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Polymarket's "Post-Hoc Clarification" Sparks Controversy: A Student's $35,000 Prediction Voided, $3.8 Million in Positions Wiped Out

Odaily News The prediction market platform Polymarket issued a "resolution clarification" that overturned a market result that had already appeared to be settled. This led to a 20-year-old student's $35,000 bet being declared invalid, while a total of approximately $3.8 million in positions across 1,838 accounts on the platform were liquidated.This clarification clause was written into the platform's rulebook, allowing for retroactive interpretative corrections to market settlement results, thereby altering the final payout. The incident has sparked strong dissatisfaction among traders, who argue that this "post-hoc ruling" mechanism undermines the certainty of market rules, and has ignited widespread controversy within the Polymarket and Kalshi communities.According to user disclosures, the incident originates from a case made public on June 13, where a market result that had ostensibly been settled was later reversed due to a change in rule interpretation.Industry analysts believe that this type of mechanism introduces "settlement clarification risk" into prediction markets, which is a type of tail risk event that cannot be hedged. If such operations occur frequently, they could drive high-risk liquidity away from the current platform towards trading venues regulated by the CFTC or those with formal arbitration mechanisms.Furthermore, this event is seen as one in a recent series of controversies, including settlement disputes surrounding the UMA oracle and Strategy's Bitcoin-related markets, which continue to test market participants' trust in the "finality" of prediction markets. (Cryptobriefing)

Bitget launches SpaceX stock spot trading, with zero fees on the first day and support for fractional share trading

according to the official announcement, SpaceX (SPCX) was listed on NASDAQ today, and Bitget has simultaneously opened its US stock spot token rSPCX trading channel. From now until 12:00 PM EST on June 13, trading rSPCX enjoys a 0 fee promotion, supports fractional share trading, with a minimum of 10 USDT required. Additionally, users can participate in leveraged trading through Bitget stock contracts.It is reported that rTokens, identified by the letter r followed by the stock symbol (e.g., rNVDA for NVIDIA), are issued by Reality, a licensed RWA protocol under Bitget. Through a partnership with the compliant broker Alpaca, they directly connect to global liquidity pools such as NASDAQ and the NYSE. Their features include: 1:1 reserve of underlying assets held by a licensed custodian, 1:1 distribution of stock dividends in token form, synchronous mapping of corporate actions like stock splits and reverse splits, and the ability for holdings to serve as joint margin for unified accounts and USDT-margined contracts, allowing users to flexibly manage funds while holding global stock assets.

11 national law enforcement agencies shut down AudiA6 crypto money laundering network

law enforcement agencies from 11 countries have jointly shut down the money laundering network AudiA6, which processed over 336 million euros in illicit funds between 2022 and 2025. On June 10, law enforcement arrested two administrators of Russian and Ukrainian nationality in Georgia, seized 25 domain names, over 30 servers, and 80 vehicles, and froze approximately 778,000 euros in cryptocurrency. Operating as a "mixer-as-a-service," AudiA6 provided services to cybercriminals involved in ransomware attacks, helping them cash out crypto assets and conceal the flow of funds, charging commissions of 3% to 10% and claiming to complete the "cleaning" process within about an hour.Since 2021, the AudiA6 wallet has received approximately 10,333 BTC, valued at around $389 million at the time of the transactions. The investigation also revealed that the money laundering network used thousands of fake accounts created with stolen or purchased identities, involving over 6,000 KYC records; many of these accounts were linked to Russian-speaking intermediaries and were used to transfer criminal proceeds through cryptocurrency exchanges. The clearnet and darknet domains of AudiA6 and Dark2Web have been replaced with seizure banners. (Cointelegraph)

Polymarket now offers a prediction range for the opening price of SpaceX on its first day of listing

Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event for the opening price range of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq.SpaceX is scheduled to officially list on Nasdaq on June 12 (U.S. time). According to its compliance filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in early June, the official IPO price has been set at $135 per share, corresponding to a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion. Although the offering price has been determined, institutional oversubscription orders are reportedly exceeding $10 billion, fueling market expectations for a premium from the "first-day pop." However, given the high valuation multiple of 90 times price-to-sales and intense competition in the rocket launch market, the first-day opening premium may be relatively moderate. Under the event's settlement rules, the market will strictly settle based on the official opening price of SpaceX on its first trading day on the primary exchange. If the final opening price falls exactly at the boundary between two ranges, the higher range will be used for settlement.Odaily Seer remains focused on prediction markets. See the change before the price is set.

