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"Unease and anticipation are just two sides of the same coin": SK Hynix stock pulls back but remains favored by institutions, market focuses on HBM4 technology moat
Odaily News: SK Hynix's stock price has recently seen a pullback. On August 3, the stock fell 8.79%. Although it rebounded slightly by 0.64% and 5.77% on August 4 and 5 respectively, it plunged another 10.37% on August 6, closing at 1.495 million KRW; on August 7, it dropped a further 4.88%, closing at 1.422 million KRW.Against the backdrop of heightened market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting founder Choi Jong-gun’s famous saying: "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; you can turn despair into hope as easily as flipping your palm," and adapted it to: "Unease and anticipation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; you can turn unease into anticipation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry.Securities institutions believe that short-term stock price fluctuations have not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership and the earnings stability brought by long-term supply agreements (LTAs). Specifically:1. Hyundai Motor Securities expects SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively in the third quarter. As HBM4 sales contributions expand, even with a higher proportion of LTAs, DRAM average selling prices (ASP) are still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic are advancing plans to build their own hyperscale AI data centers and intend to raise funds for related construction through IPOs. Even if some large tech companies adjust capital expenditures (Capex) in the future, this could be offset by demand from other AI infrastructure. Additionally, regarding competitive concerns over China's CXMT, given the U.S. continued tightening of semiconductor equipment export restrictions, as well as Micron's expansion of domestic U.S. investment, the likelihood of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.2. SK Securities is also bullish on SK Hynix's competitive advantages, believing that with its leading position in HBM, partnerships with major North American GPU companies, and AI-driven LTA demand, SK Hynix's market position remains solid. Currently, the HBM supply-demand fulfillment rate is below 70%, and the core value of LTAs lies in ensuring profit sustainability and earnings stability through a "mutual binding structure" between customers and suppliers. With value-reassessment initiatives such as an ADR listing progressing, along with dividend income from the sale of SPC assets related to Kioxia, the company's goal of achieving net cash of 100 trillion KRW may be reached earlier than expected. As shareholder return policies gradually become clearer, this will help the market re-evaluate the value of the LTA model and drive a further re-rating of SK Hynix. (Daum)
UBS: SK Hynix 1.66x P/B Ratio Implies ROE Less Than 20%, Actually Can Earn 40%
According to TechFlow Research, UBS pointed out in its research report on July 29 that SK Hynix's stock price has fallen 52% from its high on June 22, with a current price-to-book ratio of only 1.66x, implying a long-term ROE of 18.9%. However, UBS predicts the average ROE from 2027 to 2031 will reach 40.2%, a difference of 21 percentage points between the two. DRAM bit demand growth is expected to increase from 22% in 2026 to 36% in 2027, HBM capacity will increase from 230,000 wafers/month at the end of 2026 to 270,000 wafers/month at the end of 2027, and SK Hynix will maintain a 48% shipment share in the HBM industry in 2026. UBS believes the market valuation downward revision lacks basis, AI agents are driving accelerated memory demand, 10 long-term agreements have been signed, and although LTAs suppress ASP in the short term, they benefit profit margins in the long term. UBS maintains a Buy rating, lowering the target price from 3.2 million Korean won to 3 million Korean won, expects to launch a share buyback of about 12 trillion Korean won in the second half of 2026, and will use 50% of free cash flow for shareholder returns in the long term.
Serenity: Small Wafer Allocation Could Support Hundreds of Millions in Gross Profit; CPO Volume Expansion May Further Unlock Growth Potential
"White Hair Stock God" Serenity published an analysis stating that if Sivers obtains approximately 10% of wafer capacity allocation from foundry Win Semi through an asset-light model, under the assumptions of 65% yield and an ASP of $50 to $75, the annual revenue from its optical array products could reach $341 million to $512 million. Based on management’s gross margin target of 50% to 60%+, the corresponding annual gross profit would be approximately $205 million to $307 million.At Sivers' current market cap of around $1.1 billion, the market cap-to-gross profit multiple in this scenario would be only about 3.6x to 5.4x. If the capacity allocation increases to 15%, annual gross profit could rise to between $307 million and $461 million, correspondingly reducing the valuation multiple to 2.4x to 3.6x.Serenity pointed out that Sivers' CEO has previously confirmed the company is cooperating with more wafer fabs to expand capacity, and since 2024, the scope of its supply chain certifications has been continuously expanding. With the accelerated development of the co-packaged optics (CPO) market, future revenue guidance and capacity plans may be further revised upward.On the demand side, supply of continuous wave (CW) lasers remains tight. Lumentum’s financial report indicates the company has begun purchasing CW lasers from the open market to fulfill EML orders. TrendForce data shows that AMD is securing related capacity through long-term agreements. Serenity believes that as Sivers enters mass production with partners such as GlobalFoundries, Jabil, Ayar Labs, POET, and O-Net, any newly added and certified independent capacity could be quickly absorbed by the market.Additionally, a recent report from Morgan Stanley has listed Sivers, with a market cap of approximately $1.1 billion, as one of the three core players in the CPO laser field, alongside Coherent and Lumentum, which each have market caps exceeding $55 billion. Serenity believes that beyond its existing business, Sivers—having listed on Nasdaq—may also expand its TAM through future M&A, replicating the growth path of Lumentum's acquisition of Cloud Light to enter the complete optical module and optical engine market.
