News linked to both this project and an event.
According to Hyperliquid News, the Hyperliquid Policy Center has filed an amicus brief with the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, seeking to dismiss the lawsuit brought by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The lawsuit concerns the CFTC's prior approval of regulated cryptocurrency perpetual contracts through Kalshi in the United States. CME had previously challenged that regulatory decision in court, and the Hyperliquid Policy Center now supports the CFTC, arguing that the court should dismiss CME's lawsuit.
According to Decrypt, Ingham County Circuit Court Judge Rosemarie Aquilina has issued a preliminary injunction against prediction market platform Kalshi, ordering it to stop offering sports betting-related contracts to Michigan residents. The court determined that Kalshi's relevant operations are essentially "sports betting disguised as investment opportunities."
Odaily News Crypto enterprises, asset managers, market makers, and consumer advocacy groups have submitted comments to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in response to its request for input on the regulatory framework for "novel ETFs," covering exchange-traded products such as crypto assets, private assets, event contracts, and leveraged strategies.Crypto industry organization Crypto Council for Innovation (CCI) recommended extending certain regulatory accommodations applicable to ETFs to non-ETF exchange-traded products. Venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (A16z) stated that the SEC should assess products based on their underlying assets and risk profiles, rather than treating all novel ETFs as a single category.Grayscale opposed adding new portfolio restrictions for mature digital asset products, while Chainalysis suggested leveraging public blockchains to enable real-time monitoring and verifiable disclosures. Kalshi expressed support for including event contracts in registered funds, whereas consumer advocacy group Public Citizen opposed offering event contract ETFs to retail investors. The SEC will evaluate whether to adopt a unified regulatory framework or craft separate rules based on product structure and risk. (Decrypt)
Odaily News: Andy Ross, head of institutional business at Kalshi, said that Kalshi has submitted an application to regulators to launch perpetual contracts based on foreign exchange and interest rates. The application was submitted on Monday and had not appeared in the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) public filing system as of Tuesday afternoon. Previously, the CFTC approved Kalshi to list bitcoin perpetual contracts in May this year, followed by the launch of ETH and XRP perpetual contracts. Since then, Kalshi has continued to expand perpetual contracts beyond cryptocurrencies: it submitted applications for gold, silver, and platinum perpetual contracts in July, and on August 18, it submitted applications for U.S. large-cap stock index and copper perpetual contracts. Ross said Kalshi hopes to bring multiple asset classes such as stocks, commodities, cryptocurrencies, fixed income, and interest rates into a unified trading interface. Currently, the platform's market count has increased from approximately 4,000 to around 10,000, and activity has gradually spread from a few popular markets to a wider range of markets.
Odaily News: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) are advancing cryptocurrency regulatory rulemaking, having solicited public comments on the definitions of swaps, security-based swaps, and emerging products, as well as on the boundaries of regulatory jurisdiction.Former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo, former CFTC commissioners Brian Quintenz and Sharon Brown-Hruska, and former SEC commissioner Steven Wallman, among others, stated in a joint letter supported by Kalshi that similar risks should be subject to similar regulation, avoiding overlapping rules that increase compliance costs.Kalshi estimates that offshore perpetual contract trading volume will exceed $9 trillion in 2025, up from approximately $2.8 trillion two years ago. Chris Giancarlo said that if U.S. regulation is calibrated to actual risk rather than maximum burden, related liquidity could flow back to the United States.Last week, the SEC submitted proposed revisions to custody rules for investment advisers and investment companies to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) for review, aiming to clarify requirements for regulated investment institutions providing digital asset custody services. The SEC's "Reg Crypto" proposal has been published in the Federal Register, with public comments open until October 20. (Decrypt)
Odaily News: Fomo, a social crypto trading app built for Robinhood Chain and other networks, entered the top five finance apps in the U.S. on August 21, briefly climbing to No. 3 and surpassing Cash App and prediction market Kalshi. It currently ranks in the top 15.Founded by Paul Erlanger and Se Yong Park, Fomo launched its public beta in May 2025. In November 2025, it completed a $17 million Series A round led by Benchmark, with participation from 140 angel investors; this was followed by a $75 million Series B round, bringing total disclosed equity funding to approximately $94 million.Fomo supports Solana, Base, BNB Chain, Monad, and Robinhood Chain, allowing users to view real-time trades of people they follow, track leaderboards, and copy trading signals, with instant deposits funded via Apple Pay. Its cumulative installs on Google Play have surpassed 1 million, with over 600,000 users and more than $4 billion in trading volume. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News: Recent Bitcoin volatility has triggered a wave of leveraged long position liquidations. On August 22, hourly liquidations reached $529 million, with long positions accounting for $478 million; on August 23, an additional $84 million in crypto long positions were liquidated within one hour.Prediction market Kalshi launched the first spot Bitcoin perpetual futures contract approved by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on June 3, with liquidations reaching $5.5 billion in the first two weeks. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated that the product offers U.S. institutions regulated onshore perpetual contract trading.Benjamin Schiffrin, Director of Securities Policy at Better Markets, pointed out that perpetual futures are high-risk crypto products for retail investors, and the CFTC did not impose additional investor protections when approving them. Analysis account Qmo noted that there are significant Bitcoin long liquidation pools in the $62,000 to $67,000 range; trader Money Bunny disclosed that short liquidations reached $2.7 billion to $3.5 billion within 24 hours. (Forbes Digital Assets)
