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Cantor Fitzgerald: Bitcoin Bear Market May Be Nearing the End, Expected to Bottom Out Around October

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street bank Cantor Fitzgerald issued a research report indicating that the crypto market is entering the final phase of the current bear cycle. As of June 10, Bitcoin has declined approximately 51% from its 2025 peak, with 252 days having passed since the peak. Synthesizing the past three market cycles, BTC bottoms on average 384 days after the peak; based on this, the low point of this cycle is projected to appear around the end of October. Analysts also noted that the model is not a precise timing tool, and macro, regulatory, and geopolitical risks remain. Regarding network value assessment, Cantor believes Hyperliquid is the prime example of fee-driven token economics, Bitcoin remains the benchmark monetary asset, and Ethereum serves as the primary collateral layer for on-chain finance; Solana, Sui, XRP, and Zcash each possess differentiated advantages, but still need to prove that their ecosystem growth can translate into sustained token demand.

TD Cowen Lowers Strategy Price Target to $260, Maintains Buy Rating

Odaily Wall Street investment bank TD Cowen has lowered its price target for Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (STRC) from $400 to $260, a reduction of approximately 35%, while maintaining a "Buy" rating. The firm noted that the company's newly launched digital credit capital framework is constructive, with continuous improvements in credit transparency and capital flexibility.Analysts explained that this valuation adjustment is unrelated to the new capital framework, but is primarily driven by lowered Bitcoin price expectations: the BTC price forecast for end-2026 has been reduced from $140,000 to $100,000, and the end-2027 forecast from $190,000 to $135,000. Even after the adjustment, the $260 price target still implies over 200% upside from the closing price of $92.68. The investment bank also acknowledged that this valuation differential appears relatively high.On the capital front, Strategy has rebuilt $2.55 billion in USD reserves. Last week's issuance of 12 million common shares was not used to increase Bitcoin holdings. Existing cash can cover more than 17 months of interest and preferred stock dividends, and combined with BTC monetization capacity, can cover 26 months of expenses. The company has received approval for $1 billion in common stock buybacks and $1 billion in preferred stock buybacks, marking a shift from one-way equity issuance to proactive capital structure optimization. The $1.25 billion in Bitcoin monetization proceeds will replenish cash reserves, while the preferred stock dividend rate has been raised from 11.5% to 12%, alleviating the previously significant 26% discount issue. (TheBlock)

Analysts: Bitcoin at Key Technical Indicator Level, Could Drop Further 30%

Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley and 22V Research technical strategist John Roque believe Bitcoin is at a key technical indicator level.Matt Maley stated that if Bitcoin declines further from its current level of around $60,000, it could amplify negative investor sentiment. Although Wall Street firms continue to invest in digital assets, retail investors, who have historically been the main force driving cryptocurrency rallies, have shifted their focus to high-growth AI and tech stocks. Recent significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs indicate waning investor enthusiasm. Cryptocurrencies are also showing signs of decoupling from the stock market.John Roque noted that Bitcoin is retesting its first downside target of $60,000. If it breaks below this level, it implies a potential drop to $400,000. Matt Maley added that Congress might pass a crypto structure bill with clearer rules, which would reduce uncertainty and encourage institutional participation in the long run. Furthermore, Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest monthly outflow since 2024 recently. (CNBC)

CoinEx Emerges as Key Hub for Iran Sanctions Evasion, Involving Over $3.8 Billion in Funds

According to The Wall Street Journal, blockchain public-chain data analysis shows that Iranian entities have conducted over $3.84 billion in transactions via the cryptocurrency exchange CoinEx to circumvent U.S. economic sanctions. Investigators traced funds linked to two digital wallets controlled by the Central Bank of Iran and found connections to the $1.5 billion stolen by North Korean hackers from the Bybit exchange. After flowing through complex, multi-layered transaction paths, these funds ultimately entered CoinEx—making it one of the central channels through which Iran uses cryptocurrencies to bypass sanctions.

Peter Schiff: Short sellers could force Strategy to sell BTC to repurchase shares—or trigger a “death spiral”

Economist and crypto skeptic Peter Schiff posted that market optimism toward Bitcoin is “excessively complacent.” While Strategy’s other end is connected to Wall Street, it is currently under clear pressure: its stock price has fallen roughly 80% from its peak, and dropped another ~20% within just five days; its flagship preferred stock STRC also declined approximately 13%. If short-selling pressure continues to depress Strategy’s stock price, it could trigger an extreme scenario—Strategy may be forced to betray its commitment and sell Bitcoin to repurchase shares. Yet this move may fail to lift the stock price and instead trigger further Bitcoin price declines, creating a negative-feedback death spiral—the very situation that Strategy’s own strategic structure has “trapped Michael Saylor in.”

