News linked to both this project and an event.
According to TechFlow Research, Morgan Stanley's August 16 research report noted that Reuters reported PE giant Silver Lake is in talks to acquire Workday, driving a collective surge in the software sector last Friday. Workday has a market cap of approximately $50 billion. If acquired at a 30% to 40% premium, the valuation would be approximately 5x 2027 P/S ratio and 16x 2027 free cash flow, both below historical averages. Morgan Stanley believes this indicates software stocks may have become cheap enough to entice PE firms to re-enter the market; if the deal materializes, it will boost sector valuations. The report also noted that while open-source models suppress token prices, hyperscalers can still maintain 20% to 60% ROIC on their proprietary compute. Investor surveys show 52% expect increased divergence within software stocks, with bulls numbering approximately twice that of bears. Morgan Stanley expects Cursor's annualized ARR to reach $8 billion by year-end and $33 billion by 2030, maintaining an Underweight rating on Netcompany. PE returning to acquisitions, cost layering of open-source models, and investor confidence repair—these three signals indicate software sector valuations have been compressed to a critical point.
According to EU-Startups, AI security startup Mindgard announced the completion of a €26 million (approximately $30 million) Series A funding round, led by Album VC, with participation from Karma Ventures, .406 Ventures, Atlantic Bridge, IQ Capital, and Lakestar. Mindgard was founded by Dr. Peter Garraghan in 2022, incubated by Lancaster University in the UK, and is headquartered in Boston and London. The company's platform provides Shadow AI discovery, AI red teaming, and runtime AI protection capabilities, and has helped disclose over 150 high-impact AI security vulnerabilities, covering issues such as the Cursor IDE zero-day code execution vulnerability, Google Antigravity trusted workspace defects, and ChatGPT image generation protection failures.
Odaily News: Global venture capital firm Accel has announced that it has raised $3.5 billion in new funds for early-stage investments worldwide. A total of four funds were raised, including a global expansion fund of $1.35 billion for larger early-stage rounds and follow-on investments; a U.S. fund and a Europe and Israel fund, each sized at $800 million; and an India fund of $550 million.Accel partner Harry Nelis said that companies are raising more capital earlier in their lifecycle than ever before, creating opportunities for investors, while the scale of risk remains.Accel has invested in AI companies such as Anthropic, Cursor, and Perplexity. (bloomberg)
According to Jin10 Data, SpaceX will announce its first earnings report since listing after the US stock market close on Tuesday. Since listing on June 12, the company's stock price has fallen nearly 50% from its high, with market capitalization shrinking by over $500 billion. As of Monday's close, it was reported at $114.53, approximately 15% lower than the IPO issuance price. Market focus centers on three key areas: • Starlink: S&P Global expects Q2 revenue to reach $6.9 billion, primarily driven by Starlink, which is currently SpaceX's only profitable business segment; • AI: SpaceX's AI business revenue was $818 million in the first three months of this year. It has reached compute supply cooperation agreements with Google, Anthropic, etc., and acquired coding startup Cursor (approximately $60 billion); • Starship: The 13th test flight was completed, but the booster experienced a hard landing. Analyst firm Bernstein believes Starship is one of the most critical factors supporting the high valuation. Additionally, after the lock-up period ends on Thursday, over 911 million shares (market value approximately $100 billion) will be unlocked for circulation. Coupled with short selling funds' paper profits reaching $8.3 billion, market selling pressure cannot be ignored.
AI infrastructure startup Fireworks AI has announced the completion of a $1.5 billion financing round, valuing the company at $17.5 billion. The company, previously backed by NVIDIA, primarily provides developers with cloud-based services for running open-source AI models, helping enterprises deploy AI applications at lower costs. This funding round was led by Atreides Management, Index Ventures, and TCV, with participation from NVIDIA, Evantic, and Lightspeed Venture Partners, among others. Currently, Fireworks processes approximately 40 trillion AI tokens daily. Its clients include companies such as Elastic, GitLab, and MongoDB. Previously, over half of its revenue came from the AI coding tool Cursor, but its client base has since become more diversified. (CNBC)
According to the latest macro-trend report released by QCP Group, market focus is shifting from the “signing-related optimism” surrounding multiple macro events toward post-signing execution risks. The U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) has been formally signed; Brent crude oil prices have retreated below USD 80 per barrel, easing tail risks. However, traffic volume through the Strait of Hormuz remains at just 14 transits—well below normal levels—and a 60-day technical negotiation window has now opened. Market pricing is pivoting toward actual tanker flow volumes and progress on compliance with the Lebanon ceasefire. The Federal Reserve unanimously held interest rates steady at 3.50%–3.75%, but signaled its intention to keep rates higher for longer. The median dot-plot projection for 2026 was raised to 3.8% (up from 3.4%), with the range widened to 3.4%–4.4%; forward guidance was simultaneously scrapped. Core PCE inflation forecasts stand at 3.30%, and headline PCE at 3.82%—both above target—confirming that inflation—not growth—remains the primary constraint. Following its IPO, SpaceX’s stock price has declined approximately 27% from its peak of USD 211 to USD 155, yet it remains 14.5% above its IPO price of USD 135. Market narrative has shifted from IPO momentum to AI financing logic: its USD 20 billion note issuance is earmarked to refinance an xAI bridge loan, while the ~USD 60 billion Anysphere/Cursor transaction converts equity into acquisition currency. SpaceX is now being integrated into the AI capital formation cycle. In the crypto market, S
Reflection AI, a startup building an open-source AI model network, has signed a data center cabinet lease agreement with SpaceX, with a contract scale of $6 billion. Reflection AI is valued at $25 billion. Following agreements with Anthropic and Google, SpaceX signed the contract with Reflection AI, effective from July 1 to the end of 2029, with an expected monthly revenue of $150 million. Both parties can terminate the contract with 90 days' notice after the initial three-month period. Reflection AI, backed by Nvidia, stated that additional computing resources will provide a foundation for building large-scale open-source models. SpaceX has also recently agreed to acquire AI coding company Cursor in a $60 billion all-stock swap transaction.