Bitcoin Treasury Company Nakamoto Sells Approximately 600 BTC to Repay Debt

the Bitcoin treasury company Nakamoto officially announced that it generated approximately $48 million in net proceeds by selling about 600 BTC and related derivative positions, thereby repaying approximately $45 million in outstanding debt to Kraken. This move is expected to reduce annual financing costs by approximately $4 million.Following the transaction, the company signed a new loan term sheet with Kraken for the remaining 165 million USDT, with a principal of 105 million USDT deferred to June 30, 2027, and an annual interest rate that can be reduced to 7.75% upon meeting the Bitwise custodied wallet collateral threshold. Additionally, the company’s board of directors has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $25 million. Currently, the company still holds approximately 4,467 BTC on its balance sheet. Furthermore, according to a notice from Nasdaq, the company has regained compliance with listing requirements.

Securitize merger enters voting stage, Benchmark sets target price at $16

Odaily Benchmark maintains a Buy rating for Securitize, a tokenized infrastructure company, with a price target of $16, based on the company's projected revenue of $178 million for 2027. The SEC has approved the registration statement for the merger of Securitize and Cantor Equity Partners II. Shareholders will vote on June 29. If the merger goes through smoothly, the combined entity will be listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SECZ.The report states that Securitize has a differentiated advantage through its compliance license framework spanning the U.S. and Europe, including being registered in the U.S. as a broker-dealer, an alternative trading system, a transfer agent, and a fund service provider, while holding trading and settlement licenses under the EU's DLT Pilot Regime. Securitize currently manages approximately $3.4 billion in tokenized assets, and its specific market segment has already exceeded $30 billion. (The Block)

New York Financial Regulators Propose New Stablecoin Regulations Aligned with Federal GENIUS Act

According to The Block, the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) formally proposed stablecoin regulatory rules—“Authorized Payment Stablecoin Issuers”—on June 10 local time. Building upon the 2022 guidance framework (which includes core requirements such as 1:1 U.S. dollar backing, redeemability, and independent audits), the new rules introduce several additional provisions: reserve assets must be held in a diversified custodial arrangement, with a cap on concentration at any single custodian; issuers with issuance volumes exceeding $25 billion must hold an additional minimum of 0.5% of reserves (capped at $500 million) at FDIC-insured depository institutions; redemptions must be completed within two business days; and rehypothecation of reserve assets and payment of interest on reserves are prohibited. The rules explicitly align with the “substantially similar” certification standard under the federal GENIUS Act, aiming to preserve New York State’s regulatory authority over issuers with issuance volumes below $10 billion. A 10-day pre-comment period has now opened, followed by a formal 60-day public comment period. The final rules will take effect concurrently with the GENIUS Act, and currently licensed issuers will be granted a one-year compliance transition period.

Humanity Says It Is Formulating a Victim Recovery Plan

Humanity released a post-mortem report on the H token security incident that occurred between June 8 and 9, stating that the incident was not caused by a smart contract vulnerability, but rather by a malware intrusion into a developer's device, which led to the leakage of private keys. Humanity stated that the attacker still holds the ProxyAdmin permissions for the ETH bridge and the BNB Chain token. Preliminary investigations confirmed that a colleague's device was infected with malware, which the attacker used to obtain the hot wallet private key of the administrator and the private keys for signing on 6 Gnosis Safe wallets. The team has hired an external security agency to conduct a forensic investigation and stated that they are formulating a recovery plan for affected users.

U.S. House Ways and Means Committee Introduces Six Cryptocurrency Tax Bills; Hearing Held Today

According to reporter Eleanor Terrett, the U.S. House Committee on Ways and Means held a hearing on cryptocurrency taxation at 2 p.m. local time on June 9, unveiling six standalone bills and one discussion draft ahead of the hearing. The six bills address cryptocurrency donations, taxation of mining and staking, reporting requirements, tax treatment parity, voluntary disclosure, and the application of existing anti-abuse tax rules to digital assets; the discussion draft targets offshore cryptocurrency tax avoidance. The Committee stated that these proposals aim to bring clarity, fairness, and operational feasibility to digital assets while safeguarding the United States’ position as the world’s leading hub for cryptocurrency. Witnesses at the hearing included representatives from Fidelity, Coinbase, Coin Center, and the NYU Tax Law Center.

