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Japanese Government Bond Yields Hit Nearly 30-Year High, Fiscal Expansion Space Under Pressure

Japan's 10-year government bond yield briefly rose to 2.945% this week, marking a nearly 30-year high and approaching the critical 3% level assumed in the Japanese government's budget. Rising yields are increasing pressure on government debt servicing, undermining Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's room to pursue large-scale fiscal expansion and growth investment. The Japanese government has allocated 31 trillion yen for debt servicing in the current fiscal year; if long-term yields remain above 3%, debt financing costs could significantly exceed the budget.

AMD Plans $5 Billion Bond Offering to Boost AI Infrastructure Investment

Odaily News Chip giant AMD plans to raise up to $5 billion through a four-part bond offering, which, if completed, would become one of the largest bond financings in the company's history.It is reported that AMD is increasing capital expenditure to address the rapidly growing demand for AI computing. Previously, the company has reached significant cooperation agreements with Anthropic and Microsoft (MSFT), and has committed to providing up to $5 billion in support to Anthropic.The proceeds from this bond offering will be used for general corporate purposes, including potential debt repayment. As of now, AMD has approximately $875 million in bonds maturing next month.The market believes that AMD's recent continuous expansion of its AI chip and computing infrastructure layout, with debt financing providing financial support for the company to further invest in its AI business, expand its supply chain, and drive strategic cooperation.

Intercontinental Exchange Launches Bond Financing in Preparation for $6 Billion Acquisition of MarketAxess

: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, has launched a U.S. investment-grade bond offering, just two weeks after the company announced its approximately $6 billion acquisition of the electronic bond trading platform MarketAxess.According to sources familiar with the matter, ICE's bond issuance is planned in up to five tranches, with maturities ranging from 3 to 10 years. The initial pricing guidance for the longest-dated bonds is approximately 1.15 percentage points above U.S. Treasury yields.ICE previously announced that it would acquire MarketAxess Holdings for approximately $6 billion to further expand its footprint in the fixed-income trading market. MarketAxess is one of the world's leading electronic bond trading platforms, primarily serving institutional investors and providing trading services for fixed-income products such as corporate bonds and government bonds.This acquisition is seen as a significant move by ICE to strengthen its bond market infrastructure. ICE currently owns the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), futures exchanges, clearing houses, and data services businesses, while MarketAxess's electronic bond trading network will help ICE further expand its fixed-income asset trading ecosystem.Market participants noted that as bond trading becomes increasingly electronic, traditional exchange operators are competing for institutional investment market share through acquisitions of trading platforms and data companies. This financing also reflects the trend of major financial infrastructure companies supporting strategic mergers and acquisitions through the debt market. (Bloomberg)

Goldman Sachs: Information Technology Stocks See Biggest Sell-Off in a Decade, Selling Pressure May Be Nearing Exhaustion

According to TechFlow Research, Goldman Sachs' August 3 position tracking report shows that the volume of long sales for global information technology stocks last week reached the highest level since 2014, with the total selling volume over two consecutive days ranking second highest in nearly a decade. Hedge funds' total leverage gave back half of its year-to-date gains, and net leverage turned negative year-to-date. Retail margin balances in South Korea and Japan began to reverse after reaching historical extremes, while US retail investors are also reducing semiconductor stock holdings. Speculative net shorts in VIX futures have largely been cleared. Goldman Sachs believes the intensity of deleveraging may have peaked, but the inertia of capital outflows persists. Individual stock implied volatility rose to the highest level since 2020, index correlation fell to low levels, and the market is shifting from trading the AI sector broadly to differentiated pricing of individual stocks. Bond funds and money market funds are the main drivers of capital inflows this year; equity funds saw inflows of $34 billion in July, with an absolute scale far smaller than that of the bond market. Goldman Sachs judges that the stock selection environment is improving, but sector beta trading still faces pressure.

JPMorgan Chase: $870 Billion AI Capex Accelerates, Funds Shift from Hardware to Cloud Giants

According to TechFlow Research, JPMorgan's US stock strategy report on July 20 estimates that global AI-related capital expenditure will approach $870 billion in 2026, up 77% year-on-year, with hyperscalers contributing about $750 billion. In 2027, growth rates remain high: Google +54% (approx. $300 billion), Amazon +42% (approx. $300 billion), Meta +42% (approx. $200 billion). Bond financing by the five major tech giants rose from $40 to 50 billion in 2022 to about $190 billion in 2026, and Google completed $85 billion in equity financing in June.