SK Hynix Stock Still Favored by Institutions After Volatility: HBM4 and Long-Term Supply Agreements Support AI-Era Growth
According to Korean media NATE, driven by the AI investment boom, SK Hynix's stock price has recently experienced severe volatility. Against the backdrop of intensifying market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting the famous words of founder Choi Jong-geon (최종건): "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; despair can be turned into hope like flipping a hand," and rewrote it as "Anxiety and expectation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; anxiety can be turned into expectation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry. Securities firms believe that short-term stock price volatility has not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership advantage and the performance stability brought by Long-Term Agreements (LTA). Hyundai Motor Securities analyst Noh Geun-chang (노근창) stated that SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth rates for the third quarter are expected to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively; with the expansion of HBM4 sales contribution, even if the proportion of Long-Term Agreements increases, DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) is still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Regarding competition concerns brought by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Noh Geun-chang believes that considering the US continues to strengthen semiconductor equipment export restrictions and Micron is expanding domestic investment in the US, the possibility of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.
Citrini Raises DRAM Price Forecast: Q3 Average Price May Rise 21% QoQ, Higher Than TrendForce Forecast
Citrini analyst Jukan stated in a post that, according to the latest channel research, the global DRAM market average selling price (ASP) for the third quarter is expected to rise 21% quarter-over-quarter. This expectation is higher than TrendForce's previous forecast of a 13% to 18% increase in traditional DRAM prices and an overall increase of 8% to 13% including HBM.
Analysts lower SK Hynix Q2 earnings expectations but anticipate sustained long-term profit growth
Odaily Odaily News: Citrini analyst jukan posted on X platform that KIS Semicon analyst Minsook Chae expects SK Hynix's operating profit for the second quarter of 2026 to be 60.4 trillion Korean won, up 61% quarter-on-quarter and 556% year-on-year, which is 8% lower than the market consensus of 65 trillion Korean won.The analyst stated that the lowered expectations are mainly due to SK Hynix's higher proportion of HBM sales compared to peers, lower-than-expected price increases for general DRAM, and the stabilization of ASP (Average Selling Price) driven by Long-Term Supply Agreements (LTAs). The forecast for the quarter-on-quarter growth rate of the comprehensive DRAM ASP in Q2 2026 has been lowered to 28.9%, down from the previous 50.0%; the growth rate for commodity DRAM ASP has been reduced to 34.2%, down from the previous 60.6%. With the mass production of HBM4 officially commencing in the third quarter of 2026, the comprehensive ASP growth rate is expected to return to an average market level of approximately 10% quarter-on-quarter.However, the analyst believes this adjustment does not signal a downturn for the industry. The recent revision is a more realistic reflection of the 3 to 5-year LTA structure and is expected to lead to more stable long-term profit growth. The year-on-year operating profit growth rates for the fiscal years 2026 through 2028 are projected to be 419%, 53%, and 19%, respectively.
OKX.AI Launches Inaugural Trading Hackathon with $20,000 Total Prize Pool
Odaily News — According to official sources, OKX.AI has announced that registration for its inaugural trading hackathon is now open. Following the previous Genesis hackathon for Agent Service Providers (ASP), this hackathon focuses on AI Agent live trading capabilities. Participants are required to deploy their trading strategies as Trading ASPs and conduct live trading with no less than 300 USDT in equivalent funds. Rankings will be updated in real time based on yield (PnL %). The total prize pool is $20,000, with the champion receiving a $5,000 reward.It is reported that OKX.AI is an economic system built specifically for Agents, where users and Agents can discover and utilize professional services provided by ASPs. This event supports two development frameworks: Onchain OS and Agent Trade Kit. Registration runs from July 31 to August 11 at 12:00 (UTC+8), and the competition will take place from August 11 to August 25.
