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Polymarket "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30?" probability rises to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket for "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30" has risen to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours.This event will be settled based on Anthropic's private market valuation data released by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic's NPM Price reaches or exceeds the specified amount between the market creation and June 30, 2026, the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No".Anthropic's latest funding round was completed on May 28, achieving a post-money valuation of $965 billion after its $65 billion Series H round, just one step away from common short-term thresholds like $1 trillion. With this prediction market set to settle on June 30, traders are monitoring secondary market liquidity and whether any new primary financing or tender offer activity could push its implied valuation higher within the remaining window. Recent estimates show Anthropic's annualized revenue run rate is approaching $47 billion, continuing to support investor demand. However, no new funding announcements have emerged since late May, and IPO preparations remain longer-term.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
“New Stock God” Serenity: Stock Price Rises Don’t Necessarily Create Value; Avoid Companies with “Toxic” Financing Structures or Crushing Debt
"New Stock God" Serenity posted on X platform, reminding investors to pay attention to financing structures and the dynamics of outstanding shares, as these are crucial for investment returns, and provided examples:IREN: The financing method approaches infinite dilution, with each rebound met by selling pressure—essentially a "bad stock."NBIS: Up 153% year-to-date, thanks to an optimized financing structure (such as direct offerings, convertible bond combinations, etc.).CRWV: High debt interest; the company uses usurious loans for GPU financing, which erodes free cash flow over the long term.Serenity pointed out that if a company has strong fundamentals, one could consider going long after the original shareholding has been diluted to near zero. However, for equity value appreciation, one should stay away from companies with "toxic" financing structures or crushing debt. The risk is especially high for small-cap companies, such as $SLNH adding a $500 million ATM while its market cap is only $250 million; $BKKT continuously diluting stock for executive compensation. Essentially, these companies are transferring investor funds to the enterprise, masked by media hype or influencer promotion.Serenity emphasized that investors must carefully analyze equity structure, dilution risk, and hidden costs when screening targets, to avoid focusing solely on profits while seeing their actual equity shrink.
SpaceX Officially Sets IPO Price at $135 Per Share, Valuation Reaching $1.77 Trillion
SpaceX, the company led by Elon Musk, disclosed in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday that it plans to fix the offering price at $135 per share (consistent with the price disclosed by sources) before officially commencing its IPO roadshow. SpaceX stated that the company plans to issue 555.6 million shares, thereby raising $75 billion. Typically, at this stage of the IPO process, issuers set a price range to test market demand sensitivity at different price levels. However, SpaceX has adopted a more unique pricing strategy. Calculated at $135 per share, SpaceX's valuation would reach $1.77 trillion. This valuation would make SpaceX the seventh-largest publicly traded company in the US by market capitalization, surpassing Tesla, which currently has a valuation of approximately $1.6 trillion. SpaceX plans to officially list on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange on June 12. (Jin Shi)
Quantinuum May Increase IPO Offering Size and Price Range
Driven by strong market demand, quantum computing company Quantinuum is considering expanding its IPO offering size and raising its price range, potentially increasing the fundraising amount by several hundred million dollars.
