News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced adjustments to some calculation methods for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE). The relevant changes are expected to be reflected in the data revision scheduled for release on September 30, 2026. Market estimates broadly indicate that this adjustment will likely lower the core PCE inflation rate by approximately 0.2 percentage points. Current data shows that over the 12 months ending May 2026, core PCE inflation stood at 3.4%, remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% target since March 2021. The BEA's primary adjustments this time focus on three specific sectors: portfolio management and investment advisory services, computer software and accessories, and legal services, modifying their respective price calculation methods.Former Federal Reserve Governor Miran stated in a speech last December that "some of what should have been recorded as an increase in the quantity of service consumption has instead been recorded as a price increase." In May of this year, Miran, along with Fed economists Alessandro Barbarino and Anthony M. Diercks, published a paper analyzing the shortcomings of existing statistical methods, including issues with the measurement of products like portable storage devices and video games. JPMorgan economist Abiel Reinhart remarked, "‘Grand Theft Auto 6’ might also have a chance to influence the U.S. Treasury yield curve."
Sberbank, Russia's largest bank, plans to launch a cryptocurrency wallet and digital custody services, with the earliest launch expected in December. The services will be integrated into the "Sberbank Online" and "SberInvestments" platforms, pending the official implementation of Russia's forthcoming "Digital Currency and Digital Rights Law" in September.The bill is expected to establish a licensing framework for transactions, custody, fiat exchange, and cross-border settlements involving crypto assets, while also allowing eligible investors to participate in trading within set limits.Sberbank stated that users will be able to access authorized crypto assets directly within the bank's application, and a digital asset custody system will also be launched for token storage and ledger management.Against the backdrop of advancing regulations, financial institutions including the Moscow Exchange and VTB are also accelerating their deployment in digital asset-related businesses, as Russia's financial system gradually opens up to the compliant crypto market. (CoinDesk)
According to official sources, InsightX, the first AI-driven prediction market product on the Mantle chain, has surpassed a total trading volume of $300 million on Mantle, marking an important milestone for Mantle's on-chain financial infrastructure as it moves towards "real-time information assetization". According to the introduction, InsightX transforms real-world information such as sports events, crypto markets, and news events into tradable on-chain markets, realizing a new form of financial interaction known as Information-as-Asset. Users can instantly price and trade on the outcomes of future events, thereby upgrading traditional information consumption into verifiable and settleable market behaviors.
according to official sources, the self-custody Web3 wallet BM Wallet has launched its prediction market feature. Users can now directly participate in real-world event predictions within the wallet, settling entirely with stablecoins. Assets never need to be withdrawn, and private keys remain under the user's control at all times. This feature integrates the prediction market Polymarket, tapping into its deep liquidity. The initial phase centers on the World Cup, while also covering sectors such as cryptocurrency and politics. It is currently available in designated regions.
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. Crypto Market Structure Bill Clarity Act failed to be signed within the previously expected timeframe. As Congress approaches its summer recess, pressure is mounting for the bill to be enacted within 2026. However, several observers following the legislative process remain cautiously optimistic about its passage within the year, believing that current key coordination efforts are still ongoing, including the consolidation of content between the Senate Agriculture Committee and Banking Committee versions.
The PPP Prediction Market tool monitors that Polymarket has listed a new event: "Will the US government revoke public access to another major AI model?" The current probability is reported at 33%.The settlement rules state: If the US federal government, by the end of 2026, passes relevant legislation, issues an executive order, implements export controls, or takes any other action that substantially restricts US public access to a major AI model, the market outcome will be "Yes." Otherwise, the outcome will be "No." A "qualifying action" refers to a formal measure taken by the US government, the effect of which is equivalent to completely prohibiting the public from accessing a specific AI model within the United States. Furthermore, the settlement rules emphasize that regardless of the action's true purpose or nominal goal; if the action effectively results in the public being unable to access the model within the US—for example, prohibiting the model from being provided to foreign citizens or governments, as long as the general public cannot access the model through conventional channels within the US—it meets the qualification requirements. Merely excluding access to the model from a single channel is insufficient. Removals of public access that are not caused by any formal action of the US government are not eligible."Mainstream AI model" refers to the flagship, general-purpose large language model or multimodal foundation model developed by one of the following companies: OpenAI, Anthropic, Google (including Google DeepMind), Meta, xAI, Microsoft, Amazon, Mistral AI, DeepSeek, Alibaba, ByteDance, Moonshot AI, and Zhipu AI (Z.ai). Models designed for specific tasks, or those that are outdated, used solely for research or preview purposes, do not meet this criterion.The action can target a single model or a group of models, as long as at least one major AI model becomes inaccessible to the public within the US as a result. A temporary suspension of public access to a model meets this condition. However, if an action has been implemented or a related resolution has been issued, but the public can still access the model before the resolution takes effect, that action does not meet the condition.The information sources for this market are official announcements and information from the US government and the relevant AI companies. However, reliable media reports may also be referenced to form a consensus.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before prices are set.
