News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently attempting to reclaim the "Active Supply Cost Basis" level.Darkfost noted that active supply refers to all BTC that has been transferred at least once within the past 7 years. By excluding long-dormant Bitcoin, a more accurate average cost basis that aligns with the current market structure can be obtained, with its Realized Price standing at approximately $70,400.He stated that the last time Bitcoin successfully reclaimed this level was in early April, before the market fell back below this zone again in early June, with sellers reasserting dominance.Darkfost said that if BTC can sustain its position above the active supply cost basis this time, it could signal the market is forming a longer-term uptrend, rather than the brief breakout that lasted only about two months previously.This metric is commonly used by the market to observe changes in long-term holder costs and Bitcoin market cycle status. Whether BTC can firmly hold near the $70,400 level will become a key indicator for future bullish and bearish forces.
Odaily News Bitfinex's latest report indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) has been fluctuating within a narrow range recently, with volatility, trading activity, and market liquidity all compressed to levels similar to those seen at the end of a bear market.Currently, Bitcoin's price remains above the "Median Realised Price" of around $63,200, while the key level for short-term holders (STH) to achieve overall profitability stands at $67,176. Meanwhile, market demand is weakening: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $385 million last week, corporate Bitcoin reserve-related activity has turned negative, spot trading volume has fallen to multi-year lows, and Bitcoin transfer speed has dropped to its lowest level in seven years.Bitfinex stated that in the current extremely thin liquidity environment, even slight changes in capital flows could trigger significant Bitcoin price fluctuations. At the same time, weak retail activity, declining real income, and deteriorating consumer confidence indicate that U.S. household demand is under pressure. Bitfinex noted that the current market shows a clear divergence: accommodative financial conditions are driving traditional risk assets higher, but the crypto market has not yet received corresponding capital inflows.Bitfinex believes that the core market question has shifted from "whether monetary policy will improve" to "whether improved liquidity can translate into capital inflows for crypto assets." If Bitcoin spot ETFs resume sustained net inflows in the future, coupled with stablecoin supply expansion, this would signal a restart of the crypto market's liquidity transmission mechanism and could become a key catalyst for BTC breaking out of its prolonged low-volatility state.Before capital returns, although the macro environment is gradually improving, the crypto market's upside still lacks capital support. However, given that market participation has dropped to extremely low levels and BTC continues to hold key realized price support levels, once liquidity re-enters the market, it could trigger violent fluctuations. The current structure leans toward an upward breakout once demand recovers.
Odaily News - According to Lookonchain monitoring, a trader monitored CZ's public wallet in real time and bought 84.61 million MARSCOIN tokens with 16 BNB (approximately $9,645) in the same second CZ's wallet burned 4,444 MARSCOIN tokens. To secure the transaction first, the trader raised the Gas Price to hundreds or even thousands of times the normal level.After the purchase, the trader sold half of the position once the price doubled, recovering 16.4 BNB to recoup the initial capital, then took profits on the remaining position in batches, eventually selling for 465 BNB (approximately $282,000), achieving an overall return of 29x and becoming the wallet with the highest MARSCOIN profits.
Recently, DeepSeek-V4 announced impending price increases and the introduction of peak-valley pricing. On August 15, the B.AI platform announced a major benefits plan to help developers use DeepSeek without fear of costs. New users logging in via Binance Wallet, Bitget Wallet, or imToken wallet can claim 1 million free Credits; entering an invitation code adds another 300,000, totaling up to 1.3 million. Both new and existing users can also enjoy extra Bonus Credits of up to $100 upon recharge. Users can prepare their B.AI accounts in advance to unlock benefits early.
Odaily News: Flap has announced the launch of bBroker Vault, powered by bStocks, on BNB Chain, combining Meme coin trading activity with NFT yields and tokenized stock ecosystems through a new mechanism.Under this mechanism, users are required to pay a fixed fee in corresponding tax tokens to mint bBroker NFTs, and the tokens paid are burned directly. Subsequently, trading fees from quote assets flowing into the Vault are automatically allocated to a "dividend pool" and a "floor price pool," enabling NFT holders to continuously earn dividends in quote assets without staking or locking up.Meanwhile, each bBroker NFT carries an on-chain floor price backed 1:1 by assets in the floor price pool, and holders can sell the NFT back to the Vault at any time to exit. Flap positions this mechanism as a novel on-chain economic model integrating Meme coins, NFTs, and stock assets.
Odaily News: Trader Murphy (@Murphychen888) posted on the X platform stating that the Realized Price for Bitcoin short-term holders with a holding period of less than 3 months (
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale has deposited 60,000 HYPE into Hyperliquid and sold 31,560 of them, cashing out approximately 1.77 million USD. Currently, the address still has two HYPE Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) sell orders being executed, including one sell order sized at approximately 40,000 HYPE valued at approximately 2.1 million USD, with remaining execution time of approximately 15 hours. Additionally, the address also transferred approximately 1.67 million USDC to Coinbase.
