News linked to both this project and an event.
GSR Chief Legal and Strategy Officer Joshua Riezman shared his views on X regarding the U.S. SEC's latest proposed regulatory framework for crypto assets, stating that the proposal may not achieve what many market participants currently understand. Without amendments to relevant U.S. laws, the regulatory exemptions provided by the SEC under existing securities laws remain limited.He noted that clearer regulatory rules are positive for the crypto industry, but the market structure addressed by the proposal differs significantly from the previous crypto market cycle. The industry needs to further understand what form the new framework will ultimately guide the U.S. crypto market toward.
The Irish Government has released its first National Anti-Money Laundering Strategy, proposing stricter scrutiny on private crypto wallet transfers and overseas crypto enterprises, with plans to implement industry standards related to cryptocurrency gambling funds in the second half of 2027.
Odaily News: Strategy has responded to MSCI's proposal to remove bitcoin treasury companies from its indexes. Strategy stated: "Index providers should measure the market, not dictate what assets companies hold. MSCI's proposal is inconsistent with the stance of regulators, the market, and clients. Bitcoin doesn't need MSCI, and neither does Strategy." (BitcoinTreasuries)
Odaily News: Bitcoin News posted on X platform stating that MSCI has proposed new rules targeting "non-operating companies." According to a simulation conducted by MSCI in May 2026, Strategy would be removed from its global investable market index. Strategy, along with Metaplanet and Yellow Cake, are the three companies listed in the simulated removal from the MSCI ACWI IMI. The proposed methodology would screen companies based on their operating assets, expenses and cash flows, non-operating fair value changes, and the extent to which they rely on accumulated assets raised through financing. The final criterion would directly target Strategy's model of accumulating Bitcoin through issuing equity and debt. The rules have not yet been finalized, with the comment period ending on September 30. MSCI is expected to make a decision by October 16, and related adjustments could be implemented during the November 2026 index review.
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated in an interview with Bloomberg that the Bitcoin price has not reacted significantly to negative news recently, such as the Coldcard security incident, Strategy sell-off, and the CLARITY Act's progress falling short of expectations, which may indicate that Bitcoin has approached or reached the bottom of this bear market.
According to South Korean media outlet MBN, People Power Party lawmaker Jung Sung-kook has formally proposed the "Partial Amendment to the Income Tax Act," intending to postpone the implementation date of the virtual asset income tax from the current January 1, 2027, to January 1, 2030, a delay of three years. Under current regulations, income from virtual asset transfers and lending will be classified as other income, and the portion of annual gains exceeding 2.5 million Korean won shall be subject to a 22% tax rate (including local income tax). Jung Sung-kook stated that virtual asset taxation should be implemented only after the investor protection system and the basis for fair taxation are fully improved, emphasizing that priority should be given to ensuring a system preparation period to minimize market disruption as much as possible. Previously, lawmakers from the same party, including Song Eon-seok, had proposed an amendment to delete clauses related to virtual asset income tax, which has currently been submitted to the National Assembly Strategy and Finance Committee for deliberation; however, the government is expected to actively argue for the necessity of taxation, and the bill still faces resistance in its progression.
Odaily News: Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl said that even if the Digital Asset Market Structure Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) is not passed, the operation of major blockchains, demand for Bitcoin as a store of value, and growth of stablecoin payments will not be immediately affected. Regulators will fill regulatory gaps through rulemaking. Zach Pandl noted that the lack of comprehensive market structure legislation could dampen new investment activity in the US, prompting crypto industry participants and startups to move to overseas jurisdictions with clearer regulatory frameworks. The US government will continue to support the development of the crypto ecosystem. Strategy co-founder and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor previously stated that regardless of whether the CLARITY Act is passed, Bitcoin will continue to develop, but the US needs regulatory clarity for digital assets. Senator Bernie Moreno said that Senate Democrats and Republicans have concluded related negotiations, and a vote will follow.
Odaily News: Strategy founder Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin does not need the CLARITY Act—America does. Earlier today, it was reported that the U.S. Senate has postponed the vote on the CLARITY Act to September.
Odaily News: Patrick Hansen, Senior Director of EU Strategy and Policy at Circle, stated that since the full implementation of the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), licenses have been granted to 35 electronic money tokens from 21 issuers, with local issuers making good progress in implementation. Patrick Hansen pointed out that MiCA's strict requirements have made it impossible for most major stablecoin issuers, including Tether, to meet operational requirements. Currently, only USDG, USDC, and EURC comply with the framework's requirements, leaving other stablecoins outside MiCA's regulatory scope and leaving EU users either unprotected or unable to access them. He believes that the upcoming MiCA review should address this issue and provide foreign issuers with a more pragmatic operational path. The European Commission's Directorate-General for Financial Stability, Financial Services and Capital Markets Union launched a public consultation on May 20 to assess whether the current framework remains fit for purpose, with the consultation set to run until September 30.
