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Market selling pressure begins to erode institutional demand? Bitcoin ETF sees largest single-day net outflow since June

Odaily reports: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $635.6 million on Thursday, the largest single-day net outflow since June. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a net outflow of $254.1 million, Fidelity's FBTC saw a net outflow of $217.5 million, and Ark Invest and 21Shares' ARKB saw a net outflow of $109.4 million. Morgan Stanley's MSBT bucked the trend with a net inflow of $2.3 million; since its launch in April this year, the fund has recorded only one single-day net outflow.Despite the large outflow on Thursday, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs still recorded cumulative net inflows of $442.7 million this week. Since their launch in January 2024, such ETFs have accumulated more than $57 billion in net inflows, with assets under management exceeding $100 billion. Meanwhile, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of $110.6 million on Thursday, Solana and Hyperliquid ETFs also saw outflows, while XRP ETFs recorded a net inflow of $3.6 million.In the market, Bitcoin fell to about $81,500 at one point on Friday, down 3.4% over the past 24 hours. The selloff in U.S. tech stocks spread to Asian markets, compounded by concerns over AI spending and geopolitical tensions, weighing on crypto market performance. Over the past 24 hours, liquidations of leveraged positions in the crypto market totaled at least $440 million, of which about $397 million were long liquidations. Jeff Anderson, head of STS Digital's U.S. division, said the market has recently remained in a trading range of $80,000 to $86,000, and attention should be paid to the direction of a breakout from the range. (The Block)

Tom Lee: Market Currently Overly Pessimistic, Tech Stocks Hitting Support Levels

Fundstrat co-founder and Bitmine chairman Thomas Lee (@fundstrat) posted that "everyone is being too pessimistic right now." He previously noted after speaking with technical analyst Mark Newton on CNBC's Closing Bell that tech stocks appear to be essentially hitting support levels.

Analysis: Bitcoin Dominance Rises to Highest Level Since May as Market Awaits New Catalysts

Odaily reports: Bitcoin's market dominance rose to 60% on Wednesday, reaching its highest level since May of this year and holding near that level, reflecting investors' preference for holding Bitcoin over altcoins. Meanwhile, Bitcoin fell below $82,000 on Thursday, giving back gains from the previous day's brief break above $84,000. Small-cap tokens saw more pronounced declines, with the CoinDesk Memecoin Index dropping over 5%, the Computing Select Index falling 3.5%, and the DeFi Select Index down 2.5%.Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group, said that the crypto market's prior outperformance relative to other assets has shifted to trading more closely in line with equity markets, with investors awaiting new industry catalysts. Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Indian exchange Giottus, noted that Bitcoin ETF inflows have yet to form a sustained trend, and investors should avoid chasing rallies while monitoring ETF fund flows and Federal Reserve policy signals. (CoinDesk)

Bankless Founder: Lighter (LIT) Market Rally Is Back

Odaily reports: Bankless founder David Hoffman reposted Lighter's regulatory update on X and wrote: "Lighter season back on btw."During Lighter's Q3 investor call held last night via webcast, David Hoffman, speaking as an investor, asked: "Given that Lighter has already had extensive prior communication with the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission), do you expect the approval of the DCM (Designated Contract Market) and DCO (Derivatives Clearing Organization) licenses to come earlier than the CFTC's stipulated 180-day review period?"Lighter founder and CEO Vladimir Novakovski responded: "We believe that the extensive prior communication will make the whole process much smoother... The CFTC currently has a lot on its plate, so we can't give an exact timeline yet... However, the CFTC is a fast-moving team internally, so we expect the overall approval process to go relatively smoothly."Previously, David Hoffman reportedly sold all his ETH and rotated into tokens such as LIT, ZEC, and NEAR, with the rotated tokens subsequently significantly outperforming ETH.