According to monitoring by on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), as the BTC price rose, the 1,793 BTC (approximately $114.4 million) short position held by address 0xff84 was once on the verge of forced liquidation. The address subsequently voluntarily closed part of the position to mitigate risk. The current remaining short position is 1,543 BTC (approximately $98.97 million), and the latest liquidation price has moved up to $64,225.35.
Bitcoin analyst Plan B stated on the X platform that the core of Bitcoin's long-term value lies in scarcity, not short-term price fluctuations.Plan B believes that many people focus on Bitcoin's price charts, while the S2F model he uses focuses on the degree of asset scarcity. This model measures scarcity through "existing supply ÷ annual new production," where the S2F for gold is approximately 60. Due to Bitcoin's fixed total supply of 21 million coins and its predictable issuance schedule, its S2F is currently around 120 and continues to rise over time.The Bitcoin halving mechanism is an important driver of the S2F model. Approximately every four years, the Bitcoin network reduces the block reward by half, decreasing new supply and roughly doubling the S2F level, making it the core supply-side event observed by the model.Plan B emphasized that the S2F and its upgraded version, the S2FX model, predict long-term average value rather than precisely forecasting market tops or bottoms. Bitcoin's price typically fluctuates around the model's estimated value, and investors should focus on multi-year cycle averages rather than single-day price highs. Additionally, Plan B believes that as scarcity increases, Bitcoin is undergoing different stages of development, including proof of concept, payment network, "digital gold"/store of value asset, and institutional-grade financial asset. Each increase in scarcity could bring new market narratives and capital inflows.However, Plan B also reiterated that "all models are wrong, but some are useful." He stated that the S2F model is merely a tool for long-term understanding of Bitcoin's scarcity, not a trading signal or a "crystal ball" for price prediction. Although the model has withstood major events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and China's mining ban, it still has limitations.
A whale who previously shorted approximately $102 million worth of BTC with 40x leverage recently experienced partial liquidation, losing approximately $1.46 million over the past week. Currently, their short position has decreased to approximately $60 million, with a liquidation price of approximately $65,310.
Citrini analyst Jukan reposted content on platform X stating that industry insiders say Google DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis previously planned to leave around the same time as another co-founder David Silver, but Google management worried this news might trigger a significant stock price drop, therefore hoping he would postpone his departure. Sources say that after Google announced relevant adjustments, the company's stock price indeed dropped, and eventually Hassabis was persuaded to transition to the DeepMind Chairman position to help the organization transition smoothly and create space to leave Google in a more appropriate way in the future. It is reported that as David Silver turns to founding Ineffable Intelligence and John Jumper joins Anthropic, DeepMind's core AI R&D strength is undergoing changes. Some insiders believe that the center truly driving AI model development at Google has now shifted more towards the US Bay Area, DeepMind's importance has declined somewhat, and Google's internal focus has shifted to the large language model Gemini to catch up with OpenAI and Anthropic. Hassabis's adjustment reflects long-standing strategic contradictions within Google: research personnel focus more on long-term scientific breakthroughs, while business teams focus more on AI products that can be commercialized quickly and drive revenue and stock price growth. The market predicts Hassabis may leave Google within a year and may start a new venture again.
According to Korean media NATE, driven by the AI investment boom, SK Hynix's stock price has recently experienced severe volatility. Against the backdrop of intensifying market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting the famous words of founder Choi Jong-geon (최종건): "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; despair can be turned into hope like flipping a hand," and rewrote it as "Anxiety and expectation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; anxiety can be turned into expectation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry. Securities firms believe that short-term stock price volatility has not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership advantage and the performance stability brought by Long-Term Agreements (LTA). Hyundai Motor Securities analyst Noh Geun-chang (노근창) stated that SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth rates for the third quarter are expected to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively; with the expansion of HBM4 sales contribution, even if the proportion of Long-Term Agreements increases, DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) is still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Regarding competition concerns brought by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Noh Geun-chang believes that considering the US continues to strengthen semiconductor equipment export restrictions and Micron is expanding domestic investment in the US, the possibility of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.
Odaily News, according to MLM monitoring, TradeXYZ's fee receiving wallet has recently used perpetual contract (Perps) trading fee revenue to purchase HYPE tokens for the first time. Two days ago, TradeXYZ transferred 250,000 USDC from its perpetual contract fee wallet (used for accumulating Perps trading fees) to its spot wallet, and purchased approximately 2,000 HYPE tokens, worth about $110,000. Subsequently, this portion of HYPE was used to purchase HIP-3 trading pairs.The latest data shows that TradeXYZ has again transferred 500,000 USDC to its spot wallet and has begun continuously purchasing approximately 9,000 HYPE tokens—worth about $500,000—through a TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) strategy. Previously, TradeXYZ's HYPE funds used to purchase new HIP-3 trading pairs mainly came from spot trading fee revenue. However, this is the first time it has used perpetual contract fee revenue for HYPE purchases.
