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Bernstein Issues Divergent Ratings on Bitcoin Miners' AI Transition: Positive on CleanSpark's Execution, MARA Awaiting Key Contract

Odaily News - Investment firm Bernstein recently released a report assigning different ratings to two major Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI infrastructure: maintaining an "Outperform" rating on CleanSpark with a price target of $24, and initiating coverage on MARA Holdings with a "Market-Perform" rating and a price target of $17.Bernstein analysts stated that the core reason for the valuation divergence between the two companies lies in their differing progress in executing AI infrastructure transitions. CleanSpark has already signed an anchor tenant agreement for an AI data center and commenced construction, while MARA is still awaiting its first commercial AI contract.Regarding CleanSpark, the company previously announced the signing of a 20-year triple-net lease agreement with a global high-investment-grade technology firm, covering 175MW of IT capacity at its Sandersville, Georgia project. The agreement also includes exclusive cooperation arrangements for CleanSpark's total 885MW asset portfolio in Texas. Bernstein believes that CleanSpark's collaboration with tenant-designated engineering and construction contractors helps mitigate risks associated with its first large-scale AI infrastructure deployment. The first data center hall is expected to become operational in the fourth quarter of 2027.In contrast, Bernstein's assessment of MARA is more cautious. Analysts pointed out that the first commercial AI contract will serve as a key catalyst for a re-rating of MARA's stock, noting that company management previously indicated expectations of signing at least two AI lease agreements by the end of this year. (The Block)

Morgan Stanley: Cloud Giants' Growth Rate Surges to 48%, DDOG and Others Face Test of High Expectations

According to TechFlow Research, Morgan Stanley's research report on August 6 pointed out that the combined growth rate of the three major cloud vendors in Q2 jumped from 39% to 48%, accelerating for five consecutive quarters. AWS grew 37% (fastest in 18 quarters), Azure increased 43%, and Google Cloud increased 82%. AWS's AI annualized revenue has exceeded $25 billion, with triple-digit growth. Azure's PostgreSQL revenue increased 55% (accelerating for three consecutive quarters), and Fabric paying customers exceeded 40,000, up 60%. Morgan Stanley believes AI consumption is driving core infrastructure demand, creating a positive backdrop for DDOG, SNOW, and MDB. However, expectations are also rising simultaneously. Market expectations for DDOG's Q2 growth rate are 35% to 36%, with valuation corresponding to approximately 69 times 2028 FCF; any signal below expectations could be amplified. Most of SNOW's consumption comes from AWS, and cloud acceleration is a positive signal for product revenue. MDB is unlikely to see an AI inflection point in the short term, but competitive pressure is increasing. Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating on all three companies, with target prices of $300, $300, and $380 respectively. Whether demand exists no longer needs verification; the question the market needs to ask is whether demand is good enough to support current valuations.

Tether Enters Saudi RWA Market, Hadron Platform Drives Tokenization of Institutional Real Estate Assets

Odaily News Stablecoin issuer Tether has announced that its asset tokenization platform Hadron will provide real estate asset tokenization technology for institutional investors in Saudi Arabia, bringing traditional real estate assets on-chain.Tether stated that it will collaborate with local Saudi partner First Data and fintech company BKN301 to provide institutional clients with infrastructure support for the issuance, management, and digitalization of real estate assets. In the future, this model could expand to other real-world asset (RWA) sectors such as energy and infrastructure financing.This move is Tether's latest initiative to expand from its stablecoin business into the real-world asset tokenization space. Tether launched the Hadron platform in 2024 to streamline the asset tokenization process, and is currently one of the world's largest issuers of tokenized gold assets, with its gold token XAUT reaching approximately $2.6 billion in size.In recent years, banks and asset management institutions have been exploring the tokenization of traditional assets such as money market funds, private credit, real estate, and equities on blockchain to improve settlement efficiency, broaden investor reach, and optimize capital utilization. Citigroup previously forecast that the tokenized securities market could reach $5.5 trillion by 2030.Saudi Arabia is actively exploring the application of blockchain technology in financial services, government, and supply chains as part of its economic diversification strategy under Vision 2030.Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino stated that with the digital transformation opportunities brought by Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia is an ideal market to demonstrate the value of the Hadron platform. (CoinDesk)

Bloomberg: SpaceX stock price has not yet been affected by approximately $100 billion-level stock unlock, steadily absorbing selling pressure