Coinbase released a monthly review on July 1, stating that in the first half of the year, it advanced its product layout around the strategy of "every asset, every market, one platform," covering tokenized stocks, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, stock options, crypto options, stock index perpetual futures, AI tools, payments, stablecoins, and on-chain infrastructure. Coinbase stated that the tokenized stocks are 1:1 backed shares of US companies, expected to include dividends, on-chain trading, holding, and redemption functions, and are not available to US persons. Coinbase also noted that its pre-IPO perpetual contracts will start with SpaceX and then expand to OpenAI and Anthropic, and will offer crypto options through integration with Deribit. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said on July 3 that Coinbase is one of the companies with the highest level of AI application globally. Coinbase also stated that it has launched a direct INR on-ramp in India, become the official deployer of the USDC treasury wallet for Hyperliquid, partnered with Ethena across over $50 billion in assets, and mentioned transferring approximately $4.4 billion USDC to the Hyperliquid deployer. (Bitcoin.com News).
AI data center Crusoe Energy Systems is in talks for a new round of financing worth approximately $3 billion. Upon completion of this round, the company's valuation is expected to roughly triple from the previous round, reaching the $30 billion range.Founded in 2018, Crusoe initially started with crypto-related businesses before transitioning into an AI infrastructure and data center service provider. It is currently categorized as one of the "neocloud" firms, a new type of cloud computing company focused on providing computational power support for generative AI. The company has signed compute supply contracts with tech giants including Meta and Oracle. As demand for AI infrastructure construction surges, the scale of its compute business continues to expand.According to previously public information, Crusoe completed a funding round of approximately $1.38 billion last year, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. If this new round is successfully completed, it would become another large-scale capital move in the AI infrastructure sector.Market sources estimate that the final valuation for this round could be around the $30 billion level, but the deal is still in progress and has not yet been finalized. (Reuters)
"White Hair Stock God" Serenity stated that when he first used ChatGPT in 2023, he believed large language models "performed poorly" in programming capabilities. However, three years later, the related technology has undergone a qualitative transformation. Modern cybersecurity and AI systems, represented by Mythos, now possess "weapon-level" capabilities. He believes the industry is currently entering a critical "inflection point," where humanoid robots and automation technologies are approaching the tipping point for large-scale replacement of human labor.Serenity noted that although outsiders often question whether humanoid robots can currently perform complex tasks such as pipe repair or electrical wiring, the direction of technological evolution is already very clear, with continued breakthroughs expected in the coming years. Market participants, including VCs and large tech companies, have begun adjusting their strategies. Some companies have internal plans to replace a significant amount of human labor with robots to reduce operational costs, referencing previous rumors about Amazon reducing hundreds of thousands of job openings through robotics.Serenity believes that highly regulated industries such as healthcare, ultra-high-skill professional positions, and service sectors relying on human emotional connections may still retain some resistance to substitution. However, the overall trend still points towards a "restructuring of labor." As competition between China and the U.S. intensifies in cutting-edge technology fields, humanoid robots and automation may enter a stage of national-level technological competition. He believes China already holds a leading position in certain areas.
: TradingView has added support for data from Hyperliquid and trade.XYZ.Users can open the search function in TradingView Supercharts and enter the prefix "HYPERLIQUID:" or "HIP3XYZ:" to find the corresponding market data.
Serenity has released an exclusive analysis of the AI ASIC market on the X platform, presenting the core thesis that "NVIDIA is the kingmaker of the ASIC market." It proposes a set of industry reasoning logic, arguing that NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang is not pleased with Broadcom monopolizing the custom ASIC track. With implicit support from the NVIDIA ecosystem, companies such as Marvell, MediaTek, AlChip, and GUC are steadily capturing market share originally held by Broadcom, taking on more custom chip projects for hyperscale cloud vendors. This landscape is comparable to the rise of emerging cloud service providers last year, serving as an important means for NVIDIA to hedge against the moat created by leading cloud vendors developing their own ASICs.Serenity suggests this could represent a two-year trading opportunity but does not constitute investment advice. It also predicts that after 2030, major companies like Google will internalize a significant amount of chip design work. It added that NVIDIA has the ability to reshape the valuation of the industry chain, and there have already been market expectations that Marvell could potentially reach a trillion-dollar market cap.
针对有媒体披露 Meta 首席执行官马克·扎克伯格在内部会议上告诉员工，过去四个月的 AI 代理开发并未“以我们预期的速度加速”，Meta 首席 AI官 Alexander Wang 发文回应澄清表示，扎克伯格指的是整个行业在智能代理能力上的整体进展，而非 Meta 自身，他同时透露 Meta 即将发布新一轮 Muse Spark 更新，将显著提升模型的编程能力和智能代理能力，以更具竞争力地对标业内领先模型，并将陆续上线至 Meta AI 及全新 API 平台。
According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan released a research report stating that the financing model reform of Michael Saylor's Strategy Inc. has changed Bitcoin market dynamics—the company selectively sells Bitcoin to pay preferred stock dividends and manage its balance sheet, transforming it from one of the largest buyers in the Bitcoin market to a potential seller, introducing "avoidable" two-way flow risk to the market. JPMorgan believes that Strategy needs to hold liquidity reserves sufficient to cover dividend payments for the next two to three years to eliminate market concerns about the forced liquidation of its Bitcoin holdings.
