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Arthur Hayes: AI Bubble Concentrated in Data Center Debt and Unprofitable AI Companies, Still Bullish on Agentic Economy

Odaily News: Arthur Hayes posted on X that someone asked him why he is launching an AI/crypto project while believing AI is a bubble about to burst. He stated that the bubble exists in the debt used to build data centers, as well as in the stocks of unprofitable hyperscale cloud providers and frontier labs. "Price is what you pay; value is what you get." He is 100% confident in the Agentic Economy, and the excess compute capacity brought by debt-funded construction supports his assessment of Flop Labs.Previously, Arthur Hayes announced he would end his retirement and lead Flop Labs. Flop Labs is "food" for AI agents. The project has no pre-sale, no VC participation, and adopts a 100% fair launch model.

Bank of America: Anthropic leads frontier AI model rankings, token prices ease but GPU rents remain firm

According to TechFlow Research, the frontier AI data tracking report released by Bank of America Securities on August 17 shows that Anthropic leads comprehensively in three major AI benchmarks, with Claude Opus 5 ranking first in the Intelligence Index, Agent Index, and Coding Agent Index, GPT-5.6 Sol following closely behind, Meta MuseSpark 1.2 entering the top ten, and Google Gemini 3.6 Flash ranking outside the top ten. In terms of usage, DeepSeek leads with approximately 30% of the Vercel platform token share, Anthropic accounts for 25% and OpenAI accounts for 16%; but in terms of payment amount, Anthropic leads far ahead with 65%, while OpenAI accounts for only 11%. In terms of pricing, the AI Token Price Index decreased 9% month-over-month in August to $2.21, but still increased 87% year-over-year; GPU rental rates remain strong, with H100 increasing 33% year-over-year to $2.77/hour, DRAM increasing 483% year-over-year, and NAND increasing 432% year-over-year. The research report judges that AI infrastructure demand remains healthy, with open-source model usage growing but payment share still highly concentrated on top closed-source models. BofA believes that the Meta "Watermelon" and Google Gemini 4 releases, token pricing trends and GPU rental trends are

Analysis: Bitcoin Releases Late-Bear Market Signals, Liquidity Return May Trigger Next Round of Volatility

Odaily News Bitfinex's latest report indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) has been fluctuating within a narrow range recently, with volatility, trading activity, and market liquidity all compressed to levels similar to those seen at the end of a bear market.Currently, Bitcoin's price remains above the "Median Realised Price" of around $63,200, while the key level for short-term holders (STH) to achieve overall profitability stands at $67,176. Meanwhile, market demand is weakening: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $385 million last week, corporate Bitcoin reserve-related activity has turned negative, spot trading volume has fallen to multi-year lows, and Bitcoin transfer speed has dropped to its lowest level in seven years.Bitfinex stated that in the current extremely thin liquidity environment, even slight changes in capital flows could trigger significant Bitcoin price fluctuations. At the same time, weak retail activity, declining real income, and deteriorating consumer confidence indicate that U.S. household demand is under pressure. Bitfinex noted that the current market shows a clear divergence: accommodative financial conditions are driving traditional risk assets higher, but the crypto market has not yet received corresponding capital inflows.Bitfinex believes that the core market question has shifted from "whether monetary policy will improve" to "whether improved liquidity can translate into capital inflows for crypto assets." If Bitcoin spot ETFs resume sustained net inflows in the future, coupled with stablecoin supply expansion, this would signal a restart of the crypto market's liquidity transmission mechanism and could become a key catalyst for BTC breaking out of its prolonged low-volatility state.Before capital returns, although the macro environment is gradually improving, the crypto market's upside still lacks capital support. However, given that market participation has dropped to extremely low levels and BTC continues to hold key realized price support levels, once liquidity re-enters the market, it could trigger violent fluctuations. The current structure leans toward an upward breakout once demand recovers.

Databricks completes $5 billion funding round, valuation reaches $190 billion

Odaily News: According to market reports, Databricks has completed a $5 billion funding round, bringing its valuation to $190 billion.