Reuters: Trump's 2025 Stock and Bond Holdings Increase by Approximately $703 Million to $2.6 Billion

According to Reuters' analysis of US President Trump's latest financial disclosure documents, his stock and bond holdings in 2025 have increased from about $703 million to $2.6 billion, at least four times the 2024 level; during the same period, Trump family crypto projects brought him over $1.4 billion in income. Reuters cited multiple digital asset experts stating that the disclosure shows although Trump publicly supports crypto assets, his personal wealth allocation still clearly leans towards traditional financial assets. Previously, Reuters reported that retail investors in Trump-related crypto projects have cumulative losses of about $2.3 billion.

Trump Financial Disclosure: After Cashing Out $1.4 Billion from Crypto Projects, Traditional Stock and Bond Portfolio Valuation Increases to Up to $2.6 Billion

Trump received over $1.4 billion in income from crypto projects led by his family. Reuters analysis stated that the related proceeds were subsequently quickly allocated to traditional stock and bond markets. By the end of 2025, the valuation of his traditional stock and bond portfolio rose to approximately $703 million to $2.6 billion, representing a significant increase compared to the end of 2024.

Apollo Chief Economist: Massive Bond Issuance by AI Companies May Crowd Out Demand for U.S. Treasuries

Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok issued a risk warning, stating that major AI companies are heavily borrowing for industrial expansion, with the total scale of related bond issuance estimated to reach $700 billion. This massive new supply is diverting market funds, creating a significant crowding-out effect on U.S. Treasuries and other credit products.Torsten Slok stated that if the scale of debt financing for AI infrastructure continues to expand, the overall capital allocation logic in the bond market will undergo a restructuring, persistently suppressing demand for U.S. Treasuries while exerting medium- to long-term pressure on the liquidity of the entire credit market.

Citrini: Hyperscaler Bond Issuance Over Next Two Years May Far Exceed Market Expectations

Citrini Research, the institution behind the "AI Doomsday Report," stated that bond issuance by hyperscalers in 2027 to 2028 could be more than double current market expectations, primarily to support the construction of AI data centers.Citrini Research pointed out that AI-related debt issuance is expected to approach $570 billion in 2026, while hyperscalers' capital expenditures have already exceeded $600 billion. Amid the continued push for AI infrastructure development, these companies are gradually shifting from relying on cash reserves to raising more funds through the bond market.

South Korea’s KB Kookmin Bank Issues $100 Million Blockchain-Based Digital Bond in Hong Kong

According to the Seoul Economic Daily, KB Kookmin Bank announced the issuance of a USD 100 million blockchain-based digital bond in the Hong Kong market, marking the first time a Korean bank has applied blockchain technology to an actual foreign-currency financing transaction. This issuance reduces the settlement cycle from the traditional five business days to three business days, helping streamline processes and lower counterparty settlement risk. The two-year USD digital bond was issued privately, with HSBC serving as the sole bookrunner; the issuance process was completed via HSBC’s digital asset platform, Orion.

Morgan Stanley: Global AI-Related Bond Issuance Could Approach $570 Billion in 2026

According to the latest forecast from Morgan Stanley, global bond issuance related to artificial intelligence (AI) could approach $570 billion in 2026, more than doubling from last year's figure.Given that capital expenditures by hyperscalers are expected to surpass $1 trillion by 2027, Morgan Stanley believes the pace of bond issuance will accelerate further in the second half of this year.As of the end of May this year, approximately $236 billion in AI-related debt financing had been issued globally, roughly four times the volume seen during the same period last year.As tech companies continue to escalate their spending on AI, which increasingly exceeds what their own profitability can cover, debt financing is becoming an increasingly important source of capital for them.Morgan Stanley noted that to diversify their funding channels, hyperscalers are increasingly issuing bonds outside of the US dollar market. For instance, giants like Google's parent company Alphabet and Amazon have issued substantial euro-denominated bonds in the European market. (Cailianshe)