Bernstein Reiterates Figure Price Target of $67: Sees 72% Upside Driven by Tokenization
Bernstein has reiterated its "Outperform" rating on Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR) and maintained a price target of $67, implying approximately 72% upside from the current share price of $38.97.Figure posted strong Q1 2026 results: loan origination volume reached $2.9 billion, up 113% year-over-year; adjusted revenue was $167 million, surpassing market expectations by 6% and up 92% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA was $82.7 million, with a margin of approximately 50%, slightly above market consensus. However, GAAP diluted EPS was $0.18, missing expectations by about 9%, primarily impacted by $26 million in stock-based compensation expenses.Bernstein analysts believe this performance should reshape market perception of Figure, viewing it not as a traditional credit company, but as a "tokenization-driven capital markets platform." Core profitability stems from network fees and operational leverage from scaling, and the valuation framework remains based on 25x 2027 EBITDA. Additionally, the tokenization ecosystem continues to expand: the yield-bearing security token YLDS reached $598 million (up 80% quarter-over-quarter); the stock lending product balance stood at $368 million (up 79%); and the small business loan segment contributed $60 million in revenue.Figure's current share price remains not far from its 2025 IPO offering price of $36, but still significantly below its all-time high of $78. (The Block)
Gate Ventures: Tech Stocks Hit New Highs Amid Inflationary Pressure, Crypto Market Risk Appetite Recovers
Odaily Odaily News According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, global markets continued to strengthen last week, driven by the technology sector. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq index hit new record highs, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.36% for the week and the Nasdaq rising 4.52%. In the crypto market, BTC rose 4.6% last week, ETH rose 2.1%, spot BTC ETFs recorded net inflows for the fifth consecutive week, and market sentiment recovered to the neutral range. Additionally, the total market cap of cryptocurrencies excluding the top ten assets increased by 12.6% for the week.On the macroeconomic front, the ISM Services Price Index rose to 70.7, a two-year high, coupled with energy price fluctuations and the Federal Reserve's policy expectation of "keeping interest rates higher for longer," leading to increased market focus on a "stagflation" environment. On the industry level, Payward, the parent company of Kraken, has applied to the OCC for a national trust charter, highlighting the increasingly evident trend of industry compliance. In terms of investment and financing, 10 deals were completed last week totaling $34.2 million, primarily concentrated in the DeFi and infrastructure sectors. Among them, OpenTrade completed a $17 million funding round to accelerate the development of institutional-grade stablecoin yield infrastructure; OnRe secured a $5 million Series A round to advance its Solana-based tokenized reinsurance product offerings.
Benchmark: Coinbase Is Transforming from a Crypto Broker to a "Full-Stack Exchange," Maintaining a $270 Price Target
Benchmark has maintained a "Buy" rating for Coinbase with a $270 price target, implying approximately 59.5% upside from its Tuesday closing price of $169.27. The firm noted that Coinbase's latest "System Update" indicates it is accelerating its transformation from a crypto trading platform into an "everything exchange" that bridges traditional finance and the on-chain economy.Analyst Mark Palmer stated that this product update covers tokenized stocks, stock and crypto options, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, prediction markets, AI-driven investment tools, agent payment infrastructure, and retail financial products, signaling the continuous expansion of its business boundaries.Key progress highlighted by Benchmark also includes: the U.S. CFTC's approval for it to operate as a regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), global derivatives capabilities obtained through the acquisition of Deribit, and integrating crypto perpetuals and options into a compliant framework, thereby achieving cross-market liquidity consolidation.Furthermore, the company's strategic moves in the Base ecosystem, prediction markets, and AI agent payments are also seen as key signals of its evolution from "spot crypto trading" to a comprehensive on-chain financial infrastructure. (The Block)
US CFTC Chair Clarifies Perpetual Contract Controversy: No Fixed Maturity Date Does Not Affect Futures Status, Funding Rate Mechanism Aids Price Anchoring
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Mike Selig posted on X to clarify several misunderstandings regarding perpetual futures contracts and to address the controversy surrounding the CFTC's recent approval of related contracts.Mike Selig stated that the Commodity Exchange Act and relevant CFTC rules do not explicitly require a "futures contract" to have a fixed maturity or delivery date. Since Congress has not clearly defined the term, futures contract classification primarily relies on judicial precedent and CFTC interpretations, and a fixed maturity date is not a necessary condition.Regarding the claim that "the BTCPERP contract approved by the CFTC allows U.S. users to use 250x leverage," high leverage is not an inherent characteristic of the perpetual contract structure itself, but rather a feature of previous offshore trading platform models. Perpetual contracts regulated by the CFTC will adhere to the same leverage limits as other regulated futures products.In response to criticism that "the CFTC did not provide industry participants with an opportunity for input and feedback," the CFTC issued a public request for comment on "perpetual contracts" and "24/7 trading" in April 2025 and received over 100 responses from industry participants, including several CFTC-registered entities. Furthermore, addressing concerns that the funding rate mechanism could incur high costs and induce adverse market behavior, when considering the costs of opening and rolling over traditional term futures contracts, the annualized holding cost of perpetual contract funding rates is generally comparable to that of traditional futures. In fact, the funding rate mechanism helps maintain the contract's price anchor to the spot market and serves as a market disciplining force.
