulative Trading Volume Exceeds $622 Million

according to the latest in-depth report by U.Today, as the prediction market continues to heat up, sports events are becoming a key engine driving industry growth. As the world's first centralized exchange to integrate Polymarket, Gate Polymarket significantly lowers the barrier to user participation by offering a trading experience with no wallet, no cross-chain, and no gas fees. Users can directly use USDT from their Gate accounts to make predictions without the need for complex on-chain operations. Currently, Gate Polymarket has become one of the largest traffic gateways for Polymarket. As of July 16, its cumulative trading volume has exceeded $622 million. On July 6, its weekly trading volume surpassed $100 million, and it ranks first in Polymarket's daily, weekly, and monthly trading volume across all channels.The report points out that the 2026 World Cup is becoming one of the key catalysts driving the rapid growth of the prediction market. The World Cup Hub, built around the event, integrates match schedules, standings, real-time scores, match alerts, historical data, and prediction trading. Sports predictions continue to attract a large number of users, further boosting Gate Polymarket’s activity and market liquidity.U.Today believes that Gate has not only lowered the barrier to entry for the prediction market but also further refined the product experience. It has launched innovative features such as a dual-mode trading interface, AI event analysis, smart money tracking, real-time fund flow alerts, and event contracts, helping users discover market opportunities more efficiently. By combining the convenient experience of a centralized exchange with the deep integration of Polymarket’s decentralized prediction market, Gate is continuously expanding the application scenarios of the prediction market and driving on-chain prediction markets toward a more open, efficient, and mainstream stage of development.

European First BTC-Backed Preferred Stock Listed, Bitcoin Treasury Capital Launches BTC PREF

BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on X, stating that Swedish public company Bitcoin Treasury Capital has launched Europe’s first BTC-backed preferred stock on the Spotlight Stock Market, trading under the ticker BTC PREF. The product offers an annual dividend of 10%, paid on a monthly basis.

Gate Launches Esports Trading Season: Predict Esports Events and Share 200,000 USDT

Odaily, July 20 - According to official sources, Gate has launched the Esports Peak Trading Season from 16:00 on July 20 to 16:00 on August 10 (UTC+8), with a total prize pool of 200,000 USDT. During the event, users who register and participate in designated prediction trading for esports events in the Gate Polymarket esports section can enjoy newcomer benefits, weekly trading tasks, and the prediction trading leaderboard to share generous rewards. After the event, the top 100 users by cumulative prediction trading volume who meet the corresponding trading volume requirements can also share a 50,000 USDT leaderboard reward, with the 1st place winner eligible to receive up to 10,000 USDT. Currently, the Gate Prediction Market has launched prediction markets for popular events such as the 2026 KeSPA Cup "League of Legends" Chevor DRX vs. KT team, and more exciting events can be found on the platform for participation.According to data from Polymarket Builders, the Gate Prediction Market ranked first among Polymarket channels in single-day trading volume on July 19, and has also maintained a leading position in cumulative trading volume over the past week and month, ranking first among Polymarket channels. As the first centralized trading platform to integrate Polymarket, Gate has become a key entry point for users to participate in prediction markets. Users can enter Gate Polymarket via the Alpha section on the Gate App homepage and use USDT in their accounts to conveniently trade in prediction markets for popular esports events and championship outcomes. Users can also leverage the "Smart Money" feature to track the positions and market judgments of high-win-rate traders, gaining more reference for esports event predictions. Gate is continuously expanding the application scenarios of its prediction market, providing users with prediction trading experiences covering diverse events such as popular esports competitions.

Changxin Technology: Fund remittance and allotment for the strategic placement of the issuance have been completed; valid subscription ratio of offline Class A investors exceeded 87%

Changxin Memory Technologies released the announcement on the offline preliminary allocation results and online winning results for the initial public offering and listing on the STAR Market, announcing that the payment and allocation work for the strategic placement of this issuance has been completed. All investors participating in the strategic placement of this issuance have participated in the strategic placement of this issuance in accordance with their commitments. The initial strategic placement quantity for this issuance is 334,404.4304 ten thousand shares, accounting for 50.00% of the initial issuance quantity and approximately 43.48% of the total number of shares issued after the full exercise of the over-allotment option. The subscription funds committed by investors participating in the strategic placement have been fully remitted to the bank account designated by CICC within the prescribed time. After the strategic placement clawback and before the initiation of the online-offline clawback mechanism, following the activation of the over-allotment, the initial online issuance quantity is 334,900.1000 ten thousand shares, accounting for approximately 55.59% of the issuance quantity of this issuance after deducting the final strategic placement quantity after the exercise of the over-allotment option.

