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UBS: SK Hynix 1.66x P/B Ratio Implies ROE Less Than 20%, Actually Can Earn 40%
According to TechFlow Research, UBS pointed out in its research report on July 29 that SK Hynix's stock price has fallen 52% from its high on June 22, with a current price-to-book ratio of only 1.66x, implying a long-term ROE of 18.9%. However, UBS predicts the average ROE from 2027 to 2031 will reach 40.2%, a difference of 21 percentage points between the two. DRAM bit demand growth is expected to increase from 22% in 2026 to 36% in 2027, HBM capacity will increase from 230,000 wafers/month at the end of 2026 to 270,000 wafers/month at the end of 2027, and SK Hynix will maintain a 48% shipment share in the HBM industry in 2026. UBS believes the market valuation downward revision lacks basis, AI agents are driving accelerated memory demand, 10 long-term agreements have been signed, and although LTAs suppress ASP in the short term, they benefit profit margins in the long term. UBS maintains a Buy rating, lowering the target price from 3.2 million Korean won to 3 million Korean won, expects to launch a share buyback of about 12 trillion Korean won in the second half of 2026, and will use 50% of free cash flow for shareholder returns in the long term.
Grayscale: HYPE Still Undervalued, Forward P/E Ratio Approximately 15 to 18 Times
Grayscale stated HYPE's forward P/E ratio is approximately 15 to 18 times. Hyperliquid possesses real cash flow and can therefore be valued like a stock, but the valuation is based on earnings per token rather than earnings per share. Based on this, compared with fintech peers such as Coinbase, Robinhood, and Circle, HYPE still appears inexpensive. Market data shows that HYPE is currently trading at $55.32, down 1.5% in the past 24 hours.
Analyst: Current active BTC investors under 20% loss on average, cyclical adjustment still ongoing
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on platform X that currently, active Bitcoin investors are floating at a loss of about 20% on average, and market sentiment is in a "devaluation" phase, but has not yet reached the deep pressure levels typical of historical bear markets.Darkfost pointed out that the True Market Mean (TMM) is currently around $76,700. This indicator reflects the average cost basis of active circulating BTC supply (excluding coins that have been dormant for a long time, potentially lost, or illiquid). Historically, this level acted as a significant resistance zone in May, where some investors chose to exit the market without incurring losses or with minor losses. Meanwhile, the AVIV Ratio (Active Value to Investor Value) is currently around 0.8, meaning active investors are down approximately 20% from their cost basis. In contrast, during historical bear markets, this indicator typically drops to 0.5–0.6, corresponding to a deeper drawdown of about 40%–50%.Analysis suggests that in this cycle, the entry of institutional funds and ETFs has not changed Bitcoin's cyclical nature; the market continues to operate within its own structural framework. Although significant devaluation pressure is already evident, it may not necessarily need to fall to historical bear market extreme levels to trigger a rebound. Overall, cautious judgment regarding cyclical fluctuations remains necessary.
“New Stock God” Serenity: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, and Shunsin Are the 4 Stocks with the Best Risk-Reward Ratio at Current Levels
“New Stock God” Serenity shared on platform X his top 4 most favored stocks currently: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, and Shunsin, stating that at their current market capitalizations, these targets offer the best risk-reward ratio.He indicated that AAOI benefits from capacity expansion in 2027 and growing demand for silicon photonics; SIVE’s photonics business revenue pipeline is growing rapidly with high profit margins; Foci is a key participant in the NVIDIA and TSMC FAU supply chain; and Shunsin is deeply involved in the CPO and photonics packaging business undertaken by Foxconn, yet its related value has not been fully priced in by the market.Additionally, Serenity listed XFAB as a “runner-up” target, believing it stands to benefit from the EU's Chips Act 2 and the development of the silicon photonics industry.
Greeks.live: Today, 25,000 BTC options and 274,000 ETH options expire.
According to analyst [email protected] (@BTC__options), the options expiry data for May 15 is as follows: For BTC, 25,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.59, a maximum pain point at $80,000, and a notional value of $2 billion. For ETH, 274,000 contracts expired, with a Put-Call Ratio of 0.4, a maximum pain point at $2,300, and a notional value of $620 million. This week, Bitcoin traded sideways near $80,000, exhibiting clear technical support; market attention remained low, with only 6% of BTC options expiring, versus 11% for ETH. BTC’s key-term implied volatility (IV) stood at approximately 35%, while ETH’s was around 50%. Skew has fluctuated minimally over the past month, reflecting neutral directional sentiment, and options activity remains extremely low—approximately 20% of open interest is expected to remain by end-May and roughly 30% by end-June. Overall, Bitcoin performed relatively well in both price and market热度 during Q2 2024, supported by favorable legal, regulatory, and macroeconomic developments. However, market热度 still falls short of expectations. Against this long-term bullish backdrop, Bitcoin remains the primary trading instrument, and positioning in medium-to-long-dated options is widely viewed as a reasonable strategy.
