News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News Crypto analyst Ai stated on the X platform that multiple technical indicators on Bitcoin's monthly chart are flashing bullish signals, suggesting that the market may have formed a macro bottom. Data shows that the TD Sequential indicator triggered a buy signal on Bitcoin's monthly chart last month. This indicator previously succeeded in identifying the 2022 bear market bottom, and a similar signal has now emerged again.Additionally, Bitcoin's current price is near the 50-month simple moving average (SMA). Historical data shows that since 2014, this long-term moving average has repeatedly served as a key support zone for Bitcoin and has corresponded with multiple market bottoms. Meanwhile, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen back to around -71. The last time this indicator reached a similar level was in June this year, when Bitcoin's price briefly dropped toward $57,000. Historically, extreme CMO lows often coincide with market bottom zones.Analysts believe that Bitcoin may continue to consolidate within the $60,000 to $67,000 range in the short term, but the TD Sequential buy signal, support from the 50-month moving average, and the oversold CMO condition collectively suggest that a long-term cyclical bottom may have already formed. The market will be watching whether the price can break out of the consolidation range to confirm a new round of upward trend.
Odaily News: Bitcoin's volatility has recently neared zero, but market risks have not been resolved. Data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs have not seen any outflows in the first week of August, with cumulative net inflows of approximately $754 million. However, Bitcoin's price remains around $64,700, while the options market is heavily focused on downside protection near $62,000 and $63,000.Market signals are showing divergence: on one hand, demand for spot ETFs has picked up again; on the other hand, derivatives traders are positioning in advance for a potential pullback, especially ahead of the latest U.S. employment data release.However, looking at the overall positioning structure, the market still leans bullish. Bitcoin call options account for approximately 60.7% of total open interest, indicating that investors' long-term expectations remain positive, with recent trading more concentrated on short-term risk hedging. Meanwhile, the cost of volatility protection remains low. Deribit's DVOL index, which reflects Bitcoin's expected volatility over the next 30 days, is currently around 35—a significant drop from the high of 90 earlier this year—suggesting that the market sees limited potential for major swings in the short term.That said, U.S. macroeconomic data could break this balance. The market expects U.S. non-farm payrolls for July to increase by approximately 97,500, up from 57,000 in June, with the unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.2%. If the employment data comes in stronger than expected, it could push U.S. Treasury yields higher and reinforce expectations of Fed rate hikes; if the data is weak, it could push yields down, but also heighten concerns about slowing economic growth.Currently, the Bitcoin market presents a pattern of "ETF inflows underpinning spot prices while the options market hedges against downside." Potential risks remain a concern in a low-volatility environment. With low market participation and insufficient liquidity, even small changes in supply or demand could trigger sharp swings in asset prices. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News Crypto KOL Phyrex posted on X stating that the trading direction of U.S. retail investors has recently shown a significant shift. Data shows that last week, retail investors recorded net selling of stocks for four consecutive trading days, marking the longest continuous selling streak this year, with tech stocks experiencing the largest selling pressure, totaling approximately $7 billion in net outflows for the week. Two of the three historically largest single-day retail sell-offs of tech stocks occurred last week. The selling was mainly concentrated in the semiconductor and memory chip sectors, which had previously been the focus of retail capital inflows during May and June.Meanwhile, the asset size of U.S. tech-focused leveraged ETFs has decreased by approximately $50 billion from the June high, while leveraged ETFs in South Korea and Taiwan have fallen by more than half from their peaks. The SOXL, a 3x leveraged long semiconductor ETF, has dropped about 67% from its high, and trading volume for South Korea's Hynix 2x ETF has declined by over 90% from its peak.
Odaily Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a whale sold 429,000 UNI on-chain 6 hours ago, exchanging them for 929.3 ETH, worth $1.75 million, and realizing a profit of $320,000. The whale had previously purchased 629,000 UNI at an average price of $3.34 between June and July, spending $2.1 million. Recently, UNI rebounded from a low of $2.4 to $4.4, and the whale took profits today by selling 429,000 UNI at an average price of $4.09.
