News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News, Galaxy Research Head Alex Thorn stated on the X platform that attacks exploiting the Coldcard hardware wallet vulnerability have noticeably declined, but cumulative losses continue to rise as more victims come forward. The impact of this incident on the Bitcoin community is significant, as the victims are primarily long-term BTC holders who adhered to self-custody cold storage principles, rather than those who lost assets due to high-risk trading or DeFi activities.At a scale of $112 million, this incident ranks among the top 20 largest hacks in crypto history and is one of the most severe security breaches in the hardware wallet self-custody sector to date. Bitcoin culture may be entering a new phase—the era of relying solely on ideological advocacy and extreme self-custody promotion is coming to an end. The community needs to place greater emphasis on technical security, lower the barrier to entry for users, and avoid simply shifting the burden of security responsibility onto ordinary users. This crisis may ultimately drive the Bitcoin ecosystem to establish a more mature security framework.Galaxy Research has directly contacted 190 victims and has confirmed with high confidence that the exploit has led to the theft of 1,778.84 BTC (approximately $112.7 million) from over 8,600 addresses. This tally does not yet include certain moderately credible suspicious attack records, such as the unconfirmed "Wave 4." If these potential attack scopes are incorporated, total losses could expand to 2,417.35 BTC (approximately $153 million).Meanwhile, the incident is reshaping market perceptions of self-custody security. Galaxy noted that multisig wallets have emerged as the "winners" of this event, with no stolen transactions traced to multisig wallets so far. Multisig service providers including Casa, Unchained, Nunchuk, and Anchorwatch have all observed a notable increase in user registrations and BTC inflows.
Odaily News: According to Bitcoin News monitoring, Alex Thorn of Galaxy Research stated that researchers initially identified the first wave of COLDCARD thefts through a distinctive on-chain pattern: thousands of automated asset transfer transactions used the same fixed fee rate and exhibited identical transaction behavior. This characteristic enabled analysts to trace attacker activity across Bitcoin UTXO history and map out multiple rounds of coordinated theft.
Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn stated that based on new victim reports received following the incident, the number of attackers exploiting the Coldcard vulnerability has reached at least 15.Thorn noted that information provided by victims helped the research team uncover previously unidentified attack activity. Unlike thefts from centralized exchanges, correlations between the attackers in this vulnerability exploit require confirmation through on-chain analysis and victim feedback.He added that a single victim reporting less than 1 BTC stolen helped the team discover a previously unknown attack, which siphoned approximately 12 BTC from 126 addresses.According to Galaxy Research's earlier estimates, the Coldcard vulnerability has led to at least three rounds of attacks, with losses amounting to approximately $100 million in BTC. Additionally, Galaxy has identified a suspected fourth round of attacks, which could bring total losses to approximately $130 million.Meanwhile, the incident has also sparked discussions regarding the security of Bitcoin self-custody. Dragonfly Managing Partner Haseeb Qureshi stated that "AI security hardening costing around $2" could potentially have prevented this vulnerability, and noted that some AI models were able to rediscover related vulnerabilities within a relatively short timeframe. However, industry insiders pointed out that current claims about the speed of AI discovering vulnerabilities lack rigorous blind testing and verification.Researchers believe that as AI model capabilities improve, the costs of vulnerability discovery and attacks in the crypto industry may continue to decline, requiring wallet developers to further strengthen code audits and security protections. (Cointelegraph)
According to CoinDesk, well-known CNBC host Jim Cramer announced this week his plan to liquidate all Bitcoin holdings, citing the rapid development of quantum computing technology as a potential threat to cryptocurrency security within the next three to four years. This statement originated from his interview on July 31 with IBM Chairman and CEO Arvind Krishna, who warned that quantum computers could challenge modern cryptographic systems within that timeframe. However, the crypto community generally remains optimistic about this. Alex, a self-proclaimed Bitcoin maximalist and X user, stated bluntly: "Cramer is at it again; this is the strongest buy signal Bitcoin has received for 2026." This reaction is closely linked to Cramer's long-standing market reputation as a "contrarian indicator"—his historical prediction record is notorious: in 2017, he called Bitcoin "Monopoly money"; in 2021, BTC hit an all-time high shortly after he liquidated his holdings; in 2024, he warned of a plunge following the ETF launch, yet BTC rose to $70,000 within two months. Currently, the BTC price remains steady near $64,000, with the market showing a muted reaction to his quantum warning.
Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 发文表示，围绕 Coldcard 钱包的攻击事件仍在持续发展，目前已经出现更多小型攻击者和模仿者，针对剩余 Coldcard 助记词展开攻击，他称通过协助已确认一名攻击事件中存款用户的身份，相关资金在 Duel 平台能够冻结之前已经被转出，而且涉及的资金并不属于 Galaxy Research 此前识别出的三轮主要攻击浪潮。 此前，Coldcard 疑似安全事件引发市场关注，多名研究人员发现部分由 Coldcard 生成的钱包地址出现异常资金转移。Galaxy Research 仍在持续追踪攻击地址，并提醒仍使用相关钱包种子的用户尽快采取安全措施。此次事件也进一步凸显了硬件钱包安全、私钥管理以及自托管风险防范的重要性。
According to The Block, Alex Svanevik, CEO of on-chain data platform Nansen, stated that AI trading agents are expected to surpass human traders within the next two years. To this end, Nansen is expanding its platform from on-chain data analysis to direct trade execution, aiming to achieve "all-asset on-chain trading via agents." He mentioned that the platform has launched relevant trading features, with cumulative trading volume exceeding $500 million.
According to a post by Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins), Head of Research at Galaxy Research, metrics related to Bitcoin long-term holders have all reached all-time highs: Supply held for ≥10 years accounts for 17.7% Long-term holder holdings reach 16.75 million coins Long-term holder Realized Market Cap reaches $836.4 billion Long-term holder average cost basis reaches $50,000 The above data indicates that a large amount of holdings are firmly locked by long-term holders; even though the average price has reached $50,000, they refuse to sell. The market's actual circulating supply continues to tighten, and long-term holder behavior is building solid bottom support for Bitcoin prices.
According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin address "1KV47" recently completed its first transfer operation in nearly 15 years, moving 30 BTC (approximately $1.88 million) out of the wallet. The address initially received the aforementioned Bitcoin in August 2011. This address is one of 39,069 listed addresses in a New York lawsuit, where plaintiff "Noah Doe" and two Wyoming companies are attempting to claim ownership of these dormant Bitcoins under New York State lost property law. According to data from Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn, 31 related addresses have transferred 17,527 BTC in June, a significant increase compared to 4,834 in February. Legal experts point out that address dormancy is not equivalent to abandonment of ownership, and in the absence of proof of private keys, the basis of this lawsuit is "extremely weak".
Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading narrowly between $59,000 and $60,000 for the fifth consecutive day. However, analysts warn that this "calm" market condition may conceal greater risks, with the key issue being that this oscillation is occurring within a downtrend.FxPro's Chief Market Analyst, Alex Kuptsikevich, stated that the current price action resembles Bitcoin's consolidation between $55,000 and $70,000 from March to October 2024, but the contexts differ. The previous consolidation occurred in a rising market, whereas the current oscillation is below support levels. Additionally, both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages are trending downward, indicating the market remains bearish.Kuptsikevich noted that if this consolidation pattern breaks to the downside, rather than forming a base for a rebound, Bitcoin's next significant support zone could be near the $40,000 level.On-chain data is also signaling pressure. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost indicated that long-term holders may be engaging in loss-making selling behavior. In historical cycles, this phase is typically accompanied by short-term pressure, but it may also become a long-term buying opportunity.Meanwhile, market demand remains relatively weak, with active address counts and on-chain transaction activity both at recent lows. Financial pressure on corporate Bitcoin giant Strategy has also heightened market concerns. Its preferred stock, STRC, recently fell to around $71, while its common stock dropped approximately 25% in a week, hitting its lowest level since February 2024.Strategy previously stated that it might sell over $1 billion worth of its Bitcoin reserves to improve its financial situation. This is seen as a significant shift from founder Michael Saylor's "never sell" strategy.Additionally, a strengthening US dollar and continued capital flows into AI-related assets in the US stock market are exerting pressure on dollar-denominated risk assets like Bitcoin. BTC is currently on track to end the second quarter with a decline of approximately 13%, while US stocks remain strong due to the AI investment boom. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News Alex Svanevik, CEO of on-chain analytics platform Nansen, stated that when enterprises begin effectively using Chinese large language models, the bubble in the AI industry may burst. While the U.S. regulatory environment could limit this process, the overall trend remains that Chinese models are continuously becoming more efficient, capable of running on non-cutting-edge hardware, while global GPU supply (including non-Nvidia chips) is increasing.Alex Svanevik also pointed out that the recent decline in H100 and H200 GPU rental prices reflects a shift in the supply-demand structure of computing power. He raised the question of how to interpret the market signal of declining GPU rental prices. As model efficiency improves alongside expanding computing power supply, the AI infrastructure market may be entering a phase of repricing.