Greeks.live：今日 3.2 万张 BTC 期权和 17.7 万张 ETH 期权到期
据期权分析师 [email protected]（@BTC__options）发布的 8月 7 日期权交割数据，3.2 万张 BTC 期权到期，Put Call Ratio 仅为 0.26，最大痛点 64,000 美元，名义价值 20.6 亿美元；17.7 万张 ETH 期权到期，Put Call Ratio 为0.77，最大痛点 1,900 美元，名义价值 3.4 亿美元。 比特币自 5 月以来持续在 64K 附近震荡逾两个月，65K 上方为年初上涨成交密集区，当前热点不在加密领域，投机资金难以流入，方向或偏向下行。加密货币市场已历经 9 个月熊市，整体隐含波动率（IV）维持低位已逾一季度，若 Q3 仍无增量资金流入，市场存在潜在较大风险暴露的隐忧。
Analyst: Binance Bitcoin Whale Inflow Proportion Hits Four-Month High, Market Selling Pressure May Temporarily Increase
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated in a post that while Bitcoin continues to oscillate within the $60,000 to $65,000 range, the Binance Whale Inflow Ratio has risen to 0.52, hitting a new high in nearly four months. The rise in this indicator suggests that compared to retail and small-to-medium traders, whales have recently transferred more Bitcoin to Binance, implying that potential selling pressure in the market has increased.
Greeks.live: 149,000 BTC options, with a notional value of $9.6 billion, expire today
Odaily News [email protected] posted on the X platform that the options settlement data for July 31 shows that 149,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.28, the max pain point at $64,000, and a notional value of $9.6 billion; 435,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.63, the max pain point at $1,850, and a notional value of $830 million. Bitcoin fluctuated around $64,000 this week. As mentioned last week, the price range above $65,000 is a high-volume area formed during the early-year rally, and there is some resistance there.The U.S. stock market was quite volatile this week, but when U.S. stocks fell, funds did not flow into the crypto market, and the rebound did not drive the crypto market up either. Currently, capital inflows into crypto are limited, with trading volumes of some crypto-related U.S. stock products even surpassing many crypto assets, so conditions for an upward move are not in place. Looking at the main options data, 30% of options expired this week. On the call side, Gex is relatively dispersed, while on the put side, Gex is relatively concentrated. This month, BTC's PCR is only 0.26, with extremely low put open interest, while Ethereum's put open interest has remained relatively high.Overall IV has remained at a relatively low level for a quarter now. In Q3, we can observe rebounds when capital inflows occur. Crypto has been in an 8-month bear market, and trading attention in U.S. stocks has taken the lead. In the short term, some options can be sold, with the main trading focus placed on U.S. stocks.
Analysis: Bitcoin's Supply in Profit Approaches 60%, But Confirming a Bull Market is Still Premature
the overall profitability of the Bitcoin market is improving, but on-chain data suggests it is still insufficient to confirm the start of a new bull market, with the risk of another downturn remaining.Data from CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin's Supply in Profit has risen to 57.5%. This metric represents the proportion of BTC supply whose current market price is higher than its acquisition cost. It has rebounded significantly from the 2026 low of 46.2% on June 30, now approaching 60%. However, the recovery of the supply in profit still needs sustained validation. Historical cycles indicate that the true end of a bear market typically requires two conditions to be met simultaneously:First, the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR) must consistently remain above 1 and not drop below it for several weeks.Second, Bitcoin's Supply in Profit needs to stabilize above 64%.Analysts point out that this cycle has already seen one "false breakout." Between April 28 and June 1 this year, the average LTH-SOPR stayed above 1 for 35 consecutive days, while the Supply in Profit briefly rose to 67%. However, the market subsequently declined again. Currently, the 30-day SMA of the LTH-SOPR has been below 1 for over 50 consecutive days, remaining a key risk signal for assessing the strength of the market recovery.While the proportion of BTC in profit is improving, the market needs further confirmation regarding long-term holder behavior and changes in the profit structure before determining whether the current rebound will genuinely transition into a new upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)
Bitcoin Selling Pressure Easing? Realized Losses Drop 56% from Peak, but Demand Recovery Remains Weak