Robinhood responds to controversy over supporting Trump accounts: Not encouraging speculation, but aiming to expand financial inclusion

Odaily Planet Daily: Market critics suggest that Robinhood's involvement in supporting Trump accounts may induce young and inexperienced investors to engage in gambling-like trading. Especially as new trading products, such as prediction markets (including push notifications, visual effects, and gamification elements), enter the platform, discussions about whether it may induce excessive trading among users remain unresolved. In response, Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev stated that this move is not to encourage speculation, but to expand financial inclusion and help more American families participate in long-term investments. Robinhood has adjusted some product designs and is attempting to transform from a "speculative trading platform" into a broader financial services company. (New York Times)

U.S. House Financial Services Committee to Hold CLARITY Act Hearing, Updated Text May Be Delayed Until Next Week

Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett posted on X, stating that Republican members of the U.S. House Financial Services Committee will hold a live hearing in New York at 10:00 AM Eastern Time, focusing on how the CLARITY Act can drive innovation in the digital asset sector.This hearing is an informational session aimed at gathering industry opinions and discussing policy implications, and it will not affect the Senate's current legislative process for the bill.Meanwhile, the updated legislative text of the CLARITY Act has still not been released. Previously, U.S. President Donald Trump met with Republican senators regarding related ethical provisions, but as of now, the new bill text has not been officially published.Eleanor Terrett cited industry sources, noting that crypto industry leaders currently expect the release of the updated text to be delayed until next week.Market participants are closely watching the CLARITY Act, which serves as a key component of the U.S. crypto market structure regulatory framework. Its final text and pace of advancement will influence the future compliance pathways for digital asset companies, trading platforms, and institutional investors.

U.S. Representative McHenry Advocates for the CLARITY Act: The Crypto Market Structure Bill Could Become the Next-Generation “Telecommunications Act”

a16z has published an article by U.S. Representative Patrick McHenry titled “The time for Clarity is here: The next-generation Telecoms Act.” The article points out that the advancing crypto market structure legislation, the “CLARITY Act,” holds historical significance similar to the 1996 Telecommunications Act, potentially laying a vital foundation for the next wave of financial innovation in the United States.Patrick McHenry stated that his over 20 years of service in Congress have shown him that timely legislation can propel the nation forward, while legislative stagnation may force the U.S. to play catch-up in critical technological fields. America stands at a crossroads: either maintain its position as the world's leading technology and financial hub, or cede this advantage to competitors challenging its dominance. The CLARITY Act represents one of the few forward-looking financial legislative opportunities in recent years. Like the 1996 Telecommunications Act, it aims to establish consumer protection mechanisms while embracing emerging technological developments. The bill has garnered broad bipartisan support and involves coordination across multiple congressional committees.Patrick McHenry believes that U.S. financial regulation has long been stuck in a “crisis response mode.” Since the 2008 financial crisis, most major financial reforms have primarily targeted past risks, failing to establish an institutional framework for future technological innovation. He argues that crypto market structure legislation has the opportunity to break this pattern and become the first significant reform in nearly 30 years to proactively build the financial system of the future.Regarding the view that existing securities laws are sufficient to cover the crypto industry, this perspective does not reflect market realities. Companies and entrepreneurs are not rejecting regulation; rather, they seek clear rules. “When entrepreneurs know where the boundaries are, they can innovate with greater confidence.” If the CLARITY Act is passed, it will provide regulatory certainty for the digital asset industry, protect consumers and investors, and equip enforcement agencies with tools to combat crime and bad actors. Multiple crypto-related legislative efforts, including the stablecoin regulation bill the GENIUS Act, have gained bipartisan support. An increasing number of lawmakers recognize that digital assets are not going away, and the U.S. needs to establish clear rules to maintain its competitive edge.Other countries around the world are actively advancing digital asset regulatory frameworks. Capital and innovation will flow to markets with clear rules. The CLARITY Act is not just about crypto assets; it concerns whether the U.S. can continue to lead economic development in the 21st century and establish the rules for global technological innovation.

ARK Invest: BTC Price Decline Diverges from Whale Accumulation, Market Cycle Bottom Signals Emerge

ARK Invest's "The Bitcoin Quarterly" report for Q2 2026 indicates Bitcoin fell approximately 14% in the second quarter, closing around $58,544, and broke below three major technical moving averages. Historically, this technical pattern is often associated with bearish market conditions. The report shows that despite price pressure, Bitcoin Long-term Holders continued to accumulate, pushing their holdings to a new all-time high of approximately 14.85 million BTC, absorbing coins released during the market correction.ARK Invest stated that on-chain data is signaling signs of seller exhaustion: the supply of BTC in loss exceeds the supply in profit, and the rate of realized losses once surpassed the rate of realized profits. Historically, similar phenomena have often clustered near the bottom of market cycles.The report also pointed out that institutional demand in the Bitcoin market is facing pressure. Both corporate Bitcoin reserves (Treasury Companies) and the ETF ecosystem have shown signs of weakness:The STRC preferred stock price once fell to approximately $74.57, below its $100 par value;U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows for 7 consecutive weeks, with cumulative outflows totaling approximately 70,000 BTC.ARK Invest believes that ETF outflows indicate a weakening of important marginal buying pressure for Bitcoin, but continued accumulation by long-term holders suggests a redistribution of coins is occurring within the market.The firm stated that a clear divergence is currently forming between BTC's price performance and the behavior of long-term holders. Historical data shows that such divergences can often serve as important observation signals for market cycle turning points.