Bernstein: The sharp slowdown in Bitcoin fund inflows stems from retail investors shifting to AI—not quantum computing risks

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street brokerage Bernstein released a research report stating that the primary driver behind Bitcoin’s price weakness in 2026 will be slowing capital flows—not the quantum computing threat feared by the market. The report notes that Bitcoin treasury companies and ETFs combined attracted approximately $12 billion in inflows this year, a sharp decline from $60 billion in 2025; meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs—holding $75 billion in assets—recorded roughly $2.6 billion in net outflows, with new demand coming mainly from corporate buyers such as MicroStrategy (MSTR). Bernstein analysts attribute the slowdown in capital flows to retail investors’ massive shift into AI-related assets. This year, the strongest-performing segments of the crypto market have been tokenized equities and commodities. Nevertheless, analysts view the ETF outflows as relatively moderate. Bitcoin’s investor base has evolved from one dominated by retail participants to a more diversified group—including ETFs, corporate treasuries, wealth management platforms, pension funds, and sovereign investors—resulting in a healthier market structure. The long-term value-storage thesis for Bitcoin remains intact.

Susquehanna sharply raises Micron price target to $1,750

Susquehanna, a Wall Street quantitative trading giant, analyst Mehdi Hosseini has significantly raised the price target for Micron (MU) from $600 to $1,750, maintaining a "positive" rating. It is reported that Micron's second-quarter DRAM average selling price is expected to increase by 50%-60% quarter-over-quarter, higher than the previously market-expected 50%; NAND average selling prices are expected to remain flat to up within the 75%-100% range quarter-over-quarter. Based on increased confidence in the continued strength of storage product prices and margin sustainability, Susquehanna has raised earnings forecasts for the storage manufacturers it covers. (Seekingalpha)

Standard Chartered Reiterates Long-Term Ethereum Price Target of $40,000

According to Decrypt, Standard Chartered analysts stated in a report released on Thursday that Ethereum’s current price does not yet reflect its growing network transaction activity or the rising total value locked (TVL) in decentralized finance (DeFi). The bank reiterated its price targets of $4,000 by year-end and $40,000 by the end of this decade. The institution noted that Ethereum has already established dominance in the stablecoin and tokenized asset sectors and stands to benefit from Wall Street’s ongoing migration toward digital asset infrastructure. The report also indicated that if real-world assets (RWA) grow 50-fold over the coming years, on-chain transaction volume and TVL on Ethereum could continue to reach new highs.

Analyst: $1.3 Billion IBIT Block Trade Could Trigger Bitcoin Flash Crash

Odaily An unknown trader sold approximately $1.3 billion worth of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) on a dark pool on Tuesday, sparking market attention.Data shows the trader sold 29.2 million shares of IBIT at $43.16 per share around 14:30 UTC. Consequently, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $77,875 to $76,720 within 10 minutes, a decline of about 1.5%, before further dipping to around $75,600.Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, stated this is the largest IBIT dark pool trade he has ever seen. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the trade size was 22 times larger than the second-largest IBIT sell order of the day.Additionally, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for eight consecutive trading days. On Tuesday alone, net outflows totaled approximately $333.6 million, with IBIT seeing outflows of about $192.4 million. Since May 14, cumulative net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs have exceeded $2 billion. Reports indicate that Jane Street reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings by about 70% in the first quarter, while Goldman Sachs also trimmed its positions by approximately 10%. (Cointelegraph)

Court documents allege Jane Street used insider information from Terraform to short UST, profiting $134 million

According to recently unsealed court documents, Jane Street is alleged to have obtained insider information from Terraform Labs via a private Telegram group named "Bryce's Secret."The documents claim that Jane Street subsequently sold approximately $192 million worth of UST when it was near its peg price, and profited around $134 million by shorting UST during the collapse of TerraUSD and the evaporation of roughly $40 billion in market value from the Terra ecosystem. (CoinDesk)