Odaily News: Cantor Fitzgerald has announced that it will open access to the prediction market platform Kalshi for institutional investors, providing event contract trading services to its approximately 3,000 institutional clients, including family offices and hedge funds.According to The Wall Street Journal, Cantor Fitzgerald will act as a broker arranging block trades for institutional clients, enabling them to participate in "yes/no" contract trading based on real-world event outcomes offered by Kalshi. The trading instruments cover multiple areas, including weather forecasts, commodity price trends, and corporate performance.This partnership marks the further entry of traditional financial institutions into the prediction market space. Kalshi is an event trading platform regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), where users can bet via contracts on whether specific events will occur, such as economic data releases, policy changes, weather conditions, and business events.In recent years, prediction markets have drawn attention from investors, with proponents arguing that they can reflect collective expectations through market prices and provide risk hedging tools for businesses and investment institutions. However, regulators and some market participants have also continued to scrutinize the boundary between these markets and gambling. (WSJ)
Odaily News According to reports, multiple prediction markets are converging on pricing for the Fed's September meeting outcome: approximately 74% probability of holding rates steady, about 25% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, and nearly 1% probability of a rate cut. Relevant Polymarket contracts have seen trading volume of $33.9 million; Kalshi, a prediction exchange regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), shows a 73.5% probability of holding rates steady, with related wagers nearing $10 million. Myriad, a prediction platform operated by Dastan, indicates approximately 71% probability for this option. The Fed's July meeting voted 9 to 3 to hold rates at 3.50% to 3.75%, with 3 committee members supporting a rate hike. The FOMC is scheduled to meet from September 15 to 16, with the statement planned for release on September 16; a survey shows nearly 70% of economists expect rates to remain unchanged for the remainder of 2026. (Decrypt)
Odaily News: A final ruling by a Washington State court in the United States requires the prediction market platform Kalshi to stop offering event contracts related to sports, elections, politics, entertainment, culture, technology, science, and "named person mentions" in the state, and prohibits the promotion of related products to consumers in the state. Kalshi must implement geoblocking via IP addresses and user place of residence by August 19, and upgrade to a multi-source geofencing system by September 2. Contracts related to commodities, climate, economics, and finance are not subject to this ban. Kalshi previously applied for a stay of the ban, but the request was denied by the Washington State Court of Appeals.
DoubleZero on the Solana platform integrates prediction market Kalshi's order book into its low-latency data feed system to meet institutional demand for Wall Street-style high-speed trading data.
Odaily News: Flight data company FlightAware has withdrawn its lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi. The lawsuit was filed only one day prior, with FlightAware alleging that Kalshi used its flight data and trademarks without authorization to support bets related to flight cancellations. This withdrawal does not affect the possibility of FlightAware refiling the lawsuit. The case comes amid growing scrutiny on social media over Kalshi's aviation-related contracts, with questions raised about potential incentives for malicious interference with flights, alongside relatively low retail participation. Neither company has publicly commented on the case. The lawsuit had raised questions about whether prediction markets can use third-party data and trademarks without a commercial agreement, while Kalshi continues to face other regulatory and legal challenges in multiple states. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News – River Markets, a startup building trading infrastructure for prediction markets, has announced the completion of an $8.5 million seed funding round, led by Haun Ventures with participation from Y Combinator, Coinbase Ventures, and Qube Research Technologies, among others. The new capital will primarily be used to expand the engineering team, enhance trading system speed and security, and grow institutional clientele, while also developing new tools to support large-scale capital management and cross-platform trading.In recent years, prediction markets have drawn attention from institutional investors. Data from industry platforms shows that institutional trading demand is growing rapidly. For example, prediction market platform Kalshi previously stated that its institutional trading volume increased by approximately 800% within six months. Meanwhile, market participants have begun using prediction markets for risk hedging, including building trading positions around real-world economic variables such as carbon emission allowances and GPU rental prices. (Fortune)