T. Rowe Price Multi-Asset Crypto ETF Approved by SEC, Can Include Up to 15 Crypto Assets
the actively managed crypto ETF launched by T. Rowe Price was approved by the U.S. SEC on June 12, 2026, marking a key step toward its listing on NYSE Arca. Although the product has not yet begun trading, it is close to being officially opened to investors.The ETF plans to allocate between 5 and 15 crypto assets. The current draft shows it will cover major assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana, and XRP, along with highly volatile tokens like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB), reflecting a strategy to expand into a broader digital asset portfolio. The approval process accelerated since April 2026, during which T. Rowe Price submitted multiple revised proposals. The SEC formally approved the second amended filing on June 12, indicating growing regulatory acceptance of multi-asset crypto ETF structures.Market analysts believe that if the product successfully launches, it will further expand institutional investors' compliant exposure to diversified crypto assets and could set a regulatory precedent for more actively managed multi-currency crypto ETFs in the future. (intellectia)
Kraken to Open U.S. IPO Offering Price Subscription to Global Retail Investors via xStocks
According to The Block, Payward—the parent company of Kraken—announced that it will open up access to IPO offering-price subscriptions for U.S. publicly traded companies to Kraken users and select partner platform users via the xStocks framework in the coming weeks. Users may submit non-binding subscription indications prior to listing; Payward will aggregate demand and coordinate with underwriting syndicates to allocate tokenized shares at the offering price on the listing day. These stock tokens are fully backed 1:1 by the underlying equities held in custody by regulated entities and are tradable across blockchains including Ethereum, Solana, and TON. Payward stated that it plans to expand into additional markets and onboard more partners to the xStocks Alliance in the future.
edgeX: Investigating Cause of Abnormal EDGE Price Fluctuations
edgeX stated it has observed sudden and abnormal price fluctuations in the EDGE token and is actively investigating the cause.The team noted that it is urgently reviewing the specific situation and will release updates as soon as relevant information is confirmed. Users are reminded to refer to information published by edgeX's official channels and to exercise caution regarding unsubstantiated market rumors.
Analyst: History May Repeat Itself, Bitcoin Price Could Drop to $33,000
According to Cointelegraph, cryptocurrency analysts are divided on whether Bitcoin will reenact its historical “Sell in May” pattern in 2026. In the two midterm election years—2018 and 2022—Bitcoin experienced sharp declines in May, falling approximately 30% and 70%, respectively. Analyst Merlijn Enkelaar warned that this historical pattern could repeat, with Bitcoin potentially dropping to $33,000. Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, also noted that if Bitcoin remains persistently below $78,000, the likelihood of a new capitulation phase increases. However, Jeff Ko, Chief Analyst at CoinEx, argued that past crashes stemmed from specific shocks—including the Mt. Gox incident, China’s ICO regulations, the Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening, and the collapses of Terra and FTX—not from calendar-based seasonality. He added that the launch of spot ETFs, corporate treasury allocations, and progress on the CLARITY Act have significantly broadened the institutional buyer base, making a 70–80% deep correction unlikely this cycle. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted $76,000 as the current critical support level; failure to hold it would likely trigger further downside pressure.
Benchmark: Coinbase Is Transforming from a Crypto Broker to a "Full-Stack Exchange," Maintaining a $270 Price Target
Benchmark has maintained a "Buy" rating for Coinbase with a $270 price target, implying approximately 59.5% upside from its Tuesday closing price of $169.27. The firm noted that Coinbase's latest "System Update" indicates it is accelerating its transformation from a crypto trading platform into an "everything exchange" that bridges traditional finance and the on-chain economy.Analyst Mark Palmer stated that this product update covers tokenized stocks, stock and crypto options, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, prediction markets, AI-driven investment tools, agent payment infrastructure, and retail financial products, signaling the continuous expansion of its business boundaries.Key progress highlighted by Benchmark also includes: the U.S. CFTC's approval for it to operate as a regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), global derivatives capabilities obtained through the acquisition of Deribit, and integrating crypto perpetuals and options into a compliant framework, thereby achieving cross-market liquidity consolidation.Furthermore, the company's strategic moves in the Base ecosystem, prediction markets, and AI agent payments are also seen as key signals of its evolution from "spot crypto trading" to a comprehensive on-chain financial infrastructure. (The Block)
Andrew Tate Liquidated Again, New Liquidation Price Drops to $64,824.44
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain, Andrew Tate (@Cobratate) has again suffered a partial liquidation of his BTC position. His latest liquidation price has now dropped to $64,824.44.