AI fintech company Moment completes $78 million funding, led by Index Ventures

Moment, an AI fintech company founded by former Citadel Securities quantitative traders and researchers, has announced the completion of a $78 million funding round, led by Index Ventures with participation from existing investors including a16z and Avra. Moment has established partnerships with institutions such as Edward Jones, LPL Financial Holdings, and Hightower Advisors, primarily providing AI automation infrastructure for fixed income and equity trading. The new capital will be used to accelerate the deployment and product expansion of AI in Wall Street trading systems. (Bloomberg)

K33: Current market trends differ from past bear market rallies, $60,000 Bitcoin may be the cycle bottom

crypto research firm K33 stated that although Bitcoin has retested its 200-day moving average around $82,000 this month and subsequently fallen by about 6%, the low near $60,000 in February this year may still represent the maximum drawdown of this cycle. K33 Research Head Vetle Lunde pointed out that unlike the bear market rallies in 2014, 2018, and 2022, this market experienced a slow recovery lasting 189 days after breaking below the 200-day moving average. Furthermore, market leverage and risk appetite have not been quickly rebuilt. Therefore, the current trend resembles a moderate correction rather than a precursor to another sharp decline.K33 also noted that institutional fund flows still reflect a defensive sentiment. The latest 13F filings show that institutional investors reduced their holdings by a total of approximately 26,733 BTC in the first quarter, while retail investors increased their holdings by about 19,395 BTC. Neutral strategy institutions like Jane Street and Millennium accounted for most of this reduction. Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs recently recorded the ninth-largest five-day capital outflow since the launch of U.S. spot ETFs. K33 believes this typically occurs when BTC is near the cost basis of ETF holdings, reflecting investors' tendency to cut losses or reduce risk exposure after experiencing significant drawdowns. (The Block)

Terraform Liquidator Accuses Jane Street of Obtaining Inside Information via Telegram Private Group

According to CoinDesk, newly unsealed court documents allege that Jane Street, a major Wall Street quantitative trading firm, obtained non-public internal information from Terraform Labs via a private Telegram group named “Bryce’s Secret” prior to the 2022 Terra collapse. The firm is accused of selling approximately $192 million worth of UST in advance and establishing short positions, thereby profiting roughly $134 million amid the collapse of the Terra ecosystem—valued at approximately $40 billion. The complaint states that on May 7, 2022—just nine minutes after Terraform withdrew $150 million in liquidity from the Curve pool—Jane Street sold around $85 million worth of UST on Curve. The associated wallet was subsequently suspected of being a key address contributing to UST’s de-pegging. However, Jane Street denies these allegations, calling the lawsuit “baseless,” and states it will vigorously defend itself.

Wall Street analysts upgraded ratings for several crypto companies, believing the market has undervalued their AI infrastructure and capital markets transformation potential.

According to The Block, three Wall Street firms—Benchmark, TD Cowen, and Mizuho—maintained “Buy” ratings on four crypto-related companies—Bitdeer, DeFi Technologies, Strive, and Gemini—on Monday, noting that the market continues to value these platforms, which have pivoted toward AI infrastructure, capital markets tools, and structured financial products, using trading-business valuation multiples. Benchmark analysts reiterated their “Buy” rating on Bitdeer and $27 price target, highlighting its global power asset portfolio of approximately 3.0 GW and the growth of its AI cloud business’s annual recurring revenue—from roughly $10 million at the end of January to approximately $69 million by the end of April. TD Cowen raised its price target for Strive to $30, forecasting a 26.1% Bitcoin yield for the company in 2026. Mizuho maintained its “Outperform” rating on Gemini but lowered its price target from $12 to $10, noting that although Q1 trading volume declined by over 50%, trading revenue remained largely flat—reflecting higher fee rates and an optimized revenue mix.

State Street and Galaxy Launch SWEEP Fund to Convert Stablecoins into Yield-Generating Assets

Odaily reports, State Street, in partnership with Galaxy, has launched the on-chain liquidity fund SWEEP, allowing investors to "one-click transfer" stablecoins into yield-generating tokenized assets for 24/7 on-chain cash management.The fund will initially be deployed on Solana, with future plans to expand to Stellar and Ethereum, and integrate infrastructure such as Chainlink.Targeting qualified investors, SWEEP is positioned similarly to products like BlackRock's BUIDL, offering U.S. Treasury-like yields through an on-chain structure. It represents the latest exploration in the convergence of traditional asset management and blockchain technology.

