News linked to both this project and an event.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of 261 BTC today, Ethereum ETFs had a net inflow of 663 ETH, and Solana ETFs saw a net inflow of 240,595 SOL.
investment bank TD Cowen on Thursday raised its price target for Strategy (MSTR) to $395 from $385, believing the market underestimates the capital efficiency of the company’s bitcoin accumulation strategy following its increased issuance of STRC perpetual preferred stock. Analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonnathan Navarrete indicated that the new target still implies over 110% upside from Strategy’s Wednesday closing price of $186.82.The analysis notes that Strategy is gradually reducing common equity financing and increasingly relying on STRC perpetual preferred stock, which yields 11.5%, to fund bitcoin purchases. STRC is also a core component of Michael Saylor’s “42/42 plan,” which aims to raise $42 billion each through equity and fixed-income instruments over three years.TD Cowen believes the market underestimates the effect of the STRC structure on boosting “BTC Yield,” a metric measuring the company’s growth in bitcoin holdings per fully diluted share. The report raised its BTC Yield forecast for Strategy’s fiscal 2026 to 18.2% from 16.7%, and for 2027 to 9.6% from 5.4%. Additionally, analysts argue that concerns about Strategy being a “perpetual dilution machine” are exaggerated. The company’s annual preferred stock dividend payments, currently around $1.5 billion, represent only about 2.2% of the value of its 818,334 BTC reserve.In TD Cowen’s base case scenario, bitcoin is expected to reach $140,000 by the end of 2026. In a bull case, bitcoin could rise to $175,000, with Strategy potentially purchasing over $5 billion in bitcoin per quarter. (The Block)
According to Odaily, crypto market analyst and founder of Into The Cryptoverse, Ben Cowen, stated that the crypto market is experiencing an "extinction event" for millions of altcoins, a process necessary for Bitcoin to enter a sustainable bull market cycle. He believes that the "shitcoin purge" has actually been underway since 2021, but a larger-scale clearance is still needed to restore a healthy market structure. Capital is continuously flowing from high-risk tokens to Bitcoin, with the rising BTC dominance rate serving as a clear signal.Data shows that GeckoTerminal tracks over 25 million deployed tokens, with more than 11.6 million projects failing in 2025 alone, primarily due to the burst of the Meme coin bubble. CoinShares researcher Luke Nolan stated that the claim "95% of tokens are worthless" is reasonable.Although Bitcoin has returned above $81,000, Ben Cowen remains cautious, believing that BTC is still in a bear market phase. He warns that if it fails to hold the key resistance level around $88,880, the price could correct to the $58,000-$62,000 range. Against the backdrop of delayed Fed rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical risks, the crypto market continues to face short-term pressure. "2026 is more likely to be a reset year rather than a year for reaching new highs." (CoinDesk)
Odaily News: Garrett Jin, representative of the "BTC OG Insider Whale," published an analytical article titled "A Painted Ceasefire," warning crypto traders not to be lulled by the surface-level market trends. While the market appears stable, underlying risks are continuously building. He pointed out that following Trump’s visit to China, the window for a US-Iran military conflict could reopen at any time. This current ceasefire is merely a delay in confrontation, not the beginning of favorable developments. Market sentiment is currently highly optimistic, with Saudi Arabia and Iran reaching a cooperation memorandum, impressive earnings reports from tech companies, rising South Korean stocks, and Bitcoin approaching the $82,000-$83,000 range. However, macro-level hidden dangers are gradually emerging: a liquidity drought in large corporate transactions, airline bankruptcies, banks provisioning for potential war losses in advance, and Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves hitting a new all-time high. Garrett Jin predicts that late May could be a key turning point. If tech giants continue to exceed performance expectations, the risk window may be delayed until the July earnings season. (Garrettsignal)
Bitcoin briefly approached the key 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around $83,300 on Wednesday but failed to achieve a decisive breakout, subsequently falling back below $81,000. Meanwhile, the broader crypto market weakened, with the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Index falling over 2% in the past 24 hours, making it the worst-performing major sector. The 200-day moving average is widely regarded by the market as a key indicator for measuring long-term trends. If BTC can hold above this level, it would further reinforce the market narrative that the bear market, which saw prices fall below $63,000 in February, has ended and a new bull market has begun.However, a similar situation occurred historically in March 2022, when Bitcoin briefly broke above and tested the 200-day moving average before ultimately falling to around $20,000 by June of that year. As a result, some analysts are warning of the risk of a "fakeout."Analytics firm Marex stated that Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trajectory depends on three factors: sustained spot buying pressure, a continued tightening of exchange supply, and a derivatives market that remains healthy without overheating. If all three factors align positively, Bitcoin could quickly open up the path towards the $85,000 range. Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Market Analyst at FxPro, noted that this pullback appears more like a brief consolidation within an uptrend rather than an end to the trend. However, he also cautioned that the daily RSI had previously entered overbought territory, and similar instances in the past were accompanied by significant corrections.Additionally, the 10-year US Treasury yield has fallen to 4.32% from its early-month high of 4.46%, which is viewed as a potential positive factor for risk assets. (CoinDesk)
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a newly created wallet withdrew 2,500 BTC from Binance, valued at approximately $202.36 million.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), HyperLiquid whale Loracle.hl currently holds unrealized profits exceeding $8.55 million, with cumulative profits totaling approximately $36 million. Two hours ago, the whale closed a short position on BRENTOIL, realizing profits of over $991,000. Its current positions include: - Long ZEC (10x leverage): $5.9 million unrealized profit - Long TON (5x leverage): $1.88 million unrealized profit - Short CL (10x leverage): $1.8 million unrealized profit - Long BTC (20x leverage): $834,000 unrealized profit - Short HYPE: $1.47 million unrealized loss
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has risen from approximately $63,000 to over $80,000 in the past three months, with multiple key indicators now converging on an $85,000 target. On-chain, BTC has broken above two critical support levels—the “Realized Market Value” ($78,200) and the “Short-Term Holder Cost Basis” ($79,100). Research firm Glassnode notes that the next resistance level lies near the Active Realized Price of $85,200. In the futures market, funding rates have shifted from negative to neutral, signaling a clear retreat of prior large-scale short pressure and rising risk of a short squeeze. In the options market, market makers hold roughly $2 billion in “short gamma” exposure near $82,000; rising prices will compel them to continuously hedge by buying BTC, generating positive feedback. However, analysts caution that Bitcoin remains highly correlated with U.S. tech equities—should equity markets shift toward risk-aversion, upward momentum could be dampened.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s net inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs totaled $45.85 million. BlackRock’s $IBIT led with $134 million in inflows, while most other products performed poorly: Fidelity’s $FBTC saw outflows of $38.95 million, Bitwise’s $BITB recorded $25.18 million in outflows, Grayscale’s $GBTC experienced $17.1 million in outflows, and Franklin Templeton’s $EZBC had $7.05 million in outflows. Meanwhile, products from Morgan Stanley, Ark Invest, Invesco, and VanEck all registered zero net flows for the day.
