News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News Bitfinex's latest report indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) has been fluctuating within a narrow range recently, with volatility, trading activity, and market liquidity all compressed to levels similar to those seen at the end of a bear market.Currently, Bitcoin's price remains above the "Median Realised Price" of around $63,200, while the key level for short-term holders (STH) to achieve overall profitability stands at $67,176. Meanwhile, market demand is weakening: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $385 million last week, corporate Bitcoin reserve-related activity has turned negative, spot trading volume has fallen to multi-year lows, and Bitcoin transfer speed has dropped to its lowest level in seven years.Bitfinex stated that in the current extremely thin liquidity environment, even slight changes in capital flows could trigger significant Bitcoin price fluctuations. At the same time, weak retail activity, declining real income, and deteriorating consumer confidence indicate that U.S. household demand is under pressure. Bitfinex noted that the current market shows a clear divergence: accommodative financial conditions are driving traditional risk assets higher, but the crypto market has not yet received corresponding capital inflows.Bitfinex believes that the core market question has shifted from "whether monetary policy will improve" to "whether improved liquidity can translate into capital inflows for crypto assets." If Bitcoin spot ETFs resume sustained net inflows in the future, coupled with stablecoin supply expansion, this would signal a restart of the crypto market's liquidity transmission mechanism and could become a key catalyst for BTC breaking out of its prolonged low-volatility state.Before capital returns, although the macro environment is gradually improving, the crypto market's upside still lacks capital support. However, given that market participation has dropped to extremely low levels and BTC continues to hold key realized price support levels, once liquidity re-enters the market, it could trigger violent fluctuations. The current structure leans toward an upward breakout once demand recovers.
Odaily News Since taking the helm of the Federal Reserve in May, Warsh has faced an exceptionally complex monetary policy dilemma. However, a string of recently released weak macroeconomic data could allow the Fed to maintain its wait-and-see stance for a longer period. The recent decline in inflation indicators has directly undermined the internal hawkish argument that "without rate hikes, inflation cannot be brought down." The U.S. Labor Department reported Thursday that the Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly remained flat month-over-month in July. Data released the day before also showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded only a marginal increase in July after declining in June.When the Fed decided to hold rates unchanged last month, Cleveland Fed President Hammack was one of three policymakers who dissented. She reiterated publicly on Thursday: "I believe we need to act now because we need to bring inflation back down to the 2% target at a faster pace than the long-run downward path implied by current interest rate levels." While internal hawks apply pressure, political interference from the White House has never ceased. Trump continues to call for sharply lower interest rates and has publicly accused Warsh's "hostile" colleagues of obstructing the rate-cut process. Facing multi-sided games, Warsh has remained silent about his own plans, avoiding any form of forward guidance.In any case, the market continues to price in potential tightening. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, investors currently place a probability of more than 90% that the Fed will raise its policy rate by the end of the year. Caught between tolerating entrenched inflation and pushing up borrowing costs that could lead to rising unemployment, the Fed's next move remains a difficult balancing act.
Odaily News: Polymarket will replace single-price snapshots with time-weighted average prices in short-term cryptocurrency markets for settling related contracts. This follows research and trader complaints indicating widespread manipulation in its settlement process. A study on 5-minute Bitcoin contracts found that some large Binance trades occurred in the final seconds before settlement and appeared to drive price movements; within potentially manipulated settlement windows, the majority of losses were borne by retail traders. The new system will use Chainlink Data Streams and short-duration TWAP windows. This mechanism is similar to the safeguards used by competing platform Kalshi, which relies on regulated price indices and moving averages to increase the difficulty and cost of short-term price distortion.