According to Odaily, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the current bear market phase for Bitcoin has seen the highest level of realized losses among holders. The 30-day moving average (30DMA) of realized losses peaked at $1.37 billion in February 2026, 19% higher than the $1.15 billion peak during the 2022 cycle. Data shows that since the February peak, Bitcoin realized losses have dropped by 56.5% to approximately $597 million. Meanwhile, the scale of realized profits has only slowly recovered to $257 million. Axel Adler pointed out that loss-driven selling pressure has significantly weakened, but the market has not yet seen sustained demand recovery, with the decline in losses still outpacing the recovery in profits.From a historical cycle comparison, realized losses reached $1.37 billion on February 20, 2026, a new all-time high for this metric. The highest realized loss in the 2022 cycle was $1.15 billion, recorded on June 30, 2022. In terms of realized profits, as of July 23, Bitcoin's realized profit 30DMA stood at $257 million, down 92.7% from the peak of $3.51 billion recorded on December 10, 2024. It is also down 77.7% from the level on October 6, 2025, when Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $124,710. This metric bottomed out at $191 million on June 14, 2026, and has since recovered by 34.7%.Axel Adler stated that profit-driven selling pressure has dropped significantly, and the volume of coins being sold for profit is currently at a low level for this cycle. However, this does not mean that sellers have been completely exhausted, nor does it imply that market demand has recovered. If realized profits consistently rise above the $400 million to $500 million range, it would better confirm a sustained market improvement.Additionally, the Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio has recovered from a low of 0.26 in June to 0.43, but remains below the 1.0 level. The analyst noted that while the absolute scale of realized losses in the current cycle exceeds that of 2022, the relative market pressure is still lower than in 2022. Since Bitcoin's all-time high, realized losses have exceeded realized profits on 190 out of the past 291 days. Axel Adler cautioned that if the profit/loss ratio breaks below 0.26 again, accompanied by a price drop below the cycle low of $58,535 established on June 30, it could signal further escalation of market pressure.
Greeks.live: Bitcoin and Ethereum Options with $1.43 Billion Notional Value Expire and Settle Today
According to options expiry data released by [email protected] (@BTC__options), a total of 19,000 BTC options expired this week, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.89, Max Pain at $64,500, and a notional value of $1.2 billion; 125,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.25, Max Pain at $1,875, and a notional value of $230 million. In terms of market conditions, BTC briefly broke through 66K this week but failed to hold. The 65K to 80K range is a high-volume trading zone from the early year's rally, indicating significant upside pressure. Overall IV has retreated to the 35% level, leaving fewer trading opportunities. Notably, the ETH put option ratio has exceeded 1 for 6 consecutive weeks, the longest duration on record, indicating sustained high bearish sentiment in the market. However, some traders are also taking the opportunity to sell Puts to buy the dip. Cryptocurrencies have experienced an 8-month bear market. From a cyclical perspective, the second half of the year may see a certain rebound.
KITE to Migrate Token Contracts at 1:1 Ratio, Attacker Addresses Excluded
Odaily News: The KITE Foundation has provided an update on the handling of a token security incident. A new KITE ERC-20 contract has been deployed on the Ethereum mainnet, with the total token supply remaining unchanged. Old KITE tokens will be migrated to the new contract at a 1:1 ratio. Addresses confirmed to be controlled by the attacker will be excluded and will not receive new tokens.The migration snapshot is based on Ethereum mainnet block height 25,692,498. Regular self-custody wallet users will receive the new tokens directly without needing to redeem or authorize anything. Exchange users will have their migration coordinated between the exchange and the KITE team. Cross-chain channels will remain paused until migration and verification are complete.Previously, KITE detected abnormal transfers on August 6 and confirmed it had been attacked by hackers. The team stated that this incident did not result in any asset losses for users or the project, and the impact is currently under control.
Santiment: BTC Social Sentiment Bullish Ratio Hits Four-Month High
According to on-chain data platform Santiment (@SantimentData), as Bitcoin’s price reclaimed the $80,000 level, the ratio of bullish-to-bearish comments on social media rose to 1.37:1.00—the highest in nearly four months—signaling a notable surge in market optimism. However, Santiment cautions that historically, sharp increases in bullish sentiment often serve as warning signs rather than buy signals. When retail FOMO dominates social media discussions, traders tend to enter positions late in the trend, raising the likelihood of local tops, profit-taking, and sudden price volatility. Santiment notes that peak market euphoria frequently coincides with the onset of waning momentum. By comparison, following the Kelp DAO vulnerability incident in mid-April, social sentiment plunged into deeply bearish territory; the exit of “weak-handed investors” instead laid a healthier foundation for the current rally. With sentiment now having reversed dramatically, Santiment advises traders to remain vigilant against potential risks stemming from excessive leverage and overly concentrated positions.
