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News linked to both this project and an event.

JPMorgan: Bitcoin's Biggest Risk Is Not MicroStrategy Selling Pressure, But Blockchain Adoption Bypassing Public Chains

According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out in their latest report that although Strategy's Bitcoin selling plan has triggered market attention, it is not the core risk facing Bitcoin. The real structural threat lies in the fact that blockchain applications such as tokenization, payments, and settlements are increasingly occurring on permissioned chains (Permissioned Blockchain), rather than on public chains such as Ethereum. If this trend continues, the public chain ecosystem will face issues such as declining liquidity and weakened capital inflows, ultimately dragging down Bitcoin valuations. The analysts also warned that the proliferation of bank-built blockchain infrastructure and tokenized deposits could undermine the position of stablecoins in institutional payments; regulated alternatives such as SWIFT's blockchain plan, the digital euro, and the digital yuan also constitute competitive pressure. However, the analysts also pointed out that if hybrid public-private chain models emerge, stablecoin regulation becomes clearer, or Bitcoin continues to be held as "digital gold", the aforementioned risks may be mitigated.

MiCA Fully Implemented for One Week in the EU: 21 Stablecoin Issuers and Over 270 Crypto Service Providers Licensed

Patrick Hansen, Senior Director of EU Strategy and Policy at Circle, cited the MiCA provisional registration data from the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), releasing the compliance statistics one week after the regulation's full implementation. Currently, the EU has 21 authorized Electronic Money Token (EMT) issuers, distributed across 12 member states, collectively issuing 35 EMTs pegged to 8 types of fiat currencies. Among them, France leads other member states with 6 licensed issuers. Meanwhile, the number of approved Asset-Referenced Token (ART) issuers remains at 0, while the total registered Crypto Asset Service Providers (CASP) under the MiCA framework has exceeded 270.

Kraken Supports Select Tokenized Stocks and ETFs as Margin for Leveraged Trading

Kraken has begun allowing eligible users to use select tokenized stocks and ETFs as collateral for futures and margin trading, enabling them to open leveraged positions without selling their existing holdings.The initial offering includes 10 tokenized stocks and ETFs, featuring Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Strategy, SPDR S&P 500 ETF, and Invesco QQQ Trust. This feature is currently only available to eligible users outside the United States.Kraken has also set collateral limits for different assets, with a maximum collateral value of $1 million for large-cap ETFs, $250,000 for most individual stocks, and $100,000 for tokenized gold and Circle stock. The platform stated that collateral limits and haircut rates will be reviewed periodically and may be adjusted based on market conditions. (Cointelegraph)

Strategy, holding 847,363 BTC, advised to generate income through lending or options instead of selling BTC

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, stated in a research report on July 3rd that Strategy should explore generating income from its BTC holdings rather than directly selling spot BTC. Strategy previously launched the five-part Digital Credit Capital Framework, which includes a dollar reserve policy, a revised STRC dividend policy, a $1 billion preferred stock repurchase authorization, a $1 billion MSTR stock repurchase authorization, and a BTC monetization plan, while raising the annual STRC dividend rate from 11.5% to 12%. Strategy currently holds 847,363 BTC and has raised over $1 billion through common stock sales, extending its cash coverage period to approximately 17 months. Thorn stated that Strategy could allocate a small portion of its BTC for conservative lending or options strategies, generating income while retaining most of the upside exposure. Strategy still faces preferred stock obligations and $6.7 billion in outstanding convertible debt maturing between 2027 and 2028. (Bitcoin.com News).

Analysis: Strategy Capital Restructuring Alleviates Short-Term Liquidity Pressure, But Structural Risks Remain