Odaily Odaily News: Wall Street investment firm Bernstein has reaffirmed its "Outperform" rating on stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Financial, maintaining a $140 price target.Bernstein stated that Circle's second-quarter performance effectively addressed previous market concerns regarding intensifying stablecoin competition and the growth potential of reserve asset income. Analysts believe that Circle's expanding partnerships, regulatory licensing progress, and the upcoming Arc blockchain project will bring new revenue streams to the company—growth drivers that are not yet fully reflected in current market expectations.As the stablecoin market continues to expand, Circle is expected to further broaden its business model through payment infrastructure, on-chain financial services, and ecosystem collaborations, with its future growth potential still underestimated by the market. (The Block)
According to Bloomberg, the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) announced an investigation into Microsoft to verify whether, after bundling Copilot AI features into the Microsoft 365 suite (including apps such as Word, Excel, Outlook, etc.) and raising prices, it fully disclosed relevant subscription price change information to users. Regulators are concerned that consumers may be forced to pay higher fees without clear notification.
Odaily News: Headline: "Loss of 23.75 Million USDC: Ostium Price Data Attacked". According to Ostium's monitoring, Ostium has released an update on the security incident. Its liquidity provider treasury was attacked on July 15, resulting in a loss of 23,752,746 USDC. Preliminary investigations indicate that the attacker compromised the off-chain infrastructure that supplies price data to the protocol, submitting disguised, fraudulent price reports. By rapidly opening and closing multiple large positions, the attacker extracted artificially generated profits from the treasury. Ostium stated that trader collateral is stored in separate, isolated smart contracts and was unaffected by this incident; all trading positions remain open. The team paused trading and froze all trading contracts within 60 minutes of the first attack transaction. Currently, Ostium is cooperating with Mandiant, zeroShadow, Collisionless, SEAL 911, and law enforcement agencies, and is coordinating with trading platforms, bridge contracts, and stablecoin issuers to advance the investigation. The engineering team is repairing and strengthening the relevant infrastructure to support a safe resumption of trading. Ostium stated it will notify at least 24 hours in advance before thawing the trading contracts. Once trading resumes, existing positions will be marked at the price at the time of reopening, unaffected by price fluctuations during the suspension.
According to South Korean media EToday, Lee Yiyuan, Chairman of the Financial Services Commission of South Korea, announced that a supplementary plan targeting single-stock leveraged ETFs such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which have recently been accused of amplifying South Korean stock market volatility, will be announced soon. Currently, regulatory authorities are closely evaluating the impact of single-stock leveraged products on market volatility and are accelerating the formulation of a comprehensive plan. However, regarding whether to implement measures such as temporary trading halts, market impacts must still be carefully weighed to avoid triggering greater side effects. Lee added that the recent intensification of volatility in the South Korean stock market is mainly driven by factors such as increased volatility in the global semiconductor industry, the industry rapidly entering a super cycle, and significant short-term surges in related stocks. The weighting of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix in the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) has increased, significantly strengthening the impact of their stock price fluctuations on the overall market.
According to the official announcement, Huobi HTX will host a themed live stream today at 20:00 titled "Ceasefire Ends, Oil Price Surges Past 75, STRATEGY Sells Coins at Loss for First Time: Can BTC's Macro Narrative Still Hold?" During the event, crypto KOLs such as HuaBai Blockchain, Sincere Little Taoist, Crypto.0824, and OxPink will gather in the live stream room to conduct in-depth discussions on recent market hotspots such as the fluctuating situation in the Middle East and the strong upward trend in international oil prices, and combine Federal Reserve policy expectations to analyze BTC's future trend as well as crypto asset allocation opportunities and risk management strategies, providing investors with multi-dimensional market observations and trading ideas.
According to Protos, the stock price of Bitcoin treasury company Hyperscale Data (NYSE: GPUS) closed below $0.14 on July 7, 2026, representing a drop of nearly 100% compared to its historical peak during the 2000 internet bubble (adjusted price over $2.1 billion). The company was formerly an electronics manufacturer established in 1969, Digital Power Corporation, and has since undergone six name changes, five reverse stock splits (cumulative compression ratio exceeding 200 million to 1), and multiple transformations—sequentially involving Bitcoin mining and Michael Saylor-style BTC accumulation strategies. In September 2025, the company announced the launch of a $100 million BTC purchase plan, at which time the stock price was $0.72, and has since fallen cumulatively by over 80%. The company's Executive Chairman Milton "Todd" Ault III was fined and suspended by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) in 2012, and the company also reached a $700,000 settlement with the SEC in 2023.
