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Odaily News In a recent interview on Cointelegraph's program Chain Reaction, Lucas Sum, Head of Stock Market Development at Gate, stated that crypto and stocks are quietly converging and increasingly becoming part of the same macro trade. He pointed out that the correlation between the crypto market and the Nasdaq index is currently higher than the five-year average, with the correlation coefficient once exceeding 0.8. Market sentiment is generally cautious at present, with more funds staying in low-risk assets such as stablecoins, as investors await clearer catalysts.Lucas Sum believes that the core narrative of the next market cycle may no longer be "crypto vs. Wall Street," but rather traditional financial assets accelerating their entry into the digital financial system through on-chain infrastructure. The scale of RWA has grown from approximately $12 billion a year ago to over $30 billion, while the scale of tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds has also reached approximately $15 billion, indicating that on-chain financial infrastructure continues to expand. Meanwhile, macro liquidity, real yields, and regulatory clarity remain key factors influencing the performance of risk assets. Against this backdrop, investors' focus is shifting from single-asset allocation to coordinated allocation across multiple asset classes. Lucas Sum noted that Gate is continuously expanding its stock business, currently covering U.S., Hong Kong, and Korean stock markets, with plans to extend further into more global markets to provide the necessary infrastructure for multi-asset investment.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "Anthropic valuation hits target this year," the probability of reaching $1.5 trillion this year has risen to 76%, up 13% in 24 hours. The probability of reaching $1.25 trillion has risen to 92%, up 8% in 24 hours.According to the settlement rules, this market primarily relies on the private market valuation of Anthropic as published by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic completes an IPO or direct listing during this period, the valuation corresponding to the official offering price and the public market capitalization after listing will also be included in the settlement basis. Currently, NPM data cited on the Polymarket page shows a valuation of approximately $1.13 trillion.Previously, according to The Wall Street Journal, Anthropic plans to go public in September or early October, though the specific offering price and timeline have not yet been announced. If successfully listed, it could become one of the largest IPOs in history.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead of the curve and seize opportunities first.
Odaily Odaily News: Market maker Jane Street is repaying a $5.5 billion floating-rate loan as part of a broader restructuring of $11 billion in total debt. The company also plans to issue $14.6 billion in senior secured notes maturing in 2031, 2033, and 2036, respectively, to refinance $5.6 billion in bonds.S&P has assigned a BB rating to Jane Street's upcoming debt transaction, two notches below investment grade, citing Jane Street's "consistently strong earnings track record" while noting the growing scale and scope of its trading operations.Jane Street reported record trading revenue of $39.6 billion last year. Bloomberg previously reported that the company is in talks with institutions including Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) regarding related financing arrangements. (Bloomberg)
Odaily News, Citrini analyst jukan stated on the X platform that Temasek, one of Asia's largest sovereign wealth funds, is making new investments in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, marking Temasek's first foray into the Korean stock market.It is understood that Temasek believes memory semiconductors represent the lowest-valued segment within the AI value chain. An industry insider noted: "Temasek's investment approach is to allocate substantial capital to market-leading sectors from a long-term perspective. Samsung and SK Hynix have surged more than 880% from their lows last year, but this move indicates Temasek is confident the rally will continue."
Odaily News: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will hold a public meeting on August 14 to consider proposing a "Regulation Crypto" rule framework that would allow certain crypto projects to raise funds without completing full securities registration. If public comment is initiated, this would mark the SEC's first formal, long-term crypto industry rulemaking. The framework is expected to establish a pathway for exiting SEC oversight: after project developers raise funds, if they no longer actively manage the project and the project achieves decentralization, it may fall outside SEC jurisdiction. SEC Chair Paul Atkins has previously stated that the exemption period could last up to four years, though the announcement did not disclose funding amount thresholds. The U.S. Senate did not advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act before entering its August recess. The final rule will still take several months to complete, and the meeting will be held at 10:00 a.m. ET on August 14. (Decrypt)
: Retail bearish sentiment has hit a new multi-year record, while institutional positioning lags even further behind. As U.S. equities face an unprecedented disconnect between fundamentals and capital flows, analysts predict a rare "Wall Street expectation gap" is now underway. Last week, the S&P 500 index posted a cumulative gain of 22% since late March and broke through the 7,700-point mark for the first time in history. As investors digested the latest batch of earnings reports, the benchmark index closed roughly flat on Monday.Strategists at 22V Research have observed a notable divergence between the AAII Bull-Bear Spread and the firm's proprietary economic data index, which tracks a range of U.S. macro data releases. According to the firm's model, the current valuation deviation implies that the S&P 500 will rise by 1.6%, 5.1%, and 7.8% over the next one, three, and six months, respectively.Dennis DeBusschere, President and Chief Market Strategist at 22V Research, wrote in a note to clients: "The current reading of investor sentiment relative to economic data suggests market returns will be above normal levels."Alastair Pinder, Global Equity Strategist at HSBC, also noted that the many macro concerns that have emerged over the past few weeks have indeed given investors ample reason to question the current stock market rally.