Odaily Odaily News, Galaxy Research Head Alex Thorn stated that the capital management reforms recently launched by Michael Saylor's Strategy (MSTR) have effectively eased market concerns over its liquidity and preferred stock system pressure in the short term. However, he noted these measures are more about "buying time" rather than fundamentally resolving structural issues.Over the past few weeks, Strategy has faced pressure on its "Digital Credit" preferred stock system. Its STRC ("Stretch" preferred shares) fell below par value, hitting a low of approximately $71.25, raising market concerns about Bitcoin price declines, shrinking dollar reserves, and the company's ability to pay preferred stock dividends. Subsequently, market discussions focused on three stress scenarios: selling Bitcoin, issuing additional MSTR shares (diluting existing shareholders), or cutting/suspending preferred stock dividends.In response, Strategy announced a comprehensive capital management restructuring on Monday, introducing a "Digital Credit Capital Framework." This includes five key tools: a board-approved dollar reserve policy, an adjustment to the STRC dividend mechanism, a $1 billion preferred stock buyback authorization, a $1 billion MSTR common stock buyback authorization, and a Bitcoin monetization mechanism. Concurrently, the company increased the annualized dividend rate on STRC from 11.5% to 12%.The market reacted positively, with both MSTR and STRC seeing significant gains that day, and Bitcoin also rebounded alongside.Alex Thorn pointed out that this adjustment has improved market sentiment in the short term, extending Strategy's cash coverage cycle to approximately 17 months and enhancing its capital buffer through new financing. However, the company still faces approximately $6.7 billion in convertible bond maturities during 2027-2028, meaning long-term structural risks persist. The core issue is not whether Strategy holds enough Bitcoin (approximately 847,000 BTC), but rather that its dollar liquidity is insufficient to cover preferred stock and capital structure obligations without harming the interests of any party, leading to a squeeze between different classes of shareholders.Nonetheless, the key significance of this adjustment lies in enhancing the "optionality" of the company's capital tools. It shifts Strategy from a single-direction Bitcoin accumulation strategy towards a more proactive asset-liability management model, thereby preventing short-term liquidity issues from evolving into a systemic crisis. Although the current Bitcoin market environment is relatively weak and may not have bottomed out yet, Strategy's new framework has, to some extent, bought the company a window of time to wait for more favorable market conditions.

JPMorgan: Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale Policy Introduces “Avoidable Risk” to the Market

According to JPMorgan analysts, Michael Saylor’s Strategy recently officially launched a Bitcoin sale policy, transforming the company from a pure BTC buyer into a potential seller, introducing an “avoidable two-way risk” to the crypto market.Strategy’s Bitcoin sale policy, named the BTC Monetization Program, allows the company to sell Bitcoin to raise up to $1.25 billion in cash reserves. These funds will be used to pay preferred stock dividends and interest expenses, or to repurchase preferred and common shares, in order to optimize its capital structure.JPMorgan believes that Strategy’s potential future sale of BTC will increase market uncertainty and volatility regarding the price of Bitcoin. Analysts stated that if the company had instead supplemented its future dividend payment reserves by issuing equity, this risk could have been avoided.Strategy currently has a minimum cash reserve target covering 12 months of preferred stock dividends and interest expenses, with its current cash reserves of $2.55 billion sufficient to cover approximately 17 months of dividends. JPMorgan believes the company should increase its cash reserves to cover 24 to 36 months of related obligations. Even if this results in the common stock trading at a discount to net asset value, it would provide greater assurance to investors that the company will not be forced to sell Bitcoin in the short term.

FBI Director Kash Patel Criticized by Government Watchdog for Delayed Disclosure of Six-Figure MSTR Holdings

According to CoinDesk, FBI Director Kash Patel purchased stock in Bitcoin-holding company Strategy (MSTR) for between $100,000 and $250,000 on November 21, 2025, but did not disclose it to regulators until May 26, 2026, a delay of over 6 months, violating the 45-day disclosure deadline stipulated by the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act (STOCK Act). Patel later explained to the Office of Government Ethics that it was an unintentional omission caused by "miscommunication." Dylan Hedtler-Gaudette of government watchdog Project on Government Oversight bluntly criticized his behavior as "illegal," and called for a comprehensive ban on federal officials trading stocks. Deputy Assistant Attorney General William Taylor of the Department of Justice stated in a letter on May 28 that the transaction did not constitute a conflict of interest, and the DOJ has not yet fined him.

