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SpaceX's First Financial Report Unveiled Tonight, Starlink, Starship, and AI Businesses Undergo Simultaneous Scrutiny

According to Jin10 Data, SpaceX will announce its first earnings report since listing after the US stock market close on Tuesday. Since listing on June 12, the company's stock price has fallen nearly 50% from its high, with market capitalization shrinking by over $500 billion. As of Monday's close, it was reported at $114.53, approximately 15% lower than the IPO issuance price. Market focus centers on three key areas: • Starlink: S&P Global expects Q2 revenue to reach $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink, which is currently SpaceX's only profitable business segment; • AI: SpaceX's AI business revenue was $818 million in the first three months of this year. It has reached compute supply cooperation agreements with Google, Anthropic, etc., and acquired coding startup Cursor (approximately $60 billion); • Starship: The 13th test flight was completed, but the booster experienced a hard landing. Analyst firm Bernstein believes Starship is one of the most critical factors supporting the high valuation. Additionally, after the lock-up period ends on Thursday, over 911 million shares (market value approximately $100 billion) will be unlocked for circulation. Coupled with short selling funds' paper profits reaching $8.3 billion, market selling pressure cannot be ignored.

ARK Invest: Starlink is the Key Business Supporting SpaceX's Nearly $2 Trillion Valuation

Odaily ARK Invest stated that SpaceX's upcoming IPO could become a historic capital markets event, with the company's overall valuation potentially approaching the $2 trillion level. Brett Winton, Head of Portfolio and Research at ARK, said on CNBC that SpaceX's IPO is priced at approximately $135 per share, corresponding to a valuation of around $1.77 trillion, and plans to list on Nasdaq on June 12.Winton pointed out that SpaceX's core value comes not only from its rocket launch business but more so from its rapidly expanding satellite internet network, Starlink. This network currently has a bandwidth capacity of approximately 500 Tbps, generating an annual revenue of around $13 billion. It is expected to significantly reduce launch costs with the Starship rocket, accelerating satellite deployment and network expansion. He believes that as AI applications proliferate rapidly, the demand for global communication and computing infrastructure will further increase, positioning SpaceX as a key infrastructure provider in this trend. ARK also estimates that the AI foundation model industry could create between $15 trillion and $20 trillion in enterprise value by 2030.Currently, ARK holds approximately 11.4% of SpaceX's private shares through its venture capital strategy and considers it one of its core long-term holdings. The fund has risen about 15% so far this year, with gains exceeding 70% over the past 12 months. (CNBC)

SpaceX Warns Investors Orbital AI Data Centers May Not Achieve Commercialization

Odaily News SpaceX stated in its IPO filing documents that orbital AI computing, along with lunar and Martian industrialization efforts, are still in their early stages and involve significant technical complexities, potentially preventing them from achieving commercialization. Elon Musk once called space AI computing an obvious choice, believing that orbit could become the lowest-cost location for AI within two to three years. The document warns that orbital AI data centers operate in harsh and unpredictable space environments, where system failures may occur. Additionally, delays in the development of Starship could also limit the company's growth strategy. SpaceX currently targets a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion and plans to raise $75 billion in the coming months.