SpaceX IPO may trigger Wall Street capital reallocation for subscription, billions of dollars in tech stocks could be sold

SpaceX is about to launch a massive initial public offering (IPO), sparking intensive interest from major Wall Street funds. According to reports, about a week ago, a private jet emblazoned with the SpaceX logo carried nearly 200 investors from major Wall Street funds to Texas to attend a multi-day roadshow briefing held by SpaceX executives. Due to overwhelming subscription demand, the plane could not even accommodate all interested investors. As the listing of this company, composed of Musk's rocket and AI businesses, draws near, Wall Street may be discussing which tech stocks to sell in order to free up capital for subscribing to SpaceX shares, which is expected to trigger a sell-off in tech stocks worth tens of billions of dollars. (The Information)

Galaxy Digital Reports $216 Million Net Loss for Q1 2026, Stock Rises 5% Against Market Trend

Galaxy Digital released its first-quarter 2026 financial results, reporting a net loss of $216 million and a diluted loss per share of $0.49. The primary driver was the broad downturn in cryptocurrency markets during the quarter, with total crypto market capitalization shrinking by approximately 20%. Its crypto asset holdings declined from $1.67 billion in Q4 2025 to $1.36 billion. As of the end of March, its largest crypto holding was 6,894 BTC (approximately $431 million), followed by $61 million worth of SOL and $42 million worth of ETH. Despite the pressure on earnings, Galaxy Digital’s AI infrastructure business is progressing smoothly: the company confirmed delivery of its first data center facility to CoreWeave and expects to fulfill its full commitment of 133 megawatts of AI/IT infrastructure by the end of Q2. Boosted by this news, the company’s stock (NASDAQ: GLXY) rose 5% intraday—a move that diverged from Bitcoin’s concurrent decline. Wall Street analysts currently assign GLXY an aggregate rating of “Moderate Buy,” with a consensus target price of $39.40—implying roughly 50% upside from its share price of $26.30 at the time of writing.

Suspected Block Street team address transfers 5 million BSB to Bybit, valued at approximately $3.65 million

According to Arkham data, a suspected Block Street team address has transferred tokens to a Bybit deposit address (0xEcB8...0D51) over the past two hours, with a cumulative transfer of 5 million BSB tokens, valued at approximately $3,653,400. The tokens in this sending address previously originated from the BSB team's multi-signature address.Currently, the circulating supply of BSB is 207.75 million tokens, and the total amount received by this address accounts for approximately 2.41% of the circulating supply. BSB is currently trading at $0.7595, down 9.11% in the past 24 hours, with a circulating market cap of approximately $157.8 million.

Jefferies: KelpDAO Security Incident May Slow Down Wall Street's Blockchain Deployment

Odaily News Wall Street investment bank Jefferies' analysis indicates that the approximately $293 million attack on Kelp DAO on April 18 exposed critical infrastructure risks, which may prompt traditional financial institutions to reassess the pace of blockchain and tokenization advancement.Jefferies believes the attacker triggered market sell-offs and liquidity stress by minting unbacked tokens and borrowing across platforms. The incident is suspected to be potentially linked to the Lazarus Group and also highlights the single point of failure in the validation mechanisms of cross-chain bridges. As institutions accelerate the tokenization of assets (such as funds, bonds, and deposits), related risks may cause some banks and asset management firms to temporarily pause deployments, prioritizing a review of system security. Especially in scenarios reliant on cross-chain infrastructure, security vulnerabilities could lead to market fragmentation, undermining the practical utility of tokenized assets.Despite short-term confidence being shaken, Jefferies still emphasizes that the long-term trend remains unchanged. Against the backdrop of regulatory progress and continuous infrastructure improvement, use cases like stablecoins still hold growth potential. However, the industry as a whole is still in its early development stage and requires time to enhance system robustness. (CoinDesk)

SpaceX Initiates Pre-IPO Wall Street Closed-Door Meetings, Plans to Reserve Approximately 30% of Shares for Retail Investors

Odaily News SpaceX will hold a three-day closed-door analyst meeting in the United States this week to present its business and strategy to Wall Street institutions in preparation for a potential IPO. Informed sources stated that the company aims to raise approximately $75 billion, with a valuation potentially reaching $1.75 trillion, and plans to go public as early as June.The meeting will cover SpaceX's Starbase launch site in Texas and its data center project in Tennessee. Participating analysts are required to surrender electronic devices to ensure information confidentiality. This roadshow is a key part of the IPO process, and subsequent model explanation meetings will be held to further disclose financial and growth expectations.Furthermore, the company plans to reserve approximately 30% of its shares for retail investors and expand into global markets. Several Wall Street investment banks have already participated in underwriting arrangements. (Reuters)