Ethereum Foundation Releases Institutional Guide: Emphasizes Network "Credible Neutrality", Resilience, and Governance Advantages

The Ethereum Foundation's Global Policy Strategy (GPS) team has released the guide "Ethereum Basics for Governments and Institutions," aiming to help policymakers and institutional decision-makers understand Ethereum's operating mechanisms, governance models, and differences from other blockchain solutions. The guide emphasizes that relying on centralized systems brings systemic risks, while decentralized blockchains have the potential to mitigate such risks. Not all blockchains possess the attribute of "credible neutrality," and differences in technical architecture and governance models among blockchains will directly affect whether they can serve as public infrastructure in the long term. Ethereum holds advantages in areas such as resilience, economic security, client diversity, and ecosystem. It has operated continuously without interruption since launching in 2015, with economic security provided by approximately $76 billion in staked ETH, whereas most other Layer 1 networks rely on a single client, presenting higher systemic risks. The Ethereum Foundation stated that building applications on Ethereum does not introduce new centralized counterparty risks, as no single institution can modify rules, restrict access, or halt network operations. In comparison, control over some other Layer 1 networks is concentrated in foundations or corporate entities, which may bring governance and dependency risks.

Azerbaijan Plans to Introduce Crypto Market Regulatory Law This Year, Requiring Companies to Operate with a License

According to Bits.media, Fidan Tofidi, Director of the Financial Technology and Innovation Department of the Central Bank of Azerbaijan, stated that the country's Virtual Asset Market Regulation Bill has been drafted and submitted for deliberation, and is expected to be formally enacted within the year. The bill requires all companies engaged in crypto asset business to obtain a license issued by the central bank, prohibits unauthorized operations within the territory, and subjects licensed institutions to ongoing supervision. The regulatory framework will cover compliance requirements such as anti-money laundering, counter-terrorist financing, and customer identification (KYC), and will be incorporated into Azerbaijan's 2027—2030 Financial Market Development Strategy.

CZ: Binance’s Greek MiCA License Application Was Nearly Approved, Withdrawn Due to External Factors

Binance founder CZ stated that the company's MiCA license application in Greece fully met regulatory requirements before its withdrawal and was close to approval. However, the process was ultimately disrupted due to the intervention of "external political factors."In an interview, CZ mentioned that several countries within the EU had expressed interest in the license, with some even showing a degree of "competitive pursuit." Ultimately, the regulatory progress was affected by factors outside the regulatory sphere, forcing the withdrawal of the application. Binance formally withdrew its Greek application last week and stated it would pursue MiCA authorization in other EU member states. Addressing market rumors linking him to high-level EU political figures, CZ said he had not seen any verifiable documents and had only encountered similar claims online, which he could not confirm.CZ also noted that the MiCA transitional period in the EU is set to end on July 1st. After that date, platforms without a license must cease related services. National regulatory bodies have made it clear there will be no extensions. He described the outcome as a "lose-lose situation" and, citing the regulatory histories of Japan and Singapore, emphasized that compliance processes often require a longer cycle.Furthermore, when discussing Strategy's STRC preferred stock product, CZ described its structure as "too complex" and said he found it difficult to fully understand its mechanism. However, he stressed that he was not making a judgment on the credibility of its founder, Michael Saylor, whom he considers a "staunch Bitcoin supporter." (The Block)

Gate Europe Compliance License Strategy Unleashes Advantages, Driving Expansion in Digital Asset Trading Market

that, according to the latest social media news from CoinGecko, Gate, along with platforms such as Coinbase and OKX, is competing for new users in the EU. Gate continues to advance its European compliance process. Its Malta-based entity, Gate Europe, has obtained the European MiCA and PI licenses under the supervision of the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA), strengthening its global compliance framework.Furthermore, leveraging its rich trading products, robust platform services, and global operational capabilities, Gate is actively addressing the growing demand for digital asset trading in the European market. This strategic deployment not only enhances Gate's localized service capabilities in Europe but also provides solid support for the platform in terms of user trust, fund security, compliant operations, and long-term market expansion, underscoring its competitive compliance advantage among global crypto trading platforms.

Rosen Law Firm Investigates Michael Saylor's Strategy Over Potential Securities Fraud Allegations

law firm Rosen Law Firm has announced an investigation into Michael Saylor's company Strategy (MSTR) and STRC, concerning potential securities law claims. According to the law firm, Strategy "may have issued materially misleading business information to the investing public," and is therefore evaluating related investor losses and potential legal liabilities.