KITE to Migrate Token Contracts at 1:1 Ratio, Attacker Addresses Excluded
Odaily News: The KITE Foundation has provided an update on the handling of a token security incident. A new KITE ERC-20 contract has been deployed on the Ethereum mainnet, with the total token supply remaining unchanged. Old KITE tokens will be migrated to the new contract at a 1:1 ratio. Addresses confirmed to be controlled by the attacker will be excluded and will not receive new tokens.The migration snapshot is based on Ethereum mainnet block height 25,692,498. Regular self-custody wallet users will receive the new tokens directly without needing to redeem or authorize anything. Exchange users will have their migration coordinated between the exchange and the KITE team. Cross-chain channels will remain paused until migration and verification are complete.Previously, KITE detected abnormal transfers on August 6 and confirmed it had been attacked by hackers. The team stated that this incident did not result in any asset losses for users or the project, and the impact is currently under control.
Strategy upgrades STRC and other preferred share control panels, adding risk assessment metrics such as Sharpe Ratio.
According to a post by MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy has upgraded the dashboard for four preferred stock products: STRC, STRD, STRK, and STRF, adding metrics such as Bitcoin rating, after-tax effective yield, and one-year Sharpe ratio. These new tools can be used to evaluate the yield levels, credit quality, downside protection, and risk-adjusted returns of the relevant products.
Greeks.live：今日 3.2 万张 BTC 期权和 17.7 万张 ETH 期权到期
据期权分析师 [email protected]（@BTC__options）发布的 8月 7 日期权交割数据，3.2 万张 BTC 期权到期，Put Call Ratio 仅为 0.26，最大痛点 64,000 美元，名义价值 20.6 亿美元；17.7 万张 ETH 期权到期，Put Call Ratio 为0.77，最大痛点 1,900 美元，名义价值 3.4 亿美元。 比特币自 5 月以来持续在 64K 附近震荡逾两个月，65K 上方为年初上涨成交密集区，当前热点不在加密领域，投机资金难以流入，方向或偏向下行。加密货币市场已历经 9 个月熊市，整体隐含波动率（IV）维持低位已逾一季度，若 Q3 仍无增量资金流入，市场存在潜在较大风险暴露的隐忧。
Greeks.live: Bitcoin and Ethereum Options with $1.43 Billion Notional Value Expire and Settle Today
According to options expiry data released by [email protected] (@BTC__options), a total of 19,000 BTC options expired this week, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.89, Max Pain at $64,500, and a notional value of $1.2 billion; 125,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.25, Max Pain at $1,875, and a notional value of $230 million. In terms of market conditions, BTC briefly broke through 66K this week but failed to hold. The 65K to 80K range is a high-volume trading zone from the early year's rally, indicating significant upside pressure. Overall IV has retreated to the 35% level, leaving fewer trading opportunities. Notably, the ETH put option ratio has exceeded 1 for 6 consecutive weeks, the longest duration on record, indicating sustained high bearish sentiment in the market. However, some traders are also taking the opportunity to sell Puts to buy the dip. Cryptocurrencies have experienced an 8-month bear market. From a cyclical perspective, the second half of the year may see a certain rebound.
Binance Adjusts Collateral Rates for Multiple Assets and Updates Futures Leverage & Margin Tiers
Odaily Odaily News, according to an official announcement, Binance will update the collateral rate and tiered collateral rate for Portfolio Margin and PMPro at 2026-07-24 06:00 UTC (14:00 Beijing time). The affected assets include ALGO, PUMP, WLD, JTO, TRUMP, etc. In addition, Binance Futures will adjust the leverage and margin tiers for several USDⓈ-M perpetual contracts at 06:30 UTC (14:30 Beijing time) on the same day. The contracts include C98USDT, CHRUSDT, LQTYUSDT, NILUSDT, USUALUSDT, SPELLUSDT, ONEUSDT, AEVOUSDT, CGPTUSDT, BANKUSDT, GUNUSDT, LAUSDT, OPNUSDT, KATUSDT, STARUSDT, and ZILUSDT. The announcement reminds users that changes in collateral rates may affect the Unified Maintenance Margin Ratio (uniMMR) and could lead to a risk of position liquidation.
