News linked to both this project and an event.
Crypto analyst Darkfost stated in a post that over the past decade, the amplitude of Bitcoin price fluctuations around the "Power Law" trendline has been gradually decreasing, with market cycle volatility trending toward convergence. The oscillator index peak has declined from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025, while its daily change standard deviation has fallen from 4.81 to 2.47, representing a drop of approximately 49%. Darkfost added that as of October 3, the model’s oscillator index stood at +34.5, with Bitcoin trading at approximately $84,700. Based on that day's model parameters, an oscillator index reaching +100 would correspond to a Bitcoin price of roughly $157,800, which is about 86% higher than the current price. He also noted that $157,800 is not a fixed target price, but rather a reference level calculated based on current regression parameters. If the Power Law trendline continues to rise in the future, this reference level will increase accordingly.
Odaily News: DWF Labs Managing Partner Andrei Grachev stated that if Trump wins the midterm elections and distributes $5,000 to every U.S. adult citizen, the scale of the distribution would be equivalent to 150% of the "helicopter money" during the COVID-19 pandemic. Some of these funds could flow into the crypto market, potentially triggering a bull run similar to that of 2021. If this scenario materializes, investors should cash out their gains during the rally, as a crisis may follow.Trump previously promised that if Republicans win House and Senate seats in the midterm elections, he would distribute $5,000 "dividends" to every U.S. adult citizen. Based on approximately 240 million U.S. adult citizens, the plan is estimated to cost about $1.2 trillion.
Bitget CEO Gracy Chen posted a 12-hour progress report on the security incident on X, including:1. Affected assets include ETH, XRP (largest single-chain loss), BNB, AVAX, USDT, USDC, and other tokens. Affected chains include: Ethereum, XRP Ledger, Arbitrum, Avalanche, Optimism, BSC, and Base. All on-chain cold wallets have been confirmed secure and unaffected.2. All foundations of the affected chains have been contacted, and some foundations have confirmed the freezing of the hacker's wallet addresses.3. Based on IP behavioral characteristics and on-chain analysis, the attack methodology is highly consistent with known patterns of North Korean hacker groups. Relevant authorities have been notified, and full cooperation is being provided for a global investigation.4. Bitget Wallet (decentralized wallet) operates completely independently from Bitget exchange infrastructure, and this incident has no impact on it. Bitget Wallet assets are completely safe.5. Transparent disclosure regarding the platform's financial status: In addition to over $464 million in protection funds (all held in publicly verifiable wallet addresses), Bitget's own assets exceed $1 billion. User funds are covered at a 1:1 ratio, and all data can be verified on-chain.6. Regarding withdrawal recovery timing: The goal is to achieve full recovery as soon as possible. Once a specific time window is confirmed, an announcement will be made immediately. No commitment will be made to timelines that cannot be fulfilled.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Aunt AI's monitoring, the whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" currently has an unrealized profit of over $12.26 million on their BTC long position, with a return rate of approximately 26.19%.They had previously stated multiple times that a market reversal trend has arrived and would maintain a long strategy. On August 28, they publicly mentioned adding to their BTC position in the $78,000 to $79,800 price range. Based on current data, the actual position is 2,206.71 BTC, worth approximately $187 million, with an average entry price of about $79,470.92.
According to Odaily on-chain data monitoring, an address labeled Hyperliquid transferred 300,000 tokens to a Gate exchange address (0x85FA…C35c). Based on the on-chain price at the time, the assets were valued at approximately $23.97 million.
Odaily News According to a post by whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" on platform X, Bitcoin has firmly established support at $80,000 and is now targeting $100,000, calling it the "last chance to get on board." Based on the chart shared, crypto-related stocks and ETFs such as IBIT, CRCL, and MSTR saw significant gains today.
Odaily News – Just two months after its launch, Robinhood Chain has seen cumulative transaction fees rise to $13.05 million, setting a new all-time high. Based on the annualized average of the last 30 days of fee revenue, the annualized revenue scale stands at approximately $110 million. At current cumulative revenue levels, roughly $1.3 million will flow directly to the Arbitrum ecosystem. Under the cooperation licensing agreement between the two parties, Robinhood Chain is required to return 10% of its protocol net revenue to the Arbitrum ecosystem, with 8% going to the Arbitrum DAO treasury and 2% to the Arbitrum Developer Guild.
According to On-Chain Lens monitoring, as of early today, an institution has gradually deposited 109,806 ETH into centralized exchanges over the past three days, valued at approximately $266 million, at an average price of $2,430. The address associated with this institution currently holds 58,048 ETH, worth approximately $140 million. If sold off entirely, the total sell volume would reach 167,854 ETH, valued at roughly $406 million. Based on an initial entry cost of around $1,700 two years ago, the projected profit stands at approximately $122 million.
Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Yu Ying's monitoring, the HyperLabs address (0x43e9...a251) applied to redeem 433,000 HYPE from staking 10 minutes ago, worth $36.14 million. This HYPE will complete its staking exit in 7 days, i.e., on September 6. Based on previous records, this HYPE will be transferred to a centralized exchange through market maker Flowdesk after the exit.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), trader "Set 10 Big Goals First" (@Jason60704294) has completely stopped out and closed all additional BTC and ETH short positions. The three trades executed since this "comeback" have collectively turned into a loss, primarily representing a pullback from previously realized profits; the trader had previously disclosed cumulative gains of approximately $70 million. Specifically, profits from prior long positions reached about $20 million; the first short position incurred a loss of roughly $6.283 million; the first half of the second short position booked a confirmed loss of approximately $10.158 million, while the second half's loss remains undisclosed and is estimated at around $9 million. Based on known and estimated figures, the cumulative loss on the second short position may total approximately $19.158 million, bringing the combined loss from both short positions to roughly $25.441 million.