Anthropic Caught in FUD Storm: Co-founder Siblings' Compensation Revealed, Market Worries About Capital Diversion

Odaily reports: AI company Anthropic posted a net loss of approximately $80.7 billion in the first half of 2026, a significant widening from $13 billion in the same period last year. Meanwhile, the tens of millions of dollars in equity awards granted to the company's co-founder siblings have sparked considerable controversy.It is reported that Anthropic co-founder and CEO Dario Amodei and his sister, company president Daniela Amodei, each receive a base salary of approximately $655,000, but when stock and option awards are included, their total annual compensation reaches approximately $18 million and $16.5 million respectively.Market observers believe Anthropic is facing a wave of FUD-driven public pressure, which may be linked to concerns in both traditional financial markets and the crypto market about potential liquidity drain from a large-scale IPO. Neither traditional financial markets nor the crypto market wants to see another massive liquidity outflow like the one that occurred during the SpaceX IPO. (New York Post)

Market cap hits $40 million one hour after launch: Solana-based meme coin Kimchi reaches $23.7 million in trading volume

Odaily reports: Solana-based meme coin Kimchi reached a market cap of $40 million one hour after launch, currently at $38.71 million, with trading volume reaching $23.7 million. Kimchi (@kimchi1x) currently holds 75.32% of the total supply of this meme coin. This trader rarely posts trading records or calls, mainly sharing photos and videos related to lifestyle, travel, luxury cars, and watches.Pump.fun co-founder alon stated that Kimchi is the first person to truly bridge the gap between the crypto industry and popular culture, and the first case of a trader growing into a public celebrity. alon said that Kimchi is helping Pump.fun develop creative direction and drive ecosystem expansion.

Darkfost Reviews JPMorgan CEO's Shifting Stance on Bitcoin: From "Fraud" to Recognizing the Right to Buy

Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost published a post on X outlining the evolution of JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's attitude toward Bitcoin in recent years.In 2017, Dimon called Bitcoin a "fraud"; in 2018, he expressed regret over those remarks and acknowledged the value of blockchain technology; from 2019 to 2020, he said Bitcoin "doesn't appeal to him"; in 2021, he called it "worthless"; in 2023, he said that if he had the power, he would ban Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies; and in 2024, he likened Bitcoin to "pet rocks" and a Ponzi scheme.In 2025, Dimon still criticized Bitcoin for lacking value and being used for money laundering, but later stated that everyone has the right to buy Bitcoin. Now, JPMorgan in its 2027 outlook has listed Bitcoin as the asset with the best long-term return performance.Previously reported, JPMorgan Asset Management released its "2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions" report on October 19, including Bitcoin in its long-term return projections for the first time and forecasting a compound annual growth rate of 10% over the next 10 to 15 years, higher than the 7.5% for U.S. large-cap stocks, 5.5% for gold, and 8.2% for U.S. real estate investment trusts (REITs).

Related funds hold nearly $1.8 billion in MSTR, Strategy faces potential removal from MSCI indices

Odaily reports: Market analyst Murphy posted on X that MSCI officially approved new rules on October 15 to exclude non-operating companies that do not meet standards from its global investable market indices. Strategy had already been placed on the proposed removal list in a prior simulated screening, with the final results to be announced on November 11 and effective on November 30. Related index funds hold approximately 13 million shares of MSTR, valued at nearly $1.8 billion, equivalent to 60% of its 30-day average daily trading volume.Murphy stated that Strategy's core logic lies in driving growth in net Bitcoin per share through capital operations, and whether it can sustain this depends on market premiums and the extent of their contraction. MSTR's future performance depends on three variables: Bitcoin price, net Bitcoin per share, and mNAV; as of market close on October 16, its mNAV stood at 1.08x.

Aster Announces Delisting of PAPER Pre-Market Perpetual Contract, Switches to Reduce-Only Mode

Decentralized trading platform Aster announced on X that, in light of recent developments related to PAPER and potential market risks, it has immediately adjusted the PAPER pre-market perpetual contract market to reduce-only mode.Aster stated that the contract will be officially delisted at 9:45 AM Beijing time on October 20, and advised users still holding open positions to proactively close them before the delisting.The platform said this move is a precautionary risk management measure aimed at maintaining orderly market trading.