Ethereum 1CO Whale Purchases Another 5,817 ETH, Liquidation Price at $1,432
according to Ember monitoring, an Ethereum 1CO whale still actively trading has borrowed 10 million USDe from Aave 2 hours ago and purchased 5,817 ETH at an average price of approximately $1,719.Currently, this whale has collateralized approximately 147,000 ETH (worth about $253 million) on Aave and Spark, and has borrowed approximately $276 million in stablecoins. The current liquidation price for this position is around $1,432.
SIREN Whale Dumps 17 Million Tokens, Causing Price to Halve
according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the SIREN whale has intensively sold approximately 17 million SIREN tokens (worth $6.75 million) through multiple addresses on-chain over the past 2 hours. This caused the SIREN price to drop by over 50%, falling from $0.47 to $0.23.This whale controls at least 94% of the total SIREN supply (680 million tokens). Since February, the whale has conducted 4 rounds of operations over a period of 4 months.
A whale shorted Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix on Hyperliquid with 4x leverage, holding a position worth $13 million.
According to Hyperinsight’s monitoring, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) surged again during trading hours and triggered a circuit breaker. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix continued their upward momentum, rising 7.5% and 12.9%, respectively. Notably, SK Hynix led the gains, buoyed by positive news of its collaboration with NVIDIA to jointly develop next-generation memory; its share price rebounded above USD 1,400.
Analysis: Bitcoin Weekly Chart Shows Rare Bullish Divergence, Price Could Return to $90,000
Bitcoin (BTC) has formed only the second "weekly bullish divergence" in its history on the weekly chart. This technical signal previously preceded a 715% surge in BTC following the FTX collapse. This divergence indicates that while prices are still falling, momentum indicators are starting to recover, suggesting selling pressure may be weakening. Analysis points out:1. BTC's weekly chart shows a rare bullish divergence, with a potential target around $90,000.2. The current price is holding near the 200-week moving average (approximately $62,000). Historically, this level has often served as the bottom area during bear markets (2015, 2018, 2020).3. The previous weekly divergence occurred after the FTX collapse in 2022, after which Bitcoin rallied from around $15,500 to $126,200, a gain of 715%.Technical analysis shows that BTC's weekly RSI has recovered from oversold territory to form a higher low, while the price continues to decline, constituting a bullish divergence signal. Analysts suggest that if BTC breaks through the $64,000-$65,000 range, it could first target $71,500-$73,000, and potentially reach the CME gap at $79,000. The area around the 50-week moving average, approximately $91,755, is seen as the next potential resistance level, while the region above $90,000 also represents long-term resistance.Despite the bullish signal, Bitcoin remains in a weekly bear flag downtrend. If it breaks below the descending channel, the price could fall back to around $50,000 in the short term, unless it reclaims the lower trendline to form support. Overall, BTC is at a critical technical juncture with both bullish and bearish factors at play. Investors need to monitor the dynamic interplay between support at the 200-week moving average and resistance at the 50-week moving average. (Cointelegraph)
ZEC Treasury Company Cypherpunk Responds to Price Volatility: All Software Has Vulnerabilities, Zcash Will Demonstrate Security Capabilities
Odaily, Cypherpunk, the company managing the ZEC treasury, stated that all software has vulnerabilities. Historically, Bitcoin once "over-minted" 184 billion BTC due to a bug. However, this does not mean abandoning blockchain technology; rather, security should be enhanced through formal verification and provable correctness.Cypherpunk emphasized that with the development of AI technology, vulnerability detection will become faster and broader, but the key lies in who can discover issues before malicious actors. Zcash will demonstrate this capability through an upcoming update.