According to PRNewswire, Bitcoin mining company Canaan Inc. announced that its American Depositary Shares (ADS) have officially transferred from the Nasdaq Global Market to the Nasdaq Capital Market. The stock ticker CAN remains unchanged, and the transfer will not affect its normal trading.
Odaily OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's co-founded company Tools for Humanity has internally launched two investigations led by external law firms, targeting executive fund misuse and alleged violations in its Thailand operations. The company's relevant executives are accused of approving payments amounting to millions of US dollars to a foreign entity. The purpose of these funds was not for normal business procurement or service fees, but rather to artificially inflate the market price of its cryptocurrency, Worldcoin. Additionally, Tools for Humanity's partner in Thailand is reportedly a suspect in an international wanted "pig butchering" scam. Meanwhile, regulatory agencies in multiple countries have raised serious concerns about Tools for Humanity's iris scanning and data collection methods. (BusinessInsider)
Benchmark has maintained a "Buy" rating for Coinbase with a $270 price target, implying approximately 59.5% upside from its Tuesday closing price of $169.27. The firm noted that Coinbase's latest "System Update" indicates it is accelerating its transformation from a crypto trading platform into an "everything exchange" that bridges traditional finance and the on-chain economy.Analyst Mark Palmer stated that this product update covers tokenized stocks, stock and crypto options, pre-IPO perpetual contracts, prediction markets, AI-driven investment tools, agent payment infrastructure, and retail financial products, signaling the continuous expansion of its business boundaries.Key progress highlighted by Benchmark also includes: the U.S. CFTC's approval for it to operate as a regulated Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), global derivatives capabilities obtained through the acquisition of Deribit, and integrating crypto perpetuals and options into a compliant framework, thereby achieving cross-market liquidity consolidation.Furthermore, the company's strategic moves in the Base ecosystem, prediction markets, and AI agent payments are also seen as key signals of its evolution from "spot crypto trading" to a comprehensive on-chain financial infrastructure. (The Block)
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Mike Selig posted on X to clarify several misunderstandings regarding perpetual futures contracts and to address the controversy surrounding the CFTC's recent approval of related contracts.Mike Selig stated that the Commodity Exchange Act and relevant CFTC rules do not explicitly require a "futures contract" to have a fixed maturity or delivery date. Since Congress has not clearly defined the term, futures contract classification primarily relies on judicial precedent and CFTC interpretations, and a fixed maturity date is not a necessary condition.Regarding the claim that "the BTCPERP contract approved by the CFTC allows U.S. users to use 250x leverage," high leverage is not an inherent characteristic of the perpetual contract structure itself, but rather a feature of previous offshore trading platform models. Perpetual contracts regulated by the CFTC will adhere to the same leverage limits as other regulated futures products.In response to criticism that "the CFTC did not provide industry participants with an opportunity for input and feedback," the CFTC issued a public request for comment on "perpetual contracts" and "24/7 trading" in April 2025 and received over 100 responses from industry participants, including several CFTC-registered entities. Furthermore, addressing concerns that the funding rate mechanism could incur high costs and induce adverse market behavior, when considering the costs of opening and rolling over traditional term futures contracts, the annualized holding cost of perpetual contract funding rates is generally comparable to that of traditional futures. In fact, the funding rate mechanism helps maintain the contract's price anchor to the spot market and serves as a market disciplining force.