Bitcoin Rebounds Above $82,000 as Fed's October Rate Hike Odds Fall to 12%

Odaily Report: Bitcoin News posted on X that Bitcoin rose about 2.4%, hitting a five-day high near $82,830 and rebounding from a low near $80,600 caused by weekend selling. Market expectations for another Fed rate hike have declined significantly, with traders now pricing in about a 12% probability that the Fed will raise rates at its October 28 meeting. Higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data last week had briefly sparked concerns about further monetary tightening; meanwhile, falling oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields improved investor sentiment.

10x Research: Altcoin Rebound Momentum Fades, Tracked Tokens Fell 14% on Average Last Week, Capital Continues to Flow Out of the Market

10x Research's latest crypto market weekly report notes that the crypto market broadly suffered a sell-off last week, with altcoins declining significantly more than Bitcoin. The 141 tokens it tracks fell 14% on average, while Bitcoin dropped only 3% over the same period.10x Research states that trading volume in the crypto market is currently declining, stablecoin supply continues to contract, and ETF fund flows have turned to net outflows, reflecting mounting pressure on market liquidity.However, options market pricing indicates that pressure remains relatively low, while speculative positions in the CME futures market are near highs, suggesting that the derivatives market has not yet fully reflected the weak performance of the spot market.10x Research believes that investors should focus this week on key Bitcoin technical levels, Ethereum position allocation, as well as capital flows and position changes in the altcoin market.

Can Bitcoin Return to $100,000 by Year-End? Market Views Diverge

market analysts are divided on whether Bitcoin can return to $100,000 before the end of 2026.Ryan Rasmussen, Head of Research at crypto asset management firm Bitwise, believes that factors such as institutional demand through ETFs and corporate Bitcoin purchases, concerns over inflation and government debt, and an improving regulatory environment are expected to push Bitcoin to higher levels by year-end, potentially even breaking through $100,000.Adam Morgan McCarthy, Head of Research at London-based crypto trading and market data firm LO:TECH, expects Bitcoin to trade mainly in the $85,000 to $95,000 range through year-end. He noted that inflation pressures and the possibility of further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve will continue to weigh on Bitcoin's performance. U.S. consumer prices rose 0.6% month-over-month in September, with core CPI up 0.3% month-over-month, complicating the outlook for monetary policy.Luca Invernizzi, Senior Derivatives Trader at Nomura's crypto unit Laser Digital, said Bitcoin will remain primarily driven by macroeconomic factors and U.S. long-term Treasury yields in the near term. However, market leverage has been largely flushed out, and if Bitcoin effectively breaks above $90,000, it could trigger a new round of short-covering. James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, also believes that the contradiction between inflation and a weakening job market will influence the Fed's subsequent policy decisions and Bitcoin's trajectory. (CoinDesk)

Analyst: Small- and Mid-Cap Crypto Assets Significantly Outpacing BTC in Market Cap Growth

Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost stated that since late August, small- and mid-cap crypto assets have seen the strongest market cap growth, with the gap between their monthly average and yearly average market cap continuing to widen, and the relevant ratio now reaching 41%. By comparison, Bitcoin's ratio stands at 7%, while large-cap crypto assets are at just 3.5%.Darkfost noted that this trend is relatively rare, as rallies are typically initiated by Bitcoin first, as was the case in the market performance after the 2023 bear market ended. However, small- and mid-cap assets are more sensitive to market changes, and the current trend could also reverse rapidly.

Analysts Respond to Claims That a 20% US Stock Market Correction Would Cause BTC to Plunge to $10,000: Predictions Are Too Extreme and Lack Historical Basis

Regarding recent community speculation that a 20% correction in the US stock market would trigger a plunge in Bitcoin to $10,000, crypto analyst Darkfost published an analysis noting that if Bitcoin were to fall to $10,000, it would represent a decline of approximately 87% from current prices and a drawdown of roughly 92% from its all-time high. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a maximum drawdown exceeding 92%, which occurred in 2011; its maximum drawdowns in 2015, 2019, 2022, and 2026 were 82.5%, 82.6%, 74.4%, and 54.2%, respectively. Darkfost further pointed out that while Bitcoin fell approximately 80% when the S&P 500 index corrected by about 19.53%, it only declined around 22% during the S&P 500's similar pullback of over 19% in April 2025. Therefore, directly linking a 20% US stock market correction to Bitcoin falling to $10,000 is not sufficiently supported by historical data.