According to BeInCrypto, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen stated that Bitcoin is currently on day 1,363 of this cycle, while the past two cycles bottomed out on day 1,432 and day 1,436 respectively. Based on this, the bottom of this cycle is estimated to appear in October 2026, approximately 69-73 days from now. Cowen also pointed out that August and September have historically been seasonally weak periods for Bitcoin, with an average decline of about 10% in August during midterm election years. However, this prediction faces institutional-level skepticism. Fidelity pointed out that within months after Bitcoin hit an all-time high, one-year volatility touched a new low, a signal that never appeared in previous cycles; Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes that continuous inflows into spot ETFs and corporate balance sheet allocation demands have weakened traditional halving cycle patterns; Grayscale's 2026 outlook report also holds a similar view. Cowen, however, insists that although tops are becoming flatter, the bottom ranges of the four cycles have hardly shifted.
Odaily News: Citrini analyst Jukan posted on X platform stating that Anthropic investors believe the surging demand for its Claude series of advanced AI models and tools is sufficient to support the company's extremely high valuation expectations. According to investor estimates, Anthropic is expected to reach an annualized revenue of $100 billion to $120 billion by the end of 2026, a figure calculated using the company's preferred method, which projects full-year sales based on recent performance. If this expectation is realized, Anthropic's revenue scale would grow more than 10 times during 2026.An institutional investor commented: "If Anthropic can achieve 800% annual growth, even at a very conservative level, its valuation could reach 30 times revenue." Based on this valuation logic, Anthropic's potential market capitalization could reach $3 trillion.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, Robinhood-related token STONKBROKER has a market cap approaching $100 million. Lottery-style trader (0x867…b93e8) purchased $5,080 worth of STONKBROKER at an average price of $0.0004373, with the earliest purchase price as low as $0.0001773. Based on the current price of $0.03535, this address now holds unrealized profits of $406,000, representing a return rate of 8,143.3%, and still holds the position.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ember's monitoring, 433,000 HYPE tokens, worth $24.25 million, redeemed from staking a week ago by Hyperliquid development team HyperLabs address (0x43e...251), arrived in the account early yesterday morning. Early this morning, the redeemed 433,000 HYPE were distributed and transferred to 9 wallets. Based on previous unstaking transfer records, these HYPE are expected to flow into CEX through market maker Flowdesk.
Odaily News, According to blockchain detective Specter's monitoring, it has identified a cluster of wallets holding 28,600 BTC, valued at approximately $1.8 billion, suspected to be related to wallets previously attributed to the Zhimin Qian money laundering case. A few weeks ago, a Bitcoin wallet that had been dormant since 2017 transferred 1,020 BTC, valued at approximately $60 million, and began distributing funds to multiple addresses in a manner consistent with money laundering patterns. After tracing these transactions, Specter discovered that the related wallet cluster connects to addresses publicly associated with the UK's investigation into Zhimin Qian. Between 2014 and 2017, Zhimin Qian organized large-scale investment fraud in China, with over 128,000 victims. UK authorities later traced substantial criminal proceeds flowing into Bitcoin, and the Met Police ultimately seized 60,000 BTC, marking the largest cryptocurrency seizure in UK history at the time. In July 2021, UK authorities transferred the seized BTC, creating identifiable on-chain links. Following the recent transfer of 1,020 BTC, Specter identified additional wallets that collectively hold 28,600 BTC, valued at approximately $1.8 billion, and these wallets have remained largely dormant since June 2021. Based on on-chain evidence, it remains unclear whether these wallets are still controlled by the same actor, other custodians, or have already been identified by law enforcement.
Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, Bitmine (@BitMNR) deposited 150,100 ETH into Ethereum staking 2 hours ago. Bitmine currently holds a total of 5.7978 million ETH, of which 87% (5.0673 million ETH) is in staking to generate yield. Based on the current APR of 2.66%, the annual yield is approximately 134,800 ETH, valued at $250 million.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted that data shows the volume of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) inflows to exchanges recently reached a phased high. Based on the 90-day average, current long-term holder inflows account for 5.1% of total exchange inflows, approaching historical highs, surpassed only by the level of approximately 5.5% in 2020.
that, according to Lookonchain monitoring, since June 30, whale address 0x2684 has accumulated purchases of 54,449 ETH (approximately $94 million) at an average cost of $1,726; simultaneously, it has accumulated purchases of 600 WBTC (approximately $38.37 million) at an average cost of $63,950. Based on current prices, the unrealized floating profit for this address has now exceeded $12.5 million.
: According to on-chain analyst Ember's monitoring, an address suspected to be associated with Multicoin Capital (0xaB3...297) is selling 607,000 HYPE, worth $37 million; 4 hours ago, it transferred 395,000 HYPE to Coinbase and requested the redemption of 211,000 HYPE staked on Hyperliquid. These HYPE tokens were purchased 5 months ago via Galaxy Digital OTC at a price of $30. Of these, 210,000 HYPE were deposited into staking, while 395,000 HYPE remained in the wallet. Based on the current HYPE price of $61, its profit stands at $18.8 million.
Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" has started to turn bullish on Bitcoin and bearish on US AI stocks. He stated that the reason all four trades since June 25 have been long positions is his anticipation that BTC will initiate a new round of upward movement, while the corresponding US AI/tech stock sector may face a major correction. Based on this judgment, he will treat the long position opened on July 18 (69.4 BTC) as a medium-to-long-term position, without ruling out the possibility of changing strategy midway.