Microsoft announced a $2.5 billion investment in a new "Applied AI Consulting and Solutions" division to help enterprises deploy and customize AI software more efficiently. The establishment of this division comes as many large enterprises face challenges in AI adoption, including complex configurations, difficulties in aligning with business scenarios, and unclear investment returns.Microsoft stated that the new team will focus on enterprise-level AI implementation, including model customization, system integration, and business process optimization, aiming to enhance the usability and commercial value of AI in real-world production environments. Market analysts believe this move further signals that AI competition is shifting from model capabilities to a new phase focused on "deployment and monetization capabilities." (TechCrunch)
Citadel Securities has filed a lawsuit in London, seeking over £6 million (approximately $7.9 million) from Leonard Lancia, its former European Head of Derivatives Systematic Market Making and co-founder of high-frequency crypto trading firm Portofino Technologies.Citadel Securities alleges that Leonard Lancia and his colleagues began planning their startup while still employed, and has won damages and legal cost support in related labor arbitration. Additionally, Citadel Securities filed a lawsuit against Portofino Technologies in the US in 2023, accusing it of stealing trade secrets. Leonard Lancia and Portofino Technologies have denied all allegations. The High Court in London rejected Leonard Lancia's request to lift the asset freezing order last Friday. (Bloomberg)
Yooldo posted on X platform, issuing an official statement regarding the significant price drop of the ESPORTS token on May 25th. The incident was not initiated, led, or intentionally caused by the ESPORTS team, which remains committed to building a healthy ecosystem and creating long-term value for the community.The key findings of the investigation are as follows: The ESPORTS team had previously onboarded external OTC and market-making partners to support liquidity and ecosystem development; the investigation found that one of these partners engaged in activities inconsistent with the team's agreed terms; based on available information, the team believes a large portion of the sell-off activity originated from tokens previously provided to this partner. However, due to the flow of transactions through multiple wallets, counterparties, and exchanges, tracing the complete fund flow is difficult; the ESPORTS team did not execute, coordinate, or instruct any market sell-offs intended to cause the price decline. Upon discovering the issue, the team cooperated with exchanges and relevant parties to investigate the incident and limit further damage; the team has begun implementing recovery measures, including liquidity support and onboarding new long-term partners, but still faces challenges from ongoing selling pressure by the market maker and related market activities.Yooldo also stated that new game updates and an additional buyback plan will be announced soon, and advised all project founders to only work with reputable and trustworthy market makers.
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's probability of "GPT-5.6 to be released to the public on July 7" has risen to 64%, up 26% in 24 hours.The rules state that a model explicitly named "GPT-5.6," or a model officially recognized as the direct successor to GPT-5.5 (such as GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc.), will meet the settlement conditions. Task-specific models like GPT-Codex and Transcribe, cost-optimized versions such as Nano and Mini, and the o-series reasoning models are all included in this market. However, GPT-6 or other next-generation flagship models are not counted.Additionally, qualified models must be open to the public, including public beta or open waitlists; closed testing or private access only will not meet the requirements. The final settlement will primarily be based on OpenAI's official announcements and public information on its official website, and will be verified with mainstream media reports.On June 27, OpenAI launched the next-generation GPT-5.6 series of models, currently offering a limited preview to a select group of partners.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
According to CoinDesk, Wall Street bank Cantor Fitzgerald issued a research report indicating that the crypto market is entering the final phase of the current bear cycle. As of June 10, Bitcoin has declined approximately 51% from its 2025 peak, with 252 days having passed since the peak. Synthesizing the past three market cycles, BTC bottoms on average 384 days after the peak; based on this, the low point of this cycle is projected to appear around the end of October. Analysts also noted that the model is not a precise timing tool, and macro, regulatory, and geopolitical risks remain. Regarding network value assessment, Cantor believes Hyperliquid is the prime example of fee-driven token economics, Bitcoin remains the benchmark monetary asset, and Ethereum serves as the primary collateral layer for on-chain finance; Solana, Sui, XRP, and Zcash each possess differentiated advantages, but still need to prove that their ecosystem growth can translate into sustained token demand.
investigative journalist Whitney Webb has published a series of articles on the origins and ambitions of Polymarket, questioning its official founding narrative.Whitney Webb stated that Polymarket's official claim that "Shayne Coplan founded the company alone in 2020, starting it in a bathroom" is not true. She believes that Polymarket's origins can be traced back to an earlier company, TokenBnk, and that it is linked to a crypto company founded by the nephew and niece of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.Webb also stated that Polymarket is essentially a product of Peter Thiel and his team's attempt to revive the Pentagon's early controversial project, the Policy Analysis Market (PAM). This project was previously cancelled due to controversy, and Polymarket can be seen as its "privatized rebirth."
According to PRNewswire, Trump family crypto mining company American Bitcoin announced it will implement a 1-for-15 reverse stock split on July 2, 2026, Eastern Time. Following the split, its common stock will resume trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market at an adjusted price on July 6, 2026. The trading symbol will remain ABTC, but the CUSIP number will be updated.