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BIT: Fed Expected to Hold Rates Steady, U.S. Stocks May Trend Higher Amid Volatility in September

According to an analysis by BIT official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN), US stocks historically tend to enter a consolidation phase in September, particularly ahead of midterm elections. Despite market concerns over a potential Federal Reserve rate hike next week, BIT anticipates that the Fed is more likely to keep interest rates unchanged, helping markets downplay the impact of short-term monetary policy and political uncertainties. The S&P 500 Index currently trades slightly above its 30-day moving average, and the overall uptrend remains intact, with trend-following funds continuing to maintain long exposure. Absent any major risk events, US stocks are still expected to trend higher amid fluctuations. While tensions surrounding Iran and oil price risks continue to unsettle markets, US equities as a whole display strong resilience.

BIT: Positive News Supports Bitcoin's July Seasonal Trend

BIT released a daily report stating that Bitcoin performed steadily in early July, continuing its historically relatively strong seasonal performance. US President Trump's statements, such as "the US is taking over cryptocurrency," boosted market sentiment, and investors' attention also turned to the CLARITY Act, which needs to make progress before the Senate enters summer recess on August 7.

Analysis: Pre-IPO Hype Spills Over into Prediction Markets, Pre-IPO Trading Becomes a New Trend

as anticipation builds for several potential major IPOs, "prediction market trading" centered around high-profile pre-IPO companies is rapidly heating up, with users betting on pre-IPO performance through prediction contracts.Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have become primary channels, allowing users to engage in "yes/no" contract trading on key metrics such as valuation ranges and listing timelines. Prices are quoted in cents, settling at $1 if the outcome is correct.Given that ordinary investors cannot directly participate in equity investments in popular private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI before their IPOs, prediction markets are converting related expectations into tradeable, event-driven assets.Analysts believe that as the window for potential "mega IPOs" approaches, prediction markets are leveraging public sentiment and capital attention to turn IPO narratives into short-term volatility opportunities on both on-chain and compliant trading platforms, further expanding their influence in financial speculation and information pricing. (The Information)