Analysts: Bitcoin Market Momentum Strengthens, Key Cost-Basis Indicator Signals Bull Market
Analyst Darkfost states that the cost basis for Bitcoin's short-term holders (STH) has confirmed crossing above that of active long-term holders (LTH), sending a bull market confirmation signal historically observed for the fifth time. Active long-term holders refer to coin supplies transferred at least once over the past seven years, a definition designed to exclude long-dormant balances. Currently, over 3.5 million bitcoins held for more than ten years remain dormant, with this supply segment growing by an average of approximately 8,000 to 30,000 coins per month. Darkfost believes current market momentum is shifting positively, partially driven by capital inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), although the possibility of this signal failing remains.