: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, has launched a U.S. investment-grade bond offering, just two weeks after the company announced its approximately $6 billion acquisition of the electronic bond trading platform MarketAxess.According to sources familiar with the matter, ICE's bond issuance is planned in up to five tranches, with maturities ranging from 3 to 10 years. The initial pricing guidance for the longest-dated bonds is approximately 1.15 percentage points above U.S. Treasury yields.ICE previously announced that it would acquire MarketAxess Holdings for approximately $6 billion to further expand its footprint in the fixed-income trading market. MarketAxess is one of the world's leading electronic bond trading platforms, primarily serving institutional investors and providing trading services for fixed-income products such as corporate bonds and government bonds.This acquisition is seen as a significant move by ICE to strengthen its bond market infrastructure. ICE currently owns the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), futures exchanges, clearing houses, and data services businesses, while MarketAxess's electronic bond trading network will help ICE further expand its fixed-income asset trading ecosystem.Market participants noted that as bond trading becomes increasingly electronic, traditional exchange operators are competing for institutional investment market share through acquisitions of trading platforms and data companies. This financing also reflects the trend of major financial infrastructure companies supporting strategic mergers and acquisitions through the debt market. (Bloomberg)
Odaily News According to Gate Ventures' latest weekly report, global risk assets have shown a clear recovery over the past week, with major US stock indices collectively hitting new all-time highs. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.58%, 5.19%, and 2.96%, respectively. The crypto market also rebounded in tandem, with BTC up 2.1% on the week and ETH up 1.4%, bringing the total cryptocurrency market cap up 1.4%. On the capital flows front, BTC spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $853 million for the week, while ETH spot ETFs saw net inflows of $244.9 million, indicating further improvement in institutional demand.In terms of industry developments, the integration of traditional finance and blockchain continues to advance. BlackRock has appointed JPMorgan to push forward the tokenization of a European money market fund, exploring 24/7 transfer of blockchain-based fund shares. Grayscale has filed an S-1 registration statement for the first US Worldcoin ETF, further deepening the connection between digital assets and traditional financial markets. Stablecoin infrastructure also remained active, with Yellow Card completing a $40 million strategic funding round and planning to expand its stablecoin account and payment infrastructure into Latin America and the Asia-Pacific markets.On the investment and financing front, eight deals were completed last week, with total disclosed funding reaching $90.64 million, focused on the infrastructure track. Overall, market risk appetite has seen some recovery, with institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure, stablecoins, and asset tokenization remaining key areas of continued industry focus.
Odaily News: UMX (The Unified Market Exchange), incubated by Avenir Group under Li Lin, has announced the launch of an invitation-only public beta.According to the introduction, UMX is positioned as a crypto-friendly securities platform for global professional investors, integrating crypto assets and real securities trading on the same platform to improve capital efficiency in cross-asset trading. During the public beta phase, the platform offers crypto spot, leverage, futures, and options trading, as well as real US stocks, ETFs, and US stock options trading.This public beta focuses on opening the capital flow channel between crypto assets and securities accounts. UMX has designed cross-market fund transfers, financing, and crypto-to-stock conversion mechanisms. Users can use "Convert & Transfer" to automatically convert stablecoins such as USDT into USD and transfer them to securities accounts with one click, or use "Borrow & Transfer" to collateralize non-stablecoin crypto assets to gain purchasing power for trading US stocks, ETFs, and US stock options. After completing fiat account verification, users can also open a personal fiat account under their own name for fiat deposits and withdrawals. Securities holdings can also be converted into corresponding stock tokens via the "Stock-to-Token" function, which can be counted toward crypto trading account margin at a corresponding discount rate, and these stock tokens can also be converted back into the corresponding securities assets.Around cross-asset capital efficiency, the platform has introduced a cross-asset margin mechanism, where eligible wealth management assets can also be used as margin. During the public beta, the platform has also launched BTC and USDT wealth management products, with maximum annualized returns of up to 2.5% and 5.5%, respectively. UMX stated that this model aims to reduce the operational costs incurred by professional investors from frequent fund transfers and fragmented account management, while providing a unified capital and risk management framework for cross-asset allocation.This public beta is invitation-based. Users who have obtained a beta code can complete registration via the UMX official website (umx.com) to experience the currently available products and services; users who have not yet received a beta code can reserve the official version, receive launch notifications, and participate in the early-bird benefits program.