Bitcoin Falls Below $65,000: Fed Meeting Looms, Structural Concerns Over Strategy and Leverage Risks Converge

Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and institutional wait-and-see sentiment, hovering around $64,500, down approximately 2% on the day. The market is awaiting the outcome of the Fed FOMC meeting, which will be chaired by Kevin Warsh for the first time, with widespread expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range.Analysts point out that the focus of this meeting has shifted from "whether to cut rates" to "policy path and inflation signals." Current US inflation is believed to remain near three-year highs, with energy prices and geopolitical developments keeping the market cautious about the future policy direction.Pressure is also emerging simultaneously on the chain and institutional levels. Structural concerns surrounding Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continue to escalate, with its preferred stock STRC falling to $91.79 on June 16, over 8% below its $100 par value, seen as a sign of weakening corporate Bitcoin buying power.Although spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $10.1 million on June 16, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing the majority, the capital scale remains significantly lower than in previous periods, indicating limited buying momentum.Market research firms Bitfinex and QCP note that the recent Bitcoin rebound appears more like a "technical recovery driven by exhausted selling pressure" rather than being fueled by new demand. In the derivatives market, rising implied volatility in options and a skew towards put protection suggest traders are pricing in tail risks.In terms of price structure, Bitcoin is considered to be oscillating in the short term within the $60,000 to $68,000 range. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance or institutional buying weakens further, a pullback to the $62,000–$63,000 range is possible.Overall, the current market presents a combination of "macro wait-and-see, marginal institutional weakening, and heightened derivatives defense." The short-term direction still depends on FOMC policy signals and the potential return of ETF and corporate capital flows. (The Block)

Analysis: Ceasefire in the Middle East and Fed Decision Set to Influence Crypto Market, Geopolitical Risks and Rate Path in Focus This Week

the crypto market hopes to shake off months of geopolitical pressure this week. Following a temporary peace agreement between the US and Iran, Bitcoin rose to near $66,000 on Monday, up about 3.5% from Friday. Crypto-related stocks such as Strategy (MSTR) and Galaxy Digital (GLXY) also advanced in pre-market trading.However, the market remains cautious, as past ceasefire agreements have often collapsed. The April truce failed to hold, and last month's US military action broke another round of peace talks, which also dragged down crypto asset prices at the time.This week, the spotlight will shift to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. On Wednesday, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will preside over the first rate-setting meeting, with the market widely expecting the Fed to hold rates steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range.Analysts point out that the release of the new “dot plot” (showing Fed officials' interest rate expectations) and the shortened trading day due to the Juneteenth holiday on Friday could reduce market liquidity. This week's economic data and Fed policy guidance will determine whether the crypto market can sustain a rebound on the back of easing geopolitical risks. (CoinDesk)

Polymarket's "Post-Hoc Clarification" Sparks Controversy: A Student's $35,000 Prediction Voided, $3.8 Million in Positions Wiped Out

Odaily News The prediction market platform Polymarket issued a "resolution clarification" that overturned a market result that had already appeared to be settled. This led to a 20-year-old student's $35,000 bet being declared invalid, while a total of approximately $3.8 million in positions across 1,838 accounts on the platform were liquidated.This clarification clause was written into the platform's rulebook, allowing for retroactive interpretative corrections to market settlement results, thereby altering the final payout. The incident has sparked strong dissatisfaction among traders, who argue that this "post-hoc ruling" mechanism undermines the certainty of market rules, and has ignited widespread controversy within the Polymarket and Kalshi communities.According to user disclosures, the incident originates from a case made public on June 13, where a market result that had ostensibly been settled was later reversed due to a change in rule interpretation.Industry analysts believe that this type of mechanism introduces "settlement clarification risk" into prediction markets, which is a type of tail risk event that cannot be hedged. If such operations occur frequently, they could drive high-risk liquidity away from the current platform towards trading venues regulated by the CFTC or those with formal arbitration mechanisms.Furthermore, this event is seen as one in a recent series of controversies, including settlement disputes surrounding the UMA oracle and Strategy's Bitcoin-related markets, which continue to test market participants' trust in the "finality" of prediction markets. (Cryptobriefing)

Strike founder Jack Mallers: Bitcoin Reflects a Global Liquidity Crisis

Odaily News, Jack Mallers, founder of Strike and CEO of Twenty One Capital, stated that Bitcoin’s drop below $63,000 is not merely a sentiment issue but a reflection of the reality of insufficient liquidity in the global financial system.Mallers believes that while U.S. consumer confidence is at historic lows, the S&P 500 remains at all-time highs, indicating that traditional stock market signals have been distorted by policy intervention. In contrast, Bitcoin, as a 24/7 trading asset, more closely mirrors the true conditions of global liquidity and market stress.He emphasized that during periods of liquidity tightening, investors often "sell what they can, not what they want." Therefore, Bitcoin's decline may not signify a collapse of long-term conviction but rather forced selling under capital pressure.Additionally, Mallers questioned Strategy's perpetual preferred stock financing structure, suggesting it could place the company in a capital structure dilemma when liquidity is needed in the future, forcing trade-offs among different stakeholders.