OKX Star: Will Donate No Less Than 1 BTC to the First "One-Person Company" Achieving an Annual Income of $1 Million on OKX.AI
: OKX founder and CEO Star stated in a post on X that the first "one-person company" (OPC) to achieve an annual revenue of $1 million on OKX.AI will receive a personal donation of no less than 1 BTC. Star noted that every major technological revolution gives rise to a new generation of entrepreneurs and believes that the AI era will create millions of "one-person companies."It is reported that the OKX.AI Genesis Hackathon has been launched, allowing developers to build Agent Service Providers (ASP) on the OKX.AI platform. The event features a total prize pool of $100,000, aimed at encouraging AI Agent projects with real demand scenarios and practical use value, driving the implementation of the Agent economy.
OKX Officially Launches OKX.AI Genesis Hackathon
: According to official sources, OKX has announced the official launch of the OKX.AI Genesis Hackathon, recruiting the first batch of Agent Service Providers (ASP) from global AI developers. The total prize pool for this hackathon is $100,000, with the highest single prize being 10,000 USDT. From now until 8:00 on July 18 (UTC+8), participants can submit their projects through the OKX.AI official website and post introduction threads on the X platform.It is reported that OKX.AI is an economic system specifically designed for Agents, where users and Agents can discover and utilize professional services provided by ASPs.
"Unease and anticipation are just two sides of the same coin": SK Hynix stock pulls back but remains favored by institutions, market focuses on HBM4 technology moat
Odaily News: SK Hynix's stock price has recently seen a pullback. On August 3, the stock fell 8.79%. Although it rebounded slightly by 0.64% and 5.77% on August 4 and 5 respectively, it plunged another 10.37% on August 6, closing at 1.495 million KRW; on August 7, it dropped a further 4.88%, closing at 1.422 million KRW.Against the backdrop of heightened market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting founder Choi Jong-gun’s famous saying: "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; you can turn despair into hope as easily as flipping your palm," and adapted it to: "Unease and anticipation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; you can turn unease into anticipation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry.Securities institutions believe that short-term stock price fluctuations have not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership and the earnings stability brought by long-term supply agreements (LTAs). Specifically:1. Hyundai Motor Securities expects SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively in the third quarter. As HBM4 sales contributions expand, even with a higher proportion of LTAs, DRAM average selling prices (ASP) are still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic are advancing plans to build their own hyperscale AI data centers and intend to raise funds for related construction through IPOs. Even if some large tech companies adjust capital expenditures (Capex) in the future, this could be offset by demand from other AI infrastructure. Additionally, regarding competitive concerns over China's CXMT, given the U.S. continued tightening of semiconductor equipment export restrictions, as well as Micron's expansion of domestic U.S. investment, the likelihood of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.2. SK Securities is also bullish on SK Hynix's competitive advantages, believing that with its leading position in HBM, partnerships with major North American GPU companies, and AI-driven LTA demand, SK Hynix's market position remains solid. Currently, the HBM supply-demand fulfillment rate is below 70%, and the core value of LTAs lies in ensuring profit sustainability and earnings stability through a "mutual binding structure" between customers and suppliers. With value-reassessment initiatives such as an ADR listing progressing, along with dividend income from the sale of SPC assets related to Kioxia, the company's goal of achieving net cash of 100 trillion KRW may be reached earlier than expected. As shareholder return policies gradually become clearer, this will help the market re-evaluate the value of the LTA model and drive a further re-rating of SK Hynix. (Daum)
SK Hynix Stock Still Favored by Institutions After Volatility: HBM4 and Long-Term Supply Agreements Support AI-Era Growth
According to Korean media NATE, driven by the AI investment boom, SK Hynix's stock price has recently experienced severe volatility. Against the backdrop of intensifying market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting the famous words of founder Choi Jong-geon (최종건): "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; despair can be turned into hope like flipping a hand," and rewrote it as "Anxiety and expectation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; anxiety can be turned into expectation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry. Securities firms believe that short-term stock price volatility has not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership advantage and the performance stability brought by Long-Term Agreements (LTA). Hyundai Motor Securities analyst Noh Geun-chang (노근창) stated that SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth rates for the third quarter are expected to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively; with the expansion of HBM4 sales contribution, even if the proportion of Long-Term Agreements increases, DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) is still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Regarding competition concerns brought by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Noh Geun-chang believes that considering the US continues to strengthen semiconductor equipment export restrictions and Micron is expanding domestic investment in the US, the possibility of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.