According to Bloomberg reports, SpaceX stock performed relatively steadily on Thursday following the expiration of the lock-up period (lock-up agreement) restricting insiders from selling shares, involving the unlocking of up to approximately 911.5 million shares valued at about $100 billion based on current valuation. Trading data shows SpaceX stock price fluctuated within a range of less than 3% during early trading, as the market digests the potential selling pressure brought by this large-scale share release. Trading volume in the first 30 minutes after the opening approached 93 million shares, accounting for about 40% of the total volume of the previous trading day. This unlocking occurred shortly after SpaceX announced its first earnings report. Previously, SpaceX stock price once fell about 14% due to investor concerns that the company's investment scale in artificial intelligence business was higher than expected. However, most Wall Street analysts still maintain a long-term optimistic view on the company. Market focus includes SpaceX's future investment plans in AI, satellite internet, and mobile communication businesses. Despite facing capital expenditure pressure in the short term, analysts believe the company's leading position in rocket launches, Starlink satellite network, and commercial space sectors remains an important factor supporting its long-term valuation. This stock unlocking of about $100 billion has also become an important event for the market to test investor confidence after SpaceX's listing. The lack of significant stock price fluctuations indicates that the market had certain expectations regarding the liquidity release from internal shareholders.

Strategy declares goal of "world's largest market cap": Building a new capital system with Bitcoin reserves, STRC, and MSTR

Strategy posted on X: "Our ambition is to become the world's largest company by market capitalization—holding the most capitalized Bitcoin (BTC), issuing the most powerful credit instrument (STRC), and creating the best equity asset (MSTR)."Strategy stated that its strategic core includes three major directions:Bitcoin reserves: Continuously accumulate BTC and treat Bitcoin as a long-term capital asset;Credit instruments: Expand capital sources through preferred stocks such as STRC and other financial tools;Equity value: Provide investors with Bitcoin exposure through MSTR stock and enhance shareholder value.Strategy is currently one of the public companies holding the largest amount of Bitcoin globally. In recent years, the company has raised funds through issuing stocks, convertible bonds, and preferred shares, using the proceeds to purchase BTC, forming a cycle of "capital market financing—accumulating Bitcoin—enhancing company value."Strategy founder Michael Saylor has long believed that Bitcoin is scarce capital in the digital age, and the company aims to position itself as a core platform connecting traditional capital markets with the Bitcoin economy by continuously expanding BTC reserves and innovating financial instruments.Market observers believe that Strategy's goal is not merely to become a Bitcoin-holding company, but to establish a new corporate capital structure with Bitcoin as the underlying asset.

SoftBank Releases Quarterly Report This Week, Market Focuses on Whether AI Strategy Can Surpass OpenAI Bet

According to Bloomberg, SoftBank Group will release its first-quarter earnings report in Tokyo this Thursday, with the market focusing on its latest progress in robotics, data centers, and energy sectors to assess whether the company's AI value surpasses its debt financing bet of up to $65 billion on OpenAI. Currently, there are expectations of delays to OpenAI's IPO timeline; if SoftBank can demonstrate substantial progress in the aforementioned emerging fields, it may effectively alleviate investors' concerns regarding its financing strategy.

Bloomberg: AI Investment Boom Widens VC Market Divide, Small and Medium-Sized Funds Face Survival Crisis

According to Bloomberg, the current venture capital market is undergoing significant structural differentiation. As capital concentrates on top artificial intelligence startups, a large number of small and medium-sized venture capital funds are facing severe challenges including fundraising difficulties, declining performance, and narrowing exit channels. The report pointed out that the excessive hype for artificial intelligence has distorted the venture capital market. Data shows that just five companies—OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Waymo, and Nscale—accounted for 78% of all venture capital transaction volume in the first quarter of this year. Capital has flowed heavily towards a few top investors who bet early on AI, such as Founders Fund and Andreessen Horowitz, while small emerging fund managers find it difficult to compete with these top institutions. This differentiation is directly reflected in fundraising data. Last year, newly established management companies (managing three or fewer funds) raised only about $62 billion, a significant decrease of about 60% compared to $163.4 billion during the 2022 pandemic peak. Even for experienced management teams, last year's fundraising amount was only $84 billion, only one-third of that in 2022. Many LPs face liquidity pressure and are more inclined to demand returns on existing investments rather than commit new capital.

SpaceX's First Financial Report Unveiled Tonight, Starlink, Starship, and AI Businesses Undergo Simultaneous Scrutiny

According to Jin10 Data, SpaceX will announce its first earnings report since listing after the US stock market close on Tuesday. Since listing on June 12, the company's stock price has fallen nearly 50% from its high, with market capitalization shrinking by over $500 billion. As of Monday's close, it was reported at $114.53, approximately 15% lower than the IPO issuance price. Market focus centers on three key areas: • Starlink: S&P Global expects Q2 revenue to reach $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink, which is currently SpaceX's only profitable business segment; • AI: SpaceX's AI business revenue was $818 million in the first three months of this year. It has reached compute supply cooperation agreements with Google, Anthropic, etc., and acquired coding startup Cursor (approximately $60 billion); • Starship: The 13th test flight was completed, but the booster experienced a hard landing. Analyst firm Bernstein believes Starship is one of the most critical factors supporting the high valuation. Additionally, after the lock-up period ends on Thursday, over 911 million shares (market value approximately $100 billion) will be unlocked for circulation. Coupled with short selling funds' paper profits reaching $8.3 billion, market selling pressure cannot be ignored.

