News linked to both this project and an event.
Regarding recent community speculation that a 20% correction in the US stock market would trigger a plunge in Bitcoin to $10,000, crypto analyst Darkfost published an analysis noting that if Bitcoin were to fall to $10,000, it would represent a decline of approximately 87% from current prices and a drawdown of roughly 92% from its all-time high. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a maximum drawdown exceeding 92%, which occurred in 2011; its maximum drawdowns in 2015, 2019, 2022, and 2026 were 82.5%, 82.6%, 74.4%, and 54.2%, respectively. Darkfost further pointed out that while Bitcoin fell approximately 80% when the S&P 500 index corrected by about 19.53%, it only declined around 22% during the S&P 500's similar pullback of over 19% in April 2025. Therefore, directly linking a 20% US stock market correction to Bitcoin falling to $10,000 is not sufficiently supported by historical data.
According to the market briefing released by QCP Capital (QCP Market Colour), US September CPI rose 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month, with market expectations at 3.6% and 0.6%, respectively. Core CPI increased 2.6% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, exceeding forecasts on both metrics. Despite the resilient inflation data, US Treasury yields retreated significantly. During the prior week, yields on 10-year and 30-year US Treasuries briefly spiked to 5.35% and 5.73%, respectively, before capital flowed into long-dated Treasuries as a safe haven, reversing the reflation trade that had previously dominated the market. QCP noted that this risk-off sentiment was primarily driven by credit stress in the AI infrastructure sector. AI compute provider CoreWeave closed down 15.5% on the day, and its five-year credit default swap (CDS) spread widened to 60%, prompting declines in the NASDAQ and South Korea’s KOSPI indices. Separately, MSCI introduced a new “non-operating company” classification framework this week, which may impact whether certain securities retain their place in the index and trigger forced redemptions from passive funds. Consequently, the index inclusion status of Strategy (MSTR) remains uncertain. QCP argued that credit quality within the technology sector is now displacing inflation and fiscal concerns as the primary constraint on risk appetite. With the tech earnings season commencing in approximately two weeks, the upcoming period will serve as a critical benchmark for determining whether AI-related credit risks could spill over into broader asset classes.
由李林旗下 Avenir Group 孵化的加密友好型证券平台 UMX（The Unified Market Exchange）宣布正式上线。自 8 月 10 日公测启动以来，UMX 累计收到 788 条产品反馈，其中 89 项需求落地至本次正式版。 据介绍，UMX 定位为面向全球专业投资者的加密友好型证券平台，在同一平台打通加密资产与真实证券交易，提升跨资产交易的资金效率。公测阶段，平台开放加密资产现货、杠杆、合约及期权交易，并支持真实美股、ETF 和美股期权交易。
Odaily News: Crypto.com has launched its prediction market platform Predict Pro for U.S. users on its exchange. The platform connects to OG.com Markets, an exchange and clearinghouse registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), offering real-time order book depth, probability charts, and multiple order types, and supports combining 2 to 20 event predictions from different markets into a single trade. (The Block)
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "StandX will issue a token before the end of 2026" probability has dropped to 3%, a 58% decline in 24 hours.If StandX officially launches a token before 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title, the prediction market will resolve as "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve as "No."Only tokens officially issued by StandX qualify; stablecoins, meme coins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens do not count.The token must have been publicly launched and be actually tradable; merely publishing an announcement does not meet the resolution criteria.Resolution is primarily based on StandX official information, with reference to consensus reports from credible media.Previous news: StandX announced it will not issue a token, and perpetual contracts will enter reduce-only mode starting October 20.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
According to a Galaxy research report, event-driven finance is gradually surpassing traditional prediction markets and expanding into "conditional markets" (Conditional Markets) that encompass decision markets (Decision Markets) and impact markets (Impact Markets). Currently, 22 decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) utilize decision markets for governance, managing a total asset value of $50.5 million, of which $35.8 million consists of stablecoins; the MetaDAO ecosystem accounts for 78% of total managed assets and 82% of stablecoin assets.