Despite Bitcoin bouncing after falling below $60,000, several market analysts believe this is more likely a technical correction following an oversold condition rather than the start of a new bull market.Analysts at HEX Trust stated that the market has entered an oversold territory. If US inflation data cools and the outflow from spot Bitcoin ETFs slows down, Bitcoin could see further upside. However, a true trend reversal depends on the market’s ability to firmly reclaim the $79,000 to $80,000 range. Until then, any upward movement should be viewed as a corrective rally within a bear market.Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Analyst at FxPro, is relatively more optimistic. He believes that if Bitcoin can rebound to around $68,000, it could be considered a valid recovery from the downtrend observed between May 11 and June 5.Data shows that the net cumulative outflow from the 11 US spot Bitcoin ETFs over the past four weeks has exceeded $5 billion. On Monday alone, another $91 million flowed out. Analysts point out that ETF fund flows remain one of the key factors determining Bitcoin’s future trajectory.Additionally, the market is closely watching US inflation data scheduled for release on Wednesday. If the inflation figure comes in lower than expected, it could help ease market concerns about further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, thereby providing support for risk assets like Bitcoin. The market currently expects the US inflation rate for May to remain above 4%, significantly higher than the Fed's long-term target of 2%. (CoinDesk)
Odaily An unknown trader sold approximately $1.3 billion worth of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) on a dark pool on Tuesday, sparking market attention.Data shows the trader sold 29.2 million shares of IBIT at $43.16 per share around 14:30 UTC. Consequently, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $77,875 to $76,720 within 10 minutes, a decline of about 1.5%, before further dipping to around $75,600.Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, stated this is the largest IBIT dark pool trade he has ever seen. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the trade size was 22 times larger than the second-largest IBIT sell order of the day.Additionally, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for eight consecutive trading days. On Tuesday alone, net outflows totaled approximately $333.6 million, with IBIT seeing outflows of about $192.4 million. Since May 14, cumulative net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs have exceeded $2 billion. Reports indicate that Jane Street reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings by about 70% in the first quarter, while Goldman Sachs also trimmed its positions by approximately 10%. (Cointelegraph)
Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy, stated on platform X that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products continued to see capital outflows this week, with net outflows reaching $1.2 billion, making it the third most severe week of outflows since 2026.
Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins), Head of Research at Galaxy Research, published a post revealing that Galaxy Research has released a new report refuting banking industry claims that the GENIUS Act would erode U.S. bank deposits—and providing quantitative estimates. Key findings from the report include: - Under the GENIUS Act framework, 60%–70% of new stablecoin issuance would originate overseas; inflows of foreign deposits would be approximately twice the volume of domestic deposit migration—indicating a net increase in total deposits rather than a zero-sum reallocation. - Each newly minted GENIUS stablecoin would generate approximately $0.32 in net credit for the U.S. economy. - In the base-case scenario, total credit expansion by 2030 would reach roughly $400 billion; under the optimistic scenario, it could reach $1.2 trillion. - Short-term U.S. Treasury yields (T-bills) would compress by 3–5 basis points, potentially saving taxpayers up to $3 billion annually in borrowing costs. - The report also notes that the interest pass-through mechanism does not pose an existential threat to U.S. banks—it merely represents a reallocation of profit margins and will not reduce overall credit capacity.
Bitcoin briefly approached the key 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around $83,300 on Wednesday but failed to achieve a decisive breakout, subsequently falling back below $81,000. Meanwhile, the broader crypto market weakened, with the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Index falling over 2% in the past 24 hours, making it the worst-performing major sector. The 200-day moving average is widely regarded by the market as a key indicator for measuring long-term trends. If BTC can hold above this level, it would further reinforce the market narrative that the bear market, which saw prices fall below $63,000 in February, has ended and a new bull market has begun.However, a similar situation occurred historically in March 2022, when Bitcoin briefly broke above and tested the 200-day moving average before ultimately falling to around $20,000 by June of that year. As a result, some analysts are warning of the risk of a "fakeout."Analytics firm Marex stated that Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trajectory depends on three factors: sustained spot buying pressure, a continued tightening of exchange supply, and a derivatives market that remains healthy without overheating. If all three factors align positively, Bitcoin could quickly open up the path towards the $85,000 range. Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Market Analyst at FxPro, noted that this pullback appears more like a brief consolidation within an uptrend rather than an end to the trend. However, he also cautioned that the daily RSI had previously entered overbought territory, and similar instances in the past were accompanied by significant corrections.Additionally, the 10-year US Treasury yield has fallen to 4.32% from its early-month high of 4.46%, which is viewed as a potential positive factor for risk assets. (CoinDesk)