OKX.AI Launches Inaugural Trading Hackathon with $20,000 Total Prize Pool
Odaily News — According to official sources, OKX.AI has announced that registration for its inaugural trading hackathon is now open. Following the previous Genesis hackathon for Agent Service Providers (ASP), this hackathon focuses on AI Agent live trading capabilities. Participants are required to deploy their trading strategies as Trading ASPs and conduct live trading with no less than 300 USDT in equivalent funds. Rankings will be updated in real time based on yield (PnL %). The total prize pool is $20,000, with the champion receiving a $5,000 reward.It is reported that OKX.AI is an economic system built specifically for Agents, where users and Agents can discover and utilize professional services provided by ASPs. This event supports two development frameworks: Onchain OS and Agent Trade Kit. Registration runs from July 31 to August 11 at 12:00 (UTC+8), and the competition will take place from August 11 to August 25.
OKX Officially Launches OKX.AI Genesis Hackathon
: According to official sources, OKX has announced the official launch of the OKX.AI Genesis Hackathon, recruiting the first batch of Agent Service Providers (ASP) from global AI developers. The total prize pool for this hackathon is $100,000, with the highest single prize being 10,000 USDT. From now until 8:00 on July 18 (UTC+8), participants can submit their projects through the OKX.AI official website and post introduction threads on the X platform.It is reported that OKX.AI is an economic system specifically designed for Agents, where users and Agents can discover and utilize professional services provided by ASPs.
Related news
UBS: Micron HBM Tighter Than Expected, NAND Short-Term Noise Does Not Alter Long-Term Buy Thesis
According to TechFlow Research, UBS noted in its August 10 research report that Micron's Q3 NAND contract price increase fell from an expected 28% to around 20%, but DRAM is tighter than expected. HBM4 and HBM4E pricing continues to exceed expectations; NVIDIA downgraded the HBM specifications for VR300 due to supply constraints, yet total HBM consumption in 2027 instead increased from 58.7 billion Gb to 61.5 billion Gb, and the HBM blended average price year-over-year increase was raised from 67% to 79%. Micron's 2027 HBM revenue is expected to reach $26.35 billion, with ASP rising from $20.03 per Gb to $28.48. UBS maintains a Buy rating with a target price of $1,625; the current stock price of $877 implies approximately 85% upside potential. DRAM supply tightness will last at least until Q2 2028; NAND short-term pricing pace slows but enterprise SSD demand offsets consumer-end weakness. YMTC is shifting some incremental capacity to DRAM rather than NAND, which will extend the NAND pricing cycle. UBS believes Micron's profitability is a structural reset, with cumulative free cash flow by 2028 expected to exceed $450 billion.
"Unease and anticipation are just two sides of the same coin": SK Hynix stock pulls back but remains favored by institutions, market focuses on HBM4 technology moat
Odaily News: SK Hynix's stock price has recently seen a pullback. On August 3, the stock fell 8.79%. Although it rebounded slightly by 0.64% and 5.77% on August 4 and 5 respectively, it plunged another 10.37% on August 6, closing at 1.495 million KRW; on August 7, it dropped a further 4.88%, closing at 1.422 million KRW.Against the backdrop of heightened market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting founder Choi Jong-gun’s famous saying: "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; you can turn despair into hope as easily as flipping your palm," and adapted it to: "Unease and anticipation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; you can turn unease into anticipation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry.Securities institutions believe that short-term stock price fluctuations have not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership and the earnings stability brought by long-term supply agreements (LTAs). Specifically:1. Hyundai Motor Securities expects SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively in the third quarter. As HBM4 sales contributions expand, even with a higher proportion of LTAs, DRAM average selling prices (ASP) are still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic are advancing plans to build their own hyperscale AI data centers and intend to raise funds for related construction through IPOs. Even if some large tech companies adjust capital expenditures (Capex) in the future, this could be offset by demand from other AI infrastructure. Additionally, regarding competitive concerns over China's CXMT, given the U.S. continued tightening of semiconductor equipment export restrictions, as well as Micron's expansion of domestic U.S. investment, the likelihood of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.2. SK Securities is also bullish on SK Hynix's competitive advantages, believing that with its leading position in HBM, partnerships with major North American GPU companies, and AI-driven LTA demand, SK Hynix's market position remains solid. Currently, the HBM supply-demand fulfillment rate is below 70%, and the core value of LTAs lies in ensuring profit sustainability and earnings stability through a "mutual binding structure" between customers and suppliers. With value-reassessment initiatives such as an ADR listing progressing, along with dividend income from the sale of SPC assets related to Kioxia, the company's goal of achieving net cash of 100 trillion KRW may be reached earlier than expected. As shareholder return policies gradually become clearer, this will help the market re-evaluate the value of the LTA model and drive a further re-rating of SK Hynix. (Daum)
SK Hynix Stock Still Favored by Institutions After Volatility: HBM4 and Long-Term Supply Agreements Support AI-Era Growth
According to Korean media NATE, driven by the AI investment boom, SK Hynix's stock price has recently experienced severe volatility. Against the backdrop of intensifying market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting the famous words of founder Choi Jong-geon (최종건): "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; despair can be turned into hope like flipping a hand," and rewrote it as "Anxiety and expectation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; anxiety can be turned into expectation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry. Securities firms believe that short-term stock price volatility has not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership advantage and the performance stability brought by Long-Term Agreements (LTA). Hyundai Motor Securities analyst Noh Geun-chang (노근창) stated that SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth rates for the third quarter are expected to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively; with the expansion of HBM4 sales contribution, even if the proportion of Long-Term Agreements increases, DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) is still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Regarding competition concerns brought by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Noh Geun-chang believes that considering the US continues to strengthen semiconductor equipment export restrictions and Micron is expanding domestic investment in the US, the possibility of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.