CryptoQuant stated that as crypto asset prices remain under pressure, large holders are increasing their positions in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, indicating they may be preparing for the next market cycle.The firm believes this behavior suggests the current bear market may have entered its final phase. However, CryptoQuant also emphasized that the market has not yet confirmed a bottom, and prices could still decline further.CryptoQuant Research Head Julio Moreno stated that the largest holder groups of BTC, ETH, and XRP are increasing their supply holdings as prices approach or fall below their realized prices. This shift in positioning helps reduce downward pressure and aligns with characteristics typical of the late stage of a cyclical downturn.Data shows that, excluding exchanges and mining pools, Bitcoin whale balances have rebounded from a low of approximately 2.87 million BTC in December 2025 to roughly 3.06 million BTC. This data also excludes holdings by ETFs or digital asset treasury companies.CryptoQuant noted that Bitcoin whale holdings have maintained a positive 30-day growth for most of 2026, and accumulation intensified when Bitcoin fell below $60,000 in June. However, current whale balances remain below the 2025 bull market peak of approximately 3.23 million BTC, suggesting there is still room for continued accumulation.
Western Union has partnered with stablecoin infrastructure provider Rain to launch Stablecard, a digital wallet and Visa-branded card that enables users to hold and spend US dollar-pegged stablecoins. The product is now available in 37 markets, with Western Union planning to expand to more than 60 markets by the end of this year. Stablecard supports USDPT, a US dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by Anchorage Digital Bank and running on the Solana blockchain. Users can directly receive Western Union remittances and transfer funds to compatible crypto wallets and exchanges. Users can also spend their balances at all Visa-accepting merchants, as well as through Apple Pay and Google Pay. Western Union also unveiled USDPT in May and expanded its ecosystem through exchange partnerships in June.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on the X platform that the current Bitcoin (BTC) supply profit ratio is approximately 52%, meaning nearly half of Bitcoin holdings are still at a loss, and the market is approaching a key turning point in the bear market cycle.The analysis points out that historically, during each bear market, the Bitcoin profitable supply ratio eventually falls below 50%, entering a stage where "loss-making positions are in the majority." This typically signals further release of market pressure and serves as an important indicator of the late bear market phase.Data shows that in June and July of this year, the Bitcoin profitable supply ratio briefly fell below 50%, but overall it remained near the critical level. Analysts believe this indicates that the current bear market cycle has entered a deeper stage.The analysis states that regardless of where the final market bottom price lies, the Bitcoin market may currently be entering the final phase of the bear market.However, the profitable supply ratio only reflects the on-chain cost structure of holdings and cannot alone determine the market bottom. Further observation combining indicators such as capital flows, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment is still required.
According to on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain, whale address 0x2684 purchased another 3,960 ETH 3 hours ago, worth approximately $7.4 million. Since June 30, this address has cumulatively purchased 79,216 ETH, with a total value of approximately $140.77 million and an average buy price of $1,777; meanwhile, it has cumulatively purchased 1,400 WBTC, with a total value of approximately $89.44 million and an average buy price of $63,887.
Odaily News, According to blockchain detective Specter's monitoring, it has identified a cluster of wallets holding 28,600 BTC, valued at approximately $1.8 billion, suspected to be related to wallets previously attributed to the Zhimin Qian money laundering case. A few weeks ago, a Bitcoin wallet that had been dormant since 2017 transferred 1,020 BTC, valued at approximately $60 million, and began distributing funds to multiple addresses in a manner consistent with money laundering patterns. After tracing these transactions, Specter discovered that the related wallet cluster connects to addresses publicly associated with the UK's investigation into Zhimin Qian. Between 2014 and 2017, Zhimin Qian organized large-scale investment fraud in China, with over 128,000 victims. UK authorities later traced substantial criminal proceeds flowing into Bitcoin, and the Met Police ultimately seized 60,000 BTC, marking the largest cryptocurrency seizure in UK history at the time. In July 2021, UK authorities transferred the seized BTC, creating identifiable on-chain links. Following the recent transfer of 1,020 BTC, Specter identified additional wallets that collectively hold 28,600 BTC, valued at approximately $1.8 billion, and these wallets have remained largely dormant since June 2021. Based on on-chain evidence, it remains unclear whether these wallets are still controlled by the same actor, other custodians, or have already been identified by law enforcement.