According to CoinDesk, the S&P 500 index has risen 3.12% this month, adding approximately $2.1 trillion in market value (equivalent to the total market cap of the entire crypto market), reaching a record high total market cap of $70.5 trillion, but Bitcoin has only risen about 2% this month, hovering near $64,600. Analysts point out that this round of stock market rise is mainly driven by AI and semiconductor individual stock narratives, rather than a broad-based recovery in risk appetite at the macro level, and Bitcoin lacks direct beneficial exposure to this. Meanwhile, the crypto market also faces multiple internal pressures: the Coldcard platform suffered a $120 million exploit, the prospects of the "Clarity Act" remain uncertain, MicroStrategy has reduced its BTC holdings for three consecutive months, and stablecoin supply continues to shrink—USDT's market cap dropped from $190 billion in April to $183 billion, and USDC's dropped from $79.5 billion to $72 billion.
Odaily News, July saw the U.S. manufacturing PMI rise to 55.6, the highest since 2022, with both production and employment recovering. However, strong demand and geopolitical inflation concerns have roiled the bond market, with Bank of America warning that the Federal Reserve is facing a credibility test. The hot manufacturing performance, coupled with geopolitical inflation threats, has sent U.S. Treasury markets into sharp turbulence. Long-dated Treasuries have recently faced heavy selling, with yields briefly surging to near two-decade highs.Mark Cabana, Head of U.S. Rates Strategy at Bank of America, commented on this, calling the bond market's violent swings a "textbook inflation credibility shock."Cabana noted that the core driver of the market turmoil is not the data itself, but the Fed's lack of policy communication. He specifically pointed to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's performance at a recent press conference, arguing that Warsh failed to clearly articulate how the Fed would achieve its 2% inflation target."Standing firm on the inflation target is one thing, but if you don't tell the market the specific path, investors won't buy it," Cabana said bluntly in a Bloomberg TV interview. "The bond market cannot be fooled; it sees through all appearances." (Jin10)
Strategy expressed support for the CLARITY Act, believing that establishing a clear and long-term stable regulatory framework for the digital asset market will drive industry development and promote wider adoption of digital assets by U.S. institutions.
Circle's Senior Director of EU Strategy and Policy Patrick Hansen (@paddi_hansen) stated in a post that since the implementation of the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), approximately 35 Electronic Money Tokens (EMT) from 21 institutions have obtained compliance certification, with banks and electronic money institutions entering the market and strong momentum in local issuance. However, among the top 50 global stablecoins, currently only USDC, USDG, and EURC comply with MiCA requirements; the rest remain outside the regulatory framework, leaving EU users facing a dual dilemma of lacking protection or having access forcibly cut off. Hansen believes that for MiCA to truly become a global regulatory blueprint, it must achieve two goals simultaneously: first, to promote local EMTs to go global through a competitive regime; second, to establish a recognition mechanism for overseas compliant stablecoins, attracting global issuers into the MiCA regulatory framework, rather than making local issuance the only access path.
According to Bitcoin Magazine, the head of Coinbase Canada stated that the company is pushing to expand its business footprint in Canada, with the goal of building an "all-in-one exchange" covering crypto assets, tokenized stocks, and prediction markets. The plan aims to leverage blockchain technology to provide a more efficient, 24/7 trading experience. Currently, Coinbase is coordinating with Canadian regulators regarding the launch of related products.
The PPP Prediction Market Tool monitors that on Polymarket, for the event "Will the US government ban open-source AI models in 2026?", the "Yes" probability is currently at 16%.According to the resolution rules, if the US federal government, before December 31, 2026, through legislation, executive orders, export controls, or other formal policy actions, restricts the US public's access or use of a specific open-source AI model, the market outcome will be resolved as "Yes." Otherwise, the market outcome will be resolved as "No." Eligible open-source AI models refer to general-purpose large language models or multimodal foundation models whose model weights and source code are publicly downloadable and can be run on hardware under user control, such as Meta Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek, Qwen, etc.Recently, the open-source Kimi K3 model launched by Moonshot AI has drawn market attention to whether it will impact closed-source AI. OpenAI's Director of Strategy, Dean W. Ball, stated on X platform that the US government might adopt soft legal measures to prevent open-source models from entering the US. David Sacks, Chairman of the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, believes that using regulatory uncertainty to suppress open-source competition is "unacceptable."Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead and seize the opportunity.
the US stablecoin regulatory bill, the GENIUS Act, has now been in effect for one year. Non-US issuers such as Tether have two years remaining to establish compliance strategies to meet US stablecoin issuance rules. The bill originally required federal financial regulatory agencies to finalize stablecoin rulemaking before the one-year mark, but the relevant rules have not yet been issued, leaving the compliance pathway uncertain. Under the basic framework of US standards, Tether’s USDT would need to undergo multiple significant adjustments before the rules take effect in order to meet legal requirements.