John Wang, Head of Crypto Business at prediction market platform Kalshi, stated on X that it is widely believed Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) was a "top-tier venture capitalist" who successfully invested in star projects like Anthropic and Cursor. However, Wang argued this narrative is inaccurate. The real "core figure" driving these investment strategies and early resource allocation was actually "AI stock guru" Leopold Aschenbrenner, not SBF himself.Analysis suggests that this remark has sparked discussion within the crypto and venture capital circles, once again bringing the attribution of SBF's influence on early-stage investments in Silicon Valley and the crypto industry into the spotlight. It is reported that the AI fund Situational Awareness, founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, has grown to over $20 billion in scale, with quantitative giant Jane Street making a rare capital injection. Situational Awareness has achieved a year-to-date return rate of 270% and cumulative returns exceeding 1,000% since its inception. Equity bets on Anthropic have contributed the most successful returns, accounting for one-fifth of its assets. Beyond public markets, Situational Awareness also co-led an investment round in AI chip company MatX with Jane Street and participated in the latest funding round of AI cloud computing provider Fluidstack.
According to Forbes, SBF’s early investment portfolio is undergoing renewed market scrutiny; had he not been imprisoned due to the FTX collapse, his venture capital returns could theoretically have generated wealth growth reaching approximately $100 billion. Prior to FTX’s collapse, SBF had built an investment portfolio spanning several high-profile companies—including Anthropic, SpaceX, Robinhood, and Cursor—with Cursor valued at $60 billion and Anthropic nearing a $90 billion valuation. Rory O’Driscoll, Partner at Scale Venture Partners, noted that SBF had backed multiple pivotal AI companies even before the ChatGPT era, demonstrating an exceptionally rare investment acumen.
According to Techstartups, Microsoft had explored acquiring AI programming tools company Cursor but ultimately did not proceed with the deal. Subsequently, SpaceX swiftly secured an option to acquire Cursor at a $60 billion valuation. Cursor has now become one of the key players in the AI programming space, benefiting from strong developer demand for automated programming and productivity tools—where OpenAI and Anthropic are fiercely competing. Meanwhile, Microsoft faces another set of pressures, with its stock down 10% this year, underperforming its peers in the hyperscale data center sector.
SpaceX announced today that it has reached a cooperation agreement with AI-powered programming startup Cursor, which has granted SpaceX the right to acquire Cursor later this year for $6 billion—or pay $1 billion to advance their collaboration. According to reports, Cursor’s developer, Anysphere, closed a $400,000 pre-seed funding round in April 2022, co-led by Alameda Research and Heroic Ventures. Alameda invested $200,000 in Anysphere, acquiring approximately 5% equity; this stake was sold at its original price during FTX’s bankruptcy liquidation. Had it not been sold, the stake would now be worth roughly $3 billion.
According to TechCrunch, AI-powered coding startup Cursor is nearing completion of a new funding round of at least $2 billion, with a post-money valuation of approximately $50 billion—nearly doubling its $29.3 billion valuation from six months ago. The round is co-led by existing investors Thrive Capital and Andreessen Horowitz, with Battery Ventures and strategic investor NVIDIA also expected to participate. The round has already been oversubscribed, though final terms have not yet been finalized. On the performance front, Cursor projects its annualized revenue to exceed $6 billion by the end of 2026—representing at least a threefold increase over the $2 billion annualized revenue it disclosed in February this year. Regarding profitability, the company achieved a slight positive gross margin overall after launching its in-house Composer model in November last year and incorporating lower-cost third-party models (e.g., Kimi from China). Its enterprise business has already reached gross-margin profitability, while its individual developer accounts remain unprofitable.