the actively managed crypto ETF launched by T. Rowe Price was approved by the U.S. SEC on June 12, 2026, marking a key step toward its listing on NYSE Arca. Although the product has not yet begun trading, it is close to being officially opened to investors.The ETF plans to allocate between 5 and 15 crypto assets. The current draft shows it will cover major assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana, and XRP, along with highly volatile tokens like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB), reflecting a strategy to expand into a broader digital asset portfolio. The approval process accelerated since April 2026, during which T. Rowe Price submitted multiple revised proposals. The SEC formally approved the second amended filing on June 12, indicating growing regulatory acceptance of multi-asset crypto ETF structures.Market analysts believe that if the product successfully launches, it will further expand institutional investors' compliant exposure to diversified crypto assets and could set a regulatory precedent for more actively managed multi-currency crypto ETFs in the future. (intellectia)
According to The Block, Payward—the parent company of Kraken—announced that it will open up access to IPO offering-price subscriptions for U.S. publicly traded companies to Kraken users and select partner platform users via the xStocks framework in the coming weeks. Users may submit non-binding subscription indications prior to listing; Payward will aggregate demand and coordinate with underwriting syndicates to allocate tokenized shares at the offering price on the listing day. These stock tokens are fully backed 1:1 by the underlying equities held in custody by regulated entities and are tradable across blockchains including Ethereum, Solana, and TON. Payward stated that it plans to expand into additional markets and onboard more partners to the xStocks Alliance in the future.
edgeX stated it has observed sudden and abnormal price fluctuations in the EDGE token and is actively investigating the cause.The team noted that it is urgently reviewing the specific situation and will release updates as soon as relevant information is confirmed. Users are reminded to refer to information published by edgeX's official channels and to exercise caution regarding unsubstantiated market rumors.
According to Cointelegraph, cryptocurrency analysts are divided on whether Bitcoin will reenact its historical “Sell in May” pattern in 2026. In the two midterm election years—2018 and 2022—Bitcoin experienced sharp declines in May, falling approximately 30% and 70%, respectively. Analyst Merlijn Enkelaar warned that this historical pattern could repeat, with Bitcoin potentially dropping to $33,000. Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, also noted that if Bitcoin remains persistently below $78,000, the likelihood of a new capitulation phase increases. However, Jeff Ko, Chief Analyst at CoinEx, argued that past crashes stemmed from specific shocks—including the Mt. Gox incident, China’s ICO regulations, the Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening, and the collapses of Terra and FTX—not from calendar-based seasonality. He added that the launch of spot ETFs, corporate treasury allocations, and progress on the CLARITY Act have significantly broadened the institutional buyer base, making a 70–80% deep correction unlikely this cycle. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted $76,000 as the current critical support level; failure to hold it would likely trigger further downside pressure.
CME Group announced plans to launch Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures on June 8, 2026, subject to regulatory review. This will be its first market-cap-weighted futures contract, offered in both micro and standard sizes, and cash-settled. Final settlement will be based on the Nasdaq CME Crypto Settlement Price Index, which measures the performance of the largest and most actively traded cryptocurrencies by market capitalization—currently including BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, LINK, and XLM.
CME Group announced plans to launch Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Index Futures on June 8, pending regulatory review. The Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Index Futures will be the company’s first market-capitalization-weighted futures contract and will be available in both micro and standard contract sizes. These contracts will provide market participants with a capital-efficient way to gain exposure to the top-ranked cryptocurrencies by market capitalization through a single financially settled futures contract. At expiration, the Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Index Futures will settle against the Nasdaq CME Cryptocurrency Settlement Price Index, which measures the performance of the most actively traded and liquid cryptocurrencies. As of May 14, the index includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, XRP, ADA, LINK, and Lumens (XLM).
According to QCP Capital’s analysis, BTC is currently consolidating near $82,000—close to its 200-day moving average. The $80,000 support level remains temporarily stable, yet the resistance level at $84,000 has yet to be breached. April’s core CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year—slightly above expectations—driven primarily by housing costs (owners’ equivalent rent), while core goods inflation remains subdued and tariff-related price pressures have not yet fully disseminated. Core services inflation (excluding housing) has accelerated for three consecutive months. Coupled with China’s PPI turning positive for the first time in 41 months, the global deflationary tailwind for commodities may be fading, further raising the bar for Fed rate cuts. Markets are now focused on three key catalysts: the Beijing meeting between Trump and President Xi (covering trade, rare earths, and Middle East issues), the upcoming PPI data release, and the Senate Banking Committee’s deliberation process on the CLARITY crypto regulatory bill. Until these catalysts materialize, spot prices may continue trading sideways within a range, with volatility remaining low.