Odaily News Unitree Technology (688836.SH), the "first humanoid robot stock on the A-share market," has drawn significant market attention for its IPO subscription. The company's issuance price-to-earnings ratio has reached 219.23 times, significantly higher than the industry average of approximately 38.56 times, with the effective subscription multiple in the offline inquiry phase surpassing 2,618 times.In addition, primary market investors have already reaped considerable returns. Variable Capital invested only 2.09 million yuan in 2018, and its return multiple has now soared to over 174 times. Sequoia Capital China has injected a cumulative total of approximately 102 million yuan over the years, and based on the issuance price estimate, its shareholding market value is approaching 3 billion yuan. Meituan-affiliated entities collectively hold a 9.65% stake through multiple investment vehicles, with book gains exceeding 3.6 billion yuan.However, contrasting with the high returns in the primary market, secondary market investors will face a game between high valuations and limited floating chips. Unitree Technology will publicly issue approximately 40.44 million shares this time, with the initial online offering ratio at only about 16%, while the remaining shares are mainly allocated to institutional investors through strategic placement and offline inquiry. Based on a total share capital of approximately 404 million shares after issuance, the floating shares on the first trading day will be around 29.77 million shares, accounting for about 7.36% of total share capital, with over 90% of shares remaining locked up.Currently, Unitree Technology has not yet announced a specific listing date. Following the STAR Market's new share issuance process, the company is expected to officially begin trading as early as mid-August. (Tencent Technology)
Odaily News: Unitree Robotics officially opened IPO subscription on the STAR Market today. According to the announcement, Unitree Robotics' offering price is set at 150.80 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of approximately 60.993 billion yuan at the time of listing, and an expected total fundraising amount of 6.099 billion yuan. The online subscription code for this offering is 787836, with an expected online issuance of 6.471 million shares. The market estimates the lottery win rate at 0.02%–0.03%. It should be noted that after the subscription period concludes, the lottery results will be announced on August 12, and successful investors must complete payment on the same day. If an investor wins the lottery three times within 12 months but fails to make full payment, they will be restricted from participating in new stock and bond subscriptions for six months.Yang Chao, chief strategy analyst at China Galaxy Securities, noted that the capital threshold for participating in this IPO subscription is relatively high, and the lottery win rate is low. Share prices are likely to experience significant volatility in the early stages of the STAR Market listing. Investors should fully assess the risks associated with the high valuation and ensure timely and full payment if selected, avoiding missed payments that could trigger subscription restrictions.
Odaily News: The latest software version 3.3.0 of XRP Ledger (XRPL) introduces several upgrade proposals, including Confidential Transfers. This feature is designed for institutional users, supporting encrypted token balances and transfer amounts while preserving the visibility of accounts and token types. It is primarily applied to Multi-Purpose Tokens (MPT) on XRPL, including tokenized financial assets such as funds and bonds. Through cryptographic technologies like zero-knowledge proofs, the network can verify transaction validity without disclosing specific amounts. XRPL currently holds approximately $1.38 billion in on-chain real-world assets (RWA), including about $845.7 million in RLUSD. In addition to RLUSD, there are over $530 million in tokenized assets on XRPL, involving issuers such as Ondo, VERT Capital, Archax, and Societe Generale. XRPL 3.3.0 also includes five proposals—Batch, Sponsor, Permission Delegation, and Dynamic MPT—addressing institutional needs such as batch transactions, fee sponsorship, permission management, and dynamic adjustments to token attributes. The aforementioned upgrades have not yet been officially launched and will only be activated after receiving support from more than 80% of XRPL's trusted validator nodes for two consecutive weeks.