According to Jin10 Data, SpaceX will announce its first earnings report since listing after the US stock market close on Tuesday. Since listing on June 12, the company's stock price has fallen nearly 50% from its high, with market capitalization shrinking by over $500 billion. As of Monday's close, it was reported at $114.53, approximately 15% lower than the IPO issuance price. Market focus centers on three key areas: • Starlink: S&P Global expects Q2 revenue to reach $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink, which is currently SpaceX's only profitable business segment; • AI: SpaceX's AI business revenue was $818 million in the first three months of this year. It has reached compute supply cooperation agreements with Google, Anthropic, etc., and acquired coding startup Cursor (approximately $60 billion); • Starship: The 13th test flight was completed, but the booster experienced a hard landing. Analyst firm Bernstein believes Starship is one of the most critical factors supporting the high valuation. Additionally, after the lock-up period ends on Thursday, over 911 million shares (market value approximately $100 billion) will be unlocked for circulation. Coupled with short selling funds' paper profits reaching $8.3 billion, market selling pressure cannot be ignored.
Odaily News: On-chain analyst Yuyue posted on X platform that MicroStrategy has sold Bitcoin for three consecutive months between the end and the beginning of each month: 32 BTC sold from May 26 to May 31; 3,588 BTC sold from June 29 to July 5; 1,638 BTC sold from April 27 to August 2.
Odaily News: Analyst “AntiFragile” stated on Platform X that Bitcoin’s (BTC) order book currently shows strong buyer support, with a significant number of patient buy orders concentrated in the range 2%-20% below the current price.AntiFragile noted that these buy orders began appearing as early as early June, representing passive buying demand positioned in advance. If BTC’s price pulls back into these zones, these orders are expected to act as a buffer, reducing market volatility. The current order book structure indicates that some investors are waiting for lower entry prices rather than buying into the uptrend. These long-standing orders may serve as potential support in the event of short-term market corrections.
Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a whale withdrew 20,000 HYPE from Coinbase an hour ago, worth $1.03 million. Since June 11, this whale has withdrawn a total of 240,000 HYPE from exchanges, worth $15.88 million, with an average withdrawal price of $66.17, and is currently facing a floating loss of $3.53 million.
Odaily News: Domestic stablecoin funds in South Korea continue to flow to overseas exchanges. Data from the Financial Supervisory Service shows that in June 2026, the volume of stablecoins transferred from South Korea's top five crypto exchanges to overseas exchanges reached 2.7625 trillion KRW, while inflows amounted to 2.2022 trillion KRW, resulting in a net outflow of approximately 560.3 billion KRW (around $367 million).Data indicates that from January 2025 to June 2026, net outflows of stablecoins to overseas exchanges have exceeded inflows for 18 consecutive months. In the second quarter of this year, South Korea's net stablecoin outflow reached 1.6872 trillion KRW, while during the same period, net selling of overseas stock investments totaled 1.6185 trillion KRW. Analysts believe that stablecoins flowing overseas are primarily used for cryptocurrency derivatives unavailable on domestic exchanges, spot and futures products related to Korean stocks, as well as services such as RWA and DeFi.A South Korean lawmaker stated that capital outflows and high-leverage trading overseas have increased risks for investors, and the government needs to strengthen related regulations and protective measures. (Yonhap)
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, multiple institutions have unstaked and sold HYPE, causing the token to drop from $72 to $52 over the past month, a decline of 28%. A whale holds 1.38 million HYPE in long positions, valued at $72.15 million, with a current liquidation price of $47.6, approximately 9% away from HYPE's current price. This position has been held for 8 months without being closed. It saw an unrealized loss of $26 million at the end of January, reached a peak unrealized gain of $47.46 million in June, and currently remains up $18.8 million. The position is nearing the liquidation price because the whale previously withdrew a significant portion of the unrealized profit as margin.