EdgeX Announces Explanation for the EDGE Price Anomaly on June 2 and Will Distribute Compensation to Affected Users
edgeX issued a statement regarding the abnormal price fluctuation of $EDGE on June 2, 2026, at midnight, clarifying that this incident was an attack targeting the $EDGE token’s price. The edgeX protocol remained fully operational throughout, and user assets were secure at all times. The team’s wallet address is verifiable on-chain and shows no evidence of selling, price manipulation, or any other improper activity.
a16z Research: AI Agents Can Identify DeFi Price Manipulation Vulnerabilities, but Their Ability to Execute Complex Attacks Remains Limited
According to a disclosure by a16z, its researchers conducted systematic testing to assess whether AI agents can independently exploit DeFi price manipulation vulnerabilities. The study used a dataset of 20 Ethereum price manipulation incidents and employed Codex (GPT 5.4) equipped with the Foundry toolchain as the test agent. Under baseline conditions—i.e., without domain-specific knowledge—the agent’s success rate was only 10%; after incorporating structured domain knowledge distilled from real-world attack incidents, the success rate rose to 70%. Failure cases revealed that the agent consistently identified vulnerabilities correctly but generally failed to comprehend the leverage logic of recursive lending, misjudged profit margins, and could not orchestrate multi-step, cross-contract attack sequences. The experiment also recorded one sandbox escape incident: the agent extracted an RPC key from the local node configuration and invoked the <code>anvil_reset</code> method to reset the node to a future block, thereby bypassing information isolation constraints and accessing real-world attack data. The research team concluded that AI agents can currently assist effectively in vulnerability identification but are not yet capable of replacing professional security auditors.
Benchmark: Coinbase Is Transforming from a Crypto Broker to a "Full-Stack Exchange," Maintaining a $270 Price Target
Benchmark has maintained a "Buy" rating for Coinbase with a $270 price target, implying approximately 59.5% upside from its Tuesday closing price of $169.27. The firm noted that Coinbase's latest "System Update" indicates it is accelerating its transformation from a crypto trading platform into an "everything exchange" that bridges traditional finance and the on-chain economy.Analyst Mark Palmer stated that this product update covers tokenized stocks, stock and crypto options, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, prediction markets, AI-driven investment tools, agent payment infrastructure, and retail financial products, signaling the continuous expansion of its business boundaries.Key progress highlighted by Benchmark also includes: the U.S. CFTC's approval for it to operate as a regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), global derivatives capabilities obtained through the acquisition of Deribit, and integrating crypto perpetuals and options into a compliant framework, thereby achieving cross-market liquidity consolidation.Furthermore, the company's strategic moves in the Base ecosystem, prediction markets, and AI agent payments are also seen as key signals of its evolution from "spot crypto trading" to a comprehensive on-chain financial infrastructure. (The Block)
Polymarket "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30?" probability rises to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket for "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30" has risen to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours.This event will be settled based on Anthropic's private market valuation data released by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic's NPM Price reaches or exceeds the specified amount between the market creation and June 30, 2026, the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No".Anthropic's latest funding round was completed on May 28, achieving a post-money valuation of $965 billion after its $65 billion Series H round, just one step away from common short-term thresholds like $1 trillion. With this prediction market set to settle on June 30, traders are monitoring secondary market liquidity and whether any new primary financing or tender offer activity could push its implied valuation higher within the remaining window. Recent estimates show Anthropic's annualized revenue run rate is approaching $47 billion, continuing to support investor demand. However, no new funding announcements have emerged since late May, and IPO preparations remain longer-term.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Bitget Wallet API Upgrade: Offers RWA Market Price Trading and Fee Collection Service
Bitget Wallet has completed an upgrade to its DEX Aggregator API, becoming the first in the industry to offer an aggregated interface supporting market price trading for tokenized stocks and RWAs. Institutional clients or developers can use their existing API to directly swap any token for RWA assets such as tokenized stocks.Additionally, the Bitget Wallet API has launched a fee collection service, providing clients with a one-stop profit-sharing solution. Institutional users and developers can use the Bitget Wallet billing system for real-time or periodic settlement of transaction fees. By simply configuring the fee rate and split rules, they can quickly commercialize their business without needing to build their own collection, reconciliation, and settlement systems.Currently, the Bitget Wallet API supports trading tokenized RWA assets on Ondo Global Markets, covering US stocks, ADRs, and various ETFs, including broad-based indices, sector themes, fixed income, commodities, and regional markets. The daily trading volume from partners such as 0x, LI.FI, CoW Swap, deBridge, and XOSwap has already exceeded $20 million.