Odaily News - Investment firm Bernstein recently released a report assigning different ratings to two major Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI infrastructure: maintaining an "Outperform" rating on CleanSpark with a price target of $24, and initiating coverage on MARA Holdings with a "Market-Perform" rating and a price target of $17.Bernstein analysts stated that the core reason for the valuation divergence between the two companies lies in their differing progress in executing AI infrastructure transitions. CleanSpark has already signed an anchor tenant agreement for an AI data center and commenced construction, while MARA is still awaiting its first commercial AI contract.Regarding CleanSpark, the company previously announced the signing of a 20-year triple-net lease agreement with a global high-investment-grade technology firm, covering 175MW of IT capacity at its Sandersville, Georgia project. The agreement also includes exclusive cooperation arrangements for CleanSpark's total 885MW asset portfolio in Texas. Bernstein believes that CleanSpark's collaboration with tenant-designated engineering and construction contractors helps mitigate risks associated with its first large-scale AI infrastructure deployment. The first data center hall is expected to become operational in the fourth quarter of 2027.In contrast, Bernstein's assessment of MARA is more cautious. Analysts pointed out that the first commercial AI contract will serve as a key catalyst for a re-rating of MARA's stock, noting that company management previously indicated expectations of signing at least two AI lease agreements by the end of this year. (The Block)
According to TechFlow Research, Morgan Stanley's research report on August 6 pointed out that the combined growth rate of the three major cloud vendors in Q2 jumped from 39% to 48%, accelerating for five consecutive quarters. AWS grew 37% (fastest in 18 quarters), Azure increased 43%, and Google Cloud increased 82%. AWS's AI annualized revenue has exceeded $25 billion, with triple-digit growth. Azure's PostgreSQL revenue increased 55% (accelerating for three consecutive quarters), and Fabric paying customers exceeded 40,000, up 60%. Morgan Stanley believes AI consumption is driving core infrastructure demand, creating a positive backdrop for DDOG, SNOW, and MDB. However, expectations are also rising simultaneously. Market expectations for DDOG's Q2 growth rate are 35% to 36%, with valuation corresponding to approximately 69 times 2028 FCF; any signal below expectations could be amplified. Most of SNOW's consumption comes from AWS, and cloud acceleration is a positive signal for product revenue. MDB is unlikely to see an AI inflection point in the short term, but competitive pressure is increasing. Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating on all three companies, with target prices of $300, $300, and $380 respectively. Whether demand exists no longer needs verification; the question the market needs to ask is whether demand is good enough to support current valuations.
Odaily News Stablecoin issuer Tether has announced that its asset tokenization platform Hadron will provide real estate asset tokenization technology for institutional investors in Saudi Arabia, bringing traditional real estate assets on-chain.Tether stated that it will collaborate with local Saudi partner First Data and fintech company BKN301 to provide institutional clients with infrastructure support for the issuance, management, and digitalization of real estate assets. In the future, this model could expand to other real-world asset (RWA) sectors such as energy and infrastructure financing.This move is Tether's latest initiative to expand from its stablecoin business into the real-world asset tokenization space. Tether launched the Hadron platform in 2024 to streamline the asset tokenization process, and is currently one of the world's largest issuers of tokenized gold assets, with its gold token XAUT reaching approximately $2.6 billion in size.In recent years, banks and asset management institutions have been exploring the tokenization of traditional assets such as money market funds, private credit, real estate, and equities on blockchain to improve settlement efficiency, broaden investor reach, and optimize capital utilization. Citigroup previously forecast that the tokenized securities market could reach $5.5 trillion by 2030.Saudi Arabia is actively exploring the application of blockchain technology in financial services, government, and supply chains as part of its economic diversification strategy under Vision 2030.Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino stated that with the digital transformation opportunities brought by Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia is an ideal market to demonstrate the value of the Hadron platform. (CoinDesk)
According to Bloomberg reports, SpaceX stock performed relatively steadily on Thursday following the expiration of the lock-up period (lock-up agreement) restricting insiders from selling shares, involving the unlocking of up to approximately 911.5 million shares valued at about $100 billion based on current valuation. Trading data shows SpaceX stock price fluctuated within a range of less than 3% during early trading, as the market digests the potential selling pressure brought by this large-scale share release. Trading volume in the first 30 minutes after the opening approached 93 million shares, accounting for about 40% of the total volume of the previous trading day. This unlocking occurred shortly after SpaceX announced its first earnings report. Previously, SpaceX stock price once fell about 14% due to investor concerns that the company's investment scale in artificial intelligence business was higher than expected. However, most Wall Street analysts still maintain a long-term optimistic view on the company. Market focus includes SpaceX's future investment plans in AI, satellite internet, and mobile communication businesses. Despite facing capital expenditure pressure in the short term, analysts believe the company's leading position in rocket launches, Starlink satellite network, and commercial space sectors remains an important factor supporting its long-term valuation. This stock unlocking of about $100 billion has also become an important event for the market to test investor confidence after SpaceX's listing. The lack of significant stock price fluctuations indicates that the market had certain expectations regarding the liquidity release from internal shareholders.