Odaily News, according to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale has bought another 7,919.5 ETH today, valued at $14.89 million. Since June 30, this whale has purchased 74,265 ETH at an average price of $1,771, worth $132 million, and 1,050 WBTC at an average price of $64,277, worth $67.49 million.
According to Korean media Daum, volatility in the South Korean stock market has recently intensified, investor risk appetite has clearly cooled, and funds are flowing back from the stock market to safe-haven assets such as banks. Due to adjustments in the semiconductor sector and stricter regulation on leveraged investment, idle funds in the South Korean stock market are withdrawing rapidly, and the market is exhibiting a phenomenon of "reverse capital migration". Data shows that as of the end of July, the time deposit balance at South Korea's five major banks (KB Kookmin, Shinhan, Hana, Woori, NH Nonghyup) reached 973.49 trillion won, an increase of 24.09 trillion won from the end of the previous month, marking the largest single-month increase this year. Funds related to the stock market also showed significant contraction. According to data from the Korea Financial Investment Association, investor securities account deposits (idle funds for stock trading) reached a historical high of 139.69 trillion won on June 4, but as of July 28, had fallen to 107.20 trillion won, a decrease of over 32 trillion won in less than two months. The balance of credit transaction financing, representing the scale of market margin trading, fell to 33.19 trillion won during the same period, a decrease of about 4.5 trillion won from the peak of 37.72 trillion won set on July 2, a decline of approximately 12%.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, Hyperliquid trader YGNH94 (0xe8Fe...0941) redeemed 100,300 staked HYPE 5 hours ago and subsequently deposited them to OKX, valued at $5.57 million. He had previously withdrawn 60,100 HYPE from OKX on June 27 at $63.36 each; selling this portion now would result in a loss of $471,000.
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X, stating that bonds have once again failed to hedge against stock declines. Since SPY retreated from its June highs, AGG, TLT, and LQD have all fallen. Although the time window is relatively short, it somewhat resembles the situation in 2022. He noted that many people have long relied on the 40% bond portion of the 40/60 portfolio to hedge against the 60% equity portion, which is also the reason behind the significant inflows into money market mutual funds and buffer ETFs.He further stated that this is not to say bonds will never hedge against stocks in the end, but their recent track record is less than ideal. The Fed's long-term rate cuts once pushed both bonds and stocks higher simultaneously. In 2022, when rates were unexpectedly hiked, both fell in tandem. Recently, rising crude oil prices have fueled inflation concerns, leading to a similar scenario once again.
The Situational Awareness fund, managed by "AI Stock God" Leopold Aschenbrenner, accumulated a gain of 439% before June 2026. However, it suffered severe setbacks during the AI sector sell-off in July. The fund is currently communicating with existing investors and lenders to seek new capital and is offering some LPs the opportunity to purchase assets from its portfolio.Sources say this capital discussion appears more like an ad-hoc response than an organized new fundraising round. The fund had previously used leverage through prime brokers at several major investment banks to amplify its AI trading exposure, turning market drawdowns further into funding pressure.In a letter to investors on July 24, Aschenbrenner acknowledged that the fund failed to avoid this market shock, noting that Asian markets were particularly affected. However, he believes this sell-off could present the best buying opportunity since early 2025. He plans to open a window for new capital on August 1st and views Anthropic's potential IPO as a catalyst for the second half of the year.According to disclosures, some holdings saw significant declines in July. Oracle and AMD fell approximately 20% for the month, while Nebius, Saronic AI, Bloom Energy, Sandisk, and others saw even larger drops. The Nasdaq 100 index fell about 10% in July, and South Korea's Kospi index dropped by roughly one-third.Currently, lacking specific data on the fund's exact drawdown magnitude, it is difficult to determine whether this fundraising is a passive capital injection driven by leverage pressure or an active move to increase positions for an opportunity. However, market trends suggest it is closer to the former. If forced selling occurs, the deleveraging process could also create discount opportunities in assets whose fundamentals haven't materially changed.