Bitget has now listed JIO (Jio Platforms) IPO pre-market perpetual contracts, providing global users with a channel to participate in potential pre-IPO gains and capture early market opportunities. The contract is settled in USDT and supports up to 20x leverage and 24/7 trading.Jio Platforms is a digital technology and telecommunications platform under India's Reliance Industries, founded in 2019 in Mumbai, India. Through its subsidiary Reliance Jio Infocomm, it operates India's largest telecommunications network, offering 5G, broadband, cloud computing, and AI digital services, with over 524 million users as of March 2026. The company plans to dual-list on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE).
According to a post by Bitcoin Treasuries on X, the BTC-backed preferred stock MORE of UK Bitcoin treasury company The Smarter Web Company has begun trading on the London Stock Exchange Main Market. The preferred stock has an annualized dividend rate of 12%, paid weekly.
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "Next Fable model will be released before October 17" probability has risen to 70%, up 36% in 24 hours.According to the resolution rules, if Anthropic releases Fable 5.2 or a higher version model to the public before the specified date (US Eastern Time), this market will resolve as "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve as "No".The qualifying model name or identifier must contain "Fable" and have a version number no lower than 5.2, including subsequent versions such as Fable 6. Public beta versions or waitlists open for public registration both qualify, but closed beta tests and private access do not count.Resolution will primarily be based on Anthropic's official announcements and official website information, with reference to credible media reports.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the advantage.
Odaily News — As Europe's top football leagues continue to heat up in the new season, trading activity on Gate Prediction Market for marquee fixtures keeps climbing. At 03:00 AM on October 14 (UTC+8), two high-profile UEFA Champions League league phase Matchday 2 fixtures will kick off simultaneously, with Arsenal vs. Lille and Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United set to deliver blockbuster showdowns. Currently, Arsenal's win probability stands at 81%, Lille's at 6%, and a draw at 14%; Atlético Madrid's win probability stands at 49%, Manchester United's at 26%, and a draw at 25%. Prediction trading for major UEFA Champions League matchups is currently in full swing, and platform users are encouraged to head to the Gate App to participate in match predictions.Gate Prediction Market Points Campaign Season 8 has wrapped up successfully, with a points prize pool of 19,863.30 USDT, and the No. 1 on the leaderboard expected to receive 7,448.74 USDT. Meanwhile, Season 9 is now live. Users can participate in Gate Prediction Market trading to earn 100% winning scratch cards and points rewards, compete on the leaderboard to share the points prize pool, and have the chance to win a Super Lucky Grand Prize, 88,888 PTS, a cumulative grand prize pool, an iPhone Duo, and many more rewards.
Odaily News: Fairshake-affiliated entities Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress have spent a combined $2.7 million to support Democratic and Republican candidates running for U.S. House seats in 2026. The spending comes 22 days before the U.S. midterm elections.The expenditures include over $76,000 in supportive advertising for House Majority Whip Tom Emmer and $73,000 for House Agriculture Committee Chairman Glenn Thompson; California Representative Pete Aguilar and New Jersey Representative Josh Gottheimer received $512,000 and $500,000 in support, respectively.Fairshake announced days ago that it plans to support 32 additional House candidates in 2026, with 6 of them each receiving $1 million in supportive media placements. As of August, Fairshake held $122 million in cash and planned to allocate at least $30 million in media spending to oppose Sherrod Brown's run for the Ohio Senate seat.All of the aforementioned candidates voted in 2025 to support the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act). The bill aims to establish market structure rules for cryptocurrencies and expand the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) regulatory enforcement authority, but it failed a Senate procedural vote in September. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily Report: Goldman Sachs has upgraded its rating on equities to "overweight" for the next three months, while raising its rating on bonds to "overweight" for the next 12 months. In terms of equity allocation, Goldman Sachs is more bullish on AI-related stocks and select high-dividend names.Goldman Sachs stated that improving valuations, resilient corporate earnings, and the trend of slowing inflation will support market performance through 2027. However, the institution also warned that rising yields and geopolitical risks could continue to drive up market volatility.
Odaily News: The Smarter Web Company has announced the completion of a $13.25 million initial public offering (IPO) through MORE, the UK's first Bitcoin-backed preferred stock. MORE will begin trading on the London Stock Exchange Main Market this Wednesday, with the first weekly dividend scheduled to be paid on November 9.