Humanity releases incident update: affecting both Ethereum and BSC blockchains; stolen amount confirmed to exceed $36 million

Humanity released an incident update stating that its H token was subject to a coordinated attack on Ethereum and BSC on the evening of June 8, resulting in approximately $36 million worth of tokens stolen and dumped across both chains. The project disclosed that the attack originated from a compromised employee laptop, which led to the leakage of multiple owner keys for the Gnosis Safe controlling the Hyperlane bridge ProxyAdmin. On Ethereum, the attacker seized ownership of the ProxyAdmin and upgraded the contract to a malicious implementation, transferring approximately 141.2 million H tokens in a single transaction. On BSC, after similarly gaining control of the ProxyAdmin, the attacker deployed a malicious implementation with infinite minting capabilities, minting 200 million H tokens in two transactions and continuously dumping them. Humanity has suspended deposits and withdrawals on the affected cross-chain bridge and is cooperating with exchanges and law enforcement to investigate the incident and seek partial recovery of the stolen funds.

SBI Shinsei Bank to Pilot Program Allowing Deposit Interest to Be Exchanged for BTC, ETH, or XRP

Japan's SBI Shinsei Bank will launch a pilot program on June 10, allowing customers to convert a portion of their deposit interest into BTC, ETH, or XRP. The initiative uses "interest exchange" as an entry point to introduce crypto assets into traditional deposit products, enabling users to gain cryptocurrency exposure without direct purchase. Future expansion will depend on customer participation and the regulatory environment. (The Block)

Backpack Securities Officially Launched: Trade U.S. Stocks and Crypto Assets in One Account

Backpack has officially launched its securities business, allowing users to trade real U.S. stocks and ETFs, as well as cryptocurrency, perpetual contracts, and yield-generating products, all within a single account. According to the company, the service operates under the legal framework of New York State, granting users true ownership of securities and supporting features such as cash dividends and inter-transfer between brokerage accounts.In terms of trading, the platform supports 24/5 trading hours with instant order execution and direct access to public market liquidity. Additionally, Backpack announced that it will implement a zero-fee policy in June to enhance trading efficiency and user experience.

White House Holds Meeting with Law Enforcement Agencies on CLARITY Act, Focusing on Illicit Financial Risks and Developer Protection

According to CoinDesk, White House officials met with law enforcement agencies on June 9 regarding the CLARITY Act, focusing discussions on two key issues: mitigating risks associated with illicit financial activities and safeguarding developers’ rights. These negotiations took place just before the Senate’s formal vote.

Trump plans to push for government equity in AI companies, key negotiations may begin this week

U.S. President Donald Trump is pushing for a new policy direction: allowing the federal government to hold shares in artificial intelligence companies, thereby directly participating in the revenue growth brought by this industry. Trump stated that he will hold meetings with tech companies "very soon," possibly as early as this week, to explore cooperation methods between the government and AI enterprises.This approach aligns with his "deal-oriented" style and is not driven by traditional populist motives. On June 6, 2026, Trump said he "should be a stockbroker" and referenced the government's recent equity investment in Intel.Currently, the U.S. government already holds stakes in some companies in areas such as chip manufacturing, mining, and quantum computing. Such equity holdings are typically granted as a condition for providing federal funding, which originally did not require equity stakes.As the AI industry rapidly develops, some companies are estimated to reach valuations potentially in the trillions of dollars. Axios noted that enterprises such as OpenAI and Anthropic may reach this scale in the future.

Arthur Hayes: Rising Oil Prices, AI-Related IPOs, and Trump's Anti-AI Rhetoric Could Pop the AI Bubble and Drag Down the Crypto Market

Odaily News, June 9th — BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest article "Reality Test" that if oil prices continue to rise due to the US-Iran conflict, it could trigger a collapse of the AI stock bubble and drag the entire crypto market down.Hayes said that if traffic restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz persist deep into the second quarter, spot prices for hydrocarbons and other key commodities could rise in the third quarter. If oil prices continue to climb and inflationary pressures impact the US midterm elections, Trump might pivot to a tough stance targeting data center construction, AI regulation, and taxation. Hayes believes the market could anticipate Trump limiting AI capital expenditure and taxing AI companies, thereby triggering the burst of the AI stock bubble.Hayes also noted that since November 2022, the scale of AI-related debt issuance has been approximately $1.5 trillion, and US M2 has increased by roughly the same amount during the same period. He believes the three factors that could pop the AI bubble include rising energy costs, the market's inability to absorb three major AI-related IPOs — namely SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI — and Trump's shift to opposing AI. In terms of portfolio, Hayes stated that Maelstrom's stock portfolio holds significant positions in US-listed energy producers; he has sold AI-related stocks and offloaded non-core crypto assets, having dumped HYPE, NEAR, and WLD last week, as well as selling ZEC due to the Orchard Pool vulnerability. He still holds Bitcoin and ETH and will execute tactical short trades via derivatives.

