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Analyst: Bitcoin maintains a fragile equilibrium near $75,000; ETF inflows hedge against geopolitical risk shocks

According to The Block, despite renewed U.S.-Iran tensions disrupting expectations for the Strait of Hormuz and triggering volatility across oil, stock, and cryptocurrency markets, Bitcoin stabilized near $75,200 on Monday. Analysts noted that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $996.4 million last week—the strongest weekly performance since mid-January—reflecting institutional demand supporting the market. However, the market remains in a “fragile equilibrium,” with stablecoin balances continuing to rise, indicating that liquidity within the crypto market is rotating internally rather than flowing out.

Analysis: This BTC rebound is driven by “liquidity” rather than a fundamental strengthening of the trend.

According to The Block, Bitcoin rose approximately 6% this week, briefly reaching $76,300—the highest level in nearly two months—yet the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains at 21 (“Extreme Fear”). Multiple institutional analysts characterize this rally as “liquidity-driven” rather than a structural strengthening. Glassnode notes that while spot demand and ETF inflows have improved, the recovery lacks depth, institutional participation remains cautious, and options market positioning continues to favor downside protection. Bitfinex attributes this price increase primarily to concentrated buying by “Strategists” (who purchased 13,927 BTC last week), rather than an organic rebound in demand. Analysts broadly view $75,000 as a critical support level; if structural buying wanes and this level fails to hold, prices could retreat to the $70,000–$71,000 range. On the macro front, the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory and the June FOMC meeting are seen as the next key risk catalysts.

Russian exchange Grinex suspends operations after ~$15 million attack

According to The Block, Grinex—a Russia-linked cryptocurrency exchange—suspended withdrawals and trading on Thursday after suffering a hack reportedly worth approximately $15 million. Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic stated that the stolen funds consisted of USDT, which were subsequently moved across the Tron and Ethereum networks and swapped for TRX and ETH to reduce the risk of being frozen by Tether. Grinex said its wallet infrastructure was hit by a “large-scale cyberattack,” resulting in losses exceeding 1 billion rubles—approximately $13.1 million. Reports indicate Grinex is widely regarded as one of the successor platforms to sanctioned exchange Garantex, which U.S. authorities targeted last year for facilitating hundreds of millions of dollars in illicit fund flows.

Bitwise: Geopolitical Tensions Drive Bitcoin’s Outperformance Against Gold and U.S. Equities; It May Become an International Settlement Currency

According to The Block, Bitwise analysts noted that since the U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iran on February 28, Bitcoin’s price has risen 12%, significantly outperforming gold (down 10%) and the S&P 500 Index (down 1%) over the same period. Bitwise views Bitcoin as a “dual bet”: challenging gold’s dominance in the global store-of-value market while also emerging as a potential medium for international trade settlement. The analysis suggests that fragmentation of the global financial system—and the weaponization of financial infrastructure—are driving nations to explore non-sovereign, decentralized assets. Recently, Iran’s willingness to accept Bitcoin for payments related to oil shipments further reinforces this trend. Bitwise states that geopolitical turmoil and instability within the global financial system will enhance Bitcoin’s safe-haven attributes, with its future price potentially benchmarked at $1 million.

US Musician Loses 5.9 BTC Due to Fake Ledger Wallet

According to The Block, U.S. musician Garrett Dutton (stage name G. Love) lost 5.9 BTC—worth approximately $420,000—after downloading and using a counterfeit Ledger wallet app from the App Store and entering his recovery phrase. On-chain analyst ZachXBT discovered that the attacker laundered the stolen Bitcoin via the KuCoin platform. This incident once again exposes the security risks posed by fake wallet apps, reminding users to exercise heightened caution when downloading and using cryptocurrency-related applications, and to avoid entering sensitive information through unofficial channels.

Analysis: Bitcoin fluctuates near its high amid U.S. CPI data and geopolitical risks; ETF net inflows remain strong

According to The Block, Bitcoin continued its high-range consolidation this week, holding above $72,000, influenced by developments in the Middle East and U.S. CPI inflation data. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $358 million in net inflows on April 9, while Ethereum funds attracted approximately $85 million in new capital. Analysts noted that although the Middle East ceasefire has reduced risk premiums, markets have yet to return to normal, with oil prices, interest rates, and crypto assets remaining tightly correlated. March’s CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year—slightly below expectations—with rising energy costs serving as the primary driver. Institutional investors remain cautious toward risk, and options markets suggest volatility may subside over the summer. Bitcoin’s current price action is driven by macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, and traders are awaiting further data to assess its next directional move.

Michael Saylor: Bitcoin May Have Already Bottomed Near $60,000; Quantum Computing Risks Are Overblown

According to The Block, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy, stated that Bitcoin may have already bottomed near $60,000, as forced sellers have gradually exited the market. Saylor also expressed skepticism regarding the security threat posed by quantum computing, describing the associated risks as still “theoretical” at present and believing the issue can be adequately addressed in the future—thus warranting no excessive concern.