News linked to both this project and an event.
According to TechFlow research, Morgan Stanley's August 20 report noted that the U.S. Treasury will increase the size of its liquidity-supporting repo operations for the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year tenors from $2 billion per transaction to at least $4 billion, effective September 9. This marks the first adjustment to the repurchase volume outside of the quarterly refinancing window since the repo program launched in May 2024. The two tenors combined add $1.6 billion in notional amount, corresponding to approximately $19.3 million in DV01 (price change per one-basis-point move in rates), with a risk impact roughly double that of the November 2023 "supply surprise." Morgan Stanley stated that the Treasury's decision to expand repurchases ahead of schedule outside the quarterly refinancing window aims to signal close monitoring of long-end interest rate dynamics to the market, thereby buying time for the November refinancing window. The recent rise in the 10-year Treasury yield and curve steepening primarily reflect the market's repricing of energy prices and central bank policy trajectories, rather than concerns over deficits or supply. Morgan Stanley maintains its recommendation for a 7-year versus 30-year Treasury curve steepening trade, targeting a spread of 100 basis points (currently around 71 basis points). On the FX front, coordinated volatility in gold and the Swiss franc hit an annual peak on August 19; should the U.S. dollar policy narrative reassert itself, EUR/USD is likely to approach 1.2150.
Odaily News: CME Group Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy said this morning at a CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee meeting that trade.xyz and Hyperliquid are having a tangible impact on the U.S. market. trade.xyz, a leading market builder on the Hyperliquid chain, focuses on perpetual contracts for equities, commodities, and pre-IPO assets, and its trading volume already accounts for a significant share of Hyperliquid's activity. Terry Duffy has previously voiced concerns on multiple occasions regarding leverage and regulatory issues associated with such offshore platforms. Additionally, Terry Duffy clashed with CFTC Chairman Michael Selig and Kalshi Chief Operating Officer Luana Lopes Lara over prediction market regulation. Duffy noted that certain prediction market contracts carry manipulation risks, particularly those listed via self-certification. He pointed out that contracts tied to the content of the President's State of the Union address and the timing of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's departure from office may be susceptible to manipulation, adding that this is detrimental to the entire industry.
According to QCP Group, the US Treasury, via the New York Fed, jointly purchased yen with the Japanese Ministry of Finance last Friday, marking the first US-Japan joint foreign exchange intervention action specifically to support the yen since 1998. Meanwhile, the US 30-year Treasury yield briefly rose to about 5.27%, hitting a new high since 2007, before falling back to 5.24%. QCP pointed out that the transmission path of this intervention to the crypto market mainly unfolds through yen carry trades—rapid yen appreciation may force investors holding yen funding positions to deleverage and buy back yen, subsequently affecting risk assets including BTC and ETH, reenacting the market volatility triggered by carry trade unwinding in August 2024. QCP reminded that current macro monitoring indicators should take the USD/JPY exchange rate, Japan funding costs, and US long-end Treasury yields into consideration; fiscal policy operations are increasingly becoming an important variable affecting the direction of global liquidity.
Mizuho analysts stated that if the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the "Clarity Act," is passed, while it may generally benefit the digital asset industry, the long-term impact on Circle could be negative. The reason is that regulatory clarity will attract more large institutions into the stablecoin market, further accelerating stablecoin commodification and eroding the revenue potential of Circle's USDC.Mizuho believes that the primary pressure Circle faces in the near term comes from Open USD. This stablecoin project is backed by a coalition of over 140 financial, technology, and crypto companies, with members including Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, BlackRock, and Coinbase. Unlike Circle's model, which retains approximately 38% of USDC reserve yields, Open USD employs a "pass-through" model, distributing nearly all reserve yields to distribution partners while retaining only a small management fee.Analysts also noted that Coinbase, as the largest distributor of USDC, also supports Open USD. This could give Coinbase stronger bargaining power when renegotiating its revenue-sharing agreement with Circle in the future. The distribution agreement between the two parties could be up for renegotiation as early as next month.