WSJ: OpenAI Considers Significant Price Cuts to Address Intensifying Competition with Anthropic
Odaily News OpenAI is considering significantly reducing product prices to navigate potentially escalating fierce competition with Anthropic.The report states that OpenAI expects competition in the AI services market to further intensify, potentially evolving into a price war. Meanwhile, some enterprise clients have begun showing higher sensitivity to current AI product pricing levels.Insiders indicate that against the backdrop of enterprise users consistently monitoring AI usage costs, the industry's pricing system may face a reshaping, potentially forcing competitors to adjust their pricing strategies. Analysis suggests that as the generative AI industry enters a new phase of commercial competition, price and inference cost control are becoming critical factors for major players vying for market share. (WSJ)
Pyth Launches Continuous Price Index for U.S. Stocks and Commodities, Supporting 24/7 Trading Markets
Odaily Odaily Reports: Blockchain oracle and market data provider Pyth Network has announced the launch of continuous price indices for U.S. stocks and commodities, aiming to support around-the-clock trading products in the crypto market. The initial coverage includes U.S. stocks such as Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Circle, and Strategy, as well as commodities like gold, silver, WTI crude oil, and Brent crude oil.It is reported that Coinbase, Kraken, dYdX, and Nado have been the first to integrate these indices to build new trading markets. This pricing system can provide continuous reference prices for perpetual contracts, tokenized assets, prediction markets, derivatives settlement, and ETF benchmarks, even updating data during traditional exchange closures.Additionally, Pyth is collaborating with MarketVector (a VanEck-owned index provider) to develop sector index futures covering themes such as artificial intelligence, defense, and technology. (Cointelegraph)
Delphi Digital: Only About 12% of Newly Listed Tokens on CEXs Since January Last Year Have Outperformed Their Issuance Price, Reflecting Market Depth Imbalance
Delphi Digital has released its "Token Market Status Report," indicating that the token market in this cycle has been suppressed by multiple structural issues, including token unlocks occurring on a fixed schedule regardless of project performance, protocol revenues failing to effectively flow back to token holders, and airdrops gradually evolving into sources of exit liquidity.The report shows that since January 2025, among all newly listed tokens on major centralized exchanges (CEX), if purchased on the listing day and held to the present, an average investment of $1,000 would have dwindled to approximately $500. The median decline is 82%, with only about 12% of tokens still trading above their issuance price, reflecting a market structure that prioritizes "listing quantity over quality."Regarding tokenomic design, the research points out that across more than 400 unlock events, within a sample of 33, 28 tokens significantly underperformed relative to Bitcoin in the three weeks before and after the unlock, resulting in an average excess loss of approximately 7%. Moreover, most unlocks occur within 30 days, making it difficult for the market to effectively absorb the supply shock.The report also notes that the long-standing industry issue of "missing value accrual" is beginning to change. An increasing number of protocols are starting to use "Fee Switch" mechanisms to return revenue to token holders. For example, Hyperliquid allocates nearly all its fees to buybacks, Uniswap is burning 100 million UNI tokens, Jupiter uses 50% of its fees for buybacks locked for three years, and Aave has passed a DAO-approved weekly buyback plan of $1 million.However, the report emphasizes that fee-based buybacks alone are insufficient to resolve supply pressure. For instance, the scale of buybacks for some projects still cannot offset the selling pressure from token unlocks, leading to a situation where "buybacks only offset inflation but fail to generate net buying pressure."Simultaneously, the structure of institutional capital is shifting. Institutional holdings of Bitcoin-related ETFs like IBIT have grown 62% year-over-year, with advisory channels increasing by 204% and sovereign wealth funds and endowments rising by 228%, while arbitrage-focused hedge funds continue to exit. Long-term capital, including BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Mubadala Investment Company, is increasing its allocation.The report concludes that in the next phase, more attractive token assets will simultaneously feature "revenue accrual mechanisms" and "supply release structures linked to protocol performance." However, the current market remains in the early stages of structural repair.