Analysis: On-chain data sends bearish signals, Bitcoin rebound faces sustained selling pressure

Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio

Michael Saylor Outlines Four Ideologies of Bitcoin: Technologists, Fundamentalists, Maximalists, and Capitalists

Odaily Strategy founder and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor published a lengthy post titled "The Four Ideologies of Bitcoin," categorizing the current Bitcoin community into four major ideologies: Bitcoin Maximalists, Bitcoin Capitalists, Bitcoin Technologists, and Bitcoin Fundamentalists.Among them, Maximalists emphasize Bitcoin's status as the dominant digital currency network; Capitalists advocate for deeply integrating Bitcoin into global capital markets, banking systems, and corporate balance sheets; Technologists support enhancing scalability, privacy, and security through technical upgrades; Fundamentalists emphasize self-custody, decentralization, and protocol immutability to prevent Bitcoin from being "captured" by institutions or regulatory forces.Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin has evolved from a niche technological experiment into a global digital currency network and asset. While different groups all recognize Bitcoin's importance, they differ in its development path, expansion methods, and protection mechanisms. The future success of Bitcoin requires integrating these four perspectives: maintaining core characteristics such as scarcity, security, and decentralization, while also promoting institutional adoption, capital market integration, and higher-level innovation. He pointed out that Bitcoin can simultaneously serve as a currency for individuals, capital for corporations, collateral for banks, a reserve asset for nations, and infrastructure for global financial markets.

Grayscale: Strategy’s Bitcoin Sales Amplify Market Volatility, Future Accumulation Capacity May Be Limited

Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Research, stated that the market experienced a new wave of volatility following Strategy's disclosure on June 1st of selling 32 Bitcoin. Although the sale is negligible compared to its holdings of approximately 840,000 Bitcoin (worth about $55 billion), this rare reduction move still impacted market sentiment.Pandl pointed out that the more noteworthy development is the performance of Strategy’s Variable Rate Preferred Stock STRC (Stretch). The product has a design target price of around $100 and currently offers a dividend yield of 11.5%. When the stock price falls below $100, it indicates that investors are demanding a higher rate of return, which may force the company to increase dividend levels. This would increase future cash flow pressure and potentially compel it to sell more Bitcoin for fundraising, further weighing on BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged Bitcoin reserve model is facing challenges. At current STRC and MSTR share price levels, the company's ability to continue large-scale Bitcoin accumulation may be constrained.However, Pandl noted that in the long term, the migration of Bitcoin holdings from highly leveraged digital asset reserve companies to more diversified corporate balance sheets will help enhance market resilience and improve Bitcoin's long-term value support. He expects Bitcoin to resume its upward trend in the coming months, but its near-term performance may lag behind crypto asset sectors that benefit more directly from regulatory clarity.

Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale Sparks $20 Million Prediction Market Controversy on Polymarket

According to The Block, Strategy disclosed in an SEC filing that it sold 32 BTC between May 26 and May 31, generating approximately $2.5 million in proceeds to pay dividends on its preferred stock. This marks the company’s first Bitcoin sale since December 2022. The disclosure sparked controversy in a Polymarket prediction market—valued at over $20 million in trading volume—that had asked whether Strategy would sell Bitcoin before May 31. The dispute centers on whether the sale qualifies: “Yes” proponents argue the sale occurred before the deadline; “No” proponents contend the information was not publicly disclosed before the market closed and therefore should not count. The market has now entered its final review phase. Polymarket added that “results confirmed outside the deadline will not be recognized,” leaning toward the “No” side. If the dispute escalates further, UMA token holders will vote to resolve it—but prior reports indicate UMA voting power is highly concentrated, with over 60% of active voters linked to Polymarket accounts, raising concerns about impartiality.