SoftBank's Earnings Report Looms, Market Focuses on AI Investment Funding Sources and Debt Pressure

Odaily News: SoftBank will release its Q1 results for fiscal 2026 on Thursday, with the market focusing on how it will continue to fund OpenAI and AI infrastructure projects. In the fiscal year ending March 2026, SoftBank posted its highest net profit in history, but since early June this year, the company's share price has fallen by nearly half, and the cost of credit default swaps (CDS) has also climbed significantly. Additionally, SoftBank has pledged over $60 billion in investments to OpenAI and related projects, with approximately $30 billion in funding commitments due in the second half of 2026.Some analysts believe that if AI company valuations pull back, SoftBank will still face considerable pressure. Until enterprise customers truly demonstrate that AI can deliver productivity gains, SoftBank, Arm, and the memory chip sector may continue to face headwinds.

South Korean Stock Market Plunges, Raising Concerns Over Regulatory and Mechanism Issues

Bloomberg columnist Shuli Ren wrote on Tuesday that the South Korean stock market recently plummeted nearly 40% within 27 trading days at one point, triggering a market reassessment of its investment value. Although Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix still benefit from artificial intelligence chip demand and the KOSPI valuation remains at a low level, market focus has shifted from corporate fundamentals to trading mechanisms, regulatory capabilities, and policy credibility.

SK Hynix shareholder return plan may be announced as early as tonight

Odaily News The market expects SK Hynix to announce a more detailed shareholder return plan as early as the evening of August 4, Korea Standard Time, including measures such as dividends, share buybacks, and cancellations. Analysts believe the company's previous failure to disclose related plans may be linked to U.S. SEC information disclosure restrictions following its ADR listing on July 10, and the plan is expected to be officially announced after the approximately 25-day quiet period ends. Market participants stated that a clear shareholder return policy would help boost investor confidence and drive further valuation re-rating of the company. (The Korea Economic Daily)

QCP: US-Japan Joint Intervention in FX Market to Support Yen May Impact Crypto Asset Liquidity

According to QCP Group, the US Treasury, via the New York Fed, jointly purchased yen with the Japanese Ministry of Finance last Friday, marking the first US-Japan joint foreign exchange intervention action specifically to support the yen since 1998. Meanwhile, the US 30-year Treasury yield briefly rose to about 5.27%, hitting a new high since 2007, before falling back to 5.24%. QCP pointed out that the transmission path of this intervention to the crypto market mainly unfolds through yen carry trades—rapid yen appreciation may force investors holding yen funding positions to deleverage and buy back yen, subsequently affecting risk assets including BTC and ETH, reenacting the market volatility triggered by carry trade unwinding in August 2024. QCP reminded that current macro monitoring indicators should take the USD/JPY exchange rate, Japan funding costs, and US long-end Treasury yields into consideration; fiscal policy operations are increasingly becoming an important variable affecting the direction of global liquidity.

South Korean Stock Market Volatility Triggers "Reverse Capital Migration": Over 24 Trillion Korean Won Flows into Time Deposits at Five Major Banks

According to Korean media Daum, volatility in the South Korean stock market has recently intensified, investor risk appetite has clearly cooled, and funds are flowing back from the stock market to safe-haven assets such as banks. Due to adjustments in the semiconductor sector and stricter regulation on leveraged investment, idle funds in the South Korean stock market are withdrawing rapidly, and the market is exhibiting a phenomenon of "reverse capital migration". Data shows that as of the end of July, the time deposit balance at South Korea's five major banks (KB Kookmin, Shinhan, Hana, Woori, NH Nonghyup) reached 973.49 trillion won, an increase of 24.09 trillion won from the end of the previous month, marking the largest single-month increase this year. Funds related to the stock market also showed significant contraction. According to data from the Korea Financial Investment Association, investor securities account deposits (idle funds for stock trading) reached a historical high of 139.69 trillion won on June 4, but as of July 28, had fallen to 107.20 trillion won, a decrease of over 32 trillion won in less than two months. The balance of credit transaction financing, representing the scale of market margin trading, fell to 33.19 trillion won during the same period, a decrease of about 4.5 trillion won from the peak of 37.72 trillion won set on July 2, a decline of approximately 12%.