Strategy posted on X: "Our ambition is to become the world's largest company by market capitalization—holding the most capitalized Bitcoin (BTC), issuing the most powerful credit instrument (STRC), and creating the best equity asset (MSTR)."Strategy stated that its strategic core includes three major directions:Bitcoin reserves: Continuously accumulate BTC and treat Bitcoin as a long-term capital asset;Credit instruments: Expand capital sources through preferred stocks such as STRC and other financial tools;Equity value: Provide investors with Bitcoin exposure through MSTR stock and enhance shareholder value.Strategy is currently one of the public companies holding the largest amount of Bitcoin globally. In recent years, the company has raised funds through issuing stocks, convertible bonds, and preferred shares, using the proceeds to purchase BTC, forming a cycle of "capital market financing—accumulating Bitcoin—enhancing company value."Strategy founder Michael Saylor has long believed that Bitcoin is scarce capital in the digital age, and the company aims to position itself as a core platform connecting traditional capital markets with the Bitcoin economy by continuously expanding BTC reserves and innovating financial instruments.Market observers believe that Strategy's goal is not merely to become a Bitcoin-holding company, but to establish a new corporate capital structure with Bitcoin as the underlying asset.
According to Bloomberg, SoftBank Group will release its first-quarter earnings report in Tokyo this Thursday, with the market focusing on its latest progress in robotics, data centers, and energy sectors to assess whether the company's AI value surpasses its debt financing bet of up to $65 billion on OpenAI. Currently, there are expectations of delays to OpenAI's IPO timeline; if SoftBank can demonstrate substantial progress in the aforementioned emerging fields, it may effectively alleviate investors' concerns regarding its financing strategy.
According to Bloomberg, the current venture capital market is undergoing significant structural differentiation. As capital concentrates on top artificial intelligence startups, a large number of small and medium-sized venture capital funds are facing severe challenges including fundraising difficulties, declining performance, and narrowing exit channels. The report pointed out that the excessive hype for artificial intelligence has distorted the venture capital market. Data shows that just five companies—OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Waymo, and Nscale—accounted for 78% of all venture capital transaction volume in the first quarter of this year. Capital has flowed heavily towards a few top investors who bet early on AI, such as Founders Fund and Andreessen Horowitz, while small emerging fund managers find it difficult to compete with these top institutions. This differentiation is directly reflected in fundraising data. Last year, newly established management companies (managing three or fewer funds) raised only about $62 billion, a significant decrease of about 60% compared to $163.4 billion during the 2022 pandemic peak. Even for experienced management teams, last year's fundraising amount was only $84 billion, only one-third of that in 2022. Many LPs face liquidity pressure and are more inclined to demand returns on existing investments rather than commit new capital.
According to Jin10 Data, SpaceX will announce its first earnings report since listing after the US stock market close on Tuesday. Since listing on June 12, the company's stock price has fallen nearly 50% from its high, with market capitalization shrinking by over $500 billion. As of Monday's close, it was reported at $114.53, approximately 15% lower than the IPO issuance price. Market focus centers on three key areas: • Starlink: S&P Global expects Q2 revenue to reach $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink, which is currently SpaceX's only profitable business segment; • AI: SpaceX's AI business revenue was $818 million in the first three months of this year. It has reached compute supply cooperation agreements with Google, Anthropic, etc., and acquired coding startup Cursor (approximately $60 billion); • Starship: The 13th test flight was completed, but the booster experienced a hard landing. Analyst firm Bernstein believes Starship is one of the most critical factors supporting the high valuation. Additionally, after the lock-up period ends on Thursday, over 911 million shares (market value approximately $100 billion) will be unlocked for circulation. Coupled with short selling funds' paper profits reaching $8.3 billion, market selling pressure cannot be ignored.