Analysis: On-chain data sends bearish signals, Bitcoin rebound faces sustained selling pressure

Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio

Hong Kong police launch "Gobi and Wind Shield" operations to crack down on illegal gambling during the World Cup and trace virtual asset bets

: The World Cup will kick off on June 11, and the Hong Kong police have launched the Gobi and Wind Shield operations, targeting illegal offshore gambling through publicity, education, intelligence, and law enforcement. The police noted that in recent years, illegal gambling has become increasingly digitalized, including online betting, solicitation of gamblers via social media, and settlement of bets with virtual currencies. The police stated that they still have the capability to trace participants.According to the law, placing bets with offshore bookmakers carries a maximum penalty of 9 months in prison and a fine of HK$50,000. Accepting bets carries a maximum penalty of 7 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. Money laundering carries a maximum penalty of 14 years in prison and a fine of HK$5 million. The police also shared the case of a young man who was addicted to offshore gambling, at one point owing as much as HK$160,000. A police clinical psychologist warned that those who start gambling before the age of 18 have an over 80% risk of developing gambling disorder later in life. (Sing Tao Daily)

South Korean police launch first investigation into Polymarket users for suspected illegal gambling

According to The Korea Business, South Korean police are investigating domestic users of Polymarket—the world’s largest prediction market platform—for alleged violations of Article 246 of the Criminal Act (gambling offenses), which carries a maximum fine of KRW 10 million. This investigation—led by the Gangwon Provincial Police Agency upon delegation from the National Police Agency—is the first criminal probe targeting Polymarket users in South Korea, covering users nationwide. It is reported that South Korean users placed bets on the platform using USD-pegged stablecoins, with no restrictions imposed by the platform; for instance, the June 3 local elections alone attracted hundreds of billions of won in betting volume.

Coinbase Partners with Better to Launch Crypto-Backed Mortgages, Allowing BTC and USDC for Down Payments This Summer

According to Cointelegraph, Coinbase and Better Home & Finance announced they will launch a cryptocurrency-backed mortgage program in summer 2026, enabling qualified borrowers to use bitcoin (BTC) or USDC as collateral to fund down payments on mortgages backed by Fannie Mae. This initiative follows the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) directive in June 2025 instructing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to include crypto assets in mortgage risk assessments—without requiring conversion into fiat currency. Other lenders, including Newrez, have already begun adopting similar measures. However, some U.S. senators have expressed concerns that cryptocurrency price volatility could threaten housing market stability. Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis has introduced the “21st Century Mortgage Act,” aiming to codify this policy into law.

Grayscale: Strategy’s Bitcoin Sales Amplify Market Volatility, Future Accumulation Capacity May Be Limited

Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Research, stated that the market experienced a new wave of volatility following Strategy's disclosure on June 1st of selling 32 Bitcoin. Although the sale is negligible compared to its holdings of approximately 840,000 Bitcoin (worth about $55 billion), this rare reduction move still impacted market sentiment.Pandl pointed out that the more noteworthy development is the performance of Strategy’s Variable Rate Preferred Stock STRC (Stretch). The product has a design target price of around $100 and currently offers a dividend yield of 11.5%. When the stock price falls below $100, it indicates that investors are demanding a higher rate of return, which may force the company to increase dividend levels. This would increase future cash flow pressure and potentially compel it to sell more Bitcoin for fundraising, further weighing on BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged Bitcoin reserve model is facing challenges. At current STRC and MSTR share price levels, the company's ability to continue large-scale Bitcoin accumulation may be constrained.However, Pandl noted that in the long term, the migration of Bitcoin holdings from highly leveraged digital asset reserve companies to more diversified corporate balance sheets will help enhance market resilience and improve Bitcoin's long-term value support. He expects Bitcoin to resume its upward trend in the coming months, but its near-term performance may lag behind crypto asset sectors that benefit more directly from regulatory clarity.