Flap Launches New bBroker Vault Mechanism, Converting Meme Coin Trading Fees into NFT Dividends and On-Chain Floor Price

Odaily News: Flap has announced the launch of bBroker Vault, powered by bStocks, on BNB Chain, combining Meme coin trading activity with NFT yields and tokenized stock ecosystems through a new mechanism.Under this mechanism, users are required to pay a fixed fee in corresponding tax tokens to mint bBroker NFTs, and the tokens paid are burned directly. Subsequently, trading fees from quote assets flowing into the Vault are automatically allocated to a "dividend pool" and a "floor price pool," enabling NFT holders to continuously earn dividends in quote assets without staking or locking up.Meanwhile, each bBroker NFT carries an on-chain floor price backed 1:1 by assets in the floor price pool, and holders can sell the NFT back to the Vault at any time to exit. Flap positions this mechanism as a novel on-chain economic model integrating Meme coins, NFTs, and stock assets.

Doubao Launches Student Discount, College Students Enjoy 2.5x Free Quota and Special Pro Version Price

Recently, Doubao officially launched a student discount campaign, offering college students more usage quotas and special prices for the Professional Version to assist them in handling complex learning tasks such as research analysis and content creation. It is understood that Doubao's student discount benefits this time consist of two parts.

Plan B: Scarcity, Not Short-Term Price Fluctuation, Is the Core of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value

Bitcoin analyst Plan B stated on the X platform that the core of Bitcoin's long-term value lies in scarcity, not short-term price fluctuations.Plan B believes that many people focus on Bitcoin's price charts, while the S2F model he uses focuses on the degree of asset scarcity. This model measures scarcity through "existing supply ÷ annual new production," where the S2F for gold is approximately 60. Due to Bitcoin's fixed total supply of 21 million coins and its predictable issuance schedule, its S2F is currently around 120 and continues to rise over time.The Bitcoin halving mechanism is an important driver of the S2F model. Approximately every four years, the Bitcoin network reduces the block reward by half, decreasing new supply and roughly doubling the S2F level, making it the core supply-side event observed by the model.Plan B emphasized that the S2F and its upgraded version, the S2FX model, predict long-term average value rather than precisely forecasting market tops or bottoms. Bitcoin's price typically fluctuates around the model's estimated value, and investors should focus on multi-year cycle averages rather than single-day price highs. Additionally, Plan B believes that as scarcity increases, Bitcoin is undergoing different stages of development, including proof of concept, payment network, "digital gold"/store of value asset, and institutional-grade financial asset. Each increase in scarcity could bring new market narratives and capital inflows.However, Plan B also reiterated that "all models are wrong, but some are useful." He stated that the S2F model is merely a tool for long-term understanding of Bitcoin's scarcity, not a trading signal or a "crystal ball" for price prediction. Although the model has withstood major events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and China's mining ban, it still has limitations.

SK Hynix Stock Still Favored by Institutions After Volatility: HBM4 and Long-Term Supply Agreements Support AI-Era Growth

According to Korean media NATE, driven by the AI investment boom, SK Hynix's stock price has recently experienced severe volatility. Against the backdrop of intensifying market volatility, SK Group released an advertisement quoting the famous words of founder Choi Jong-geon (최종건): "Despair and hope are two sides of the same coin; despair can be turned into hope like flipping a hand," and rewrote it as "Anxiety and expectation in the AI era are also two sides of the same coin; anxiety can be turned into expectation," thereby conveying confidence in the long-term development of the AI industry. Securities firms believe that short-term stock price volatility has not changed SK Hynix's fundamentals, and the market should focus on its HBM4 technology leadership advantage and the performance stability brought by Long-Term Agreements (LTA). Hyundai Motor Securities analyst Noh Geun-chang (노근창) stated that SK Hynix's DRAM and NAND bit growth rates for the third quarter are expected to reach 9.7% and 1.5% respectively; with the expansion of HBM4 sales contribution, even if the proportion of Long-Term Agreements increases, DRAM Average Selling Price (ASP) is still expected to rise 19.9% quarter-over-quarter. Regarding competition concerns brought by China's ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Noh Geun-chang believes that considering the US continues to strengthen semiconductor equipment export restrictions and Micron is expanding domestic investment in the US, the possibility of major companies like Apple adopting Chinese memory chips is relatively low.

