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Goldman Sachs: Maintains SanDisk Buy Rating, 80% Gross Margin Target and $15.5 Billion Buyback Open 64% Upside Potential

Source: www.techflowpost.com
According to TechFlow Research, Goldman Sachs' research report on August 13 pointed out that SanDisk's stock price rose 15% subsequently, as the company's disclosed long-term financial targets significantly exceeded market expectations: revenue CAGR from FY28 to FY30 reaching mid-to-high double digits, gross margin 80%, operating margin 75%, and free cash flow margin over 50%. Management plans to return 100% of excess free cash flow to shareholders; previously authorized $6 billion buyback (approximately $4.5 billion executed), with this new $14 billion authorization, the total remaining buyback capacity is approximately $15.5 billion. To date, SanDisk has signed 8 customers with a total contract value of approximately $94 billion; approximately 50% and 67% of planned capacity for FY27 and FY28 respectively are covered by NBMs (long-term customer agreements). The research report judges that the market's previous pricing logic regarding NAND cyclicality needs recalibration; although long-term agreements require time to validate, SanDisk is reshaping revenue visibility through NBMs and opening incremental space for AI inference through HBF (High Bandwidth Flash) technology. Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating and a $2200 target price, based on 20x P/E ratio multiplied by normalized EPS of $110; current stock price is approximately $1344, implying 64% upside potential.

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