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Odaily Odaily News, Serenity stated that the mass production timeline for the glass substrate industry appears to have been delayed by at least another quarter. Samsung Electro-Mechanics has postponed investments related to semiconductor glass substrates due to bottlenecks in prototype customer reliability evaluations, and recently adjusted its operation start timeline to 2028 during its Q2 earnings call.Additionally, according to a previous TrendForce report, SKC has postponed its glass substrate mass production timeline from the second half of 2026 to the first half of 2027, with plans to complete final verification by the end of this year. Samsung's timeline has also been pushed back from the second half of 2027 to the first half of 2028.Serenity noted that while the timeline delays are not a positive signal, the industry shift toward glass core substrates is still approaching. The capacity ramp-up pace of related manufacturers such as LPK, Philoptics, and E&R may remain in sync with the aforementioned mass production timelines.
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform, stating that a new cycle of AI advanced packaging is approaching. He also shared recent key timelines and major market participants in the glass substrate industry chain, including: SKC Absolics plans to commence mass production in the second half of 2026, primarily serving AMD clients; Samsung Electro-Mechanics × Sumitomo Chemical plans to start mass production in the second half of 2027, primarily serving Apple, Broadcom, and major cloud computing vendors; TSMC’s CoPoS roadmap predictions for 2–3 years are largely accurate; Innolux is one of the beneficiaries, and SHMD may also benefit, though its financial position is relatively weak.Serenity believes that participants in the relevant industry chain may benefit multiple times, such as Innolux and SKC. Meanwhile, upstream equipment suppliers will also benefit from these waves of mass production.
Odaily “New Stock God” Serenity posted on platform X, stating that the Glass Core Substrates market is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 67.2% starting from 2028, an astonishing growth rate. However, the actual volume ramp-up for this industry may occur earlier than forecasted, with an expected start in the second half of 2026 and an accelerated climb phase in the first half of 2027, rather than waiting until 2028.Serenity pointed out that despite differing views on the timeline, the overall industry trend remains "directionally correct and very strong" for glass substrate industry chain companies such as LPKF Laser & Electronics and SKC’s Absolics. He also reiterated that co-packaged optics (CPO) remains one of the technological trends with the greatest exponential growth potential currently. However, he emphasized that investors should appropriately allocate to multiple high-growth tracks to capture a more comprehensive share of the technology cycle dividends.