Bitget CFD Launches Tiered Margin Ratio Feature
Bitget CFD has launched the tiered margin rate feature, applicable to all CFD trading instruments including forex, precious metals, stock indices, and commodities. After this feature goes live, the margin occupied by CFD instruments will be calculated in tiers based on the size of the notional exposure of account positions. The larger the exposure, the higher the corresponding margin rate.
Related news
KITE to Migrate Token Contracts at 1:1 Ratio, Attacker Addresses Excluded
Odaily News: The KITE Foundation has provided an update on the handling of a token security incident. A new KITE ERC-20 contract has been deployed on the Ethereum mainnet, with the total token supply remaining unchanged. Old KITE tokens will be migrated to the new contract at a 1:1 ratio. Addresses confirmed to be controlled by the attacker will be excluded and will not receive new tokens.The migration snapshot is based on Ethereum mainnet block height 25,692,498. Regular self-custody wallet users will receive the new tokens directly without needing to redeem or authorize anything. Exchange users will have their migration coordinated between the exchange and the KITE team. Cross-chain channels will remain paused until migration and verification are complete.Previously, KITE detected abnormal transfers on August 6 and confirmed it had been attacked by hackers. The team stated that this incident did not result in any asset losses for users or the project, and the impact is currently under control.
Hyperliquid Open Interest to Perpetual Contract Equity Ratio Hits All-Time High
Hyperliquid News stated that the ratio of open interest to perpetual contract equity on the Hyperliquid platform rose to 4.12x, setting a new all-time high.
Strategy upgrades STRC and other preferred share control panels, adding risk assessment metrics such as Sharpe Ratio.
According to a post by MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy has upgraded the dashboard for four preferred stock products: STRC, STRD, STRK, and STRF, adding metrics such as Bitcoin rating, after-tax effective yield, and one-year Sharpe ratio. These new tools can be used to evaluate the yield levels, credit quality, downside protection, and risk-adjusted returns of the relevant products.
Total $1.47 billion in crypto options expire today, Bitcoin's actual volatility continues to decline this week
Odaily News Greeks.live researcher Adam stated on the X platform that on August 14, 20,000 Bitcoin options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.84, a max pain price of $64,000, and a notional value of $1.29 billion. Additionally, 96,000 ETH options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.95, a max pain price of $1,900, and a notional value of $180 million. Bitcoin continued to fluctuate around $64,000 this week, with actual volatility persistently declining. The realized volatility (RV) dropped to 25%, hitting an all-time low, successively breaking through the three interim lows of late October, late January, and early June. Implied volatility (IV) has also continued to fall, currently returning to levels seen in early October last year, with market sentiment in a state of compression.Looking at other major options data, 6% of options expired this week, and open interest declined significantly, mainly due to last week's bargain-hunting trading volume turning into a wait-and-see stance this week. Call options open interest dropped noticeably, while Bitcoin's Put Call Ratio returned to normal levels, with put options open interest only slightly declining. The Gex in the call direction has further dispersed, and the Gex in the put direction has also begun to scatter, indicating that the market is in a comprehensive wait-and-see state. The cryptocurrency market has experienced a 10-month bear market, with weak performance in the third quarter, sustained selling pressure from U.S. investors, and frequent security incidents. Greeks.live researcher Adam stated that currently positioning some out-of-the-money options is a good choice.
Greeks.live：今日 3.2 万张 BTC 期权和 17.7 万张 ETH 期权到期
据期权分析师 [email protected]（@BTC__options）发布的 8月 7 日期权交割数据，3.2 万张 BTC 期权到期，Put Call Ratio 仅为 0.26，最大痛点 64,000 美元，名义价值 20.6 亿美元；17.7 万张 ETH 期权到期，Put Call Ratio 为0.77，最大痛点 1,900 美元，名义价值 3.4 亿美元。 比特币自 5 月以来持续在 64K 附近震荡逾两个月，65K 上方为年初上涨成交密集区，当前热点不在加密领域，投机资金难以流入，方向或偏向下行。加密货币市场已历经 9 个月熊市，整体隐含波动率（IV）维持低位已逾一季度，若 Q3 仍无增量资金流入，市场存在潜在较大风险暴露的隐忧。
Analyst: Binance Bitcoin Whale Inflow Proportion Hits Four-Month High, Market Selling Pressure May Temporarily Increase
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated in a post that while Bitcoin continues to oscillate within the $60,000 to $65,000 range, the Binance Whale Inflow Ratio has risen to 0.52, hitting a new high in nearly four months. The rise in this indicator suggests that compared to retail and small-to-medium traders, whales have recently transferred more Bitcoin to Binance, implying that potential selling pressure in the market has increased.