Bitcoin Implied Volatility Drops to Two-Month Low, Coldcard Hack Fails to Trigger Market Panic

According to CoinDesk, the 30-day implied volatility index BVIV, which measures expected volatility in the Bitcoin options market, has continued to decline, now falling to 36%, the lowest level since May 31, significantly down from the high near 60% in early June. Recent influencing factors include the Coldcard wallet attack incident involving tens of millions of dollars, weak institutional demand, and uncertainty in the regulatory and macroeconomic environment, but there are no obvious signs of panic in the market. However, volatility has mean-reverting characteristics. When the indicator falls to historical lows, a rebound often follows. Currently, BVIV has approached levels that have previously formed support multiple times. If volatility rebounds quickly in the future, it may be accompanied by a significant directional move in Bitcoin; whether up or down, traders need to remain vigilant.