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Morgan Stanley: Blades and Impellers Become New Bottleneck for AI Power Supply, SpaceX Builds Own Foundry to Break Through Compute Scale Ceiling
According to Chaoxiang Research, Morgan Stanley's August 16 research report pointed out that the AI data center computing power competition is shifting from chips to power, with gas turbine blades and impellers becoming the new bottleneck. Globally, only three foundries can produce large gas turbine hot-end blades and impellers, and orders are already booked through 2030. SpaceX built a new foundry in Bastrop, Texas, meeting the demand for both data center turbines and Starship Raptor engine turbopumps through vertical integration. SpaceX has secured about 3 to 4GW of gas turbine supply, with publicly disclosed commitments totaling nearly 8GW. Musk proposed a 10GW computing power target by the end of 2027; Morgan Stanley currently models only 5GW, with the gap lying in power supply timing. The report estimates that each GW of computing power represents an annual revenue opportunity of about $50 billion. Morgan Stanley maintains an overweight rating and $300 target price for SpaceX, with an SOTP breakdown of $18 for Space business, $118 for Connectivity, $8 for X and Grok, and $165 for Enterprise AI. The current stock price is about $141, with the market pricing Enterprise AI at only about $13, approximately 1x 2028 EV/Revenue. Morgan Stanley believes the pullback following the lock-up expiration provides an entry window; if SpaceX can prove it will push computing power to 5GW or even higher by the end of 2027, the Enterprise AI business
Polymarket probability of "SpaceX Starship to conduct 13th test flight on July 24" rises to 77%, up 16% in 24 hours
Monitoring from the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "SpaceX Starship's 13th test flight on July 24" has risen to 77%, up 16% in 24 hours; the probability for a test flight on July 25 has risen to 83%, up 35% in 24 hours.SpaceX previously announced that the 13th test flight of the Starship was postponed to July 24 due to weather conditions, but it remains uncertain whether weather issues still persist. SpaceX made its first attempt at the Starship's 13th test flight on July 17, but the automatic launch abort sequence was triggered as some Raptor engines failed to start as expected, resulting in the failure of the initial attempt. It is reported that SpaceX is currently "going all-in" on Starship and has already begun declining commercial Falcon rocket launch orders for periods after 2028.Join the PPP Signal Push Community, get ahead, seize the opportunity.
SpaceX's 13th Starship test flight has been delayed to July 24
Odaily Planet Daily reported that SpaceX originally planned to conduct the 13th test flight of Starship on July 23, but due to weather conditions, it announced on the X platform that the flight would be postponed to July 24.Previously, SpaceX made its first attempt at the 13th Starship test flight on July 17. However, as some Raptor engines failed to start as expected, the automatic launch abort procedure was triggered, resulting in the failure of the first attempt.