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that Polymarket odds for "Next Fable model to be released by October 24" have risen to 65%, up 13% in 24 hours.If Anthropic releases a Fable 5.2 or higher version model to the public between market creation and the specified deadline (Eastern Time), it resolves as "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves as "No."The model name or identifier must contain "Fable" and the version must be no lower than 5.2, including next-generation versions such as Fable 6. Public beta or open-registration waitlists qualify; closed beta and private access do not count. If a version name appears only on the official website but the model is not actually made available, it also does not qualify.Resolution is primarily based on Anthropic's official announcements and official website information, with reference to consistent reporting from credible media outlets.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) noted that tokenized US stocks support 24/7 trading and fractional share ownership, with over half of trades occurring outside regular market trading hours and approximately 80% of trades involving less than 1 share.The IMF stated that overnight price movements contain valid information, with over 85% of these price changes being reflected in traditional stock prices within 5 minutes of market open.The IMF pointed out that the tokenized stock market remains relatively small and fragmented, and while it can improve settlement and automation processes, enhanced legal, liquidity, and interoperability safeguards are needed. (CoinDesk)
oracle network Pyth Network has released its Q3 business report, stating that as of the end of September, its active annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $11.49 million, up 86.5% from the previous quarter, with net new ARR of $5.33 million in Q3.On the exchange side, the trading volume of real-world asset (RWA) perpetual contract markets powered by Pyth data reached $2.09 trillion in Q3, accounting for 94.1% of the total volume in related markets. In prediction markets, Pyth has provided data support for platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Among them, Kalshi listed Pyth as the data source provider for its gold and silver perpetual contract markets in relevant regulatory filings. In the AI sector, Pyth is testing financial data infrastructure for AI agents with Exa, providing real-time prices, historical data, and candlestick data to enable AI systems to incorporate market information into analysis and decision-making.Additionally, Pyth DAO approved the "100% Rule," under which all future revenue the DAO receives from Pyth products will be used for open market buybacks of PYTH tokens. Compared to the previous practice of using only one-third of non-PYTH asset balances for buybacks, the allocation ratio has been increased threefold.
According to official announcements, Ondo's Ondo Private Markets announced that the OpenAI Private Markets Note is now listed for trading on the Ondo Perps spot orderbook.
According to the analytical section of the latest Global Financial Stability Report published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), while the tokenized asset market is growing rapidly, its current scale remains small and highly fragmented. The full realization of its potential is primarily constrained by four factors: legal certainty, regulatory clarity, cross-platform interoperability, and the availability of safe settlement assets. Data shows that tokenization activities are currently concentrated in the repurchase agreement market, with an average daily trading volume of approximately $300 billion to $350 billion, which remains in its early stages compared to the scale of traditional finance.
Odaily News: Lido is developing a decentralized lending market called Lido Lend, which is built on a modified fork of Morpho Blue, adopts an isolated lending market design, is proposed to be governed by Lido DAO, and is pending a governance vote for approval. Lido Lend is limited to blue-chip assets, encourages price-correlated trading pairs such as stETH/ETH, and provides a deposit screening mechanism to guard against bad collateral. Lido stated that Lido Lend is not a general-purpose pool-based lending solution but is aimed at professional borrowers and risk-averse lenders; currently, stETH staking scale exceeds $25 billion, with no major security incidents since launch.
Odaily News: According to official sources, DeAgentAI's $AIA will be listed on Bithumb's Korean won market with a new AIA/KRW trading pair, expected to open for trading on October 8 at 13:00 (UTC+8). Meanwhile, DeAgentAI has launched a $AIA principal-protected staking program, where participants stake with USDC and receive the full equivalent amount of USDC back upon maturity according to the rules, while additionally earning AIA rewards of up to 50% of the actual staked amount during the staking period.The staking program offers three pools: Ultra, Boost, and Fast, with total AIA rewards over a 12-month period amounting to 50%, 40%, and 35% of the actual staked amount, respectively. The first rewards will be distributed in lump sums at the end of the 3rd, 2nd, and 1st month after the respective fundraising periods conclude, with subsequent rewards distributed automatically on a monthly basis, allowing participants to choose between higher rewards and earlier payouts.The current staking cap is 500,000 USDC, with a minimum of 350 USDC per transaction, available on a limited first-come, first-served basis. Participation requires going through the official page, using USDC on BNB Chain to purchase and stake AIA. The originally purchased and staked AIA will not be separately returned upon maturity.