Goldman Sachs: Palantir Up 15% After Earnings, Price Target Raised to $204

According to TechFlow Research, Palantir's Q2 revenue was $1.95 billion, up 93% year-over-year, beating market expectations by 7%, with the after-hours stock price rising 15% following the earnings release. U.S. commercial business grew 150% year-over-year, accelerating further from 133% in the previous quarter. U.S. government business grew 90% year-over-year, also higher than 84% in Q1. Average revenue from the top 20 customers was $124 million (up 67% year-over-year), total contract value was $2.1 billion (up 118% year-over-year), and net revenue retention rate was 157%. Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month price target from $183 to $204, maintaining a Neutral rating, implying approximately 62% upside potential. Goldman Sachs believes enterprise AI deployment is shifting from single models to multi-model combinations, and sovereign AI demand is creating incremental opportunities. Palantir helps enterprises embed AI into workflows while retaining data control, and this positioning could become a growth catalyst for the next phase. Goldman Sachs also raised revenue forecasts for 2026 to 2028, with main concerns being that commercial business growth may slow down during a macro downturn.

Hyperliquid Lists Unitree Technology Pro-IPO, Current Price $75.02

Odaily News: Hyperliquid has listed Unitree Technology (UNITREE) Pro-IPO and trading has commenced, with the current price at $75.02.

Polymarket odds of WTI crude falling to $75/barrel in August rise to 77%, up 11% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil Price Hit in August" prediction event, the probability of WTI crude falling to $75/barrel rose to 77%, up 11% in 24 hours; the probability of falling to $70/barrel rose to 45%, up 12% in 24 hours.Earlier, oil prices were driven up by escalating tensions in the Middle East, but after Trump announced a halt to military action against Iran and indicated that the U.S. and Iran would enter a new round of negotiations, market concerns over supply disruptions began to ease, causing the risk premium on crude to quickly retreat. WTI crude prices have now fallen to around $80/barrel.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.

DeepSeek V4-Flash-0731 Public Beta: Code Agent Capabilities Significantly Enhanced, Price Unchanged

DeepSeek officially launches the public beta of version V4-Flash-0731. Through post-training and Agent framework optimization, DeepSWE benchmark scores have improved from 7.3 to 54.4, Cybergym scores have doubled to 76.7, and performance on some hard benchmarks approaches Claude Opus 4.8. The new version does not increase parameters, prices remain unchanged, it natively supports the Responses API, and existing user APIs will automatically switch to the new version. Currently, only the Flash API is updated; the V4 Pro official version is still under development.

Polymarket crypto up/down market settlement to switch to TWAP, adding $1 million in liquidity rewards in August

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Polymarket has announced that, to enhance the manipulation resistance of its cryptocurrency up/down prediction markets, affected markets will transition from single price snapshot settlement to Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) settlement starting from 00:00 UTC on August 7. Specifically, the 5-minute markets will adopt a 30-second TWAP, while the 15-minute and 4-hour markets will adopt a 60-second TWAP.Additionally, the platform will provide a total of $1 million in liquidity rewards for the relevant markets throughout August. Chainlink's TWAP testnet data feed is now live, with the mainnet data feed and Polymarket's Real-Time Data Streams (RTDS) scheduled to go live on August 4, 2026.

Robinhood's Q2 Crypto Revenue Dropped 38% YoY to $100 Million, After-Hours Share Price Fell 4%

online brokerage Robinhood's Q2 adjusted earnings per share were $0.62, with revenue reaching $13.1 billion, surpassing Wall Street expectations and setting a record high; its share price fell 4% in after-hours trading. Robinhood's Q2 crypto trading revenue decreased by 38% year-over-year to $100 million, offset partially by increased activity in options, stocks, and prediction markets. The company has launched Robinhood Chain in Europe for tokenized US stocks and rolled out an Agentic Trading AI tool that automates investments while retaining user control.

Goldman Sachs: Apple Market Cap Overtakes Nvidia, Price Target Raised to $370

According to TechFlow Research, on Monday (July 27), Apple rose over 1%, with its market cap reaching $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia's $4.78 trillion to return to the top spot in global market cap. Over the past month, Apple outperformed the Nasdaq 100 Index by 23 percentage points, marking the largest single-month excess return since 2005. Goldman Sachs raised the target price from $330 to $370 on the same day, maintaining a Buy rating, citing increased confidence in the iPhone upgrade cycle and AI strategy. Apple will release its Q3 earnings report on Thursday, with the market expecting EPS to be $1.89. This market cap overtaking occurred against the backdrop of growing investor concerns over the ROI on huge AI capital expenditures, with Google's FCF turning negative and Nvidia facing sell-offs, while Apple became a safe haven instead due to restrained AI spending.