on-chain data platform Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin whales' net long positions on Hyperliquid have reached a new high for 2026.Data shows that whales have been continuously increasing their long positions recently, continuing the bullish trend that followed last month's Bitcoin price breakout. The total whale positions on the platform currently stand at approximately $3.5 billion, with long positions slightly exceeding shorts.Analysts believe that the movement of Hyperliquid whales is often viewed as a market sentiment indicator. The current overall liquidation scale is relatively low and is mainly concentrated in short positions, reflecting a bullish market atmosphere.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a Bitcoin OG has deposited 166,023 ETH—worth approximately $394.69 million—into Binance. The address still holds 381,695 ETH, valued at approximately $907.2 million.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), due to the BTC price increase, the trading address 0x128e has closed a short position of 250 BTC, with a position value of approximately $20.32 million and a loss of $308,000. Subsequently, this address withdrew the remaining $191,500 from Hyperliquid.
Odaily Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Yi's monitoring, the whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" (@Jason60704294) turned from long to short again yesterday afternoon, opening a short position of 501.65 BTC at $80,837.9, worth $40.55 million. The position has now been closed, with an estimated loss of $610,000. In addition, the community speculates that a short position of 2,355.56 BTC executed by Binance at a similar time at $80,835, worth $190 million, also belongs to this whale. If confirmed, this would result in a loss of $2.867 million.
a CryptoQuant analyst stated, "$93,000 is the key upside target for Bitcoin. CME gaps are not guarantees but signals. They represent areas where positioning, liquidity, and market psychology converge, making them key reference points for future price movements."
According to chart analysis released by independent analyst Markus Thielen, Bitcoin’s price action in April followed seasonal patterns almost perfectly: its actual gain exceeded the historical average. Yet at that time, the market had not reached a broad consensus on bullish sentiment. While investor mood was cautiously optimistic, positions were not significantly increased; low trading volume and persistently negative funding rates indicated that many traders remained on the sidelines. Entering May, Bitcoin’s rebound above $80,000 caught numerous investors off guard—further confirming the market’s prior under-allocation. Historical data shows May is a relatively stable month for Bitcoin: over the past 10 years, its average return has been approximately 10.3%, with six years posting gains. Seasonal support remains intact—but whether positions will increase accordingly remains a key variable.
According to data from Trader T (@thepfund), yesterday’s net inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs totaled $467.4 million, broken down as follows: BlackRock’s IBIT: $251.5 million inflow; Fidelity’s FBTC: $133.2 million inflow; Ark’s ARKB: $92.28 million inflow; Bitwise’s BITB: $14.62 million inflow; Morgan Stanley’s MSBT, Invesco’s BTCO, Franklin’s EZBC, Valkyrie’s BRRR, WisdomTree’s BTCW, and Grayscale’s BTC Mini: $0; VanEck’s HODL: $5.77 million outflow; Grayscale’s GBTC: $18.4 million outflow.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), the address 0x128e deposited approximately $500,000 worth of USDC into HyperLiquid and immediately opened a short position of 250 BTC with 40x leverage, with a notional value of roughly $20.32 million and a liquidation price of $82,236.61.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), Morgan Stanley purchased 151.9 BTC approximately 7 hours ago, valued at roughly $12.4 million. It currently holds 2,830 BTC, valued at approximately $228.94 million.
Odaily, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale deposited 5 million USDC into HyperLiquid and opened a 5x leveraged long position on BTC. This whale currently holds a total of 629.16 BTC in long positions across 2 wallets, with a notional value of approximately $51 million.
According to Forbes, ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, released a report forecasting that Bitcoin’s market capitalization will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 63% over the next five years—rising from its current level of nearly $2 trillion to $16 trillion by 2030. The report states, “Bitcoin is maturing into the leader of a new institutional asset class.” ARK Invest analysts project that Bitcoin will drive the broader cryptocurrency market to reach $28 trillion by 2030 (up from roughly $2.8 trillion today). “Smart contract networks and pure digital currency markets may grow at an approximate annual rate of 61% to reach $28 trillion by 2030, with Bitcoin capturing 70% of the market share and the remainder dominated by smart contract platforms such as Ethereum and Solana.”