According to the official announcement, Huobi HTX will host a themed live stream today at 20:00 titled "Ceasefire Ends, Oil Price Surges Past 75, STRATEGY Sells Coins at Loss for First Time: Can BTC's Macro Narrative Still Hold?" During the event, crypto KOLs such as HuaBai Blockchain, Sincere Little Taoist, Crypto.0824, and OxPink will gather in the live stream room to conduct in-depth discussions on recent market hotspots such as the fluctuating situation in the Middle East and the strong upward trend in international oil prices, and combine Federal Reserve policy expectations to analyze BTC's future trend as well as crypto asset allocation opportunities and risk management strategies, providing investors with multi-dimensional market observations and trading ideas.
Bitcoin slumped shortly after the US stock market opened, briefly breaking below the $79,000 mark, with a daily decline of approximately 3%, trading near its lowest level since May. Market consensus suggests this pullback is closely linked to the sell-off in risk assets triggered by a surge in US Treasury yields.Data shows that the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose above 4.55%, reaching its highest level in nearly a year, fueling concerns over tightening liquidity and a reassessment of risk assets. Analysts point out that this level previously triggered adjustments in US stocks and policy expectations last year, and is now once again serving as a key pressure signal.Trading firm The Kobeissi Letter stated that the "panic-driven rally" in the bond market is intensifying, with expectations for prolonged high interest rates growing. The market has begun pricing in the possibility of further rate hikes in the future, quickly cooling the previous "euphoria" in risk assets.From a technical perspective, analysts believe that after encountering multiple rejections from resistance above $82,000, Bitcoin's support structure is weakening. In the short term, it may retest the $75,000–$77,000 range, as the market enters a phase of range-bound trading and directional selection. (Cointelegraph)
According to CoinDesk, Jesse Spiro, Head of Government Affairs at Tether, stated at the Consensus Miami 2026 summit that the 2026 U.S. midterm elections will be a critical test of whether Washington’s recent crypto-friendly policies can endure. He noted that although legislative progress has been made—such as with the GENIUS Act—the election outcome could still have a disruptive impact on the industry’s trajectory, emphasizing that “crypto should not be partisan.” Colin McLaren, Head of Government Relations at the Solana Policy Institute, said the industry’s political efforts have now shifted toward “durability,” ensuring Congress continues advancing priority issues like tax reform and developer protections in the future. Mason Lynaugh, Executive Director of Stand With Crypto, stated that the organization’s nearly 3 million members view the election as a “moment of accountability,” and that highly mobilized crypto voters could sway election outcomes in key districts.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said Wednesday that the war with Iran increasingly appears to be an inflationary shock to the economy. While the impact on employment and economic growth is not yet apparent, concerns are mounting over supply chain disruptions and persistently rising prices. "This is not yet a 'stagflationary' shock"—the kind that simultaneously hits the job market and pushes up inflation, forcing the Fed to decide which of its policy objectives faces greater risk—Goolsbee said after a conference at the Milken Institute in Los Angeles. "This is purely an inflation shock. And the longer it persists, the more uneasy I become."
Vercel CEO Guillermo Rauch (@rauchg) announced that Vercel is conducting an in-depth investigation into the April 2026 security incident. The investigation revealed that the attackers initially breached Vercel’s systems via Context.ai’s account—a startup—but their activities extended far beyond this initial intrusion. Threat intelligence indicates that the attackers distributed malware to steal Vercel account credentials and API keys from other service providers, then used those keys to rapidly and extensively enumerate non-sensitive environment variables. To trace the root cause, Vercel has processed nearly 1 petabyte of network and API logs. Vercel is collaborating with industry partners—including Microsoft, AWS, and Wiz—to respond jointly and has proactively notified other potentially affected parties, urging them to rotate credentials and adopt security best practices.