According to Reuters, Kalshi will integrate the Nasdaq market surveillance platform in phases to strengthen real-time monitoring of trading on the platform. The integration aims to enhance the ability to identify market abuse, manipulation, and insider trading, and support submitting trading data in the format required by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Odaily News: Prediction market platform Kalshi has announced the launch of an AI-powered tool called Blanket, designed to help small businesses hedge operational risks such as weather, energy prices, tariffs, and elections using event contracts.Blanket was developed by independent fintech entrepreneur Lauris Zminsky and operates on Kalshi's CFTC-regulated prediction market, though it is not an internal Kalshi product. The tool does not directly execute trades or handle funds; instead, it uses AI to analyze risks faced by businesses and recommends Kalshi event contracts that can be used for hedging.Kalshi stated that small businesses are becoming a key growth area, with an increasing number of companies using event contracts to manage uncertainty from abnormal weather, sports events, transportation costs, and tariff fluctuations. However, Blanket has also sparked debate over the positioning of prediction markets. Supporters argue that prediction markets are democratizing risk management tools previously available only to large financial institutions, while critics worry that they may further promote the "gamification" and speculative nature of financial products.Kalshi has already obtained regulatory approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and emphasized that its platform differs from casinos, offering stronger user protection mechanisms and greater transparency. (Fortune)
: U.S. Federal District Judge Robert J. Shelby ruled that the Commodity Exchange Act does not prevent Utah from applying its anti-gambling laws to Kalshi's sports event contracts, granting Utah's motion for summary judgment and denying Kalshi's motion for a preliminary injunction. Shelby stated that the jurisdictional provisions of the Commodity Exchange Act are subject to multiple reasonable interpretations, and in such cases, courts generally do not support federal law preemption. He also rejected Kalshi's argument that amendments under the Dodd-Frank Act established federal preemption for derivatives trading. Kalshi spokesperson Jacki McGavick said the company disagrees with the ruling and will appeal to the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals. Currently, Utah users can still use sports event contracts, and the state has not yet initiated enforcement action. The New York Attorney General has already cited the ruling as supplementary grounds in opposing the CFTC's motion for a preliminary injunction against New York state. Earlier, New York sued Kalshi last week, alleging that it operates as an unlicensed gambling operator.
1confirmation founder Nick Tomaino posted data revealing that over the past month, Polymarket's website traffic reached 43.1 million visits (according to Similarweb data), surpassing the combined total of FanDuel, DraftKings, and Kalshi, and has become one of the most visited fintech applications globally. Nick Tomaino believes that the core reason for Polymarket's growth is not marketing investment, but rather its value primarily as a "source of information," where users hope to better understand the real world through prediction markets. Polymarket currently dominates the on-chain prediction market sector; the transparency and global accessibility brought by the on-chain architecture are key to achieving the long-term goal of "better information and more truth." However, Polymarket's U.S. application is still in the early stages, but the product and business model are gradually maturing and beginning to enter an accelerated execution phase.
Odaily News: Former U.S. Representative George Santos has reached a settlement with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). According to the July 31 order, Santos must disgorge $17,569.98, pay a $17,500 civil monetary penalty, and is prohibited from trading on any CFTC-regulated entity for three years. The CFTC found that Santos made misleading public statements and material omissions while trading event contracts on the prediction market platform Kalshi related to whether he would attend President Donald Trump's State of the Union address. Santos neither admitted nor denied the findings or conclusions in the order. Trading records show that Santos opened an account on February 11 and traded only that contract, first purchasing Yes contracts and profiting $3,448.43, then continuing to publicly state he would attend after flights and trains were canceled, while purchasing No contracts. That position ultimately earned $14,390.57. Kalshi stated that it had detected the related activity, frozen the account, and provided evidence to the CFTC.
Odaily News: Former US Congressman George Santos has reached a settlement with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The CFTC stated that Santos engaged in manipulative trading behavior while trading a prediction contract on Kalshi regarding whether he would attend the State of the Union address in February 2026, profiting over $17,500 from the trades.According to the CFTC's Friday announcement, Santos is required to pay $35,000 as part of the settlement, but neither admitted nor denied the regulator's findings.The CFTC stated that in the two weeks leading up to the State of the Union address, Santos repeatedly made public comments about whether he would attend the event, causing significant fluctuations in the price of the event contract. For example, while holding a "Yes" position indicating he would attend, he posted on X asking what he should wear to the State of the Union. Within hours, the price of the Yes position rose, after which Santos closed his position for a profit.The CFTC also alleged that Santos subsequently continued to post updates about his travel to Washington, D.C., including flights and train rides, and profited by trading back and forth based on market reactions to his public statements. The CFTC stated that Santos's conduct was intentional, or at least reckless. He traded in an event contract whose underlying outcome he could influence, and affected the contract price through misleading public statements or omissions of information, thereby profiting from his trading positions.Santos's attorney, Joseph W. Murray, stated in Friday's announcement that the State of the Union contract was Santos's first foray into prediction market betting.
According to The Block, the JPMorgan analyst team (led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) released a report on July 30 stating that the probability of the "Clarity Act" (Crypto Market Structure Act) passing in the US Senate within the year has dropped to a historic low. The Kalshi prediction market shows a passing probability of only 37%, while Polymarket is even lower at 26%. Analysts pointed out that disagreements on core issues such as ethical provisions, enforcement standards, stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, and illicit finance remain unresolved. Voting is expected to be difficult to complete before the Senate summer recess, and may be postponed until after senators return in mid-September.