Odaily Strategy founder Michael Saylor published a lengthy post on July 18, listing 100 reasons to oppose BIP 110. He stated that the proposal would impose restrictions on a currently valid but controversial class of transactions through Bitcoin's consensus rules, constituting governance intervention in certain use cases. BIP 110, full name "Reduced Data Temporary Softfork," was marked as Complete on Github on June 25, 2026. The proposal is planned to run for approximately one year and introduces seven new consensus restrictions, including an 83-byte limit on OP_RETURN outputs, a 256-byte cap on certain payloads and witness items, as well as restrictions on some Taproot-related structures. Michael Saylor pointed out that BIP 110 adopts a 55% miner signaling threshold, lower than the 95% threshold in the standard BIP 9 process, and removes the regular timeout and FAILED status. He believes that using a lower threshold for controversial rule changes increases the probability of a chain split and could potentially affect miner fee revenue and long-term network security. He argued that existing Bitcoin relay and mining strategy tools already allow node operators and miners to restrict unwanted transaction types without the need to change the network's consensus rules. Michael Saylor also stated that Bitcoin's base layer should remain conservative and opposed the use of consensus soft forks to regulate controversial use cases.
Claude announced that effective July 20, Fable 5 will be officially included in the Max and Team Premium subscription plans, and users will receive usage rights equivalent to 50% of the full quota. Pro and Team Standard users can still access Fable 5 by using credits and will receive a one-time $100 quota compensation. Claude stated that due to the difficulty in accurately predicting the scale of demand after Fable 5's launch, a phased rollout strategy was previously adopted, and the scope of subscriber access was expanded multiple times as compute resources increased. This process brought uncertainty to some users, so this adjustment aims to allow users to more clearly understand the model usage rights included in the subscription plans. In the future, continued investment will be made to expand compute capacity, and Fable 5's access policy will be continuously updated based on capacity conditions.
Odaily Bitcoin has been declining since October last year, with its current price hovering around half of its all-time high of $126,000, indicating the market remains in a deep bear phase. Multiple industry analysts believe the current pressure on Bitcoin stems primarily from three factors: the four-year cycle, macroeconomic inflationary pressures, and market leverage liquidations.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, stated that Bitcoin's long-standing "four-year cycle" continues to influence investor psychology. Historically, Bitcoin typically undergoes approximately three years of an upward cycle followed by a one-year correction period. Investors have developed cyclical expectations and began reducing some long-term holdings towards the end of 2025.Additionally, the macroeconomic environment is a significant drag on Bitcoin. Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, pointed out that rising inflationary pressures in the US have weakened market expectations for interest rate cuts. Investors are shifting towards higher-yielding traditional assets, leading to capital outflows from risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The short-term bottom is estimated to be around $58,000, with future trends still influenced by interest rate policies, corporate Bitcoin buying behavior, and progress in US crypto regulatory legislation.Excessive market leverage has also exacerbated this correction. As a large number of investors expanded their Bitcoin exposure through borrowing and financing during the bull market, derivatives open interest has declined as the market weakened. Digital asset treasury companies have also come under pressure. Strategy's stock price has fallen approximately 75% since October last year, and its previously promoted model of corporate Bitcoin accumulation is facing renewed market scrutiny.However, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's prospects. Adrian Fritz, Chief Investment Strategist at 21Shares, predicts that Bitcoin may bottom out this summer, rebound after interest rates shift towards easing and geopolitical conflicts ease, with a year-end price target of $100,000. (Fortune)
Standard Chartered stated that it maintains its Bitcoin price prediction of reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026, believing that the recent market decline triggered by Strategy's (formerly MicroStrategy) related activities is not due to a deterioration in the company's balance sheet, but rather a strategic adjustment that the market has not fully understood.Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, noted in a report that Strategy's recent behavior is disrupting short-term market expectations for Bitcoin. The market had previously accepted the company's narrative of "never selling Bitcoin," but now Strategy appears to be shifting towards a more complex capital operation model. How clearly the company can communicate this change will determine when market pressure eases.Currently, Strategy holds 843,775 Bitcoins, representing approximately over 4% of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply. From 2020 to mid-2025, Strategy's mNAV (Market Value of Enterprise / Bitcoin Asset Value) was consistently above 1, allowing the company to raise funds through stock issuances to purchase Bitcoin and achieve shareholder value growth. The commitment to "never selling Bitcoin" was central to this model gaining market acceptance. However, with the current mNAV approaching 1, the leverage effect of this financing model is weakening.Kendrick believes Strategy is transitioning from a "Bitcoin accumulation tool" to a "Bitcoin credit support tool." This involves using its Bitcoin holdings as the credit basis for its perpetual preferred stock, STRC. Currently sized at approximately $10 billion, STRC is the largest financial instrument launched by Strategy, offering an annualized dividend rate of 12%, paid semi-monthly in cash, and is designed to maintain a price near its $100 par value through interest rate adjustment mechanisms.Standard Chartered indicated that STRC is currently trading around $90, while Strategy's dollar reserve for paying dividends stands at approximately $2.55 billion, covering an estimated 17.4 months of dividend expenses.Kendrick stated that Strategy's policy adjustment allowing for Bitcoin sales does not necessarily mean the company will continuously sell. He believes that as long as the market believes the new capital structure arrangement can stabilize the STRC price, Strategy may not actually need to sell Bitcoin. He compared this mechanism to a central bank's commitment to "do whatever it takes": mere restoration of market confidence may mean actual intervention never occurs. (The Block)