Polymarket probability of "GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch" drops to 6%, down 25% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch" has dropped to 6%, down 25% in the past 24 hours.This event will be settled on day 1 after the GRVT governance token goes live, based on whether its fully diluted valuation (FDV) is higher than the specified value in the title.If the FDV on day 1 after the GRVT token listing is higher than the specified value, the event settles as "Yes"; otherwise, it settles as "No".For the token listing, it must meet the conditions of being publicly transferable and tradeable. FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price."Day 1 after listing" is defined as 16:00 (ET) on the next calendar day after the listing date. The settlement price will reference the most liquid price source.Previously reported, Binance Futures has listed the GRVTUSDT perpetual contract with up to 10x leverage.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.

Goldman Sachs Tests Market for Microsoft-Linked Data Centers, Plans to Issue $5.4 Billion Debt

According to Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Group is gauging investor appetite for a potential $5.4 billion debt issuance plan, with the proceeds to be used to support the QTS data center project under Blackstone tied to Microsoft. The debt structure includes approximately $4.9 billion in secured bonds and approximately $500 million in term loans. Affected by recent sell-offs in AI-related debt, the issuance timing is still under discussion, and the plan remains uncertain.

BYD Responds to Market Concerns: Wang Chuanfu Personally Has Not Directly Invested in CXMT

According to National Business Daily, in response to market attention, BYD disclosed that all of the company's investments are direct investments by BYD Company Limited, without managing third-party funds or funds from any executives personally. Therefore, Wang Chuanfu personally did not directly invest in Changxin Technology. BYD Company Limited indirectly participated in Changxin Technology's Series A financing in December 2020 through an investment in Guangdong Efang Changda Venture Capital Partnership (Limited Partnership).

Grayscale: HYPE Still Undervalued, Forward P/E Ratio Approximately 15 to 18 Times

Grayscale stated HYPE's forward P/E ratio is approximately 15 to 18 times. Hyperliquid possesses real cash flow and can therefore be valued like a stock, but the valuation is based on earnings per token rather than earnings per share. Based on this, compared with fintech peers such as Coinbase, Robinhood, and Circle, HYPE still appears inexpensive. Market data shows that HYPE is currently trading at $55.32, down 1.5% in the past 24 hours.

TownSquare Sonar Public Sale Oversubscribed by 186%, Pre-Market Trading Demand Continues to Rise

According to official announcements, TownSquare's Sonar public sale with a $200 million valuation was completed at 9 PM Singapore time on Sunday night, ending with a 200% oversubscription. This represents the highest oversubscription performance for a Sonar public sale this year, excluding MegaETH. Due to the oversubscription, the public sale will be settled based on proportional rules and an order from small to large amounts.

Nomura: ChangXin Surges 471% on First-Day Opening, Target Price of 116 Yuan Implies 12x Upside

According to Chaoxiang Research, CXMT listed on the STAR Market on July 27, surging 471% at opening, with market capitalization briefly exceeding 3.3 trillion yuan. Nomura Securities released its initiation report on the same day, granting a Buy rating with a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a 20x P/E ratio based on 2028 EPS of 5.8 yuan, implying over 12x upside based on an issue price of 8.66 yuan. Nomura noted that AI is driving a structural surge in DRAM demand, with AI memory demand CAGR exceeding 60% from 2026 to 2030, while global supply growth rate is only 30% to 40%, and the supply-demand gap will continue to widen. As the world's fourth-largest DRAM manufacturer, CXMT currently holds a global share of about 10%, expected to rise to 18% by the end of 2028, approaching Micron's scale. Q1 2026 revenue was 50.8 billion yuan (YoY +719%), and net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 24.76 billion yuan (YoY +1688%), with quarterly profit already exceeding the full year 2025. Nomura believes CXMT should enjoy a "China premium," with the 20x PE valuation based on the midpoint between Micron's 10x historical average and the 1 to 3x valuation gap between Chinese and US semiconductor equipment stocks. Northeast Securities gave a valuation range of 3.2 to 5.7 trillion yuan on the same day, while Nomura's 7.76 trillion yuan is relatively optimistic; the core divergence lies in CXMT's long-term market share ceiling.

Coinbase Institutional Maintains Neutral Outlook on Crypto Market for Q3 2026

Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report, maintaining a neutral outlook on the cryptocurrency market for the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market capitalization of the crypto market (excluding stablecoins) declined by approximately 12%, while stablecoin supply reached an all-time high. On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, characterized by compressed valuations, near-multi-year lows in recent active supply, and the proportion of supply in profit breaking below historical statistical lower bounds—historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution zones. However, the macro liquidity environment remains tight, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance under Kevin Warsh's leadership, a strong U.S. dollar, coupled with geopolitical risks, selling pressure from digital asset treasuries, and net outflows from spot BTC and ETH ETFs in the first half of the year (though the pace of outflows has begun to slow), thus overall caution is advised.