Odaily Odaily News: Wall Street investment firm Bernstein has reaffirmed its "Outperform" rating on stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Financial, maintaining a $140 price target.Bernstein stated that Circle's second-quarter performance effectively addressed previous market concerns regarding intensifying stablecoin competition and the growth potential of reserve asset income. Analysts believe that Circle's expanding partnerships, regulatory licensing progress, and the upcoming Arc blockchain project will bring new revenue streams to the company—growth drivers that are not yet fully reflected in current market expectations.As the stablecoin market continues to expand, Circle is expected to further broaden its business model through payment infrastructure, on-chain financial services, and ecosystem collaborations, with its future growth potential still underestimated by the market. (The Block)
According to Odaily, despite spot Bitcoin ETFs recording net inflows of $211.5 million on Tuesday, the price of Bitcoin remained largely flat, hovering around $64,000. Analysts believe this movement resembles the market being compressed into a low-volatility state, rather than signaling an impending sharp decline.On the same day, spot Ethereum ETFs also recorded net inflows of $53.8 million. In the broader macro market, the S&P 500 index closed at a record high of 7,737 points on August 4, the Nasdaq rose 2.6% driven by AI earnings, and Brent crude oil fell below $80 due to easing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.Wintermute OTC trader Jasper De Maere stated that ETF buying entering the market but failing to push Bitcoin's price higher is itself a key signal, indicating that marginal buyers in the spot market are not truly one-sided bulls. He believes that for Bitcoin to sustain its recovery narrative, it needs a clear breakout above $65,000 in the short term.Overall, analysts are interpreting the current Bitcoin price action as a form of "boring bottoming": no obvious panic selling, yet lacking strong upward momentum. ETF inflows provide support, but the price remains suppressed below key resistance, suggesting the market is still waiting for a clearer directional catalyst.
Odaily News: Morgan Stanley downgraded stablecoin issuer Circle Internet to Underweight and cut its price target from $106 to $38. The bank also lowered its supply forecast for Circle Internet's USDC stablecoin through 2028, citing weaker reserve income and an increasing share of low-margin revenue. Analysts noted that intensifying competition from tokenized cash products and new stablecoin models could pressure Circle Internet's profitability.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, multiple institutions have unstaked and sold HYPE, causing the token to drop from $72 to $52 over the past month, a decline of 28%. A whale holds 1.38 million HYPE in long positions, valued at $72.15 million, with a current liquidation price of $47.6, approximately 9% away from HYPE's current price. This position has been held for 8 months without being closed. It saw an unrealized loss of $26 million at the end of January, reached a peak unrealized gain of $47.46 million in June, and currently remains up $18.8 million. The position is nearing the liquidation price because the whale previously withdrew a significant portion of the unrealized profit as margin.
According to TechFlow Research, on Monday (July 27), Apple rose over 1%, with its market cap reaching $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia's $4.78 trillion to return to the top spot in global market cap. Over the past month, Apple outperformed the Nasdaq 100 Index by 23 percentage points, marking the largest single-month excess return since 2005. Goldman Sachs raised the target price from $330 to $370 on the same day, maintaining a Buy rating, citing increased confidence in the iPhone upgrade cycle and AI strategy. Apple will release its Q3 earnings report on Thursday, with the market expecting EPS to be $1.89. This market cap overtaking occurred against the backdrop of growing investor concerns over the ROI on huge AI capital expenditures, with Google's FCF turning negative and Nvidia facing sell-offs, while Apple became a safe haven instead due to restrained AI spending.
According to TechFlow Research, Bank of America's Global Memory Weekly Report on July 24 pointed out that PC DRAM contract prices in July rose 15%-20% month-over-month, with Q3 month-over-month increases reaching 30%-40%, far exceeding TrendForce's forecast of 13%-18%, and spot prices strengthened simultaneously. South Korea's semiconductor exports in the first 20 days of July totaled $22.1 billion, up 181% year-over-year; China's memory imports in June reached $32 billion, hitting a record high, up approximately 250% year-over-year, while the impact of CXMT's capacity expansion remains limited. Bank of America analysts expect Google's capital expenditures in 2026/2027 to reach $200 billion/$300 billion respectively, a significant increase from $91 billion in 2025, implying that memory chip procurement in 2027 needs to be more than 50% higher than in 2026. Google's annual cash and equivalents from 2026-2028 will exceed $50 billion, which is a positive signal for memory chip capacity expansion. Samsung Electronics is expected to announce large-scale buybacks, early dividend payments, and more optimistic second-half/2027 guidance at its July 30 earnings conference call; Bank of America maintains a buy rating on Samsung.
Currently, the supply of Bitcoin held by long-term holders (LTH) at a loss has exceeded the level during the FTX collapse and is approaching the 2018 bear market phase. The current Bitcoin Realized Price is approximately $50,000. Historically, every cycle has retested the Long-Term Holder Realized Price, so there remains a possibility of retesting this level in the future.