OKX.AI Launches Inaugural Trading Hackathon with $20,000 Total Prize Pool
Odaily News — According to official sources, OKX.AI has announced that registration for its inaugural trading hackathon is now open. Following the previous Genesis hackathon for Agent Service Providers (ASP), this hackathon focuses on AI Agent live trading capabilities. Participants are required to deploy their trading strategies as Trading ASPs and conduct live trading with no less than 300 USDT in equivalent funds. Rankings will be updated in real time based on yield (PnL %). The total prize pool is $20,000, with the champion receiving a $5,000 reward.It is reported that OKX.AI is an economic system built specifically for Agents, where users and Agents can discover and utilize professional services provided by ASPs. This event supports two development frameworks: Onchain OS and Agent Trade Kit. Registration runs from July 31 to August 11 at 12:00 (UTC+8), and the competition will take place from August 11 to August 25.
UBS: SK Hynix 1.66x P/B Ratio Implies ROE Less Than 20%, Actually Can Earn 40%
According to TechFlow Research, UBS pointed out in its research report on July 29 that SK Hynix's stock price has fallen 52% from its high on June 22, with a current price-to-book ratio of only 1.66x, implying a long-term ROE of 18.9%. However, UBS predicts the average ROE from 2027 to 2031 will reach 40.2%, a difference of 21 percentage points between the two. DRAM bit demand growth is expected to increase from 22% in 2026 to 36% in 2027, HBM capacity will increase from 230,000 wafers/month at the end of 2026 to 270,000 wafers/month at the end of 2027, and SK Hynix will maintain a 48% shipment share in the HBM industry in 2026. UBS believes the market valuation downward revision lacks basis, AI agents are driving accelerated memory demand, 10 long-term agreements have been signed, and although LTAs suppress ASP in the short term, they benefit profit margins in the long term. UBS maintains a Buy rating, lowering the target price from 3.2 million Korean won to 3 million Korean won, expects to launch a share buyback of about 12 trillion Korean won in the second half of 2026, and will use 50% of free cash flow for shareholder returns in the long term.
DRAM Price Forecast Revised Upward: Average Selling Price Expected to Rise 21% QoQ in Q3, Exceeding TrendForce's Projections
Odaily According to the latest industry research, the global DRAM market's average selling price (ASP) for the third quarter is expected to rise 21% quarter-over-quarter. This forecast surpasses TrendForce's earlier predictions of a 13% to 18% increase for conventional DRAM and an 8% to 13% rise overall, including HBM.Analysts attribute the Q3 DRAM price increase to several factors: server DRAM prices are expected to rise 20% to 30% QoQ; demand for high-speed LPDDR5 remains strong; the DDR5 and DDR4 spot markets are heating up, with prices further increasing month-over-month in July; HBM4 orders are increasing; long-term agreement (LTA) coverage is below 50%, leading more spot and non-LTA orders to drive price increases; and urgent procurement by some OEMs is pushing DRAM and NAND price increases beyond 20%.The market had previously worried that memory chip manufacturers' Q3 performance might fall short of expectations. However, the latest contract price checks show that DRAM price momentum is stronger than market consensus. At the same time, recent positive guidance from TSMC and ASML has further reinforced market expectations of an upward trend in the storage industry's cyclical prosperity. (Barrons)