Jump Trading and DRW Enter the Compute Financial Futures Market, Jump Has Formed a Dedicated Trading Team

According to Bloomberg, Jump Trading and DRW are deploying traders and capital into an emerging market for financial contracts tied to computing power, pushing the computing infrastructure behind the AI boom from theory to tradable practice. Jump has already formed a dedicated team that will deploy its proprietary balance sheet to hold positions and assume related risks. The team includes Affaan Mustafa and Alejandro Soumah Fernandez, who joined from computing power trading startup Ito Markets Inc., with plans to conduct trading across over-the-counter (OTC), perpetual contracts, and prediction markets. The report notes that this move comes as the AI boom faces market scrutiny.

DWF Labs: Market Has Not Yet Priced In AI-Crypto Convergence, DePIN and Future Payments May Become Key Beneficiary Sectors

DWF Labs stated that the market has not yet fully priced in the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) integration with the crypto industry. As agent trading and payments gradually gain traction, AI can help retail investors process more information, make faster decisions, and build their own capital management infrastructure, though related capital has not yet flowed into the crypto space at scale.

Estimated Loss of $13.45 Million: A Whale That Accumulated ETH at the Peak of This Bull Market Has Deposited 15,400 ETH to Exchanges

Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a whale that accumulated ETH at the peak of this bull market began building its position in September 2025 at around $4,600, then continued to add to its position as prices declined, withdrawing a total of 15,810 ETH worth $63.85 million at an average price of $4,101.85. Between October 2025 and October 2026, this whale deposited a cumulative total of 15,361.1 ETH worth $49.55 million to exchanges, with deposits made at price levels including $4,478 and $1,910 during this period. The most recent deposit occurred 5 hours ago, bringing the final average deposit price to $3,226.22. If the aforementioned ETH is sold, it would result in a loss of $13.45 million. Currently, 572 ETH remains on-chain.

Capital Outflows Could Reach $8.8 Billion as MSCI Plans to Remove Strategy and Other Bitcoin Treasury Companies from Global Equity Indexes

Bitcoin News posted on X that MSCI is advancing a proposed methodology that would classify Michael Saylor's Strategy, Japan's Metaplanet, and other digital asset treasury companies as "non-operating" enterprises, potentially excluding them from the MSCI Global Investable Market Indexes. JPMorgan estimates that passive funds tracking MSCI indexes may be forced to sell $2.8 billion worth of MSTR shares; if other index providers adopt similar rules, the broader capital outflow could reach $8.8 billion. Strategy's reverse analysis shows that MSCI-tracking funds hold approximately 3.1% of its outstanding shares; a final decision is expected around October 16, with implementation potentially beginning on November 30.

Polymarket's "StandX will issue a token before the end of 2026" probability drops to 3%, a 58% decline in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "StandX will issue a token before the end of 2026" probability has dropped to 3%, a 58% decline in 24 hours.If StandX officially launches a token before 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title, the prediction market will resolve as "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve as "No."Only tokens officially issued by StandX qualify; stablecoins, meme coins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens do not count.The token must have been publicly launched and be actually tradable; merely publishing an announcement does not meet the resolution criteria.Resolution is primarily based on StandX official information, with reference to consensus reports from credible media.Previous news: StandX announced it will not issue a token, and perpetual contracts will enter reduce-only mode starting October 20.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.

Bonk Guy: SI Poised to Hit New Highs, Market Cap Could Reach Hundreds of Millions

crypto KOL Bonk Guy posted on X platform, stating that panic selling in the market could last for hours or even days, and investors need not wait until the sell-off ends to start buying, but should instead focus on opportunities when market participants broadly lose confidence.Bonk Guy expressed optimism about SI's performance after this round of panic selling, believing it is poised to hit a new all-time high in the future, with a market cap reaching hundreds of millions of dollars.According to GMGN data, SI's current market cap stands at $13 million, with a 24H decline of 11.8%.