Nomura: ChangXin Surges 471% on First-Day Opening, Target Price of 116 Yuan Implies 12x Upside

According to Chaoxiang Research, CXMT listed on the STAR Market on July 27, surging 471% at opening, with market capitalization briefly exceeding 3.3 trillion yuan. Nomura Securities released its initiation report on the same day, granting a Buy rating with a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a 20x P/E ratio based on 2028 EPS of 5.8 yuan, implying over 12x upside based on an issue price of 8.66 yuan. Nomura noted that AI is driving a structural surge in DRAM demand, with AI memory demand CAGR exceeding 60% from 2026 to 2030, while global supply growth rate is only 30% to 40%, and the supply-demand gap will continue to widen. As the world's fourth-largest DRAM manufacturer, CXMT currently holds a global share of about 10%, expected to rise to 18% by the end of 2028, approaching Micron's scale. Q1 2026 revenue was 50.8 billion yuan (YoY +719%), and net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 24.76 billion yuan (YoY +1688%), with quarterly profit already exceeding the full year 2025. Nomura believes CXMT should enjoy a "China premium," with the 20x PE valuation based on the midpoint between Micron's 10x historical average and the 1 to 3x valuation gap between Chinese and US semiconductor equipment stocks. Northeast Securities gave a valuation range of 3.2 to 5.7 trillion yuan on the same day, while Nomura's 7.76 trillion yuan is relatively optimistic; the core divergence lies in CXMT's long-term market share ceiling.

Anthropic Launches Opus 5 AI Model, Performance Close to Fable 5, Price Halved

Anthropic has officially released the Opus 5 AI model; the company states that its performance is close to the frontier model Fable 5, but the price is only half that of the latter.

TD Cowen Lowers The Smarter Web Company Price Target, Maintains Buy Rating

According to The Block, TD Cowen lowered The Smarter Web Company's target price from £1 to £0.64, maintaining a buy rating. The analyst cited factors such as revised Bitcoin price forecasts, recent treasury activities, and updated dilution assumptions, while noting that the company's Q2 Bitcoin holdings increased from 2,699 BTC to 2,878 BTC. The stock closed up 2% last Friday at £0.29.

Former Visa Senior Payment Expert Matt Price Announces Joining WasabiCard as Global Partnerships Director

Stablecoin-driven global payment infrastructure platform WasabiCard announced the appointment of Matt Price as Global Director of Partnerships. Matt will be responsible for WasabiCard's global partnership strategy, driving collaborations with financial institutions, payment networks, fintech companies, and strategic ecosystem partners to support the company's continued global expansion.

Loss of 23,752,746 USDC: Ostium Price Data Attacked

Odaily News: Headline: "Loss of 23.75 Million USDC: Ostium Price Data Attacked". According to Ostium's monitoring, Ostium has released an update on the security incident. Its liquidity provider treasury was attacked on July 15, resulting in a loss of 23,752,746 USDC. Preliminary investigations indicate that the attacker compromised the off-chain infrastructure that supplies price data to the protocol, submitting disguised, fraudulent price reports. By rapidly opening and closing multiple large positions, the attacker extracted artificially generated profits from the treasury. Ostium stated that trader collateral is stored in separate, isolated smart contracts and was unaffected by this incident; all trading positions remain open. The team paused trading and froze all trading contracts within 60 minutes of the first attack transaction. Currently, Ostium is cooperating with Mandiant, zeroShadow, Collisionless, SEAL 911, and law enforcement agencies, and is coordinating with trading platforms, bridge contracts, and stablecoin issuers to advance the investigation. The engineering team is repairing and strengthening the relevant infrastructure to support a safe resumption of trading. Ostium stated it will notify at least 24 hours in advance before thawing the trading contracts. Once trading resumes, existing positions will be marked at the price at the time of reopening, unaffected by price fluctuations during the suspension.