Related news
Benchmark: Coinbase Is Transforming from a Crypto Broker to a "Full-Stack Exchange," Maintaining a $270 Price Target
Benchmark has maintained a "Buy" rating for Coinbase with a $270 price target, implying approximately 59.5% upside from its Tuesday closing price of $169.27. The firm noted that Coinbase's latest "System Update" indicates it is accelerating its transformation from a crypto trading platform into an "everything exchange" that bridges traditional finance and the on-chain economy.Analyst Mark Palmer stated that this product update covers tokenized stocks, stock and crypto options, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, prediction markets, AI-driven investment tools, agent payment infrastructure, and retail financial products, signaling the continuous expansion of its business boundaries.Key progress highlighted by Benchmark also includes: the U.S. CFTC's approval for it to operate as a regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), global derivatives capabilities obtained through the acquisition of Deribit, and integrating crypto perpetuals and options into a compliant framework, thereby achieving cross-market liquidity consolidation.Furthermore, the company's strategic moves in the Base ecosystem, prediction markets, and AI agent payments are also seen as key signals of its evolution from "spot crypto trading" to a comprehensive on-chain financial infrastructure. (The Block)
Polymarket "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30?" probability rises to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket for "Will Anthropic's valuation reach $1.1 trillion before June 30" has risen to 67%, up 30% in 24 hours.This event will be settled based on Anthropic's private market valuation data released by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic's NPM Price reaches or exceeds the specified amount between the market creation and June 30, 2026, the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No".Anthropic's latest funding round was completed on May 28, achieving a post-money valuation of $965 billion after its $65 billion Series H round, just one step away from common short-term thresholds like $1 trillion. With this prediction market set to settle on June 30, traders are monitoring secondary market liquidity and whether any new primary financing or tender offer activity could push its implied valuation higher within the remaining window. Recent estimates show Anthropic's annualized revenue run rate is approaching $47 billion, continuing to support investor demand. However, no new funding announcements have emerged since late May, and IPO preparations remain longer-term.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Andrew Tate Liquidated Again, New Liquidation Price Drops to $64,824.44
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain, Andrew Tate (@Cobratate) has again suffered a partial liquidation of his BTC position. His latest liquidation price has now dropped to $64,824.44.
Tether Sells Bitdeer Shares at High Price, Realizing ~$12.7 Million
According to TheEnergyMag, Tether sold 627,000 shares of Bitdeer (NASDAQ: BTDR) between June 3 and 4 at approximately $20 per share, raising roughly $12.7 million. Earlier this year, in February—when Bitdeer’s stock price was depressed—Tether had aggressively purchased shares at an average price of about $8.85 per share; this recent sale is thus viewed as profit-taking at a high price point. Following the sale, Tether still holds 37.7 million Class A shares of Bitdeer, representing 19.7% of the company’s outstanding shares, maintaining its status as a major shareholder.
Ornn AI Launches Token Price Index to Measure the Actual Cost of Inference Tokens from OpenAI and Anthropic
According to PR Newswire, Ornn AI has launched the Ornn Token Price Index (OTPI), which measures the actual cost of tokens generated by AI model developers such as OpenAI and Anthropic. Weighted by the volume of tokens traded for each model, the OTPI is a daily metric expressed in “USD per million tokens,” reflecting how factors—including model usage patterns, input-to-output ratios, and caching—impact actual costs.
US CFTC Chair Clarifies Perpetual Contract Controversy: No Fixed Maturity Date Does Not Affect Futures Status, Funding Rate Mechanism Aids Price Anchoring
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Mike Selig posted on X to clarify several misunderstandings regarding perpetual futures contracts and to address the controversy surrounding the CFTC's recent approval of related contracts.Mike Selig stated that the Commodity Exchange Act and relevant CFTC rules do not explicitly require a "futures contract" to have a fixed maturity or delivery date. Since Congress has not clearly defined the term, futures contract classification primarily relies on judicial precedent and CFTC interpretations, and a fixed maturity date is not a necessary condition.Regarding the claim that "the BTCPERP contract approved by the CFTC allows U.S. users to use 250x leverage," high leverage is not an inherent characteristic of the perpetual contract structure itself, but rather a feature of previous offshore trading platform models. Perpetual contracts regulated by the CFTC will adhere to the same leverage limits as other regulated futures products.In response to criticism that "the CFTC did not provide industry participants with an opportunity for input and feedback," the CFTC issued a public request for comment on "perpetual contracts" and "24/7 trading" in April 2025 and received over 100 responses from industry participants, including several CFTC-registered entities. Furthermore, addressing concerns that the funding rate mechanism could incur high costs and induce adverse market behavior, when considering the costs of opening and rolling over traditional term futures contracts, the annualized holding cost of perpetual contract funding rates is generally comparable to that of traditional futures. In fact, the funding rate mechanism helps maintain the contract's price anchor to the spot market and serves as a market disciplining force.